Ayden Johnson

SS DSL Athletics

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

ROKPROSPECTFG #831MiLBFA 2037

ETA2029FG ETA2031MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKOAK	140	.257/.417/.321	0	15	45	—	.164/.302/.207
2026	18	ROKOAK	134	.234/.383/.280	0	5	32	—	.158/.278/.193
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBOAK	244	.194/.277/.265	2	5	57	-0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBOAK	69	.205/.289/.295	1	1	64	-0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBOAK	161	.211/.294/.313	2	3	70	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%86

BB%68

Z-Con%55

Speed54

Whiff%47

wRC+38

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAndrés Nolaya (age 19) · Jesús Báez (age 19) · Jhostynxon Garcia (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 112 proj PA

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .275 / .263

PA112

HR1

K%30

BB%9

ISO72

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 55

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER55

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.6M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$2M		$6M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	140	109	28	5	1	0	23	38	7	15	2	257	417	321	738	64	389	27	16	351	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	134	107	25	3	1	0	24	39	2	5	1	234	383	280	664	47	362	29	18	319	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	140	116	19	3	1	0	16	46	7	15	2	164	302	207	509	43	252	33	11	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	134	114	18	2	1	0	17	48	2	5	1	158	278	193	471	35	246	36	13	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	140	116	19	3	1	0	16	46	7	15	2	164	302	207	509	43	268	33	11	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	140	109	28	5	1	0	23	38	7	15	2	257	417	321	738	64	389	27	16	351	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	134	114	18	2	1	0	17	48	2	5	1	158	278	193	471	35	269	36	13	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	—	134	107	25	3	1	0	24	39	2	5	1	234	383	280	664	47	362	29	18	319	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	140	116	19	3	1	0	16	46	7	15	2	164	302	207	509	43	252	33	11	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	134	114	18	2	1	0	17	48	2	5	1	158	278	193	471	35	246	36	13	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	140	116	19	3	1	0	16	46	7	15	2	164	302	207	509	43	252	33	11	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	—	134	114	18	2	1	0	17	48	2	5	1	158	278	193	471	35	246	36	13	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	OAK	0%	244	217	42	6	2	2	21	73	4	5	1	194	277	265	542	72	278	30	9	252	57	-13	+1	-2	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	OAK	34%	200	177	34	5	1	2	18	58	3	4	1	200	284	286	570	86	280	29	9	263	64	-9	+0	-2	+2	+4	-0.4
2029	21	MLB MLE	OAK	48%	332	295	60	9	2	5	29	95	5	7	2	206	289	304	593	98	282	29	9	272	70	-12	+1	-3	+4	+7	-0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	OAK	54%	429	381	80	12	3	8	38	122	7	8	2	210	294	319	613	108	284	28	9	279	75	-13	+1	-4	+5	+9	-0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	493	438	94	15	3	10	44	138	8	10	2	215	297	332	629	117	286	28	9	286	79	-12	+1	-3	+5	+11	0.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	535	474	104	16	4	12	48	148	8	10	2	218	300	343	643	124	287	28	9	291	83	-11	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.6
2033	25	MLB MLE	OAK	57%	560	497	109	17	4	13	50	155	8	11	3	219	301	348	649	128	287	28	9	293	85	-10	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	OAK	56%	573	508	112	17	4	14	51	158	9	11	3	220	302	352	654	132	287	28	9	295	86	-10	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	OAK	55%	576	511	112	17	4	14	51	160	9	11	3	219	301	349	651	130	287	28	9	294	85	-10	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	OAK	59%	574	510	112	17	4	14	51	161	8	10	3	217	299	345	644	128	286	28	9	291	83	-11	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.7
2037	29	MLB MLE	OAK	61%	566	503	108	17	3	13	50	160	8	9	3	215	297	339	635	124	285	28	9	288	81	-13	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	OAK	62%	556	494	105	16	3	12	49	159	8	8	3	212	293	331	625	119	283	29	9	283	78	-15	+0	-2	+6	+12	0.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	OAK	63%	542	483	100	15	3	11	47	157	7	7	4	208	289	322	611	114	280	29	9	278	74	-17	-0	-3	+6	+12	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	OAK	34%	69	62	13	2	1	1	6	20	1	1	0	205	289	295	584	90	289	29	9	268	64	-3	+0	-1	+1	+1	-0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	OAK	48%	161	143	30	5	1	2	14	46	3	3	1	211	294	313	607	102	291	29	9	277	70	-6	+0	-2	+2	+3	-0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	OAK	54%	233	206	45	8	2	4	21	66	4	5	1	216	299	328	626	112	293	28	9	285	75	-7	+1	-2	+2	+5	-0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	279	248	55	9	2	6	25	78	4	5	1	220	302	340	643	120	294	28	9	291	79	-7	+1	-2	+3	+6	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	302	267	60	10	2	7	27	83	5	6	1	224	305	351	656	128	296	27	9	296	83	-6	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.4
2033	25	MLB CTX	OAK	57%	316	280	63	11	2	7	28	87	5	6	1	225	306	356	663	132	296	28	9	299	85	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	OAK	56%	324	287	65	11	2	8	29	89	5	6	2	226	307	360	667	135	296	27	9	300	86	-5	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	OAK	55%	319	282	64	11	2	8	29	89	5	6	2	225	306	358	664	133	296	28	9	299	85	-6	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	OAK	59%	339	301	67	11	2	8	30	95	5	6	2	223	304	353	657	131	295	28	9	296	83	-7	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	OAK	61%	345	306	67	11	2	8	31	97	5	5	2	220	301	347	648	127	293	28	9	293	81	-8	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	OAK	62%	346	308	66	11	2	7	30	99	5	5	2	217	298	340	637	122	292	29	9	288	78	-9	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	OAK	63%	342	304	65	11	2	7	30	99	5	4	2	213	293	330	623	117	289	29	9	283	74	-11	+0	-2	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3375	2994	660	111	22	73	300	948	52	58	17	220	302	345	648	125	295	28	9	292	78	-80	+5	-11	+36	+73	2.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	126	21	4	14	58	183	10	11	3	218	301	341	643	123	292	28	9	292	78	-15	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	6322	5600	1187	181	41	129	569	1798	99	128	34	212	296	328	624	116	285	28	9	283	78	-148	+9	-21	+65	+131	3.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	122	19	4	13	59	185	10	13	3	212	296	326	623	115	286	28	9	283	78	-16	+1	-2	+7	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.3	3,487	74	61	215	294	335	+37	+0	5.3	4.9
/162	664	14	12	+7.1	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Tom Downey'09-'15 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,468 PA	3.7	2,468	7	87	234*	299*	359*	+17	-2	3.8	3.8
/162	664	2	23	+4.6	-0.5	1.0	pk7: 4
#6Arnold Hauser'10-'15 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,675 PA	2.5	1,675	6	68	228*	291*	342*	+18	+2	2.6	2.6
/162	664	2	27	+7.0	+0.6	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ayden Johnson (OGILVIE)	19	20→40	35→55	50	55	192/275/263	71	278	1	2	30%	9%	57	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Jesús Báez 2024 · A	19	35→41	40→55	45	46	177/246/265	88	234	7	9	27%	8%	46	-2.6	218/275/368	150	257	19	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	41→44	38→50	47→50	54	193/285/279	86	256	5	8	25%	11%	63	-1.3	188/262/304	116	277	10	9	34%	8%	61	-1.5	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Ezequiel Tovar 2021 · A	19	44→49	37→55	49→50	45	205/273/280	75	288	3	12	28%	8%	59	-1.7	244/281/380	136	295	14	15	22%	4%	84	+0.2	251/287/411	161	323	17	11	27%	4%	94	+0.8
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	39	37→50	49→45	46	189/256/259	71	249	5	11	25%	7%	48	-2.5	203/254/307	104	277	9	7	29%	6%	57	-1.8	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Richard Ramirez 2024 · A	19	34	39→55	48→40	46	173/246/259	86	244	7	5	31%	9%	45	-2.7	199/260/315	116	319	12	4	39%	7%	62	-1.4	198/255/335	137	313	16	2	40%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Daniel Lopez 2011 · A	19	42	35→45	49→60	43	194/267/256	61	260	2	12	24%	6%	52	-2.2	219/280/308	89	280	5	17	22%	6%	68	-1.0	240/299/357	117	293	6	30	19%	5%	83	+0.0
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	40	185/238/269	84	259	7	4	30%	6%	43	-2.8	195/239/273	78	247	5	3	22%	5%	44	-2.8	242/310/379	137	297	17	3	24%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Luis Puello 2024 · A	18	42	36→55	50	47	191/283/258	66	287	2	10	31%	9%	59	-1.7	199/263/294	95	299	8	8	34%	6%	59	-1.7	190/247/314	123	286	14	8	37%	5%	54	-0.7
✕Aldo Gaxiola 2024 · A	18	42	37→55	49→40	46	200/275/274	74	279	5	9	28%	8%	59	-1.7	199/263/295	96	263	9	5	27%	6%	59	-1.7	193/251/309	115	259	14	2	30%	5%	55	-0.8
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2

Ayden Johnson

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps