Hayden Gilliland

Hayden GillilandC Vancouver Canadians

Age 24 L/R 5'11" / 206 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION153 act + 102 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .277 / .308

PA102

HR2

K%31

BB%9

BABIP276

ISO110

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$2M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	122	107	15	5	0	2	12	58	0	0	0	140	227	243	470	103	260	48	10	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	2 teams	—	122	100	20	6	0	3	19	38	0	0	0	200	328	350	678	150	274	31	16	305	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A+	TOR	—	153	134	23	6	0	3	17	55	1	0	0	172	270	284	553	112	260	36	11	250	50	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
YTD	24	A+	TOR	—	153	125	29	8	0	4	26	40	1	0	0	232	368	392	760	160	305	26	17	345	123	+4	+0	+0	+3	+4	1.1
ROS	24	A+	TOR	0%	102	91	18	4	0	2	9	32	1	1	0	198	277	308	585	110	282	31	9	271	66	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
ROS	24	MLB	TOR	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						284	0	0	267	62	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
FULL	24	A+	TOR	—	154	135	23	6	0	3	17	55	1	0	0	170	268	281	549	111	256	36	11	250	50	-9	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.2
TOT	24	A+	TOR	—	255	225	41	10	0	5	26	87	2	1	0	182	273	293	566	111	267	34	10	259	56	-13	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	TOR	30%	273	245	51	11	1	6	24	82	2	3	1	208	284	335	619	127	283	30	9	279	72	-9	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2028	26	MLB	TOR	44%	341	305	64	13	1	8	30	101	3	4	1	210	287	338	625	128	284	30	9	284	76	-9	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.7
2029	27	MLB	TOR	49%	370	331	71	14	2	9	33	108	3	4	1	215	292	350	642	136	284	29	9	286	77	-10	+0	+0	+7	+10	0.8
2030	28	MLB	TOR	52%	387	346	74	15	2	9	35	113	3	4	1	214	292	347	638	133	284	29	9	286	77	-10	+0	-1	+7	+11	0.8
2027	25	MLB	TOR	30%	83	75	15	3	0	2	7	25	1	1	0	200	277	320	597	120	284	30	8	274	68	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	26	MLB	TOR	44%	151	136	30	6	1	4	13	45	1	2	0	221	293	368	661	147	285	30	9	279	72	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2029	27	MLB	TOR	49%	181	162	34	7	1	4	16	53	1	2	1	210	285	340	624	130	285	29	9	281	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2030	28	MLB	TOR	52%	199	177	39	8	1	5	18	58	2	2	1	220	299	362	661	141	285	29	9	281	73	-6	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	615	551	118	24	3	15	54	181	5	7	2	214	290	350	640	136	288	29	9	280	72	-19	+1	-0	+11	+17	0.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	124	25	3	16	57	191	5	7	2	213	288	349	637	136	286	29	9	280	72	-20	+1	-0	+12	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	1595	1425	293	62	6	36	143	494	12	16	4	206	284	333	617	128	284	31	9	278	71	-52	+2	-1	+28	+45	2.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	119	25	2	15	58	201	5	7	2	205	283	332	615	127	282	31	9	278	71	-21	+1	-0	+12	+18	0.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	23	A+	Vancouver Canadians	—	83	68	14	3	0	2	13	28	0	0	0	206	333	338	672	132	300	34	16	304	91	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	23	A	Dunedin Blue Jays	—	39	32	6	3	0	1	6	10	0	0	0	188	316	375	691	188	227	26	15	306	92	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#3Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#5Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#6Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	615	14	7	213	287	344	+11	+8	1.2	1.2
	/162	664	15	8	213	287	344	+11.9	+8.6	1.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hayden Gilliland (OGILVIE)	24	—	—	—	—	182/273/293	111	267	5	1	34%	10%	56	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Matthew Acosta 2022 · A	24	44	45	53→50	46	214/287/339	125	300	12	9	31%	9%	76	+0.0	205/272/318	113	301	11	13	33%	8%	63	-0.8	180/251/281	101	265	11	16	34%	8%	43	-1.4
✕Isan Díaz 2020 · MLB	24	41→42	49→55	45	43	211/278/363	152	288	17	8	32%	8%	78	+0.2	216/289/370	154	291	18	7	30%	9%	84	+0.6	193/273/381	188	236	29	8	32%	9%	77	+0.1
✕Mark Fleury 2012 · A	24	44→39	44→45	49→45	44	214/279/333	120	291	11	6	29%	8%	70	-0.3	197/273/284	87	315	5	7	36%	8%	55	-1.4	152/245/209	57	258	1	2	37%	10%	25	-1.4
✕Taylor Grzelakowski 2018 · A	24	43	41→45	50→30	42	210/261/306	96	282	8	8	28%	6%	55	-1.4	214/275/307	93	325	6	3	33%	7%	61	-1.0	207/272/296	89	313	6	1	33%	8%	55	-0.7
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A	25	43→48	44→45	48→40	41	210/276/328	118	297	12	6	32%	7%	68	-0.5	231/286/350	119	313	12	5	29%	6%	77	+0.1	234/292/346	112	318	10	2	28%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Morgan McCullough 2023 · AA	25	44	43→45	46→50	44	212/291/330	118	301	10	10	31%	8%	75	-0.0	206/288/340	134	295	14	14	32%	9%	76	+0.1	187/277/329	142	264	15	17	33%	9%	68	-0.2
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A	24	38→45	47→50	49→50	43	195/276/331	137	262	14	9	30%	7%	69	-0.4	215/289/349	134	277	13	9	26%	7%	79	+0.3	221/296/357	136	275	13	8	23%	7%	81	+0.2
✕James Ramsey 2014 · AA	24	46→51	44→45	50→45	45	221/295/336	115	313	12	10	32%	8%	78	+0.2	228/287/350	122	324	12	7	31%	7%	78	+0.2	228/282/351	123	324	12	5	32%	6%	72	-0.1
✕Chris Herrmann 2012 · AA	24	45→48	42→50	48→50	52	219/297/323	104	274	9	7	22%	9%	76	+0.0	224/282/338	114	282	11	5	23%	7%	72	-0.2	217/305/384	166	277	20	8	28%	11%	92	+0.5
✕Christopher Familia 2023 · A	23	39	45→55	47→45	45	200/277/324	124	256	13	8	27%	7%	68	-0.5	216/273/378	162	292	20	4	32%	6%	80	+0.4	212/264/396	184	278	26	0	33%	5%	76	+0.0
✕Will Toffey 2019 · AA	24	45	44→45	49→50	48	216/297/336	121	312	11	5	32%	10%	79	+0.3	207/296/329	122	315	11	9	34%	10%	77	+0.1	186/277/314	128	301	12	11	38%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Bruce Caldwell 2016 · AA	24	41→45	45	50→40	43	205/271/333	128	293	12	6	33%	8%	66	-0.6	207/271/315	108	314	11	4	35%	8%	62	-0.9	202/267/305	102	306	10	1	35%	7%	55	-1.0
✕Meibrys Viloria 2021 · MLB	24	44→47	40→45	45→40	41	213/270/303	90	299	7	5	30%	6%	58	-1.2	218/307/336	118	327	12	6	33%	10%	83	+0.6	213/315/334	121	320	12	4	34%	12%	83	+0.3
✕Chris Meyers 2023 · A	24	42→44	44→55	51→45	42	209/269/330	121	281	12	9	29%	7%	65	-0.7	226/282/380	154	300	19	5	30%	6%	84	+0.6	223/282/380	157	291	20	3	30%	6%	81	+0.3
✕Pratt Maynard 2014 · A	24	45	41→45	45	50	217/284/310	94	265	9	6	21%	8%	66	-0.6	226/287/339	113	291	8	6	24%	8%	74	-0.1	235/287/366	132	306	6	0	24%	7%	80	+0.1
✕Chris Kroski 2006 · A	24	46	44→45	50→40	43	226/283/349	123	300	11	7	28%	7%	76	+0.0	212/266/323	111	289	9	4	29%	6%	62	-0.9	198/257/310	111	272	9	1	29%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Adrian Del Castillo 2023 · A	23	36→43	44→50	52→40	42	187/249/306	120	252	12	7	30%	7%	51	-1.7	207/278/346	139	286	15	3	31%	8%	73	-0.1	222/289/402	180	281	22	1	28%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Kevin Watson Jr 2023 · A	24	44	47→50	55→50	48	211/305/350	138	317	14	13	35%	10%	86	+0.8	226/304/309	83	314	6	10	27%	10%	74	-0.1	237/321/283	46	323	0	8	24%	10%	73	-0.1
✕Matt Wallach 2010 · A	24	41	42→50	46→40	42	204/258/306	103	265	9	3	26%	6%	53	-1.5	218/283/340	122	259	13	4	21%	7%	73	-0.1	215/288/338	123	247	15	3	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Johnny Monell 2009 · A	23	47→44	43→50	48→45	47	229/298/348	120	287	10	10	23%	8%	82	+0.5	227/284/359	132	289	13	6	25%	7%	79	+0.3	211/282/355	144	277	15	6	28%	8%	76	+0.0