Yordanis Guerra
P
FCL Phillies
Age 19
LHP
6'3" / 210 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 19 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 119
ERA4.42
FIP4.42
K%22.8%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%13.2%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 12 | 3 | 33 | 141 | 35 | 16 | 2 | 25% | 2.7 | 16.9% | 14.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.03 | 5.03 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 12 | 3 | 33 | 141 | 35 | 16 | 2 | 25% | 2.7 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 1.4% | 3.03 | 3.22 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 13 | 7 | 33 | 154 | 48 | 22 | 0 | 54% | 2.5 | 21.2% | 17.9% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 4.64 | 3.57 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | PHI | 4 | 4 | 19 | 82 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 4.8 | 22.8% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.8% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 3.0% | 4.42 | 4.42 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 52 | 236 | 67 | 30 | 2 | — | — | 28.3% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 1.0% | 4.56 | 3.89 | +0.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | PHI | 19 | 0 | 20 | 86 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | PHI | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 4.29 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 3.91 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 199 | 80 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 4.34 | 3.91 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 25 | 10 | 66 | 295 | 56 | 47 | 4 | 40% | 2.6 | 19.1% | 16.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 3.84 | 4.27 | +0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 76 | 30 | 200 | 898 | 172 | 145 | 12 | 40% | 2.6 | 19.1% | 16.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 3.84 | 4.27 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yordanis Guerra (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.42 | 22.8% | 9.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.29 | 23.3% | 14.1% | 20 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Taylor Hearn L 2028 · 3.88 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.88 | 26.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .347 | 3.97 | 22.3% | 11.7% | 236 | +0.09 | 3.66 | 572 | 81 |
| James Gonzalez L 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.47 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .327 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 7.0% | 91 | +1.40 | 2.31 | 455 | 81 |
| Denny Roman L 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.24 | 25.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .348 | 5.24 | 15.7% | -1.0% | 21 | +2.00 | 3.24 | 109 | 80 |
| Jacob Lopez L 2027 · 3.66 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.66 | 24.3% | 7.9% | 2.9% | .302 | 3.58 | 30.4% | 21.6% | 55 | -0.08 | 3.50 | 478 | 78 |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.99 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .250 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.93 | 319 | 78 |
| Matt Osterberg L 2029 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 77 |
| Alex Ayala Jr. L 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.28 | 20.7% | 12.3% | 2.5% | .271 | 5.86 | 13.6% | -3.1% | 71 | +1.58 | 4.28 | 128 | 77 |
| Francisco Villegas L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.55 | 17.0% | 8.1% | 3.4% | .256 | 5.57 | 17.9% | 3.1% | 59 | +1.02 | 4.55 | 131 | 77 |
| Sam Long L 2028 · 3.26 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.26 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 1.2% | .371 | 4.18 | 21.3% | 13.1% | 97 | +0.92 | 3.08 | 446 | 76 |
| Deivi Diaz L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.73 | 20.4% | 11.6% | 1.6% | .369 | 4.50 | 13.5% | -2.3% | 57 | +0.77 | 3.73 | 161 | 75 |
| Rafael Marcano L 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.59 | 16.2% | 8.7% | 1.4% | .304 | 4.43 | 19.7% | 7.0% | 117 | +0.84 | 3.38 | 291 | 75 |
| Thomas Ireland L 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.50 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .286 | 3.55 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 177 | -0.95 | 2.94 | 221 | 75 |
| Bodi Rascon L 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.55 | 15.4% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .271 | 5.56 | 15.7% | 3.9% | 143 | +1.01 | 4.55 | 218 | 75 |
| Frankeli Arias L 2026 · 3.68 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.68 | 16.9% | 7.5% | 1.9% | .281 | 5.25 | 15.8% | 3.5% | 214 | +1.57 | 3.68 | 292 | 74 |
| Johan Simon L 2027 · 3.42 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.42 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 1.3% | .302 | 4.50 | 17.6% | 1.1% | 41 | +1.08 | 3.42 | 158 | 73 |
| Javier Chacon L 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.42 | 22.5% | 13.1% | 4.7% | .295 | 4.69 | 20.3% | 3.5% | 94 | -0.73 | 4.63 | 181 | 73 |
| Adam Macko L 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 18 | SW | 3.88 | 22.4% | 14.6% | 1.5% | .353 | 3.57 | 27.2% | 12.4% | 72 | -0.31 | 3.51 | 382 | 73 |
| Aidan Deakins L 2028 · 3.83 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.83 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 2.3% | .323 | 5.29 | 17.1% | 6.0% | 62 | +1.46 | 3.83 | 119 | 73 |
| Blake Townsend L 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.7% | 11.2% | 3.1% | .286 | 4.11 | 18.5% | 4.8% | 96 | +0.15 | 3.40 | 263 | 72 |
| Dalton Pence L 2029 · 3.32 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.32 | 23.8% | 9.6% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.89 | 22.0% | 13.9% | 71 | +0.57 | 3.32 | 153 | 72 |