Larry Suero

SS DSL Colorado

Age 19 L/R 6'2" / 183 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1621ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKCOL	208	.209/.371/.350	4	9	33	—	.129/.273/.205
2026	18	ROKDSL Colorado	217	.264/.437/.491	8	10	65	—	.162/.319/.277
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBCOL	327	.194/.278/.286	4	6	62	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCOL	56	.210/.294/.326	1	1	68	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBCOL	133	.215/.299/.339	2	3	72	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO89

wOBA85

wRC+80

Speed80

K%51

Chase%44

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsJavier Herrera (age 19) · Carlos Rodriguez (age 19) · Daniel Vellojin (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 115 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .276 / .283

PA115

HR1

K%27

BB%8

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2038	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$2M	+$0.7M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	208	163	34	9	1	4	28	48	14	9	4	209	371	350	720	141	268	23	13	334	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	217	163	43	9	2	8	31	46	19	10	2	264	437	491	927	227	321	21	14	409	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	208	171	22	5	1	2	20	57	14	9	4	129	273	205	478	76	161	27	10	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	217	173	28	6	1	4	21	56	19	10	2	162	319	277	597	116	200	26	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	208	171	22	5	1	2	20	57	14	9	4	129	273	205	478	76	177	27	10	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	208	163	34	9	1	4	28	48	14	9	4	209	371	350	720	141	268	23	13	334	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	217	173	28	6	1	4	21	56	19	10	2	162	319	277	597	116	212	26	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	217	163	43	9	2	8	31	46	19	10	2	264	437	491	927	227	321	21	14	409	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	208	172	22	5	1	2	20	57	14	9	4	128	273	203	477	76	161	27	10	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	217	175	28	6	1	4	21	56	19	10	2	160	319	274	594	114	200	26	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	208	172	22	5	1	2	20	57	14	9	4	128	273	203	477	76	161	27	10	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	217	175	28	6	1	4	21	56	19	10	2	160	319	274	594	114	200	26	10	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	COL	0%	327	290	56	10	2	4	26	87	8	6	1	194	278	286	564	92	260	27	8	260	62	-15	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	COL	34%	164	146	28	5	1	2	13	43	4	3	1	199	284	300	584	101	263	26	8	268	68	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	COL	48%	274	243	49	9	2	4	22	71	7	5	2	204	288	312	600	108	265	26	8	275	72	-9	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	COL	54%	379	335	71	13	3	7	31	97	10	7	2	207	292	321	613	114	268	26	8	280	75	-11	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	COL	57%	447	397	84	15	3	9	36	114	11	9	3	211	294	329	623	118	270	26	8	284	78	-12	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.3
2032	24	MLB MLE	COL	57%	489	434	93	17	3	10	40	123	12	9	3	213	297	335	631	121	272	25	8	287	80	-12	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	COL	57%	515	456	97	18	3	10	42	130	12	10	3	213	297	335	632	122	272	25	8	287	80	-12	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	COL	56%	527	467	100	18	4	11	43	133	12	10	3	213	297	335	631	122	271	25	8	287	80	-12	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.6
2035	27	MLB MLE	COL	55%	530	470	99	18	3	10	43	134	12	10	3	212	296	332	628	120	271	25	8	285	79	-13	+1	+0	+6	+11	0.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	COL	59%	526	466	98	18	3	10	43	134	12	9	3	210	294	328	622	117	270	25	8	283	78	-14	+1	-1	+6	+11	0.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	COL	61%	515	456	94	17	3	9	42	133	12	8	3	208	291	322	613	114	269	26	8	279	75	-15	+0	-1	+6	+11	0.0
2038	30	MLB MLE	COL	62%	502	446	92	17	3	9	40	131	11	7	4	205	288	314	602	109	267	26	8	275	72	-17	-0	-2	+5	+11	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	COL	34%	56	51	11	2	1	1	4	15	1	1	0	210	294	326	620	115	277	27	7	282	68	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	COL	48%	133	118	25	5	1	2	11	35	3	3	1	215	299	339	637	123	280	26	8	289	72	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	COL	54%	206	182	40	7	2	4	17	53	5	4	1	219	302	349	651	130	282	26	8	294	75	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	COL	57%	253	224	49	9	2	5	21	64	6	5	2	223	305	357	662	134	284	25	8	299	78	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2032	24	MLB CTX	COL	57%	276	245	55	10	3	6	22	70	7	5	2	225	308	363	671	138	286	25	8	302	80	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2033	25	MLB CTX	COL	57%	291	258	58	10	3	7	24	73	7	5	2	226	308	364	672	138	286	25	8	302	80	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2034	26	MLB CTX	COL	56%	298	265	60	11	3	7	24	75	7	6	2	225	308	363	671	138	286	25	8	302	80	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2035	27	MLB CTX	COL	55%	294	261	59	10	3	7	24	74	7	5	2	224	307	361	667	136	285	25	8	300	79	-7	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.3
2036	28	MLB CTX	COL	59%	311	276	62	11	3	7	25	79	7	5	2	222	304	355	660	133	284	25	8	298	78	-8	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.2
2037	29	MLB CTX	COL	61%	314	278	61	11	3	6	26	81	7	5	2	220	302	349	650	129	283	26	8	294	75	-9	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.0
2038	30	MLB CTX	COL	62%	312	277	61	11	3	6	25	82	7	4	2	217	298	340	638	124	281	26	8	289	72	-10	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2744	2435	541	97	27	58	223	701	64	48	18	222	304	356	660	133	286	26	8	297	75	-75	+2	-3	+29	+59	1.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	128	23	6	14	53	166	15	11	4	222	304	355	659	133	285	26	8	297	75	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5408	4762	975	180	34	98	445	1387	151	108	37	205	293	319	612	114	265	26	8	278	75	-138	+5	-4	+53	+108	2.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	118	22	4	12	53	167	18	13	4	206	293	322	615	115	268	26	8	278	75	-18	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Colorado · 217 PAwOBA .398 → .264 (−134)K% 21.2% → 25.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	21.20%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	25.86%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.82%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	9.75%
HBP% /PA	8.76%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	6.17%
Singles /BIP	20.51%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.979	×1.008	13.76%
Doubles /BIP	7.69%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.979	×1.008	4.55%
Triples /BIP	1.71%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.979	×1.008	1.01%
Home runs /BIP	6.84%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	3.24%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.979.

Result: wOBA .398 → .264; ISO .227 → .126; BABIP .321 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rockies · 208 PAwOBA .328 → .217 (−111)K% 23.1% → 27.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.08%	÷1.026	×1.220	—	—	27.45%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.46%	÷1.007	×0.700	—	×1.022	9.56%
HBP% /PA	6.73%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	4.82%
Singles /BIP	17.39%	÷1.026	×0.680	×0.954	×1.022	11.24%
Doubles /BIP	7.83%	÷1.107	×0.600	×0.954	×1.022	4.14%
Triples /BIP	0.87%	÷0.900	×0.600	×0.954	×1.022	0.57%
Home runs /BIP	3.48%	÷0.864	×0.470	—	×1.022	1.93%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 105, 2B 121, 3B 80, K 105, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.954.

Result: wOBA .328 → .217; ISO .141 → .082; BABIP .268 → .161. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Ed Brinkman'61-'75 * career totals — 14 seasons, 6,640 PA	10.0	6,640	60	30	229*	284*	330*	+70	+51	6.5	9.2
/162	664	6	3	+7.0	+5.1	0.7	pk7: 12
#4Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.3	2,859	53	50	210	290	326	+31	+21	3.3	3.1
/162	664	12	12	+7.1	+4.9	0.8	pk7: 3
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Larry Suero (OGILVIE)	19	25	35	50	50	192/276/283	91	260	1	2	27%	8%	62	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	38	37→45	47→45	51	180/266/253	73	238	4	6	25%	10%	51	-2.2	200/296/287	87	250	6	8	20%	10%	70	-0.8	188/295/296	108	247	11	6	26%	12%	69	-0.4
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Dario Laverde 2024 · A	19	46→34	37→40	52→30	50	214/292/297	83	279	3	11	23%	9%	70	-0.9	207/268/284	77	295	4	4	29%	7%	57	-1.8	196/254/265	68	282	4	0	30%	6%	45	-1.6
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	41	37→45	51→45	45	196/255/276	80	259	4	6	25%	7%	51	-2.3	211/250/290	79	273	4	8	23%	5%	51	-2.2	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2024 · A	19	39	39→40	51→45	52	184/289/271	87	279	5	10	32%	12%	64	-1.3	183/279/280	97	312	6	8	38%	11%	62	-1.4	181/284/294	113	294	8	6	37%	12%	65	-0.6
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Enderson Delgado 2024 · A	19	32	38→45	44→30	42	160/240/231	71	233	6	5	32%	7%	36	-3.3	187/268/277	90	268	8	4	31%	7%	57	-1.8	177/262/262	85	246	8	2	29%	7%	51	-0.7
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	35→41	36→45	48→40	50	170/265/234	64	247	4	3	30%	10%	47	-2.6	207/288/311	104	312	11	4	34%	10%	72	-0.7	205/285/317	112	311	13	2	36%	9%	70	-0.6
✕Enmanuel Terrero 2022 · A	19	41	35→45	46→55	56	189/281/251	62	237	3	9	20%	11%	56	-1.9	216/292/302	86	304	6	14	28%	9%	71	-0.8	210/285/301	91	316	8	17	33%	9%	65	-0.5
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2024 · A	19	40→43	40→45	50→60	54	191/279/282	92	228	7	12	19%	10%	62	-1.4	201/284/307	106	276	10	23	29%	9%	70	-0.8	195/276/301	106	276	11	32	31%	9%	63	-0.9
✕Edwin Sanchez 2024 · A	19	37	39→40	47→50	53	179/286/263	84	239	7	8	26%	11%	62	-1.4	187/321/279	92	246	7	9	24%	13%	80	-0.2	153/326/245	92	196	8	11	22%	16%	76	-0.1
✕Elis Cuevas 2024 · A	19	41	37→40	51→65	45	195/270/275	80	270	3	14	27%	8%	57	-1.8	199/275/294	95	266	9	32	27%	7%	63	-1.3	188/268/283	95	252	12	43	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Vladi Gomez 2024 · A	18	34	38→30	55→65	49	165/258/243	77	232	5	14	29%	10%	47	-2.6	177/267/241	64	248	3	28	27%	10%	49	-2.4	170/262/223	53	238	2	43	27%	10%	41	-1.0
✕Francisco Arcia 2009 · A	19	38	39→40	47→40	46	185/263/273	88	233	6	6	22%	7%	55	-2.0	208/268/294	86	264	6	5	22%	7%	60	-1.6	226/272/288	62	281	5	2	21%	4%	57	-0.7
✕Carlos Cauro 2024 · A	19	40	40	46→45	49	193/286/282	89	274	7	4	30%	10%	65	-1.2	204/280/311	107	300	11	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	198/280/293	95	285	12	5	32%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Freizer Pedron 2006 · A	19	40	37→30	46→55	41	195/250/265	70	268	5	12	28%	6%	47	-2.6	203/268/268	65	260	2	15	21%	7%	54	-2.0	203/274/262	60	249	1	23	17%	7%	53	-0.6
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2

Larry Suero

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps