Elis Cuevas — OGILVIE

Elis CuevasSS Frederick Keys

Age 21 L/R 5'11" / 150 lbs A+ HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION205 act + 136 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .280 / .332

PA136

HR3

SB10

K%31

BB%6

BABIP292

ISO121

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$6M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$6M	+$6M
2033	Arb-1	$2M	+1.1	$5M	+$4M
2034	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.5M
2035	Arb-3	$4M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$8M		$28M	+$23M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL BAL Black	—	124	108	19	4	1	1	13	49	3	3	3	176	282	259	542	83	310	40	10	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL BAL Black	—	124	98	26	5	1	1	22	32	3	3	3	265	411	367	779	102	385	26	18	362	135	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	217	198	41	10	3	2	12	67	7	17	5	207	276	318	595	111	302	31	6	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	217	187	57	14	4	2	23	41	7	17	5	305	401	455	855	150	382	19	11	384	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	276	238	51	6	1	7	23	57	11	47	12	214	312	336	649	122	249	21	8	279	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	276	223	58	7	1	8	35	43	11	47	12	260	382	408	790	148	286	16	13	354	129	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	327	290	53	7	1	4	26	99	8	35	5	183	269	255	524	72	261	30	8	233	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	2 teams	—	327	276	60	8	1	4	39	72	8	35	5	217	330	297	627	80	279	22	12	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	BAL	—	205	185	38	5	2	5	7	74	10	23	8	205	272	335	607	130	306	36	3	263	59	-9	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.0
YTD	21	A+	BAL	—	205	181	47	7	2	7	11	55	10	23	8	260	337	436	773	177	331	27	5	341	119	+4	+1	+0	+2	+6	1.4
ROS	21	A+	BAL	0%	136	123	26	4	1	3	8	43	4	10	3	210	280	332	612	121	282	31	6	264	61	-6	+1	+0	+1	+4	0.0
ROS	21	MLB	BAL	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						286	0	0	245	45	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	BAL	—	206	186	38	5	2	5	7	74	10	23	8	204	271	333	604	129	303	36	3	263	59	-9	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.0
TOT	21	A+	BAL	—	341	308	64	9	3	8	15	117	14	33	11	207	275	334	609	126	300	34	4	264	60	-15	+2	+0	+4	+10	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	BAL	35%	383	345	71	11	2	8	25	115	10	19	5	206	279	319	598	113	283	30	7	275	69	-13	+2	+0	+4	+11	0.3
2028	23	MLB	BAL	49%	451	407	87	14	2	11	30	131	11	20	6	214	286	339	625	125	284	29	7	284	75	-13	+2	+0	+5	+13	0.7
2029	24	MLB	BAL	53%	497	447	98	16	3	13	35	141	12	20	6	219	294	356	649	136	286	28	7	289	80	-11	+2	+0	+5	+14	1.0
2030	25	MLB	BAL	55%	521	466	103	16	3	14	37	147	13	19	5	221	297	358	655	137	286	28	7	292	82	-11	+2	+0	+6	+15	1.2
2031	26	MLB	BAL	56%	534	478	105	17	3	14	38	150	13	18	5	220	295	356	651	136	286	28	7	293	83	-11	+2	+0	+6	+15	1.2
2032	27	MLB	BAL	55%	538	481	106	17	3	14	39	152	13	17	5	220	296	356	652	135	286	28	7	293	83	-11	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.2
2033	28	MLB	BAL	55%	535	478	105	17	3	14	39	152	13	16	4	220	296	356	652	136	285	28	7	292	82	-11	+2	-1	+6	+15	1.1
2034	29	MLB	BAL	53%	527	470	103	16	3	14	39	150	13	14	4	219	297	355	652	136	285	28	7	291	81	-12	+1	-1	+6	+15	0.9
2035	30	MLB	BAL	53%	517	461	99	16	2	13	38	149	13	13	3	215	293	343	636	128	284	29	7	288	79	-12	+1	-2	+6	+15	0.7
2036	31	MLB	BAL	52%	503	449	95	15	2	12	37	146	12	11	3	212	289	334	623	122	281	29	7	284	76	-14	+1	-3	+5	+14	0.4
2037	32	MLB	BAL	56%	485	434	90	14	2	11	36	143	12	9	3	207	286	325	611	118	279	29	7	279	72	-15	+1	-4	+5	+14	0.1
2038	33	MLB	BAL	59%	456	409	82	12	2	10	33	137	11	8	2	200	278	313	591	112	275	30	7	273	67	-17	+1	-4	+5	+13	-0.3
2027	22	MLB	BAL	35%	132	118	26	4	1	3	9	40	4	7	2	220	298	347	645	127	287	30	7	260	57	-6	+1	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	BAL	49%	219	196	42	7	1	5	15	64	6	10	3	214	290	337	627	122	288	29	7	269	64	-9	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.0
2029	24	MLB	BAL	53%	262	236	51	8	1	7	18	75	6	11	3	216	288	347	636	131	290	29	7	275	69	-9	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2030	25	MLB	BAL	55%	285	256	56	9	1	8	20	80	7	11	3	219	293	355	649	137	290	28	7	279	71	-9	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2031	26	MLB	BAL	56%	297	267	60	10	2	8	21	84	7	10	3	225	298	367	665	142	290	28	7	280	72	-9	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2032	27	MLB	BAL	55%	296	265	59	10	1	8	22	84	7	10	3	223	299	358	658	136	290	28	7	280	72	-9	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2033	28	MLB	BAL	55%	292	262	57	9	1	8	21	83	7	9	2	218	293	351	644	134	290	28	7	279	72	-9	+1	-0	+3	+8	0.3
2034	29	MLB	BAL	53%	281	251	56	9	1	8	21	80	7	8	2	223	301	363	664	139	289	28	7	277	70	-9	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.2
2035	30	MLB	BAL	53%	272	243	53	9	1	7	20	78	7	7	2	218	296	350	646	132	288	29	7	275	68	-10	+1	-1	+3	+8	0.0
2036	31	MLB	BAL	52%	262	235	51	8	1	7	19	76	6	6	2	217	292	349	641	132	286	29	7	271	65	-10	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.1
2037	32	MLB	BAL	56%	272	244	52	8	1	7	20	80	6	5	1	213	289	340	629	127	283	29	7	266	62	-12	+1	-2	+3	+8	-0.3
2038	33	MLB	BAL	59%	269	241	50	8	1	6	20	81	6	5	1	207	285	324	608	116	279	30	7	260	57	-13	+1	-2	+3	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3140	2815	613	99	13	82	226	905	76	99	27	218	294	350	643	132	289	29	7	273	67	-116	+9	-8	+34	+89	0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	127	20	3	17	47	187	16	20	6	218	294	350	644	132	289	29	7	273	67	-24	+2	-2	+7	+18	0.1
Career	—			—	7027	6282	1334	212	37	165	508	2028	179	296	79	212	290	337	627	124	283	29	7	282	74	-207	+28	-15	+75	+199	8.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	123	20	3	15	47	188	17	27	7	212	290	334	624	122	283	29	7	282	74	-19	+3	-1	+7	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL BAL Black	—	124	98	26	5	1	1	22	32	3	3	3	265	411	367	779	102	385	26	18	362	135	+5	-1	—	—	+4	0.8
2023	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	217	187	57	14	4	2	23	41	7	17	5	305	401	455	855	150	382	19	11	384	152	+13	+1	—	—	+6	2.1
2024	19	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	81	64	15	2	0	2	14	18	2	14	5	234	388	359	747	125	289	22	17	345	122	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2024	19	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	195	159	43	5	1	6	21	25	9	33	7	270	380	428	808	157	285	13	11	358	132	+7	+4	—	—	+6	1.7
2025	20	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	117	97	19	3	1	1	15	33	2	16	2	196	313	278	591	82	281	28	13	275	68	-4	+2	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	210	179	41	5	0	3	24	39	6	19	3	229	340	307	647	78	277	19	11	303	90	-2	+3	—	—	+6	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Leonys Martinlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,784 PA	8	2,784	58	126	243	301	366	+10	+53	10.7	10.8
	/162	664	14	30	243	301	366	+2.4	+12.6	2.6	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	6	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
	/162	664	8	8	244	299	357	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	3,142	79	96	216	289	346	+34	+18	4.7	4.3
	/162	664	17	20	216	289	346	+7.1	+3.8	1.0	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elis Cuevas (OGILVIE)	21	40	25	60	45	207/275/334	126	300	8	33	34%	4%	60	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A	21	45	35→30	54→60	52	209/291/266	57	279	3	25	24%	10%	58	-1.2	222/308/290	68	293	2	20	22%	10%	71	-0.3	235/336/301	66	302	0	28	19%	12%	85	+0.3
✕Fadriel Cruz 2022 · A	21	43	39→30	57→55	49	204/279/291	87	278	5	25	27%	9%	59	-1.1	193/273/280	87	299	7	17	34%	9%	54	-1.4	166/250/233	67	258	8	19	36%	9%	30	-1.2
✕Ciro Rosero 2007 · A	21	46	38→30	53→60	43	221/279/298	77	284	6	25	24%	6%	60	-1.0	215/273/303	88	291	8	16	27%	6%	59	-1.1	193/247/281	88	236	13	19	24%	5%	39	-0.6
✕Jean Ramirez 2023 · A	22	42→49	41→40	56→65	43	206/268/297	91	286	8	31	30%	7%	56	-1.3	209/269/280	71	310	6	23	32%	7%	51	-1.7	201/265/253	52	304	5	24	33%	8%	39	-1.3
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→49	39→45	60→55	46	193/267/285	92	274	5	17	29%	8%	53	-1.5	216/290/303	87	291	6	17	26%	9%	67	-0.5	227/314/325	98	300	8	17	25%	10%	79	+0.2
●Rey Fuentes 2012 · A	21	46→56	38→40	57→60	37	217/261/293	76	308	5	26	30%	5%	50	-1.7	235/286/326	91	327	7	28	28%	6%	70	-0.3	274/321/368	94	353	8	33	23%	5%	91	+0.8
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	50	-1.7	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	61	-1.0	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Ty Morrison 2011 · A	21	45→51	40	64→55	38	209/266/311	102	319	6	28	34%	6%	58	-1.2	229/277/309	80	325	3	22	29%	5%	62	-0.9	241/288/311	69	331	1	23	26%	4%	62	-0.7
✕Jay Allen II 2023 · A	20	43→40	40	59→55	45	204/296/300	96	298	7	32	31%	8%	70	-0.3	186/279/271	85	278	7	28	33%	8%	56	-1.3	192/275/286	94	267	10	24	30%	7%	55	-1.0
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2017 · A	21	44	38→45	58→65	42	203/276/285	82	317	4	20	34%	8%	56	-1.3	199/259/296	97	325	8	29	38%	7%	52	-1.6	227/303/343	115	312	13	52	29%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Yhoswar Garcia 2023 · A	21	41	38→30	62→70	39	194/261/276	82	302	5	38	35%	7%	47	-1.9	201/252/267	66	276	3	38	27%	5%	40	-2.4	195/242/247	52	259	1	51	24%	5%	28	-1.5
●Mallex Smith 2014 · A	21	47→57	37→45	58→65	48	221/294/290	68	289	5	34	24%	8%	65	-0.7	255/319/349	94	335	6	44	23%	8%	90	+1.0	270/333/370	100	351	5	52	23%	8%	97	+1.1
✕Zac Veen 2023 · AA	21	42→49	41→50	57→60	41	198/266/293	95	305	8	31	36%	8%	54	-1.4	198/259/311	113	281	11	30	32%	7%	56	-1.3	211/268/364	153	281	17	23	30%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Roberto Caro 2015 · A	21	45→38	38→40	63→60	49	212/292/308	96	281	3	21	24%	9%	69	-0.4	201/272/280	79	302	2	16	31%	8%	53	-1.5	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Roman Quinn 2014 · A	21	44→53	45	56→65	41	219/275/335	116	290	13	26	29%	6%	69	-0.4	241/299/341	100	325	9	33	27%	7%	80	+0.4	244/301/381	137	331	12	48	28%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Geraldo Quintero 2023 · A	21	46→50	41→40	56→60	46	222/287/330	108	287	6	20	24%	7%	72	-0.2	217/282/308	91	288	7	26	25%	7%	65	-0.7	206/276/294	89	271	8	32	26%	7%	55	-0.9
✕Tito Polo 2016 · A	21	43→50	38→45	56→60	40	207/261/291	84	276	5	26	26%	5%	51	-1.7	223/277/331	108	297	10	27	27%	5%	68	-0.5	225/280/337	113	299	11	32	28%	5%	68	-0.3
✕Eric Brown Jr. 2023 · A	22	45→33	43→40	58→65	45	218/293/335	117	292	10	27	28%	8%	77	+0.1	191/260/272	81	254	7	28	26%	7%	46	-2.0	158/229/228	70	213	6	17	28%	7%	19	-1.6
✕Marcus Sanders 2007 · A	21	46→55	36→30	59→60	48	217/288/285	68	291	3	31	25%	8%	61	-1.0	220/289/292	72	293	3	23	24%	8%	63	-0.8	228/303/293	65	301	0	28	22%	9%	66	-0.4
✕Dalton Pompey 2014 · A	21	44→54	40→45	57→55	44	209/274/306	96	292	6	21	29%	8%	60	-1.0	250/307/354	104	326	7	26	24%	7%	86	+0.8	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7