Carlos Meza
P Hillsboro Hops| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | G | GS | IP | ERA | FIP | K% | BB% | WAR | MLE rates | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 21 | AARI | 38 | 1 | 67 | 6.31 | 3.92 | 27.5% | 13.3% | — | K 20.3% · BB 15.7% · FIP 5.03 | |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX2 levels | 40 | 0 | 53 | 5.98 | 3.19 | 26.6% | 13.3% | — | K 20.9% · BB 15.3% · FIP 4.24 | |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX2 levels | 29 | 0 | 29 | 5.83 | 4.43 | 25.5% | 20.0% | — | K 20.6% · BB 19.5% · FIP 4.53 | |
| 2025 | 24 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | No MLB games played | ||||||||||
| 2027PROJ | 26 | MLBARI | — | — | 0 | 4.71 | 4.71 | 22.9% | 12.1% | — | ||
| 2028PROJ37% MLB | 27 | MLBARI | 6 | 0 | 6 | 4.69 | 4.71 | 22.9% | 11.9% | -0.0 | ||
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL D-backs 2 | 15 | 1 | 24 | 100 | 16 | 18 | 0 | 7% | 1.6 | 10.9% | 22.5% | -11.6% | 0.0% | 3.80 | 5.03 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL D-backs 2 | 15 | 1 | 24 | 100 | 16 | 18 | 0 | 7% | 1.6 | 16.0% | 18.0% | -2.0% | 0.0% | 3.80 | 4.03 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL D-backs 2 | 13 | 1 | 29 | 126 | 36 | 18 | 0 | 8% | 2.3 | 19.4% | 17.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 4.91 | 3.72 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL D-backs 2 | 13 | 1 | 29 | 126 | 36 | 18 | 0 | 8% | 2.3 | 28.6% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 0.0% | 4.91 | 2.49 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL D-backs | 11 | 7 | 38 | 184 | 42 | 18 | 4 | 64% | 3.5 | 15.5% | 12.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.97 | 5.03 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK RAW | ACL D-backs | 11 | 7 | 38 | 184 | 42 | 18 | 4 | 64% | 3.5 | 22.8% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 2.2% | 4.97 | 3.68 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Visalia Rawhide | 38 | 1 | 67 | 324 | 89 | 43 | 8 | 3% | 1.8 | 20.3% | 15.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 6.31 | 5.03 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A RAW | Visalia Rawhide | 38 | 1 | 67 | 324 | 89 | 43 | 8 | 3% | 1.8 | 27.5% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 2.5% | 6.31 | 3.92 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 53 | 256 | 68 | 34 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 20.9% | 15.3% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 5.98 | 4.24 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 40 | 0 | 53 | 256 | 68 | 34 | 3 | 0% | 1.3 | 26.6% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 1.2% | 5.98 | 3.19 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 29 | 145 | 37 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 19.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 5.83 | 4.53 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX MLE | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 29 | 145 | 37 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 19.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 5.83 | 4.53 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX RAW | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 29 | 145 | 37 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.5% | 20.0% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 5.83 | 4.43 | — |
| ▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | ARI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.71 | 4.71 | — |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | ARI | 16 | 0 | 17 | 71 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | ARI | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.71 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | RAW | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.33 | +0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | RAW | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 97 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.33 | +0.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | 146 | 10 | 240 | 1135 | 213 | 186 | 22 | 7% | 1.6 | 18.8% | 16.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 5.55 | 4.64 | -0.0 | |
| / 200 IP | — | MLE | 122 | 8 | 200 | 946 | 178 | 155 | 18 | 7% | 1.6 | 18.8% | 16.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 5.55 | 4.64 | -0.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 A+Hillsboro Hops · 23 IPFIP 3.48 → 4.53 (+1.05)K% 26.8% → 20.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 26.79% | — | ×0.770 | 20.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 16.96% | — | ×1.150 | 19.51% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.89% | ÷0.875 | ×1.250 | 1.28% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 75).
Result: FIP 3.48 → 4.53, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 6 IPFIP 6.81 → 7.50 (+0.69)K% 21.2% → 17.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 21.21% | — | ×0.810 | 17.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 30.30% | — | ×1.100 | 33.33% |
| HR / BF /BF | 3.03% | ÷1.229 | ×1.200 | 2.96% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 146).
Result: FIP 6.81 → 7.50, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Hillsboro Hops · 47 IPFIP 3.23 → 4.24 (+1.01)K% 27.1% → 20.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 27.11% | — | ×0.770 | 20.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 13.33% | — | ×1.150 | 15.33% |
| HR / BF /BF | 1.33% | ÷0.952 | ×1.250 | 1.75% |
Factors used: pitcher A+ level factors — K ×0.77, BB ×1.15, HR ×1.25. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 90).
Result: FIP 3.23 → 4.24, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 5 IPFIP 2.83 → 3.35 (+0.53)K% 22.6% → 18.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 22.58% | — | ×0.810 | 18.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 12.90% | — | ×1.100 | 14.19% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.637 | ×1.200 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 227).
Result: FIP 2.83 → 3.35, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AVisalia Rawhide · 67 IPFIP 3.82 → 5.03 (+1.21)K% 27.5% → 20.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 27.47% | — | ×0.740 | 20.33% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 13.27% | — | ×1.180 | 15.66% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.47% | ÷1.062 | ×1.300 | 3.02% |
Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 112).
Result: FIP 3.82 → 5.03, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL D-backs · 38 IPFIP 3.60 → 5.03 (+1.43)K% 22.8% → 15.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 22.83% | — | ×0.680 | 15.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 9.78% | — | ×1.250 | 12.23% |
| HR / BF /BF | 2.17% | ÷0.986 | ×1.400 | 3.09% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 97).
Result: FIP 3.60 → 5.03, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKDSL D-backs 2 · 29 IPFIP 2.50 → 3.72 (+1.22)K% 28.6% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 28.57% | — | ×0.680 | 19.43% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 14.29% | — | ×1.250 | 17.86% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.400 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 2.50 → 3.72, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ROKDSL D-backs 2 · 24 IPFIP 4.03 → 5.03 (+1.00)K% 16.0% → 10.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /BF | 16.00% | — | ×0.680 | 10.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /BF | 18.00% | — | ×1.250 | 22.50% |
| HR / BF /BF | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.400 | 0.00% |
Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).
Result: FIP 4.03 → 5.03, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).