Jose Gerardo — OGILVIE

Jose GerardoOF FCL Marlins

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 179 lbs ROK HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA

wRC+†48

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .250 / .267

PA5

HR0

K%38

BB%8

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	218	176	50	12	1	11	33	66	8	18	1	284	419	551	970	267	390	30	15	424	173	+19	+3	—	—	+5	2.7
2023	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	226	182	35	6	1	5	37	96	6	17	5	192	347	319	665	126	366	42	16	313	98	-1	+1	—	—	+5	0.6
2024	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	126	109	18	10	0	1	13	60	4	21	3	165	278	284	562	119	354	48	10	264	65	-5	+3	—	—	+3	0.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	218	188	36	8	1	8	21	93	8	18	1	191	300	372	672	181	294	43	10	280	76	-6	+3	—	—	+5	0.2
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	226	195	19	3	0	3	24	139	6	17	5	97	218	159	377	62	278	62	11	179	7	-25	+1	—	—	+5	-1.9
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	126	114	7	4	0	0	8	88	4	21	3	61	151	96	247	35	255	70	6	128	-27	-19	+3	—	—	+3	-1.4
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	218	188	36	8	1	8	21	93	8	18	1	191	300	372	672	181	318	43	10	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	—	218	176	50	12	1	11	33	66	8	18	1	284	419	551	970	267	390	30	15	424	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	226	195	19	3	0	3	24	139	6	17	5	97	218	159	377	62	296	62	11	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	226	182	35	6	1	5	37	96	6	17	5	192	347	319	665	126	366	42	16	313	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	126	114	7	4	0	0	8	88	4	21	3	61	151	96	247	35	269	70	6	128	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK RAW	FCL Marlins	—	126	109	18	10	0	1	13	60	4	21	3	165	278	284	562	119	354	48	10	264	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	—	218	187	36	8	1	8	21	93	8	18	1	193	300	374	674	182	294	43	10	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	226	194	19	3	0	3	24	139	6	17	5	98	218	160	378	62	278	62	11	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	126	113	7	4	0	0	8	88	4	21	3	62	151	97	248	35	255	70	6	128	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	18	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	226	194	19	3	0	3	24	139	6	17	5	98	218	160	378	62	278	62	11	179	7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK MLE	FCL Marlins	—	126	113	7	4	0	0	8	88	4	21	3	62	151	97	248	35	255	70	6	128	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	21	MLB MLE	MIA	0%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	200	200	200	400		287	40	0	240	48	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	MIA	34%	117	106	21	4	1	2	9	43	1	3	1	198	267	311	579	113	289	37	8	254	58	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2027	22	MLB CTX	MIA	34%	40	36	7	1	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	194	275	306	581	111	281	38	8	238	58	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	40	36	7	1	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	194	275	306	581	111	300	38	8	238	31	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	113	16	0	16	49	244	16	16	0	193	274	303	576	109	298	38	8	238	31	-32	+3	+0	-4	+14	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	692	608	84	19	2	13	62	365	19	59	10	138	239	240	480	102	305	53	9	215	31	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	79	18	2	12	58	343	18	55	9	138	240	240	479	102	306	53	9	215	31	-33	+1	+0	-4	+14	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Gerardo (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	177/250/267	89	287	1	2	38%	8%	48	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/235/269	91	291	8	13	40%	6%	42	-2.9	176/238/276	100	311	10	11	44%	6%	45	-2.7	164/227/275	111	272	14	9	43%	6%	39	-1.1
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A	21	34	39→45	48→50	38	168/235/254	87	269	6	8	38%	7%	39	-3.1	171/234/292	121	290	14	4	43%	7%	48	-2.5	135/184/266	131	201	17	0	42%	5%	19	-1.1
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→40	42→50	54→55	35	184/245/283	99	282	10	12	37%	5%	50	-2.3	197/252/315	118	289	14	16	35%	5%	59	-1.6	203/254/335	133	288	14	24	34%	5%	62	-0.9
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→29	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	210/275/314	104	329	8	15	36%	7%	68	-1.0	190/253/306	116	287	12	16	36%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Junior Perez 2022 · A	21	38→39	42→50	54→55	36	173/244/281	108	326	9	17	46%	8%	49	-2.4	182/254/294	112	319	11	24	43%	8%	56	-1.9	167/239/308	141	259	16	25	40%	8%	52	-1.7
✕Izzy Wilson 2019 · A	21	38→33	42→45	51→55	36	184/242/283	99	305	10	13	41%	7%	48	-2.5	190/256/299	109	320	12	18	41%	8%	57	-1.8	178/248/306	128	270	16	23	38%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	39	176/249/261	85	299	6	10	40%	8%	47	-2.6	197/277/297	100	311	7	14	35%	9%	65	-1.2	144/220/221	77	270	5	19	45%	8%	24	-1.3
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→32	43→45	51→50	42	190/258/298	108	281	10	12	34%	8%	57	-1.8	205/269/314	109	303	11	12	34%	7%	65	-1.2	180/254/288	108	265	12	11	34%	8%	53	-1.2
✕Markus Brisker 2012 · A	21	39→36	39→40	52→55	42	182/262/265	82	299	6	17	38%	8%	52	-2.2	190/262/277	87	301	6	19	36%	7%	55	-2.0	139/216/198	59	225	3	32	36%	7%	17	-1.4
✕Bryan Gonzalez 2023 · A	21	39→38	39→45	48→50	36	179/242/259	80	324	7	11	44%	7%	42	-2.9	192/240/304	112	335	12	13	44%	5%	52	-2.2	185/231/300	116	315	13	15	44%	5%	45	-1.7
✕Carlos Dominguez 2021 · A	21	43→27	42→45	51→50	36	201/283/313	112	310	9	12	35%	5%	72	-0.7	171/244/297	126	334	15	12	50%	5%	54	-2.0	135/213/254	119	281	17	13	54%	6%	30	-1.6
✕Pedro Gonzalez 2019 · A	21	39→30	43→50	49→50	33	189/236/305	115	308	9	10	40%	5%	50	-2.3	180/233/302	122	298	14	9	42%	6%	49	-2.4	149/208/262	112	253	14	9	45%	6%	29	-2.6
✕Joey Rose 2019 · A	21	37	42→50	51→40	34	174/237/277	103	312	9	4	45%	6%	45	-2.7	185/239/274	89	295	7	5	37%	6%	45	-2.7	149/192/219	70	221	5	2	34%	4%	12	-1.6
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→30	41→45	48→50	44	187/255/292	104	257	8	12	29%	8%	55	-1.9	174/252/260	86	262	6	9	33%	9%	47	-2.5	158/245/237	79	236	5	8	32%	9%	37	-1.9
✕Carlos Pacheco 2019 · A	20	34	40→45	45→50	40	171/240/260	88	276	8	9	39%	8%	42	-2.9	188/245/276	88	325	7	9	41%	7%	47	-2.5	155/212/245	90	274	9	10	44%	6%	26	-1.3
✕Maikol Escotto 2023 · A	21	39	41→45	47→50	36	184/248/277	94	311	9	14	41%	7%	49	-2.4	182/227/280	98	280	11	14	37%	5%	42	-2.9	172/214/266	94	250	11	18	35%	4%	31	-1.8
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	39	41→45	51→55	42	192/267/295	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	61	-1.5	205/269/313	108	292	7	12	30%	6%	65	-1.2	178/265/281	103	258	10	19	32%	8%	56	-1.0
✕Carson Tucker 2023 · A	21	39	38→40	52→55	34	165/237/245	80	349	6	11	50%	8%	38	-3.2	185/249/268	83	386	7	9	49%	7%	47	-2.5	198/251/262	64	338	3	18	40%	6%	44	-1.0
✕Frankeny Fernandez 2017 · A	20	36	38→40	53→60	42	174/248/255	81	275	5	19	36%	8%	45	-2.7	193/258/268	75	281	5	10	31%	7%	51	-2.3	172/238/215	43	239	3	6	27%	7%	30	-1.1
✕Jordyn Adams 2022 · A	22	39→41	40→45	52→60	35	184/242/266	82	321	8	16	43%	7%	44	-2.8	197/254/290	93	307	8	29	36%	6%	54	-2.0	188/249/290	102	288	11	26	37%	7%	50	-1.3