Gustavo Melendez

SS FCL Pirates

Age 19 L/R 5'6" / 160 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	INTLCriollos de C…	64	.241/.359/.278	0	1	93	—
2026	18	ROKPIT	157	.171/.414/.216	0	5	39	—	.127/.299/.159
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBPIT	267	.194/.288/.269	2	5	62	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBPIT	74	.199/.294/.282	1	1	67	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBPIT	167	.203/.297/.293	2	4	71	0.0

Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%96

wRC+50

wOBA39

Chase%33

K%30

Speed26

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJuan Villavicencio (age 19) · Victor Arias (age 19) · Carlos Jimenez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 131 proj PA

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .286 / .267

PA131

HR1

K%31

BB%10

ISO76

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$14M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

DEFENSE55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	64	54	13	2	0	0	8	17	2	1	1	241	359	278	637	37	351	27	12	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	157	111	19	5	0	0	41	41	5	5	0	171	414	216	630	45	271	26	26	327	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	157	126	16	4	0	0	26	59	5	5	0	127	299	159	458	32	228	38	17	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	INTL MLE	Criollos de Caguas	—	64	54	13	2	0	0	8	17	2	1	1	241	359	278	637	37	351	27	12	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	INTL RAW	Criollos de Caguas	—	64	54	13	2	0	0	8	17	2	1	1	241	359	278	637	37	351	27	12	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	157	126	16	4	0	0	26	59	5	5	0	127	299	159	458	32	239	38	17	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	—	157	111	19	5	0	0	41	41	5	5	0	171	414	216	630	45	271	26	26	327	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	157	125	16	4	0	0	26	59	5	5	0	128	299	160	459	32	228	38	17	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	157	125	16	4	0	0	26	59	5	5	0	128	299	160	459	32	228	38	17	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	267	234	44	8	1	2	27	82	4	5	1	194	288	269	558	76	284	31	10	260	62	-12	+1	-0	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	216	189	37	7	1	2	22	65	3	4	1	199	294	283	576	84	286	30	10	268	67	-8	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	345	302	61	11	2	4	35	102	5	7	2	203	297	295	592	92	287	30	10	274	71	-12	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.0
2030	22	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	438	383	79	15	2	6	45	127	7	9	3	207	300	305	605	98	288	29	10	279	75	-13	+1	+1	+5	+9	0.2
2031	23	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	500	438	93	17	3	8	51	143	7	11	3	210	303	313	616	104	289	29	10	283	77	-13	+1	+1	+5	+11	0.5
2032	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	541	473	101	19	3	9	55	152	8	12	4	213	304	321	625	108	290	28	10	286	80	-13	+1	+2	+6	+12	0.8
2033	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	564	494	104	19	3	9	57	159	8	12	4	213	305	322	627	109	290	28	10	287	80	-13	+1	+2	+6	+12	0.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	577	506	108	20	3	10	58	162	8	12	4	213	305	322	627	109	290	28	10	287	80	-14	+1	+2	+6	+13	0.9
2035	27	MLB MLE	PIT	60%	580	508	108	20	3	10	59	164	8	12	4	212	304	320	623	108	289	28	10	285	79	-14	+1	+2	+6	+13	0.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	PIT	62%	577	506	107	20	3	9	58	165	8	11	4	210	302	315	617	105	289	29	10	283	78	-15	+1	+2	+6	+13	0.6
2037	29	MLB MLE	PIT	63%	569	499	104	19	3	9	57	164	8	11	4	208	299	309	608	101	287	29	10	279	75	-17	+1	+1	+6	+12	0.3
2038	30	MLB MLE	PIT	63%	559	491	102	19	3	8	56	163	7	10	4	205	296	302	597	97	286	29	10	275	72	-18	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	74	65	12	2	0	1	8	22	1	1	0	199	294	282	575	83	286	30	11	267	67	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	167	145	30	6	1	2	17	49	3	4	1	203	297	293	590	90	288	29	10	273	71	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.0
2030	22	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	238	208	42	8	1	3	24	69	4	5	2	206	300	303	603	96	289	29	10	278	75	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2031	23	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	283	248	52	10	2	4	29	81	4	6	2	210	302	311	613	101	290	29	10	282	77	-8	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	306	268	58	11	2	5	31	86	4	7	2	212	304	318	622	105	291	28	10	285	80	-7	+1	+1	+3	+7	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	319	279	60	12	2	5	32	90	5	7	2	213	304	319	623	106	291	28	10	285	80	-8	+1	+1	+3	+7	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	326	285	61	12	2	5	33	92	5	7	2	213	304	319	623	107	291	28	10	285	80	-8	+1	+1	+3	+7	0.5
2035	27	MLB CTX	PIT	60%	347	304	64	12	2	5	35	98	5	7	2	212	303	317	620	105	290	28	10	284	79	-9	+1	+1	+4	+8	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	PIT	62%	356	312	66	13	2	5	36	102	5	7	2	210	301	312	614	102	289	29	10	282	78	-9	+1	+1	+4	+8	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	PIT	63%	357	313	66	13	2	5	36	103	5	7	3	208	299	307	605	99	288	29	10	278	75	-11	+0	+1	+4	+8	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	PIT	63%	355	312	64	12	2	5	35	103	5	6	3	205	295	299	595	95	286	29	10	274	72	-12	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3128	2739	575	111	18	45	316	895	46	64	21	210	302	313	615	103	292	29	10	281	73	-86	+4	+9	+34	+68	2.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	119	23	4	9	66	186	10	13	4	209	303	311	614	102	291	29	10	281	73	-18	+1	+2	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	5818	5084	1055	196	30	85	600	1682	86	119	39	208	302	308	610	101	290	29	10	277	73	-157	+7	+15	+60	+121	4.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	117	22	3	9	67	188	10	13	4	206	301	303	604	97	289	29	10	277	73	-18	+1	+2	+7	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#5George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.9	3,258	49	66	210	298	312	+35	+14	3.7	3.5
/162	664	10	14	+7.1	+2.9	0.8	pk7: 3
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Gustavo Melendez (OGILVIE)	19	20→45	30→40	55	50	192/286/267	75	284	1	2	31%	10%	62	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Victor Arias 2023 · A	19	43→50	37→45	49→50	47	199/284/273	74	302	3	11	32%	10%	62	-1.4	217/300/325	108	317	8	16	31%	9%	80	-0.2	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2024 · A	19	39	39→40	51→45	52	184/289/271	87	279	5	10	32%	12%	64	-1.3	183/279/280	97	312	6	8	38%	11%	62	-1.4	181/284/294	113	294	8	6	37%	12%	65	-0.6
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Manuel Pena 2023 · A	19	41→50	38→50	47→50	42	198/255/277	79	286	6	10	32%	7%	51	-2.3	213/257/304	91	311	6	8	32%	5%	57	-1.8	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	35→41	36→45	48→40	50	170/265/234	64	247	4	3	30%	10%	47	-2.6	207/288/311	104	312	11	4	34%	10%	72	-0.7	205/285/317	112	311	13	2	36%	9%	70	-0.6
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	41	37→45	51→45	45	196/255/276	80	259	4	6	25%	7%	51	-2.3	211/250/290	79	273	4	8	23%	5%	51	-2.2	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕Yasmil Bucce 2024 · A	19	41	38→55	49→40	44	194/265/274	79	279	5	4	30%	8%	55	-2.0	199/299/306	107	308	10	4	35%	11%	76	-0.4	192/301/328	137	300	16	2	37%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Ronny Hernandez 2024 · A	19	44→53	39→40	49→30	46	211/281/302	91	288	6	4	28%	8%	67	-1.1	227/301/310	83	296	7	3	24%	9%	76	-0.4	229/306/323	94	287	11	1	22%	10%	79	-0.1
✕John Whittleman 2006 · A	19	44→45	37→50	54→45	48	204/279/289	85	286	2	11	27%	9%	63	-1.4	207/281/318	111	283	9	5	28%	9%	71	-0.8	203/292/325	122	277	11	2	29%	11%	76	-0.4
✕Daniel Montesino 2023 · A	19	46	38→40	48→45	50	212/301/299	87	300	5	8	28%	10%	74	-0.5	199/264/269	70	309	2	9	33%	7%	53	-2.1	176/234/225	50	289	0	8	36%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Elis Cuevas 2024 · A	19	41	37→40	51→65	45	195/270/275	80	270	3	14	27%	8%	57	-1.8	199/275/294	95	266	9	32	27%	7%	63	-1.3	188/268/283	95	252	12	43	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Thomas Milone 2015 · A	20	41→46	36→45	51→55	38	195/248/268	73	295	3	10	33%	6%	46	-2.6	200/255/265	65	287	3	13	29%	6%	48	-2.5	237/293/355	117	331	8	17	29%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42	36→45	47→45	43	198/274/269	70	273	3	8	27%	6%	57	-1.8	204/306/321	117	276	13	6	29%	9%	82	+0.0	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Antonis Macias 2024 · A	19	44→51	34→45	45	44	201/282/257	56	290	2	12	29%	8%	58	-1.7	223/308/294	71	307	3	7	26%	10%	76	-0.4	228/313/308	80	299	6	5	23%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Esteban González 2022 · A	19	45	37→45	55	47	206/288/291	85	281	2	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	208/275/302	94	298	6	18	30%	6%	65	-1.2	207/269/318	111	298	8	29	32%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5

Gustavo Melendez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps