Jose Gerardo — OGILVIE

Jose GerardoOF FCL Marlins

Age 21 R/R 6'0" / 179 lbs ROK HR -6%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 66 proj PA

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.176 / .250 / .265

PA66

HR1

K%39

BB%8

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	218	187	35	8	1	7	22	92	8	18	1	187	300	353	652	166	315	42	10	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	218	176	50	12	1	11	33	66	8	18	1	284	419	551	970	267	390	30	15	424	182	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	226	194	17	2	0	3	25	140	6	17	5	88	213	144	358	57	269	62	11	178	-6	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	226	182	35	6	1	5	37	96	6	17	5	192	347	319	665	126	366	42	16	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	126	113	8	4	0	1	9	89	4	21	3	71	167	133	299	62	304	71	7	127	-45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	126	109	18	10	0	1	13	60	4	21	3	165	278	284	562	119	354	48	10	264	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	MIA	—	66	60	10	2	0	1	5	25	1	2	0	167	242	250	492	83	287	38	8	239	41	-4	+0	+0	-0	+2	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	MIA	34%	117	106	20	4	1	2	9	43	1	3	1	189	259	302	561	113	289	37	8	253	52	-6	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
2028	23	MLB	MIA	48%	252	227	44	8	1	5	20	89	3	6	1	194	268	304	572	110	291	35	8	263	60	-11	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.5
2027	22	MLB	MIA	34%	40	36	7	1	0	1	3	15	1	1	0	194	275	306	581	111	284	38	8	241	42	-3	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
2028	23	MLB	MIA	48%	122	109	21	4	1	2	10	43	2	3	1	193	273	303	575	110	286	35	8	250	50	-7	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	162	145	28	5	1	3	13	58	3	4	1	193	273	303	577	110	294	36	8	248	48	-10	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	112	20	4	12	52	233	12	16	4	192	272	302	575	110	293	36	8	248	48	-38	+2	+0	-4	+18	-2.3
Career	—			—	1005	887	134	28	3	19	90	478	23	67	11	151	247	254	501	103	292	48	9	229	33	-76	+9	+0	-6	+28	-4.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	86	18	2	12	58	309	15	43	7	150	246	251	497	101	289	48	9	229	33	-49	+6	+0	-4	+18	-2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	—	218	176	50	12	1	11	33	66	8	18	1	284	419	551	970	267	390	30	15	424	182	+20	+3	—	—	+6	3.0
2023	18	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	226	182	35	6	1	5	37	96	6	17	5	192	347	319	665	126	366	42	16	313	98	-1	+1	—	—	+6	0.7
2024	19	ROK	FCL Marlins	—	126	109	18	10	0	1	13	60	4	21	3	165	278	284	562	119	354	48	10	264	60	-6	+3	—	—	+4	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	228	4	5	190	261	296	-1	+0	-0.6	-0.3
	/162	664	12	16	190	261	296	-4.0	+0.0	-1.9	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Gerardo (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	176/250/265	89	287	1	2	39%	8%	41	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jase Bowen 2022 · A	21	37→38	41→50	54→55	34	183/241/274	91	285	9	12	37%	5%	39	-2.5	193/247/307	114	286	13	16	36%	5%	50	-1.7	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Ignacio Valdez 2016 · A	21	34	39→45	48→50	38	168/235/254	87	269	6	8	38%	7%	31	-3.0	170/233/292	122	289	14	4	43%	7%	40	-2.4	133/182/263	130	199	17	0	43%	5%	8	-1.1
✕George Feliz 2023 · A	20	36	40→50	54→45	36	177/234/268	91	293	8	13	40%	6%	33	-2.9	180/242/287	107	318	12	11	44%	6%	43	-2.2	173/237/300	127	283	16	9	43%	6%	41	-0.8
✕Junior Perez 2022 · A	21	39→40	42→50	54→55	36	176/246/284	108	328	9	17	46%	8%	43	-2.2	181/251/291	110	322	11	24	43%	8%	48	-1.9	159/228/295	136	252	16	23	42%	8%	37	-2.0
✕Cole Roederer 2021 · A	21	38→31	43→45	51→50	41	190/257/298	109	284	11	12	35%	8%	52	-1.6	205/269/317	112	309	11	12	35%	7%	62	-0.9	180/254/293	113	270	13	11	36%	8%	49	-1.0
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	39→28	38→45	51→50	41	185/255/266	81	281	5	13	34%	7%	43	-2.2	211/277/317	106	330	9	15	36%	7%	64	-0.8	193/256/311	118	287	12	16	35%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Markus Brisker 2012 · A	21	38→35	39→40	52→55	41	178/257/259	81	298	6	17	39%	8%	43	-2.2	186/257/271	85	303	6	19	38%	7%	45	-2.1	130/204/185	56	217	3	32	38%	6%	-1	-1.6
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕Jordyn Adams 2022 · A	22	38→40	40→45	52→60	35	183/238/269	86	312	8	16	42%	6%	36	-2.7	194/252/291	97	301	8	29	36%	6%	47	-1.9	186/248/297	110	286	13	26	38%	7%	45	-1.1
✕Bryan Gonzalez 2023 · A	21	39→35	39→45	48→50	35	176/240/258	82	329	8	11	46%	7%	34	-2.8	185/234/294	109	330	12	13	45%	6%	40	-2.4	176/223/287	111	305	12	15	45%	5%	31	-1.9
✕Nelson Medina 2021 · A	20	37	39→45	48→50	39	176/249/261	85	299	6	10	40%	8%	40	-2.4	195/273/291	96	312	7	14	36%	9%	57	-1.2	139/211/213	74	271	5	19	47%	8%	9	-1.4
✕Izzy Wilson 2019 · A	21	38→33	42→45	51→55	35	182/239/283	101	310	10	13	43%	7%	40	-2.4	189/256/299	110	324	12	18	42%	8%	51	-1.7	177/246/305	129	273	16	23	39%	8%	46	-1.1
✕Joey Rose 2019 · A	21	36	42→50	51→40	34	172/236/275	102	313	9	4	45%	7%	37	-2.6	185/238/277	92	297	7	5	38%	6%	38	-2.6	150/191/229	78	223	6	2	34%	4%	3	-1.6
✕Carlos Dominguez 2021 · A	21	43→23	42→45	51→50	36	201/283/313	112	310	9	12	35%	5%	68	-0.5	166/239/291	125	334	15	12	52%	5%	44	-2.1	124/203/239	115	271	16	13	57%	5%	13	-1.9
✕Carlos Pacheco 2019 · A	20	34	40→45	45→50	40	171/240/260	88	276	8	9	39%	8%	35	-2.8	188/245/276	88	325	7	9	41%	7%	40	-2.4	155/212/245	90	274	9	10	44%	6%	17	-1.3
✕Tyler Whitaker 2023 · A	20	32→27	41→40	50	28	154/208/246	92	309	10	11	51%	5%	17	-4.0	168/244/250	82	320	7	14	46%	7%	34	-2.8	148/235/233	85	272	6	18	44%	8%	26	-1.5
✕Kadon Morton 2022 · A	21	38→41	37→45	53→55	35	164/239/242	78	335	3	14	48%	8%	30	-3.1	176/246/266	90	340	8	13	47%	7%	39	-2.5	157/229/243	86	303	9	14	48%	7%	23	-2.1
✕Andrew Ray 2012 · A	21	36	38→50	50	35	173/229/245	72	298	6	7	42%	6%	26	-3.4	186/217/303	117	287	11	4	38%	4%	35	-2.8	169/194/297	129	256	13	2	40%	3%	21	-1.3
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	40→24	40	51→55	42	188/270/283	95	293	7	14	35%	8%	54	-1.4	158/251/236	78	308	5	19	45%	9%	35	-2.8	116/220/180	64	246	5	26	49%	10%	6	-2.4
✕Pedro Gonzalez 2019 · A	21	40→28	42→45	49→50	32	188/235/300	112	316	8	10	41%	5%	42	-2.3	175/230/291	116	296	12	9	43%	6%	38	-2.6	142/203/248	106	244	13	9	46%	6%	14	-2.8