Kenny Fenelon — OGILVIE

Kenny FenelonOF ACL Brewers

Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 184 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION202 act + 134 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .269 / .303

PA134

HR3

SB7

K%39

BB%10

BABIP283

ISO126

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.9M
2035	Arb-2	$2M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.5M
2036	Arb-3	$2M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.1M
Totals		$9M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	219	183	23	3	1	3	20	84	10	18	10	126	249	202	451	77	196	38	9	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	219	170	35	5	2	5	33	52	10	18	10	206	366	347	713	141	252	24	15	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	MIL	—	202	175	22	6	1	4	24	107	3	22	8	126	243	240	483	114	281	53	12	220	27	-17	+1	+0	-1	+6	-1.1
YTD	18	ROK	MIL	—	202	161	37	11	2	6	38	74	3	22	8	230	386	435	821	205	383	37	19	371	142	+10	+1	+0	-1	+6	1.6
ROS	18	ROK	MIL	0%	134	118	21	4	1	3	13	53	2	7	2	177	269	303	573	126	278	39	10	252	51	-7	+1	-0	-1	+4	-0.4
ROS	18	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	240	42	—	—	-0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	MIL	—	202	176	22	6	1	4	24	107	3	22	8	125	243	239	481	114	277	53	12	220	27	-17	+1	+0	-1	+6	-1.1
TOT	18	ROK	MIL	—	336	293	43	10	2	7	37	160	5	29	10	146	253	266	519	119	282	48	11	233	36	-24	+2	-0	-2	+10	-1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	MIL	25%	343	302	56	11	2	8	33	129	5	10	3	185	276	315	591	129	284	38	10	268	63	-14	+1	-1	-2	+10	-0.7
2028	20	MLB	MIL	38%	446	393	77	15	3	12	43	161	7	12	4	196	287	341	628	145	287	36	10	279	72	-14	+1	-1	-3	+13	-0.4
2029	21	MLB	MIL	45%	522	459	91	17	3	15	50	183	8	14	4	198	288	346	635	148	288	35	10	288	78	-13	+1	-1	-3	+15	-0.1
2030	22	MLB	MIL	49%	573	504	101	19	3	17	55	198	9	15	5	200	290	351	642	151	289	35	10	293	82	-11	+1	-1	-3	+16	0.1
2031	23	MLB	MIL	51%	608	534	110	21	4	19	59	210	10	15	5	206	297	367	664	161	290	35	10	296	85	-10	+1	-1	-4	+17	0.3
2032	24	MLB	MIL	51%	628	552	113	21	4	20	61	216	10	16	5	205	295	366	661	161	291	34	10	299	87	-9	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.5
2033	25	MLB	MIL	52%	635	558	116	22	4	21	62	218	10	16	5	208	298	375	673	167	291	34	10	301	88	-8	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.6
2034	26	MLB	MIL	52%	639	560	117	22	4	22	63	219	11	16	5	209	301	380	682	171	291	34	10	302	89	-8	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.7
2035	27	MLB	MIL	51%	637	558	116	21	4	22	63	219	11	16	5	208	301	378	679	170	291	34	10	302	89	-8	+1	-1	-4	+18	0.7
2036	28	MLB	MIL	50%	631	553	113	21	3	21	63	218	10	15	5	204	297	367	664	163	290	35	10	301	88	-8	+1	-2	-4	+18	0.5
2037	29	MLB	MIL	49%	621	544	111	21	3	21	62	216	10	14	5	204	297	369	667	165	289	35	10	299	87	-9	+1	-3	-4	+18	0.3
2038	30	MLB	MIL	48%	610	534	108	20	3	20	61	213	10	14	4	202	296	363	659	161	288	35	10	296	85	-10	+1	-3	-4	+17	0.1
2027	19	MLB	MIL	25%	85	76	14	3	0	2	8	32	1	2	1	184	271	303	573	118	281	38	9	255	53	-5	+0	-0	-1	+2	-0.3
2028	20	MLB	MIL	38%	170	149	28	5	1	4	16	61	3	5	1	188	280	315	595	128	284	36	9	265	61	-7	+1	-0	-1	+5	-0.3
2029	21	MLB	MIL	45%	237	208	41	8	1	7	23	83	4	6	2	197	289	346	636	149	286	35	10	273	67	-9	+0	-0	-1	+7	-0.4
2030	22	MLB	MIL	49%	282	248	49	9	2	8	27	98	5	7	2	198	289	347	636	149	287	35	10	278	71	-9	+1	-1	-2	+8	-0.3
2031	23	MLB	MIL	51%	312	274	56	10	2	10	30	108	5	8	3	204	294	365	659	161	288	35	10	282	74	-9	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.3
2032	24	MLB	MIL	51%	323	284	58	11	2	10	31	111	5	8	3	204	294	363	656	158	289	34	10	284	76	-9	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.2
2033	25	MLB	MIL	52%	328	288	59	11	2	11	32	113	5	8	3	205	295	372	667	167	289	34	10	286	77	-8	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
2034	26	MLB	MIL	52%	330	290	60	11	2	11	32	113	5	8	3	207	297	372	669	166	289	34	10	287	78	-8	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
2035	27	MLB	MIL	51%	323	283	59	11	2	11	32	111	5	8	3	208	300	378	678	170	288	34	10	287	78	-8	+0	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
2036	28	MLB	MIL	50%	317	277	56	10	2	10	32	109	5	8	2	202	296	361	657	159	288	34	10	286	77	-8	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.1
2037	29	MLB	MIL	49%	303	265	54	10	2	10	30	105	5	7	2	204	297	370	666	166	287	35	10	284	76	-8	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.2
2038	30	MLB	MIL	48%	292	256	50	9	1	9	29	102	5	7	2	195	290	344	633	148	285	35	10	282	74	-9	+1	-2	-2	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3302	2899	584	108	19	103	322	1146	53	82	27	201	293	358	651	157	288	35	10	282	74	-98	+6	-9	-20	+94	-2.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	115	21	4	20	63	226	10	16	5	201	292	357	649	156	289	35	10	282	74	-19	+1	-2	-4	+18	-0.5
Career	—			—	7246	6352	1273	238	42	224	708	2537	123	198	67	200	293	357	650	156	289	35	10	292	82	-151	+13	-18	-43	+205	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	114	21	4	20	64	228	11	18	6	200	293	356	650	156	288	35	10	292	82	-14	+1	-2	-4	+18	0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	219	170	35	5	2	5	33	52	10	18	10	206	366	347	713	141	252	24	15	325	107	+2	-0	—	—	+6	0.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#3Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#4Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,543	110	88	204	292	361	-21	+0	1.8	2.0
	/162	664	21	16	204	292	361	-4.0	+0.0	0.3	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Kenny Fenelon (OGILVIE)	18	20→40	40→55	60	55	146/253/266	119	282	7	29	48%	11%	36	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→45	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	196/245/301	105	305	10	7	37%	5%	46	-2.0	224/273/340	115	327	12	2	33%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2022 · A	18	43→53	46→50	52→45	43	216/277/348	132	271	12	10	25%	6%	73	-0.1	235/292/359	124	285	14	8	22%	5%	82	+0.5	253/307/382	129	303	14	6	21%	5%	91	+0.9
✕Athanael Duarte 2023 · A	18	39	45→40	53→45	44	200/265/322	122	263	12	14	28%	7%	61	-1.0	204/268/306	102	270	9	10	27%	7%	58	-1.2	186/255/279	93	257	8	7	29%	7%	44	-0.7
●Esmerlyn Valdez 2022 · A	18	43	46→55	48→40	40	211/281/338	127	310	14	7	35%	7%	73	-0.1	195/273/317	122	300	13	5	37%	8%	64	-0.8	202/290/390	188	286	26	2	37%	9%	87	+0.6
✕Joshua Báez 2022 · A	19	40→47	41→55	54→60	38	186/258/282	96	310	8	10	40%	7%	49	-1.8	171/260/277	106	355	10	21	50%	8%	49	-1.8	203/276/380	177	287	24	34	36%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	42→48	39→55	51→55	40	205/251/286	81	270	6	16	26%	5%	45	-2.1	206/254/321	115	262	11	14	25%	5%	56	-1.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Alexander Canario 2019 · A	19	41→34	42→60	47→50	44	201/268/307	106	272	10	12	29%	7%	59	-1.1	209/264/358	149	293	18	11	34%	6%	70	-0.3	205/276/414	209	281	28	13	37%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	217/281/315	98	303	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Juan Lagares 2007 · A	18	42→52	40→45	53→50	41	203/261/302	99	285	6	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	203/241/283	80	277	4	10	27%	4%	39	-2.5	261/302/366	105	316	7	13	19%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Jean Selmo 2018 · A	18	39	39→45	53→45	38	185/246/275	89	296	6	8	38%	7%	41	-2.3	197/260/287	90	318	5	8	36%	7%	50	-1.8	215/289/325	110	304	4	8	28%	9%	69	-0.2
●Lewis Brinson 2013 · A	19	41→51	44→55	56→50	34	198/246/326	128	318	10	12	39%	5%	54	-1.4	199/253/330	131	332	14	13	42%	6%	58	-1.2	232/284/407	175	291	20	17	27%	6%	89	+0.7
●Moisés Sierra 2007 · A	18	42→52	39→50	52→50	42	203/266/292	89	271	6	13	26%	6%	54	-1.4	205/253/299	94	283	8	9	29%	4%	50	-1.8	248/314/378	130	302	14	15	22%	7%	93	+0.9
✕George Feliz 2022 · A	19	43	43→50	54→45	40	209/265/321	112	301	11	10	33%	6%	60	-1.0	173/235/266	93	312	9	13	44%	6%	33	-2.9	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8