Luis Castro — OGILVIE

Luis Castro1B Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 30 R/R 6'1" / 187 lbs AAA HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 250 proj PA

wRC+†92

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .293 / .390

PA250

HR8

K%28

BB%6

ISO160

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	292	262	53	7	1	2	17	62	9	7	6	202	274	260	534	57	255	21	6	235	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2013	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	292	250	66	10	1	2	29	43	9	7	6	264	361	336	697	72	309	15	10	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	143	129	30	2	0	1	9	36	2	6	3	233	293	271	564	39	309	25	6	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	143	123	37	3	0	2	15	25	2	6	3	301	386	374	760	73	357	17	10	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	29	26	6	1	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	231	286	385	670	154	278	24	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	19	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	29	26	6	1	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	231	286	385	670	154	278	24	7	289	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A	Asheville Tourists	—	43	41	7	4	0	0	0	6	2	2	1	171	209	268	478	98	200	14	0	211	20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	21	A	Asheville Tourists	—	43	41	10	6	0	0	0	5	2	2	1	244	279	390	669	146	278	12	0	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	INTL	2 teams	—	254	235	54	15	0	3	7	86	11	1	4	230	285	332	616	102	347	34	3	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	INTL	2 teams	—	254	227	72	20	1	6	14	55	11	1	4	317	383	493	877	176	395	22	6	387	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	2 teams	—	551	460	92	18	1	15	57	166	23	15	4	200	319	341	660	141	266	30	10	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A+	2 teams	—	551	444	135	25	2	27	73	114	23	15	4	304	428	552	980	248	344	21	13	422	181	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	126	104	26	6	0	4	19	22	3	2	1	250	381	423	804	173	282	17	15	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	24	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	126	104	26	6	0	4	19	22	3	2	1	250	381	423	804	173	282	17	15	365	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	2 teams	—	416	379	59	10	1	12	25	190	10	4	1	156	227	282	509	127	264	46	6	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	2 teams	—	416	364	83	19	1	15	40	127	10	4	1	228	321	409	731	181	305	31	10	327	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	168	138	35	5	0	3	20	30	6	1	0	254	372	355	727	101	294	18	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	168	138	35	5	0	3	20	30	6	1	0	254	372	355	727	101	294	18	12	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	131	114	29	8	1	1	13	23	0	2	0	254	331	368	699	114	308	18	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	131	114	29	8	1	1	13	23	0	2	0	254	331	368	699	114	308	18	10	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	121	103	33	8	0	0	13	19	3	7	2	320	412	398	810	78	384	16	11	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	121	103	33	8	0	0	13	19	3	7	2	320	412	398	810	78	384	16	11	365	138	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	3 teams	—	452	414	95	24	2	12	28	145	8	6	5	229	291	384	675	155	320	32	6	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	AAA	3 teams	—	452	402	99	22	2	15	40	113	8	6	5	246	327	423	750	177	304	25	9	334	113	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	30	MLB	HOU	—	250	228	53	11	1	8	16	70	4	4	2	232	294	395	689	162	299	28	6	305	92	-2	+0	+0	-4	+7	0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	HOU	27%	310	281	65	13	2	9	21	86	5	5	2	231	296	388	684	157	296	28	7	303	90	-4	+0	-3	-6	+9	-0.3
2028	32	MLB	HOU	37%	312	284	64	13	1	9	21	87	4	4	2	225	288	373	661	148	292	28	7	298	87	-5	+0	-4	-6	+9	-0.5
2027	31	MLB	HOU	27%	85	78	18	4	0	3	6	24	1	1	1	231	294	397	692	167	299	28	7	296	85	-1	-0	-1	-2	+2	-0.2
2028	32	MLB	HOU	37%	117	106	25	5	1	3	8	32	2	1	1	236	302	387	689	151	295	27	7	292	81	-2	-0	-1	-2	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	202	184	43	9	1	6	14	56	3	2	2	234	299	391	690	158	301	28	7	293	83	-4	-0	-2	-4	+6	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	138	29	3	19	45	180	10	6	6	233	298	389	687	155	301	28	7	293	83	-13	-1	-7	-12	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	3598	3198	701	145	10	80	268	1035	90	66	33	219	298	346	644	127	294	29	7	233	36	-259	+0	-6	-64	+102	-23.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	578	126	26	2	14	48	187	16	12	6	218	296	343	639	125	292	29	7	233	36	-47	+0	-1	-12	+18	-4.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2013	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	292	250	66	10	1	2	29	43	9	7	6	264	361	336	697	72	309	15	10	320	103	+1	-1	—	—	+8	0.8
2014	18	ROK	Grand Junction Rockies	—	143	123	37	3	0	2	15	25	2	6	3	301	386	374	760	73	357	17	10	342	120	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2015	19	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	29	26	6	1	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	231	286	385	670	154	278	24	7	289	79	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2017	21	A	Asheville Tourists	—	43	41	10	6	0	0	0	5	2	2	1	244	279	390	669	146	278	12	0	298	86	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2018	22	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	109	96	34	10	0	3	5	24	8	0	1	354	431	552	983	198	449	22	5	435	191	+11	-0	—	—	+3	1.4
2018	22	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	145	131	38	10	1	3	9	31	3	1	3	290	347	450	798	160	357	21	6	351	127	+4	-1	—	—	+4	0.8
2019	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	76	59	13	1	0	2	12	16	4	1	1	220	387	339	726	119	262	21	16	340	118	+2	-0	—	—	+2	0.4
2019	23	A+	Lancaster JetHawks	—	475	385	122	24	2	25	61	98	19	14	3	317	434	584	1.019	268	357	21	13	435	191	+49	+2	—	—	+13	6.5
2020	24	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	126	104	26	6	0	4	19	22	3	2	1	250	381	423	804	173	282	17	15	365	137	+5	+0	—	—	+4	0.9
2021	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	262	231	49	11	1	8	24	89	7	3	0	212	305	372	678	160	306	34	9	307	93	-2	+1	—	—	+7	0.6
2021	25	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	154	133	34	8	0	7	16	38	3	1	1	256	349	474	822	218	303	25	10	360	133	+6	-0	—	—	+4	1.0
2022	26	INTL	Bravos de Margarita	—	168	138	35	5	0	3	20	30	6	1	0	254	372	355	727	101	294	18	12	330	111	+2	+0	—	—	+5	0.7
2023	27	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	131	114	29	8	1	1	13	23	0	2	0	254	331	368	699	114	308	18	10	307	93	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.3
2024	28	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	121	103	33	8	0	0	13	19	3	7	2	320	412	398	810	78	384	16	11	365	138	+5	+1	—	—	+3	0.9
2025	29	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	293	258	72	16	2	11	28	69	5	3	4	279	361	484	845	205	339	24	10	371	142	+14	-1	—	—	+8	2.2
2025	29	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	103	91	21	5	0	2	9	31	3	3	1	231	320	352	672	121	328	30	9	308	94	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	29	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	56	53	6	1	0	2	3	13	0	0	0	113	161	245	406	132	105	23	5	183	-2	-6	+0	—	—	+2	-0.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	8	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
	/162	664	23	9	238	296	413	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Travis Sniderlast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,971 PA	8	1,971	54	22	244	311	399	-21	-17	1.4	1.8
	/162	664	18	7	244	311	399	-7.1	-5.8	0.5	pk7: 2
#3John Mayberry Jr.last yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,506 PA	6	1,506	54	15	234	298	417	-6	-18	1.7	1.7
	/162	664	24	7	234	298	417	-2.8	-8.1	0.8	pk7: 2
#4John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	7	1,560	54	2	243	309	416	-15	-16	1.6	1.6
#4John Mabrylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,560 PA	/162	664	23	1	243	309	416	-6.5	-6.7	0.7	pk7: 2
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#5Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#6Chad Pinderlast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,740 PA	7	1,740	62	5	242	294	417	-17	-20	0.6	0.6
	/162	664	24	2	242	294	417	-6.5	-7.6	0.2	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	226	7	3	231	291	386	-4	-2	-0.1	-0.1
	/162	664	19	9	231	291	386	-11.9	-4.4	-0.4	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Castro (OGILVIE)	30	55	60	45	45	232/293/390	159	299	8	4	28%	6%	92	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Rainel Rosario 2019 · AAA	30	47→51	49→50	45→50	47	241/293/382	141	276	17	9	20%	6%	89	+0.9	255/317/431	176	291	22	7	20%	8%	111	+2.5	262/328/446	185	291	24	4	19%	9%	115	+2.3
✕Nick Gorneault 2009 · AAA	30	43→48	49→55	45→50	44	220/279/367	147	282	18	12	28%	7%	79	+0.3	203/254/338	135	271	15	10	30%	6%	61	-1.0	186/236/314	129	249	14	9	31%	6%	44	-1.5
✕Mike Wilson 2013 · MLB	30	46→56	53→60	47→50	46	237/306/409	172	303	21	8	28%	8%	102	+1.8	222/280/378	156	314	19	7	34%	7%	82	+0.5	206/265/356	150	297	20	4	36%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Brandon Snyder 2018 · MLB	31	44→53	52→55	45	39	226/282/391	164	298	21	7	31%	6%	87	+0.8	204/260/378	174	303	23	5	39%	6%	75	-0.0	179/243/353	174	266	25	2	42%	6%	58	-0.7
✕Ryan Mulhern 2011 · AAA	30	43→48	48→55	47→40	41	220/278/361	141	298	17	8	31%	7%	77	+0.1	253/305/461	208	310	28	7	27%	6%	115	+2.7	242/295/439	197	299	26	3	28%	5%	102	+0.8
✕Tagg Bozied 2010 · AAA	31	46→48	51→55	48→45	45	236/294/399	163	285	19	8	24%	7%	94	+1.3	231/301/406	175	311	20	5	30%	8%	98	+1.6	220/300/409	189	296	21	1	31%	9%	95	+0.8
✕Michael A. Taylor 2022 · MLB	31	48→53	48→55	47→60	42	238/292/374	136	312	16	15	28%	6%	86	+0.8	237/295/380	143	312	18	14	29%	7%	89	+0.9	225/286/367	142	299	19	15	30%	7%	80	+0.2
✕Prentice Redman 2010 · AAA	30	45→54	53→55	44→50	46	236/290/412	177	265	21	8	21%	6%	95	+1.4	237/289/391	154	287	17	12	23%	6%	89	+1.0	229/283/350	121	289	13	15	24%	6%	73	-0.0
✕Patrick Kivlehan 2019 · MLB	29	44→50	51→60	44→50	39	224/279/387	163	302	18	7	32%	6%	84	+0.6	216/275/406	190	287	25	5	33%	6%	89	+0.9	194/255/382	187	253	26	3	35%	6%	71	-0.2
●Victor Diaz 2011 · AAA	29	47→51	51→60	46→50	41	232/295/388	156	323	19	12	33%	7%	92	+1.2	236/306/439	203	344	28	9	37%	8%	110	+2.4	222/301/446	223	330	34	5	41%	9%	108	+1.1
●Joey Meneses 2021 · AAA	29	50→57	52→60	48→40	41	255/296/418	163	319	20	6	27%	6%	99	+1.7	259/300/438	179	309	21	3	23%	5%	106	+2.2	268/312/435	167	318	20	1	22%	5%	108	+2.1
✕Brock Peterson 2014 · MLB	30	45→50	53→55	42→40	41	234/286/402	167	299	21	4	29%	6%	92	+1.2	216/275/350	134	301	15	3	32%	7%	72	-0.2	202/265/322	121	286	13	1	33%	7%	60	-0.8
✕Christian Bethancourt 2022 · AAA	30	47→52	48→55	49→50	39	236/275/374	137	298	16	8	26%	5%	79	+0.3	233/266/388	155	289	19	8	26%	4%	79	+0.3	226/257/383	157	275	20	7	26%	4%	72	-0.1
✕Michael Restovich 2009 · MLB	30	44→49	54→55	46→30	39	229/278/405	175	302	22	6	32%	6%	89	+0.9	228/277/372	144	305	16	3	29%	6%	79	+0.3	218/270/354	136	295	14	0	30%	6%	69	-0.2
✕Rob Segedin 2018 · MLB	29	48→53	52→50	43→45	41	246/294/414	168	301	19	5	25%	5%	98	+1.6	220/275/350	130	277	14	7	25%	6%	72	-0.2	162/232/241	79	201	10	0	25%	8%	28	-0.7
✕Chad Huffman 2016 · AAA	31	48→52	48→55	50→45	47	239/304/384	145	299	16	9	25%	8%	94	+1.3	231/309/398	167	277	19	8	23%	8%	100	+1.7	224/306/391	167	269	19	5	24%	8%	94	+0.8
✕Chad Pinder 2022 · MLB	30	48→53	53→60	47→45	44	245/300/422	177	300	20	4	25%	7%	102	+1.9	240/282/397	157	315	19	5	29%	5%	88	+0.9	238/266/392	155	317	20	3	31%	4%	78	+0.1
✕Jerry Sands 2018 · MLB	30	47→46	48→60	46→45	48	236/299/383	147	291	16	5	24%	8%	91	+1.1	245/309/439	194	309	22	8	27%	8%	110	+2.4	246/313/478	232	302	28	5	28%	8%	118	+1.8
✕Mario Lisson 2014 · AAA	30	44→49	49→55	48→55	43	225/289/378	153	282	17	14	26%	6%	86	+0.8	234/299/385	151	297	19	10	27%	7%	92	+1.2	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Andy Phillips 2007 · MLB	30	46→55	54→55	47→40	45	243/291/423	180	277	22	7	22%	6%	98	+1.6	259/309/398	139	292	16	5	17%	6%	99	+1.7	267/318/394	127	298	15	3	15%	6%	100	+0.9