Jay Austin
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 21 | ALexington Leg… | 59 | .255/.356/.314 | 0 | 5 | 74 | — | .241/.305/.296 |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 646 | .329/.386/.484 | 16 | 44 | 106 | — | .287/.324/.402 |
| 2020 | 29 | INTLMayos de Navo… | 61 | .182/.250/.218 | 0 | 1 | 35 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 17 | ROK | Greeneville Astros | — | 235 | 212 | 42 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 69 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 198 | 277 | 236 | 512 | 38 | 294 | 29 | 8 | 243 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 435 | 397 | 106 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 31 | 78 | 0 | 23 | 13 | 267 | 320 | 360 | 680 | 93 | 330 | 18 | 7 | 302 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 587 | 532 | 139 | 25 | 13 | 10 | 39 | 126 | 3 | 54 | 20 | 261 | 315 | 414 | 729 | 152 | 323 | 21 | 7 | 316 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | INTL | Peoria Javelinas | — | 52 | 45 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 156 | 269 | 156 | 425 | 194 | 17 | 13 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 350 | 315 | 81 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 73 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 257 | 322 | 365 | 687 | 108 | 321 | 21 | 8 | 306 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 144 | 123 | 25 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 32 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 203 | 305 | 260 | 565 | 57 | 269 | 22 | 9 | 264 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | INTL | Salt River Rafters | — | 52 | 45 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 311 | 392 | 444 | 837 | 133 | 378 | 17 | 12 | 367 | 134 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A | Lexington Legends | — | 59 | 51 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 255 | 356 | 314 | 670 | 59 | 277 | 7 | 12 | 313 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA | Piratas de Campeche | — | 485 | 434 | 143 | 23 | 3 | 15 | 39 | 54 | 2 | 31 | 8 | 329 | 387 | 500 | 887 | 171 | 347 | 11 | 8 | 385 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | INTL | Tigres de Aragua | — | 161 | 146 | 48 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 20 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 329 | 384 | 438 | 822 | 110 | 373 | 12 | 7 | 363 | 132 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 29 | INTL | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 61 | 55 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 182 | 250 | 218 | 468 | 36 | 213 | 15 | 5 | 219 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2008 | 17 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 235 | 219 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 98 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 146 | 204 | 169 | 373 | 23 | 260 | 42 | 5 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 435 | 407 | 101 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 104 | 0 | 23 | 13 | 248 | 285 | 332 | 617 | 84 | 326 | 24 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 587 | 540 | 117 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 178 | 3 | 54 | 20 | 217 | 263 | 335 | 598 | 119 | 292 | 30 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 350 | 324 | 70 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 102 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 216 | 264 | 299 | 563 | 83 | 292 | 29 | 6 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 144 | 127 | 22 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 43 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 173 | 255 | 220 | 476 | 47 | 244 | 30 | 6 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 59 | 54 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 241 | 305 | 296 | 601 | 56 | 270 | 8 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | Piratas de Campeche | — | 485 | 450 | 129 | 19 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 61 | 2 | 31 | 8 | 287 | 324 | 402 | 726 | 116 | 303 | 13 | 5 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 235 | 219 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 98 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 146 | 204 | 169 | 373 | 23 | 264 | 42 | 5 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | ROK RAW | Greeneville Astros | — | 235 | 212 | 42 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 69 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 198 | 277 | 236 | 512 | 38 | 294 | 29 | 8 | 243 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 435 | 407 | 101 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 104 | 0 | 23 | 13 | 248 | 285 | 332 | 617 | 84 | 331 | 24 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | A RAW | Lexington Legends | — | 435 | 397 | 106 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 31 | 78 | 0 | 23 | 13 | 267 | 320 | 360 | 680 | 93 | 330 | 18 | 7 | 302 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 639 | 589 | 127 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 34 | 194 | 3 | 56 | 24 | 216 | 262 | 331 | 593 | 115 | 303 | 30 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 639 | 577 | 146 | 25 | 13 | 10 | 46 | 135 | 3 | 56 | 24 | 253 | 312 | 393 | 705 | 140 | 313 | 21 | 7 | 308 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 546 | 499 | 101 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 160 | 6 | 27 | 14 | 202 | 259 | 273 | 531 | 70 | 286 | 29 | 6 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 546 | 483 | 120 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 48 | 114 | 6 | 27 | 14 | 248 | 324 | 346 | 670 | 97 | 314 | 21 | 9 | 301 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 59 | 54 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 241 | 305 | 296 | 601 | 56 | 265 | 8 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A RAW | Lexington Legends | — | 59 | 51 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 255 | 356 | 314 | 670 | 59 | 277 | 7 | 12 | 313 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 646 | 601 | 172 | 26 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 81 | 3 | 44 | 14 | 286 | 323 | 403 | 726 | 116 | 312 | 13 | 5 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 646 | 580 | 191 | 28 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 74 | 3 | 44 | 14 | 329 | 386 | 484 | 871 | 155 | 354 | 11 | 8 | 379 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 29 | INTL MLE | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 61 | 55 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 182 | 250 | 218 | 468 | 36 | 213 | 15 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 29 | INTL RAW | Mayos de Navojoa | — | 61 | 55 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 182 | 250 | 218 | 468 | 36 | 213 | 15 | 5 | 219 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 17 | ROK MLE | Greeneville Astros | — | 235 | 217 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 98 | 4 | 14 | 6 | 147 | 204 | 171 | 375 | 23 | 260 | 42 | 5 | 172 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 18 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 435 | 411 | 101 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 104 | 0 | 23 | 13 | 246 | 285 | 328 | 614 | 83 | 326 | 24 | 5 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 19 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 639 | 597 | 127 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 34 | 194 | 3 | 56 | 24 | 213 | 262 | 327 | 589 | 114 | 292 | 30 | 5 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 20 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 546 | 503 | 101 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 160 | 6 | 27 | 14 | 201 | 259 | 270 | 529 | 70 | 278 | 29 | 6 | 237 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 21 | A MLE | Lexington Legends | — | 59 | 54 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 241 | 305 | 296 | 601 | 56 | 270 | 8 | 7 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 646 | 608 | 172 | 26 | 4 | 12 | 30 | 81 | 3 | 44 | 14 | 283 | 323 | 398 | 721 | 115 | 303 | 13 | 5 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2621 | 2424 | 556 | 92 | 25 | 25 | 136 | 651 | 19 | 170 | 72 | 229 | 276 | 319 | 595 | 90 | 301 | 25 | 5 | 255 | 58 | -130 | +5 | +0 | -16 | +57 | -8.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 601 | 138 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 161 | 5 | 42 | 18 | 230 | 277 | 318 | 594 | 88 | 301 | 25 | 5 | 255 | 58 | -32 | +1 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAAPiratas de Campeche · 485 PAwOBA .375 → .313 (−61)K% 11.1% → 12.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.13% | ÷1.071 | ×1.200 | — | — | 12.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.22% | ÷1.033 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.982 | 4.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.41% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.982 | 0.38% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.84% | ÷0.954 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 24.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.05% | ÷0.971 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 4.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.982 | 0.69% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.95% | ÷1.196 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.982 | 2.27% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 139, 1B 91, 2B 94, 3B 97, K 114, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .375 → .313; ISO .171 → .120; BABIP .347 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ALexington Legends · 59 PAwOBA .299 → .277 (−23)K% 6.8% → 8.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.78% | ÷1.046 | ×1.340 | — | — | 8.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.17% | ÷1.016 | ×0.660 | — | — | 6.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.69% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 1.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.40% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | — | 22.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.13% | ÷0.998 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | — | 1.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.13% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | — | 2.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.064 | ×0.820 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 98, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 109, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .299 → .277; ISO .059 → .063; BABIP .277 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 350 PAwOBA .302 → .246 (−56)K% 20.9% → 29.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.86% | ÷0.960 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.29% | ÷1.063 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 5.69% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.29% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 0.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.55% | ÷1.006 | ×0.910 | ×1.038 | ×1.027 | 22.72% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.02% | ÷1.132 | ×0.820 | ×1.038 | ×1.027 | 5.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.65% | ÷1.100 | ×0.760 | ×1.038 | ×1.027 | 1.22% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.24% | ÷0.957 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 1.22% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 101, 2B 126, 3B 120, K 92, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.038.
Result: wOBA .302 → .246; ISO .108 → .083; BABIP .321 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 ALexington Legends · 144 PAwOBA .262 → .214 (−47)K% 22.2% → 29.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.22% | ÷0.998 | ×1.340 | — | — | 29.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.03% | ÷0.996 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 6.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.47% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 2.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.78% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×0.989 | ×1.015 | 18.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷0.939 | ×0.820 | ×0.989 | ×1.015 | 6.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.034 | ×0.940 | ×0.989 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.002 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 101, 2B 88, 3B 107, K 100, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.989.
Result: wOBA .262 → .214; ISO .057 → .048; BABIP .269 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 587 PAwOBA .309 → .255 (−54)K% 21.5% → 30.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.47% | ÷0.945 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.64% | ÷0.932 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 5.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.51% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 0.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.41% | ÷1.051 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 21.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.16% | ÷1.077 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 5.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.20% | ÷1.094 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×1.042 | 2.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.46% | ÷1.017 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.042 | 2.32% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 110, 2B 115, 3B 119, K 89, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .309 → .255; ISO .152 → .120; BABIP .323 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 ALexington Legends · 435 PAwOBA .293 → .267 (−27)K% 17.9% → 24.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.93% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 24.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.045 | 4.76% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.045 | 24.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×1.045 | 6.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×1.045 | 1.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.31% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.045 | 0.27% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .293 → .267; ISO .093 → .085; BABIP .330 → .326. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 ROKGreeneville Astros · 235 PAwOBA .237 → .172 (−65)K% 29.4% → 41.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.36% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 41.69% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.09% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×1.022 | 5.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.70% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×1.022 | 1.29% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 22.70% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 2.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×1.050 | ×1.022 | 1.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .237 → .172; ISO .038 → .025; BABIP .294 → .260. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .