Edwin Sanchez — OGILVIE

Edwin SanchezRF DSL LAD Bautista

Age 21 R/R 6'3" / 180 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 179 proj PA

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.207 / .311 / .321

PA179

HR3

K%25

BB%11

ISO115

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER45

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2035	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.2M
2036	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	167	141	23	4	0	4	17	53	6	3	3	163	280	277	557	113	218	32	10	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	167	128	30	7	0	5	30	35	6	3	3	234	402	406	809	172	275	21	18	365	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	168	141	23	6	0	2	17	50	8	7	1	163	289	248	537	85	233	30	10	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	168	128	30	8	0	4	30	33	8	7	1	234	410	391	800	156	283	20	18	367	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	187	149	34	10	0	3	21	53	14	4	2	228	375	356	731	128	323	28	11	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	187	133	40	12	0	4	37	36	14	4	2	301	495	481	976	180	375	19	20	436	192	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	210	162	25	7	0	5	36	52	9	12	4	154	338	290	628	136	185	25	17	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	210	137	32	10	0	6	61	37	9	12	4	234	493	438	931	204	268	18	29	424	182	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	21	MLB	LAD	—	179	153	33	7	1	3	20	45	4	3	1	216	322	333	655	118	271	25	11	293	82	-4	+0	+0	-2	+5	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	LAD	34%	249	215	46	9	1	5	27	62	5	5	1	214	316	335	651	121	275	25	11	301	88	-3	+1	+0	-3	+7	0.2
2028	23	MLB	LAD	48%	351	303	67	13	2	8	38	85	7	7	2	221	322	356	678	135	277	24	11	306	92	-3	+1	+0	-4	+10	0.4
2029	24	MLB	LAD	53%	421	365	81	16	2	10	45	102	8	9	3	222	321	359	679	137	279	24	11	309	94	-3	+1	+0	-5	+12	0.5
2030	25	MLB	LAD	55%	461	400	90	18	2	11	49	111	9	10	3	225	323	362	686	137	279	24	11	310	95	-2	+1	+0	-5	+13	0.7
2031	26	MLB	LAD	56%	484	420	94	19	2	12	52	116	9	10	3	224	322	364	687	140	279	24	11	310	96	-2	+1	+0	-5	+14	0.7
2032	27	MLB	LAD	55%	493	428	95	19	2	12	53	119	9	11	3	222	320	360	680	138	278	24	11	310	96	-2	+1	+0	-5	+14	0.7
2033	28	MLB	LAD	55%	495	429	95	19	2	12	54	120	9	10	3	221	321	359	680	138	278	24	11	309	95	-3	+1	-1	-5	+14	0.6
2034	29	MLB	LAD	53%	489	423	93	19	2	11	54	119	9	10	3	220	321	352	673	132	276	24	11	307	93	-4	+1	-1	-5	+14	0.4
2035	30	MLB	LAD	57%	481	416	91	18	2	11	53	119	9	9	3	219	320	351	671	132	275	25	11	304	91	-5	+1	-2	-5	+14	0.2
2036	31	MLB	LAD	60%	469	407	87	17	2	10	51	117	8	9	3	214	313	339	652	125	272	25	11	299	87	-7	+1	-3	-5	+13	-0.1
2027	22	MLB	LAD	34%	86	75	16	3	0	2	9	21	2	2	0	213	314	333	647	120	271	24	10	283	75	-2	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
2028	23	MLB	LAD	48%	170	147	32	6	1	4	18	41	3	3	1	218	315	354	669	136	273	24	11	288	79	-4	+0	+0	-2	+5	-0.1
2029	24	MLB	LAD	53%	222	192	42	8	1	5	24	54	4	5	1	219	318	349	667	130	275	24	11	291	81	-5	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2030	25	MLB	LAD	55%	252	218	49	10	1	6	27	61	5	5	2	225	324	362	686	138	275	24	11	293	82	-5	+0	+0	-3	+7	-0.0
2031	26	MLB	LAD	56%	269	233	51	10	1	6	29	65	5	6	2	219	318	348	666	129	275	24	11	293	82	-5	+0	+0	-3	+8	-0.0
2032	27	MLB	LAD	55%	271	235	51	10	1	6	29	65	5	6	2	217	316	345	661	128	275	24	11	293	82	-5	+0	+0	-3	+8	-0.0
2033	28	MLB	LAD	55%	271	234	51	10	1	6	30	66	5	6	2	218	320	346	666	128	274	24	11	292	82	-6	+0	-0	-3	+8	-0.1
2034	29	MLB	LAD	53%	261	225	49	10	1	6	29	64	5	5	2	218	320	351	672	133	273	25	11	290	80	-6	+0	-1	-3	+7	-0.2
2035	30	MLB	LAD	57%	274	237	51	10	1	6	30	68	5	5	2	215	316	342	658	127	271	25	11	287	78	-7	+0	-1	-3	+8	-0.3
2036	31	MLB	LAD	60%	279	241	51	10	1	6	31	70	5	5	1	212	314	336	650	124	268	25	11	283	75	-8	+1	-2	-3	+8	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2355	2037	443	87	9	53	256	575	44	48	15	217	318	347	665	130	275	24	11	290	80	-54	+4	-4	-25	+67	-1.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	562	122	24	2	15	71	159	12	13	4	217	317	347	664	130	274	24	11	290	80	-15	+1	-1	-7	+18	-0.4
Career	—			—	5304	4552	977	201	20	119	587	1323	123	119	38	215	321	346	667	131	273	25	11	302	89	-63	+9	-7	-57	+150	3.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	558	120	25	2	15	72	162	15	15	5	215	321	348	669	133	273	25	11	302	89	-8	+1	-1	-7	+18	0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	167	128	30	7	5	30	35	6	3	3	234	402	406	809	172	275	21	18	365	138	+7	-1	—	—	+5	1.1
2023	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	168	128	30	8	4	30	33	8	7	1	234	410	391	800	156	283	20	18	367	139	+7	+1	—	—	+5	1.3
2024	19	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	187	133	40	12	4	37	36	14	4	2	301	495	481	976	180	375	19	20	436	192	+19	+0	—	—	+5	2.5
2025	20	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	210	137	32	10	6	61	37	9	12	4	234	493	438	931	204	268	18	29	424	182	+20	+1	—	—	+6	2.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Daniel Vogelbachlast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,913 PA	7	1,913	81	0	220	342	411	-29	-16	4.4	4.4
	/162	664	28	0	220	342	411	-10.2	-5.6	1.5	pk7: 4
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	2,534	58	51	221	317	355	-27	-6	2.5	2.4
	/162	664	15	13	221	317	355	-7.1	-1.6	0.7	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Edwin Sanchez (OGILVIE)	21	35	45	55	60	207/311/321	114	271	3	3	25%	11%	82	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	71	-0.3	228/292/345	117	310	10	10	28%	6%	79	+0.3	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Stanley Martinez 2018 · A	21	42	41→45	49→50	46	203/276/300	97	261	8	8	25%	7%	61	-1.0	227/289/332	105	321	9	7	30%	7%	74	-0.1	220/280/293	72	342	5	3	34%	6%	56	-0.4
✕Ramon Alvarado 2006 · A	21	44	44→45	49→50	44	216/294/339	122	282	11	10	26%	7%	79	+0.3	205/269/308	103	276	10	9	28%	6%	59	-1.1	149/205/231	81	185	13	9	27%	4%	14	-0.8
✕Jose Medina 2008 · A	21	42	44→45	45→50	46	208/284/326	117	271	12	10	27%	8%	71	-0.3	206/282/321	115	291	11	8	31%	8%	69	-0.4	181/269/305	124	250	11	4	30%	6%	59	-0.2
✕Jason Taylor 2009 · A	21	42→39	46→45	53→55	51	210/295/335	126	263	13	20	25%	10%	78	+0.2	210/269/323	113	265	11	17	24%	7%	63	-0.8	202/247/302	100	249	8	18	22%	5%	46	-0.6
✕Efrain Contreras 2007 · A	20	44	41→45	51→55	44	212/279/311	99	261	9	8	22%	6%	65	-0.7	227/290/334	107	277	10	13	21%	6%	75	-0.0	227/291/331	104	281	10	15	22%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Francisco Rodriguez 2016 · A	21	40	42→45	46→50	48	196/289/304	108	280	10	9	31%	10%	68	-0.5	185/262/277	92	319	7	6	41%	7%	50	-1.8	144/219/247	103	250	8	2	43%	6%	20	-0.9
✕Agustín Ramírez 2023 · A	21	43→45	45→55	51→55	44	215/274/342	127	287	12	11	29%	7%	70	-0.3	231/293/393	162	278	19	13	24%	7%	92	+1.2	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
✕Kenedy Corona 2021 · A	21	45→40	42→45	53→55	46	220/282/327	107	269	8	14	21%	6%	69	-0.4	206/264/322	116	293	11	21	32%	6%	60	-1.0	198/258/327	129	278	14	26	33%	6%	57	-0.8
✕Kevin Padlo 2016 · A	20	38→40	45→55	50	46	193/270/323	130	263	12	8	30%	9%	64	-0.8	183/268/311	128	268	12	8	34%	10%	60	-1.0	195/265/371	176	262	22	12	34%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Kyler Fedko 2023 · A	23	43→42	43→50	51→55	47	212/285/327	114	283	10	10	27%	8%	71	-0.3	202/288/323	121	269	12	14	28%	10%	72	-0.2	197/277/356	159	247	21	23	29%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Yeison Asencio 2011 · A	21	40→50	41→50	49→45	45	198/259/301	103	247	8	11	23%	6%	53	-1.5	245/277/360	115	284	9	8	17%	4%	75	-0.0	284/304/409	125	312	14	6	14%	2%	97	+1.3
✕Estarlin Martinez 2013 · A	21	43→41	42→40	52→50	45	211/270/317	106	275	9	10	26%	7%	62	-0.9	218/267/291	73	285	4	12	24%	6%	53	-1.5	221/270/282	61	289	3	13	23%	6%	48	-1.1
✕Cayden Wallace 2023 · A	21	45→42	42→50	56→50	40	218/268/331	113	302	8	15	30%	6%	64	-0.8	215/273/337	122	287	11	12	27%	6%	68	-0.5	225/274/377	152	279	18	13	26%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Walking Cabrera 2022 · A	21	40→34	45	53→45	44	202/261/325	122	265	13	13	28%	7%	60	-1.0	193/246/299	106	286	11	8	34%	6%	46	-2.0	180/233/283	103	266	11	6	35%	6%	36	-1.6
✕Jabari Henry 2013 · A	22	42→40	46→55	49→45	44	211/272/346	135	274	13	6	28%	7%	70	-0.3	203/283/350	147	273	16	6	30%	9%	76	+0.1	186/275/344	157	252	18	6	32%	10%	68	-0.3
✕Tyreque Reed 2018 · A	21	49→35	46→50	50→40	47	237/306/379	142	313	12	7	27%	8%	93	+1.3	208/273/343	135	307	14	4	35%	7%	70	-0.3	199/270/353	154	288	19	3	36%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	39	187/256/305	118	276	12	9	35%	7%	54	-1.4	197/279/292	95	352	7	8	42%	9%	60	-1.0	146/272/221	75	359	3	4	52%	12%	39	-0.5
✕Anderson Gomes 2007 · A	22	42→40	42→45	47→50	39	207/256/314	107	282	10	9	30%	5%	55	-1.4	223/276/335	112	301	11	7	28%	6%	69	-0.4	229/283/339	110	302	11	5	27%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Josh Elander 2013 · A	22	44→50	44→50	50→45	47	219/288/336	118	263	11	7	21%	7%	75	-0.0	229/287/354	125	303	13	7	27%	7%	79	+0.3	230/287/364	134	304	15	8	28%	7%	78	+0.1