Kenny Fenelon — OGILVIE

Kenny FenelonOF ACL Brewers

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 184 lbs ROK HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION222 act + 20 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.167 / .250 / .222

PA20

HR0

K%40

BB%10

BABIP273

ISO56

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$1.0M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	219	170	35	5	2	5	33	52	10	18	10	206	366	347	713	141	252	24	15	325	106	+2	-0	—	—	+5	0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	219	183	25	3	1	4	20	79	10	18	10	137	258	230	488	93	187	36	9	222	36	-17	-0	—	—	+5	-1.2
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	219	183	25	3	1	4	20	79	10	18	10	137	258	230	488	93	198	36	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	—	219	170	35	5	2	5	33	52	10	18	10	206	366	347	713	141	252	24	15	325	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	219	187	25	3	1	4	20	79	10	18	10	134	258	225	483	91	187	36	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	219	187	25	3	1	4	20	79	10	18	10	134	258	225	483	91	187	36	9	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	MIL	—	222	191	24	7	1	4	26	112	5	23	8	126	248	236	483	110	267	50	12	225	38	-16	+1	+0	-1	+5	-1.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	MIL	—	222	176	40	12	2	7	41	78	5	23	8	227	387	438	825	210	363	35	18	372	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	MIL	0%	20	18	3	1	0	0	2	8	0	1	0	167	250	222	472	56	275	40	10	255	59	-1	+0	-0	-0	+0	-0.1
TOT	18	ROK MLE	MIL	—	242	209	27	8	1	4	28	120	5	24	8	129	248	234	482	105	271	50	12	228	40	-17	+2	-0	-1	+5	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIL	25%	283	249	46	9	2	7	27	104	5	8	3	185	278	321	599	137	280	37	10	271	70	-10	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.6
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIL	38%	402	353	68	13	2	11	39	142	7	11	3	193	286	334	620	142	283	35	10	283	78	-11	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIL	45%	490	431	86	17	3	14	47	169	9	13	4	200	292	350	642	151	285	34	10	291	83	-10	+1	-1	-3	+11	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIL	49%	551	483	98	19	3	17	53	187	10	14	4	203	295	360	655	157	286	34	10	296	86	-9	+1	-1	-3	+12	-0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIL	51%	594	520	107	21	3	19	58	200	11	15	5	206	299	367	666	162	287	34	10	299	89	-8	+1	-1	-4	+13	0.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIL	51%	618	542	113	21	4	21	60	208	11	15	5	208	300	378	678	170	288	34	10	302	91	-7	+1	-1	-4	+13	0.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIL	52%	629	551	115	22	4	21	62	211	11	16	5	209	301	377	679	169	288	34	10	304	92	-6	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIL	52%	635	556	116	22	4	22	62	213	12	16	5	209	302	381	683	173	288	34	10	304	92	-6	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIL	51%	635	555	116	22	4	22	63	214	12	16	5	209	303	382	685	173	288	34	10	304	92	-6	+1	-1	-4	+14	0.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIL	50%	630	551	113	22	3	21	63	213	11	15	5	205	299	370	669	165	287	34	10	303	92	-6	+1	-2	-4	+14	0.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIL	49%	620	541	111	21	3	21	63	211	11	14	5	205	301	372	672	166	286	34	10	302	90	-7	+1	-3	-4	+13	0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	MIL	25%	70	62	11	2	0	2	7	26	1	2	1	177	271	306	578	129	278	37	10	260	70	-3	+0	-0	-0	+2	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIL	38%	154	135	26	5	1	4	15	54	3	4	1	193	288	333	621	141	282	35	10	271	78	-4	+0	-0	-1	+3	-0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIL	45%	222	195	38	7	1	7	21	76	4	6	2	195	286	349	635	154	284	34	9	279	83	-5	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIL	49%	271	238	49	9	2	9	26	92	5	7	2	206	297	374	671	168	285	34	10	285	86	-4	+1	-1	-2	+6	-0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIL	51%	305	267	55	10	2	10	30	103	5	8	2	206	298	371	669	165	286	34	10	288	89	-4	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIL	51%	318	278	58	11	2	11	31	107	6	8	3	209	302	381	683	173	287	34	10	291	91	-4	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIL	52%	324	283	60	11	2	12	32	109	6	8	3	212	305	392	698	180	287	34	10	293	92	-3	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.2
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIL	52%	328	287	60	11	2	12	32	110	6	8	3	209	302	387	688	178	287	34	10	293	92	-3	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.2
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIL	51%	322	281	59	11	2	12	32	108	6	8	3	210	304	391	696	181	286	34	10	293	92	-3	+0	-1	-2	+7	0.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIL	50%	316	275	58	11	2	11	32	107	6	8	2	211	307	385	692	175	286	34	10	292	92	-3	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIL	49%	303	264	55	10	2	11	31	103	5	7	2	208	303	386	690	178	285	34	10	291	90	-4	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2933	2565	529	98	18	101	289	995	53	74	24	206	300	377	676	170	288	34	10	288	86	-39	+5	-7	-18	+64	0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	568	117	22	4	22	64	221	12	16	5	206	300	375	675	169	289	34	10	288	86	-9	+1	-2	-4	+14	0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6326	5533	1117	213	36	200	619	2159	120	172	59	202	296	362	658	160	286	34	10	296	86	-87	+11	-14	-37	+132	0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	116	22	4	21	64	222	12	18	6	204	298	367	665	163	288	34	10	296	86	-9	+1	-2	-4	+14	0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	5.3	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
/162	664	21	2	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#3Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.7	3,132	99	78	205	294	366	-19	+0	2.9	3.0
/162	664	21	17	-4.0	+0.0	0.6	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kenny Fenelon (OGILVIE)	18	20→40	40→55	60	55	171/265/283	113	275	4	10	39%	10%	59	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→50	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	53	-2.1	196/245/302	106	303	10	7	37%	5%	53	-2.1	225/276/346	121	319	13	2	32%	5%	71	-0.3
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	61	-1.5	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	83	+0.1	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	87	+0.1
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2022 · A	18	42→43	45→55	48→30	39	205/275/323	119	306	12	7	35%	7%	70	-0.8	194/272/316	122	299	13	5	37%	8%	68	-1.0	202/297/392	190	283	25	2	36%	10%	92	+0.6
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	73	-0.6	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	73	-0.6	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	73	-0.3
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2022 · A	18	43→53	46→50	51→45	43	216/277/350	134	270	12	10	25%	6%	77	-0.3	235/294/358	123	286	13	8	22%	5%	85	+0.2	253/307/381	128	303	13	6	20%	5%	92	+0.6
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→38	40→55	56→55	37	198/247/291	93	281	6	10	31%	5%	51	-2.2	189/248/281	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	49	-2.4	184/245/315	131	287	12	17	38%	6%	55	-1.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
●Moisés Sierra 2007 · A	18	42→52	39→50	52→50	42	203/266/292	89	271	6	13	26%	6%	59	-1.6	205/253/299	94	283	8	9	29%	4%	55	-1.9	249/315/369	120	307	12	15	22%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	202/254/274	72	296	2	25	30%	6%	49	-2.4	242/294/410	167	331	20	27	32%	6%	94	+0.4
✕Juan Lagares 2007 · A	18	42→52	40→45	53→50	41	203/261/302	99	285	6	11	30%	6%	59	-1.7	203/241/283	80	277	4	10	27%	4%	46	-2.6	268/308/373	106	324	7	13	19%	4%	89	+0.3
✕Joshua Báez 2022 · A	19	39→46	41→55	54→60	38	185/258/281	96	309	8	10	40%	7%	54	-2.0	176/263/284	108	354	10	21	48%	8%	57	-1.8	204/273/381	176	282	23	33	35%	7%	82	-0.0
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	58	-1.7	218/283/318	100	304	7	21	28%	8%	71	-0.8	258/316/357	98	327	7	29	22%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	42→52	39→55	51→55	40	205/251/286	81	270	6	16	26%	5%	51	-2.2	205/253/316	111	261	11	14	25%	5%	59	-1.6	253/291/409	156	303	17	19	22%	4%	93	+0.8
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43→45	39→50	55	42	205/265/294	89	297	6	14	32%	7%	59	-1.7	186/260/273	87	276	6	12	32%	8%	53	-2.1	195/272/312	117	292	11	20	34%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Athanael Duarte 2023 · A	18	39	42→40	53→45	45	194/262/300	106	257	10	14	28%	8%	59	-1.6	201/266/295	94	268	8	10	26%	7%	60	-1.6	184/255/271	87	254	7	7	29%	7%	49	-0.8
●Lewis Brinson 2013 · A	19	41→51	44→55	56→50	34	198/246/326	128	318	10	12	39%	5%	59	-1.6	203/257/337	134	336	15	13	41%	6%	66	-1.1	239/290/412	173	299	19	17	26%	6%	93	+0.6
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	42→52	39→50	57→55	42	201/259/292	90	285	6	22	30%	7%	56	-1.9	230/286/359	129	289	11	21	23%	7%	82	-0.0	252/312/373	121	300	11	11	19%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	218/268/339	121	285	11	12	27%	6%	70	-0.8	228/293/365	137	300	15	16	28%	8%	86	+0.3	232/299/370	138	298	16	19	26%	8%	87	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps