Player 828230 P ACL Brewers
Age — —HP ROK peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 24 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINST109
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
K%23.4%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP
K: +2.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+2KBB: -1.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-1BBCONTACT: -13.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-13CONTACTSTAM: +2.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -1.01 (58 IP)-1.0WAR
0.10.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career (MLE) + Projections

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ 2026 Season
2026—ROKACL Brewers102341484516820%3.420.7%13.5%7.2%7.6%5.037.22-1.1
ROS—MLBMIL2302410023930%1.023.4%9.3%14.1%3.0%4.354.35+0.1
2026 Total—MLBMIL——58248682511——27.6%10.2%17.4%4.4%4.756.04-1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202725MLBMIL2302410224930%1.023.7%9.0%14.7%3.0%4.304.27+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career—1023414831201120%3.420.7%13.5%7.2%7.6%5.037.22-1.1
/ 200 IP—59122008711821186520%3.420.7%13.5%7.2%7.6%5.037.22-4.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Player 828230 (OGILVIE) —— 4.35 23.4%9.3%3.0%— — ——— — ———
Connor Schultz R 2026 · 4.05 FIP 25 SU 4.05 19.7%5.3%3.5%.283 3.86 19.3%11.7%124 -0.19 3.47 171 80
Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP 25 SW 4.06 18.9%9.0%2.6%.311 4.48 17.3%3.8%141 +0.42 3.63 281 76
Dylan King R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 25 SW 4.28 26.7%9.8%4.0%.266 — ——— — 4.28 121 74
Brayden Spears R 2026 · 4.25 FIP 25 SU 4.25 19.9%10.9%2.6%.311 — ——— — 4.07 105 74
Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP 25 SW 4.65 17.1%9.6%3.2%.289 3.44 20.0%7.8%45 -1.21 1.94 143 74
Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 25 SW 4.28 17.3%8.2%2.9%.411 3.71 15.0%7.7%91 -0.57 3.71 126 74
Darien Smith R 2026 · 3.47 FIP 25 SU 3.47 17.6%8.5%1.4%.253 4.67 19.0%6.1%32 +1.20 3.47 102 74
Jake Lyons R 2025 · 4.31 FIP 24 SW 4.31 20.1%8.5%3.4%.337 — ——— — 4.31 174 73
Brett Gillis R 2026 · 3.37 FIP 25 SP- 3.37 20.3%8.8%1.6%.278 5.10 15.8%6.7%73 +1.73 3.37 119 73
Joe Vogatsky R 2025 · 4.82 FIP 24 SU 4.82 21.0%8.8%4.3%.326 — ——— — 4.82 120 73
Noah Bremer R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 25 SW 4.24 18.0%9.4%2.7%.292 5.88 13.1%1.2%46 +1.64 3.14 271 73
Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP 25 SW 4.55 21.5%9.1%3.8%.316 2.73 28.3%20.8%219 -1.82 1.96 948 72
Ryan Tapani R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 25 SW 3.89 19.0%7.3%2.7%.331 5.46 20.8%10.6%47 +1.57 3.89 141 72
Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP 25 SW 4.72 19.9%9.3%3.9%.315 — ——— — 4.72 146 72
Coleman Huntley III R 2029 · 4.14 FIP 28 SW 4.14 20.2%7.4%3.3%.348 3.66 23.4%13.2%86 -0.48 2.38 160 72
Jake Curtis R 2025 · 3.34 FIP 24 SU 3.34 19.3%6.5%1.9%.338 — ——— — 3.34 105 71
Casey Cobb R 2026 · 3.73 FIP 25 SU 3.73 21.8%6.2%3.1%.261 5.72 17.2%8.3%118 +1.99 3.73 191 71
Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP 25 SU 4.26 18.9%10.2%2.7%.271 4.65 19.5%11.5%99 +0.39 3.81 233 71
Alex Pham R 2026 · 3.48 FIP 25 SW 3.48 23.7%8.9%2.3%.317 3.80 23.3%8.6%38 +0.32 3.48 331 71
Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP 25 SU 4.03 16.8%9.3%2.1%.275 8.37 16.9%-3.1%25 +4.34 4.03 161 70