Reidy Mercado — OGILVIE

Reidy MercadoCF Carolina Mudcats

Age 25 S/R 5'11" / 153 lbs A BB +10%HR +7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .262 / .303

PA81

HR1

K%31

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.0peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.7M		$-20M	-$20M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$20M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Indians/Brewers	216	203	27	1	0	0	11	75	2	18	7	.133	.185	.138	.323	.005	.211	35	5	.156	-22	-30	+1	+0	+1	+6	-2.3
2019	18	ROK	AZL Brewers Blue	277	254	53	3	4	2	16	62	4	43	14	.209	.266	.276	.542	.067	.264	22	6	.239	41	-18	+3	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
2021	20	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	144	133	23	2	2	1	9	55	2	12	2	.173	.236	.241	.477	.068	.286	38	6	.207	17	-14	+2	+0	+1	+4	-0.8
2022	21	ROK	2 teams	169	157	27	2	0	0	10	59	1	12	2	.172	.226	.185	.411	.013	.276	35	6	.191	4	-18	+2	+0	+1	+5	-1.1
2023	22	A	2 teams	136	129	24	3	2	0	6	50	0	14	3	.186	.222	.240	.463	.054	.300	37	4	.200	12	-14	+2	+0	+0	+4	-0.8
2024	23	A	Carolina Mudcats	164	151	24	2	1	1	10	64	1	20	3	.159	.216	.205	.421	.046	.267	39	6	.188	2	-18	+3	+0	+1	+5	-1.0
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	MIL	81	74	14	3	0	1	6	25	1	2	0	.189	.259	.270	.530	.081	.281	31	7	.258	55	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB 10%	MIL	130	119	25	4	1	3	9	40	1	3	1	.210	.271	.336	.607	.126	.284	31	7	.270	65	-5	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.1
2028	27	MLB 25%	MIL	221	200	43	8	1	5	17	66	2	5	1	.215	.283	.340	.623	.125	.285	30	8	.274	68	-8	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.0
2029	28	MLB 36%	MIL	284	257	55	10	2	6	22	85	3	5	1	.214	.284	.339	.622	.125	.285	30	8	.276	69	-10	+1	-1	+1	+8	-0.1
2030	29	MLB 46%	MIL	319	288	61	11	2	7	25	95	3	6	1	.212	.282	.337	.618	.125	.284	30	8	.275	68	-11	+1	-1	+1	+9	-0.2
2031	30	MLB 55%	MIL	342	310	65	12	2	7	26	103	3	5	1	.210	.277	.329	.606	.119	.283	30	8	.272	66	-13	+1	-2	+1	+10	-0.4
2032	31	MLB 66%	MIL	342	310	64	12	2	7	26	105	3	4	0	.206	.274	.326	.600	.119	.281	31	8	.268	63	-14	+1	-3	+1	+10	-0.5
2033	32	MLB 83%	MIL	334	302	61	11	2	6	26	104	3	2	0	.202	.272	.311	.583	.109	.280	31	8	.263	60	-15	+0	-4	+1	+9	-0.8
2034	33	MLB	MIL	310	280	57	10	2	6	24	99	3	1	0	.204	.274	.318	.591	.114	.278	32	8	.258	56	-16	+0	-4	+1	+9	-1.0
2035	34	MLB	MIL	270	246	46	8	1	4	20	88	2	0	0	.187	.254	.276	.530	.089	.276	33	7	.252	51	-15	+0	-5	+1	+8	-1.2
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			3739	3413	669	102	24	56	263	1175	34	152	36	.196	.260	.289	.550	.093	.279	31	7	.247	47	-224	+16	-20	+13	+106	-11.0
/ 162G	—			650	593	117	18	4	10	46	204	6	26	6	.197	.262	.292	.554	.094	.280	31	7	.247	47	-39	+3	-3	+2	+18	-1.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	17	ROK	DSL Indians/Brewers	216	196	38	2	0	0	18	52	2	18	7	.194	.269	.204	.473	.010	.264	24	8	.228	32	-16	+1	—	—	+6	-1.0
2019	18	ROK	AZL Brewers Blue	277	244	71	5	6	2	26	43	4	43	14	.291	.369	.385	.754	.094	.342	16	9	.339	117	+5	+3	—	—	+8	1.7
2021	20	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	144	129	32	3	3	1	13	39	2	12	2	.248	.326	.341	.667	.093	.348	27	9	.305	92	-1	+2	—	—	+4	0.4
2022	21	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	73	71	17	0	0	0	1	21	0	4	0	.239	.250	.239	.489	.000	.340	29	1	.220	27	-6	+1	—	—	+2	-0.3
2022	21	ROK	ACL Brewers Blue	96	81	20	4	0	0	14	22	1	8	2	.247	.365	.296	.661	.049	.339	23	15	.314	98	-0	+1	—	—	+3	0.3
2023	22	A	Carolina Mudcats	71	68	11	4	0	0	3	22	0	8	2	.162	.197	.221	.418	.059	.239	31	4	.191	4	-8	+1	—	—	+2	-0.5
2023	22	ROK	ACL Brewers	65	58	20	1	2	0	6	12	0	6	1	.345	.406	.431	.837	.086	.426	18	9	.371	142	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.6
2024	23	A	Carolina Mudcats	164	146	30	3	1	1	15	46	1	20	3	.205	.284	.260	.544	.055	.293	28	9	.252	51	-9	+3	—	—	+5	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Reidy Mercado (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	.199/.262/.303	.104	.281	1	2	31%	7%	55	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chase Simpson 2017 · A	25	39→36	44→50	51→45	44	.196/.264/.315	.120	.274	10	6	31%	8%	59	-1.1	.194/.252/.311	.117	.289	11	7	35%	7%	53	-1.5	.129/.170/.236	.107	.192	13	3	41%	4%	-4	-1.2
✕Jackson Cluff 2021 · A	24	40→29	42→45	51→55	40	.197/.258/.305	.108	.275	10	12	31%	6%	54	-1.4	.182/.252/.277	.095	.281	8	12	36%	6%	45	-2.1	.181/.273/.314	.132	.266	14	28	35%	10%	61	-0.6
✕Hutton Moyer 2018 · AA	25	41→42	45→50	52→50	36	.206/.257/.333	.128	.294	13	13	34%	5%	61	-1.0	.203/.250/.330	.127	.320	14	16	39%	5%	56	-1.3	.157/.192/.303	.146	.247	21	22	46%	4%	24	-0.9
✕Jose Sermo 2016 · A	25	42→36	41→55	46→50	36	.201/.249/.296	.095	.314	8	10	37%	6%	47	-1.9	.209/.251/.349	.140	.349	15	11	42%	5%	63	-0.9	.193/.233/.342	.149	.329	17	11	45%	5%	53	-0.8
✕Skye Bolt 2019 · AA	25	40→39	46→50	50	41	.201/.262/.333	.132	.280	13	11	32%	7%	63	-0.9	.212/.276/.351	.139	.302	14	12	33%	8%	73	-0.1	.234/.302/.369	.135	.310	15	12	28%	8%	86	+0.3
✕Patrick Dorrian 2021 · A	25	42→37	43→55	51→45	41	.206/.260/.322	.117	.290	9	6	31%	6%	59	-1.1	.198/.265/.350	.152	.297	18	6	37%	8%	69	-0.4	.189/.258/.354	.165	.275	22	5	38%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	38	43→40	50	47	.190/.271/.298	.108	.259	11	13	30%	9%	59	-1.1	.198/.292/.298	.100	.275	9	11	29%	10%	68	-0.5	.183/.296/.269	.086	.255	8	11	28%	12%	59	-0.7
✕J.T. Arruda 2023 · A	25	42	40	55	45	.202/.273/.300	.097	.294	7	17	32%	9%	58	-1.2	.204/.277/.294	.090	.295	7	20	30%	9%	59	-1.1	.199/.271/.284	.086	.280	7	23	29%	8%	51	-1.1
✕Andrés Alvarez 2022 · A	25	44→31	42→45	51→50	42	.214/.274/.320	.106	.298	10	14	30%	7%	64	-0.8	.198/.268/.326	.128	.287	15	15	34%	8%	64	-0.8	.185/.257/.304	.120	.263	14	13	34%	8%	51	-1.0
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	37	39→40	49→50	44	.183/.260/.264	.081	.271	8	14	33%	9%	45	-2.1	.205/.286/.296	.091	.292	7	13	29%	9%	63	-0.8	.211/.301/.305	.094	.293	5	13	27%	10%	72	-0.1
✕Kaden Polcovich 2023 · AA	24	39	46→45	54→55	45	.199/.281/.326	.127	.271	13	16	30%	8%	69	-0.4	.195/.278/.310	.115	.276	11	18	31%	9%	65	-0.7	.167/.262/.269	.102	.243	9	23	32%	10%	46	-0.8
✕Jonny Butler 2023 · A	24	43→33	40→50	53→55	43	.207/.267/.303	.095	.296	7	10	31%	8%	56	-1.3	.193/.264/.310	.117	.267	10	17	30%	8%	58	-1.2	.175/.253/.291	.117	.236	10	18	29%	8%	46	-1.1
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	39	41→45	48→30	44	.192/.259/.283	.091	.263	8	6	29%	8%	49	-1.8	.208/.276/.329	.121	.293	14	3	32%	8%	68	-0.5	.201/.273/.323	.122	.280	15	1	32%	9%	62	-0.5
✕Sheldon Fulse 2007 · AA	25	40	41→45	51→60	41	.195/.255/.298	.103	.280	8	20	32%	7%	50	-1.7	.226/.296/.334	.108	.338	9	21	33%	9%	77	+0.1	.232/.310/.333	.101	.354	8	29	33%	10%	79	+0.1
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	34→29	46→45	49→50	44	.182/.254/.300	.117	.244	15	18	31%	8%	52	-1.6	.203/.279/.317	.114	.274	13	12	29%	9%	66	-0.6	.204/.281/.310	.106	.271	11	8	28%	9%	64	-0.4
✕Joe Suozzi 2023 · A	25	40	44→45	53→50	33	.192/.259/.306	.114	.322	12	14	42%	6%	56	-1.3	.212/.281/.310	.098	.332	10	10	37%	7%	65	-0.7	.228/.297/.311	.083	.342	9	8	33%	7%	69	-0.3
✕Myles Schroder 2013 · A	25	42→46	39→45	50	37	.201/.248/.292	.090	.290	6	10	32%	5%	45	-2.1	.224/.268/.336	.112	.305	9	12	28%	4%	65	-0.7	.226/.268/.335	.109	.299	10	14	27%	4%	62	-0.5
✕Parker Bates 2023 · A	25	40	44→50	50	42	.200/.267/.322	.122	.274	11	12	30%	7%	63	-0.9	.193/.255/.276	.083	.270	7	12	29%	7%	45	-2.1	.170/.231/.215	.045	.239	3	12	28%	6%	17	-2.2
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	37	42→55	52→40	39	.188/.235/.290	.102	.252	10	7	29%	5%	40	-2.4	.209/.253/.332	.123	.291	13	5	32%	5%	59	-1.1	.191/.236/.303	.112	.269	12	1	33%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	39→33	44→45	48→45	42	.196/.263/.315	.118	.271	12	9	31%	7%	59	-1.1	.204/.262/.318	.114	.295	12	7	33%	7%	59	-1.1	.195/.242/.316	.121	.282	13	0	35%	5%	50	-0.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)