Alex Barr
P
Stockton Ports
Age 19
LHP
6'2" / 200 lbs
A
peak 0.4 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION44 act + 31 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 120
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
K%23.1%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.4%
ROS IP31
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 74 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | A | Stockton Ports | 14 | 9 | 44 | 218 | 48 | 33 | 10 | 64% | 3.1 | 16.3% | 17.9% | -1.6% | 6.0% | 8.45 | 7.26 | -1.4 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | OAK | 6 | 6 | 31 | 129 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 5.1 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.1% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.43 | 4.43 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | OAK | — | — | 74 | 347 | 78 | 45 | 14 | — | — | 22.4% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 6.79 | 6.09 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | OAK | 7 | 7 | 32 | 136 | 32 | 12 | 4 | 100% | 4.6 | 23.5% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | OAK | 3 | 3 | 16 | 68 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 5.3 | 23.5% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 16 | 67 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 5.3 | 23.5% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 3.92 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 41 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 76 | 25 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.5% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 14 | 9 | 44 | 218 | 36 | 39 | 13 | 64% | 3.1 | 16.3% | 17.9% | -1.6% | 6.0% | 8.45 | 7.26 | -1.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 41 | 200 | 998 | 163 | 178 | 60 | 64% | 3.1 | 16.3% | 17.9% | -1.6% | 6.0% | 8.45 | 7.26 | -4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alex Barr (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 23.1% | 9.6% | 3.1% | — | 4.30 | 23.5% | 14.3% | 32 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Blake Townsend L 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.7% | 11.2% | 3.1% | .286 | 4.11 | 18.5% | 4.8% | 96 | +0.15 | 3.40 | 263 | 85 |
| Aidan Deakins L 2028 · 3.83 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.83 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 2.3% | .323 | 5.29 | 17.1% | 6.0% | 62 | +1.46 | 3.83 | 119 | 81 |
| Pablo Aldonis L 2027 · 4.25 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.25 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 3.4% | .324 | 2.67 | 21.9% | 13.1% | 68 | -1.58 | 1.89 | 135 | 81 |
| Johan Simon L 2027 · 3.42 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.42 | 19.8% | 10.2% | 1.3% | .302 | 4.50 | 17.6% | 1.1% | 41 | +1.08 | 3.42 | 158 | 80 |
| Javier Chacon L 2026 · 5.42 FIP | 19 | SP- | 5.42 | 22.5% | 13.1% | 4.7% | .295 | 4.69 | 20.3% | 3.5% | 94 | -0.73 | 4.63 | 181 | 79 |
| James Gonzalez L 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.47 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .327 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 7.0% | 91 | +1.40 | 2.31 | 455 | 79 |
| Jordan Woods L 2027 · 4.61 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.61 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 3.5% | .329 | 4.13 | 20.3% | 7.4% | 112 | -0.48 | 3.74 | 143 | 78 |
| Osvaldo Hernandez L 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.53 | 20.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% | .324 | 3.32 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 142 | -0.21 | 3.04 | 312 | 78 |
| Thomas Ireland L 2028 · 4.50 FIP | 21 | SP- | 4.50 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | .286 | 3.55 | 17.3% | 8.3% | 177 | -0.95 | 2.94 | 221 | 77 |
| Zuher Yousuf L 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.98 | 19.2% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .256 | 4.24 | 15.6% | 3.4% | 50 | +0.26 | 3.02 | 137 | 76 |
| Tommy Sommer L 2029 · 4.59 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.59 | 23.9% | 9.3% | 4.2% | .196 | 5.30 | 18.6% | 6.1% | 205 | +0.71 | 4.20 | 230 | 76 |
| Deivi Diaz L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.73 | 20.4% | 11.6% | 1.6% | .369 | 4.50 | 13.5% | -2.3% | 57 | +0.77 | 3.73 | 161 | 76 |
| Brock Selvidge L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.66 | 19.9% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .321 | 3.75 | 17.8% | 7.6% | 287 | +0.09 | 3.04 | 330 | 76 |
| Bryan Sammons L 2029 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.60 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.91 | 18.4% | 8.4% | 228 | +0.31 | 3.53 | 688 | 76 |
| Jaylen Nowlin L 2028 · 3.48 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.48 | 26.8% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .352 | 5.07 | 19.1% | 6.1% | 254 | +1.59 | 3.48 | 357 | 75 |
| Ryan Wilson L 2027 · 3.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.43 | 18.5% | 8.8% | 1.4% | .395 | 4.27 | 18.8% | 7.9% | 155 | +0.84 | 3.43 | 222 | 75 |
| Bodi Rascon L 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.55 | 15.4% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .271 | 5.56 | 15.7% | 3.9% | 143 | +1.01 | 4.55 | 218 | 74 |
| Denny Roman L 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.24 | 25.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% | .348 | 5.24 | 15.7% | -1.0% | 21 | +2.00 | 3.24 | 109 | 74 |
| Alex Ayala Jr. L 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.28 | 20.7% | 12.3% | 2.5% | .271 | 5.86 | 13.6% | -3.1% | 71 | +1.58 | 4.28 | 128 | 74 |
| Franklin Dacosta L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.78 | 15.9% | 8.1% | 1.8% | .274 | 3.69 | 21.2% | 13.5% | 118 | -0.09 | 2.83 | 247 | 73 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 31 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 1.17 | 4.39 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |