Jesus Montiel
P
FCL Phillies
Age 19
RHP
6'4" / 195 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION4 act + 23 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 100
ERA4.39
FIP4.39
K%22.8%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%13.5%
ROS IP23
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 27 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 0.0% | 16.7% | -16.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 5.21 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 0.0% | 16.7% | -16.7% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 6.10 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 11 | 11 | 39 | 176 | 46 | 14 | 3 | 100% | 3.5 | 17.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 6.23 | 4.73 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | 11 | 11 | 39 | 176 | 46 | 14 | 3 | 100% | 3.5 | 26.1% | 8.0% | 18.2% | 1.7% | 6.23 | 2.82 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 2.0 | — | — | — | — | 4.50 | — | — |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | PHI | 22 | 0 | 23 | 98 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.39 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.8% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.39 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 27 | 114 | 26 | 11 | 3 | — | — | 23.1% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 2.6% | 4.41 | 3.74 | +0.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | PHI | 5 | 5 | 24 | 103 | 24 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 4.9 | 23.3% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | PHI | 3 | 3 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 4.0 | 23.3% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 4.27 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 100% | 4.0 | 23.3% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 3.89 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 43 | 200 | 844 | 200 | 83 | 17 | 100% | 4.6 | 23.3% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 3.0% | 4.31 | 3.89 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 14 | 11 | 44 | 198 | 35 | 20 | 6 | 79% | 3.1 | 17.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 5.93 | 4.57 | -0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 50 | 200 | 900 | 160 | 93 | 27 | 79% | 3.1 | 17.8% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 5.93 | 4.57 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jesus Montiel (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.39 | 22.8% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.27 | 23.3% | 14.3% | 24 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Luis Arejula R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.46 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.0% | .318 | 4.42 | 15.7% | 3.5% | 71 | +0.96 | 3.46 | 115 | 87 |
| Edwin Jimenez R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.12 | 19.3% | 8.9% | 2.8% | .330 | 4.67 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 277 | +0.55 | 4.12 | 386 | 86 |
| Sheng-En Lin R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.58 | 22.3% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .223 | 4.19 | 17.8% | 3.4% | 61 | +0.61 | 3.58 | 108 | 85 |
| Kyle Glogoski R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.46 | 19.9% | 8.5% | 1.7% | .277 | 3.92 | 20.6% | 9.1% | 93 | +0.46 | 3.43 | 206 | 83 |
| Ramon Marquez R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.98 | 21.1% | 8.8% | 2.8% | .331 | 3.00 | 30.4% | 19.8% | 49 | -0.98 | 3.00 | 104 | 83 |
| Juan Bello R 2025 · 3.83 FIP | 18 | SP | 3.83 | 18.3% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .256 | 3.93 | 18.2% | 7.6% | 155 | +0.10 | 3.83 | 187 | 81 |
| Alejandro Rivera R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.30 | 24.1% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 116 | 81 |
| Jose Montero R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.77 | 20.8% | 7.9% | 2.6% | .377 | 3.97 | 15.8% | 4.6% | 234 | +0.20 | 3.77 | 342 | 81 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2028 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 81 |
| Marco Raya R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.77 | 21.4% | 10.3% | 4.0% | .250 | 4.47 | 20.0% | 8.0% | 254 | -0.30 | 3.83 | 358 | 81 |
| Porter Hodge R 2027 · 4.18 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.18 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | .336 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 249 | -0.78 | 2.98 | 349 | 80 |
| Carlos Jimenez R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.11 | 20.6% | 12.9% | 2.0% | .274 | 5.12 | 20.4% | -0.0% | 141 | +1.01 | 4.07 | 257 | 80 |
| Miguel Díaz R 2027 · 3.40 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.3% | 7.7% | 1.7% | .365 | 4.50 | 19.4% | 8.2% | 233 | +1.10 | 2.22 | 573 | 80 |
| Moises Castillo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.1% | 11.7% | 2.8% | .269 | 4.08 | 19.4% | 5.0% | 65 | -0.50 | 3.77 | 101 | 80 |
| Chad Donato R 2029 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 80 |
| Andry Rondon R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.46 | 19.8% | 8.2% | 1.8% | .283 | 3.98 | 15.6% | 1.1% | 49 | +0.52 | 3.26 | 105 | 80 |
| Jordany Ventura R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.08 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 219 | 79 |
| Mikell Manzano R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.53 | 23.3% | 9.0% | 2.3% | .388 | 4.29 | 9.9% | 1.4% | 72 | +0.76 | 2.51 | 175 | 79 |
| David Lorduy R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.19 | 20.4% | 7.1% | 3.5% | .267 | 4.41 | 16.6% | 6.9% | 155 | +0.22 | 3.33 | 241 | 79 |
| Reny Artiles R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 19 | SP | 3.91 | 24.2% | 12.4% | 2.3% | .419 | 5.75 | 14.8% | -6.5% | 109 | +1.84 | 3.91 | 165 | 78 |