Slater de Brun

OF Charleston RiverDogs

Age 20 L/L A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1664ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	19	A/ROKTB	154	.284/.461/.319	0	23	102	—	.258/.403/.282
2027PROJMLE	20	MLBTB	264	.223/.317/.313	3	9	83	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	21	MLBTB	51	.229/.322/.324	1	2	86	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBTB	118	.232/.324/.333	2	4	89	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR 0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

Z-Con%98

Whiff%97

K%91

wRC+80

Speed79

Chase%76

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 6.2, comp-based) · star 5% · didn't stick 86%

CompsForrest Wall (age 20) · Rudy Martin Jr. (age 20) · Hoy Park (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 90 proj PA

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.221 / .314 / .310

PA90

HR1

K%24

BB%9

ISO90

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$5M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.8M	+$0.3M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$1M	—	—	—
2037	Arb-3	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$3M	+$0.8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	133	100	26	2	0	0	20	19	13	21	3	260	444	280	724	20	321	14	15	359	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	21	16	7	2	0	0	4	4	1	2	0	438	571	562	1.134	125	583	19	19	506	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	133	106	27	2	0	0	14	26	13	21	3	255	406	274	680	19	322	20	11	312	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	21	18	5	1	0	0	2	6	1	2	0	278	381	333	714	56	465	29	10	366	134	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	154	123	32	3	0	0	17	32	14	23	3	260	409	285	694	24	352	21	11	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	154	116	33	4	0	0	24	23	14	23	3	284	461	319	780	34	355	15	16	379	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	154	122	32	3	0	0	17	32	14	23	3	262	409	287	696	25	342	21	11	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	154	122	32	3	0	0	17	32	14	23	3	262	409	287	696	25	342	21	11	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	20	MLB MLE	TB	0%	264	230	51	8	1	3	24	65	8	9	1	223	317	313	629	90	292	25	9	290	83	-5	+1	-2	-2	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	TB	34%	149	131	29	4	1	2	13	36	4	5	1	226	320	324	643	97	293	24	9	296	86	-2	+1	-1	-1	+3	-0.0
2029	22	MLB MLE	TB	48%	244	213	48	7	1	4	22	58	7	7	1	229	321	332	654	103	293	24	9	300	89	-3	+1	-1	-1	+5	0.0
2030	23	MLB MLE	TB	54%	337	294	69	11	2	6	31	80	9	10	1	231	323	340	662	108	294	24	9	303	91	-4	+2	-1	-2	+7	0.2
2031	24	MLB MLE	TB	55%	399	349	81	13	2	7	36	94	11	12	2	233	324	346	669	112	295	24	9	305	93	-4	+2	-1	-2	+9	0.4
2032	25	MLB MLE	TB	56%	435	382	88	14	2	8	39	102	11	13	2	234	324	350	673	116	295	23	9	306	94	-3	+2	-0	-3	+9	0.5
2033	26	MLB MLE	TB	56%	453	397	93	15	2	9	41	106	12	13	2	234	324	349	673	115	294	23	9	306	93	-4	+2	-0	-3	+10	0.5
2034	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	459	402	94	15	2	9	42	108	12	13	2	233	323	346	669	114	294	24	9	305	92	-4	+2	-0	-3	+10	0.5
2035	28	MLB MLE	TB	55%	458	402	92	15	2	8	42	109	11	12	2	231	321	341	662	111	293	24	9	302	91	-5	+2	-1	-3	+10	0.3
2036	29	MLB MLE	TB	53%	448	393	90	14	2	8	41	108	11	11	2	228	318	335	653	107	291	24	9	298	88	-6	+1	-1	-3	+10	0.1
2037	30	MLB MLE	TB	53%	438	385	86	13	2	7	39	107	11	11	2	225	314	327	641	102	289	24	9	294	85	-8	+1	-2	-3	+9	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	TB	34%	51	45	10	1	0	1	5	12	1	2	0	229	322	324	646	96	297	24	10	297	86	-1	+0	-0	-0	+1	0.0
2029	22	MLB CTX	TB	48%	118	103	25	4	1	2	11	28	3	4	1	232	324	333	657	102	297	24	9	301	89	-2	+0	-1	-1	+3	0.0
2030	23	MLB CTX	TB	54%	183	159	38	6	1	3	17	43	5	5	1	234	325	340	665	106	298	23	9	304	91	-2	+1	-1	-1	+4	0.1
2031	24	MLB CTX	TB	55%	221	193	45	7	1	4	20	52	6	7	1	235	326	346	672	110	299	24	9	306	93	-2	+1	-0	-1	+5	0.2
2032	25	MLB CTX	TB	56%	244	214	51	8	1	5	22	57	6	7	1	236	326	350	676	113	298	23	9	308	94	-2	+1	-0	-1	+5	0.3
2033	26	MLB CTX	TB	56%	255	224	52	8	1	5	23	60	6	7	1	236	326	349	675	113	298	24	9	307	93	-2	+1	-0	-2	+6	0.3
2034	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	254	223	52	8	1	5	23	60	6	7	1	235	325	347	671	112	298	24	9	306	92	-2	+1	-0	-2	+6	0.3
2035	28	MLB CTX	TB	55%	251	220	52	8	1	5	23	60	6	7	1	233	323	342	664	109	296	24	9	303	91	-3	+1	-0	-2	+5	0.2
2036	29	MLB CTX	TB	53%	239	209	48	7	1	4	22	58	6	6	1	230	320	335	655	105	295	24	9	299	88	-3	+1	-1	-1	+5	0.0
2037	30	MLB CTX	TB	53%	230	201	46	7	1	4	21	56	6	6	1	227	316	327	643	100	293	24	9	295	85	-4	+1	-1	-1	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2046	1791	419	64	9	38	187	486	51	58	9	234	324	343	667	109	299	24	9	303	91	-23	+8	-4	-12	+44	1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	133	20	3	12	59	154	16	18	3	234	323	343	666	109	298	24	9	303	91	-7	+3	-1	-4	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	4064	3550	819	127	18	69	371	962	116	133	20	231	324	335	658	104	296	24	9	302	91	-45	+15	-9	-23	+85	2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	131	20	3	11	59	154	19	21	3	231	324	335	658	104	296	24	9	302	91	-8	+3	-2	-4	+14	0.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ACharleston RiverDogs · 133 PAwOBA .352 → .312 (−40)K% 14.3% → 19.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.29%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	19.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	15.04%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.045	10.84%
HBP% /PA	9.77%	—	×0.780	—	×1.045	7.97%
Singles /BIP	29.63%	÷1.000	×0.920	×1.050	×1.045	29.91%
Doubles /BIP	2.47%	÷1.000	×0.830	×1.050	×1.045	2.25%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.910	×1.050	×1.045	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.045	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .352 → .312; ISO .020 → .018; BABIP .321 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 ROKFCL Rays · 21 PAwOBA .494 → .366 (−127)K% 19.0% → 27.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.05%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	27.43%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	19.05%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.008	11.90%
HBP% /PA	4.76%	—	×0.720	—	×1.008	3.45%
Singles /BIP	41.67%	÷1.000	×0.820	—	×1.008	34.42%
Doubles /BIP	16.67%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.008	12.09%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .494 → .366; ISO .125 → .091; BABIP .583 → .465. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Willie Harrislast yr '11 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,743 PA	4.1	2,743	39	106	241	331	351	-11	-2	5.3	6.2
/162	664	9	26	-2.7	-0.5	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Gabe Grosslast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,682 PA	2.5	1,682	40	22	239	330	385	-14	+11	5.1	5.1
/162	664	16	9	-5.7	+4.4	2.0	pk7: 5
#3Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#4Pat Sheridan'81-'91 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,700 PA	4.1	2,700	51	86	250*	319*	387*	-22	-3	4.0	4.2
/162	664	13	21	-5.4	-0.8	1.0	pk7: 4
#5Emil Brown'97-'09 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,508 PA	3.8	2,508	59	52	247*	314*	388*	-25	+8	3.5	4.0
/162	664	16	14	-6.6	+2.1	0.9	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.2	2,136	39	60	232	318	341	-13	+3	3.0	2.8
/162	664	12	19	-4.0	+1.0	0.9	pk7: 3
#6James Mouton'94-'01 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	18	109	235*	314*	329*	-11	-0	0.7	1.0
/162	664	7	40	-4.2	-0.1	0.3	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Slater de Brun (OGILVIE)	20	—	—	—	—	221/314/310	89	292	1	3	24%	9%	83	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Forrest Wall 2016 · A	20	48→55	42→45	58→70	46	229/285/342	114	291	8	18	24%	7%	77	-0.3	223/277/319	96	299	8	18	26%	6%	69	-0.9	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2016 · A	20	50	39→45	60→65	52	228/315/331	103	312	4	16	26%	10%	86	+0.3	205/273/295	90	330	6	26	36%	7%	62	-1.4	220/296/327	107	310	12	41	30%	9%	75	-0.2
✕Hoy Park 2017 · A	21	41→51	39→45	59→55	46	195/272/287	91	280	4	17	30%	9%	60	-1.6	220/296/307	87	294	6	17	25%	9%	74	-0.6	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
●Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	44→49	42→45	58→60	54	211/313/323	113	290	8	21	28%	12%	85	+0.2	220/320/345	125	277	13	33	24%	11%	93	+0.8	217/321/350	133	273	12	37	23%	11%	92	+0.8
✕Adrian Pinto 2023 · A	20	47	40→45	60→65	53	222/313/322	100	267	5	29	18%	9%	84	+0.1	234/309/354	120	293	11	18	23%	8%	90	+0.6	231/312/342	111	292	7	11	21%	9%	84	+0.0
✕Taylor Trammell 2018 · A	20	46→48	42→55	57→55	44	221/281/328	107	312	8	21	30%	8%	72	-0.7	211/286/306	95	305	8	18	31%	9%	70	-0.8	213/300/386	173	283	21	17	31%	10%	93	+0.5
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	43→53	43→50	56→55	47	207/283/329	122	293	8	13	30%	9%	74	-0.6	215/284/346	131	317	11	16	33%	9%	78	-0.3	238/319/386	148	309	15	24	26%	11%	100	+0.9
✕Victor Arias 2024 · A	20	41→50	40→45	55→50	48	193/289/289	97	300	7	16	35%	11%	68	-1.0	227/296/340	113	318	9	15	29%	8%	81	-0.1	226/289/343	117	310	10	15	29%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Jett Williams 2024 · AA	20	44→48	45→50	60→55	54	209/324/338	129	296	11	25	30%	12%	93	+0.8	216/310/345	129	299	10	23	28%	11%	88	+0.4	214/300/348	134	288	11	26	27%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	35→44	42→50	53→55	51	176/278/284	108	252	10	16	32%	11%	63	-1.3	209/288/321	112	322	10	16	35%	9%	74	-0.5	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Davis Bradshaw 2019 · A	21	52	37→40	59→50	45	244/299/321	78	309	3	20	21%	6%	77	-0.3	225/271/288	63	293	2	11	23%	4%	59	-1.7	271/323/338	67	341	3	10	20%	5%	87	+0.2
✕Masyn Winn 2022 · A	20	43→53	40→50	57→55	43	207/267/301	93	294	6	22	30%	7%	61	-1.5	237/294/369	132	297	12	21	23%	7%	86	+0.3	245/302/388	143	293	14	19	20%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Luis Durango 2024 · A	21	47	35→30	57→70	48	219/296/278	59	287	3	29	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/289/285	58	305	2	36	24%	5%	65	-1.2	249/303/294	44	325	0	54	21%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Carlos Jorge 2024 · A	20	45→55	46→45	60	45	219/294/354	135	303	12	25	30%	8%	84	+0.1	215/278/322	107	304	10	27	30%	7%	70	-0.8	221/282/318	97	305	9	33	29%	7%	67	-0.8
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Jake Fox 2023 · A	20	46→44	39→40	55→50	52	216/312/311	95	298	6	15	27%	11%	81	-0.1	202/278/301	99	278	7	11	27%	9%	65	-1.2	203/291/297	94	273	5	13	25%	11%	68	-0.5
✕Jarred Kelenic 2019 · A	20	45→54	43→60	57→50	43	219/279/335	116	297	10	13	29%	7%	74	-0.6	230/290/411	181	294	21	13	28%	7%	96	+1.0	230/297/414	184	294	20	15	28%	8%	99	+1.1
✕Rey Fuentes 2011 · A	20	49→59	37→40	59→60	38	229/271/306	77	310	4	25	27%	4%	63	-1.4	234/286/317	83	328	5	27	28%	6%	72	-0.7	283/333/378	95	362	7	33	22%	6%	99	+0.9
✕Isaiah Greene 2023 · A	21	45→42	38→40	57→55	54	200/309/280	81	312	4	20	33%	13%	74	-0.6	189/275/277	88	311	6	17	37%	10%	59	-1.6	148/229/229	81	253	5	17	40%	10%	29	-1.0

Slater de Brun

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps