Jacob Kisting
P
Bowling Green Hot Rods
Age 23
RHP
6'5" / 220 lbs
A+
peak 0.3 · 2028
2026 ROS PROJECTION70 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 98
ERA4.30
FIP4.30
K%21.9%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%12.7%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 122 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 5 | 74 | 300 | 77 | 23 | 3 | 17% | 2.5 | 19.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 1.4% | 3.79 | 3.39 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 5 | 74 | 300 | 77 | 23 | 3 | 17% | 2.5 | 25.7% | 7.7% | 18.0% | 1.0% | 3.79 | 2.48 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 15 | 13 | 70 | 274 | 78 | 14 | 3 | 87% | 4.7 | 21.9% | 5.9% | 16.0% | 1.4% | 1.67 | 2.74 | +1.7 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TB | 10 | 10 | 52 | 218 | 48 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 5.2 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 4.30 | 4.30 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.9% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 4.30 | 4.30 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | TB | — | — | 122 | 492 | 126 | 34 | 9 | — | — | 25.6% | 6.9% | 18.6% | 1.8% | 2.79 | 3.40 | +2.8 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.9% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 2.7% | 4.30 | 3.92 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TB | 50 | 0 | 53 | 223 | 51 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 2.7% | 4.24 | 4.19 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | TB | 51 | 0 | 54 | 226 | 52 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 2.7% | 4.18 | 4.14 | +0.3 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | TB | 51 | 0 | 54 | 226 | 53 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 8.7% | 14.6% | 2.8% | 4.15 | 4.12 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | TB | 50 | 0 | 53 | 223 | 52 | 20 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 4.16 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TB | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 2.7% | 4.24 | 4.19 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | TB | 34 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 35 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 2.7% | 4.18 | 4.14 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | TB | 40 | 0 | 42 | 177 | 41 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.3% | 8.7% | 14.6% | 2.8% | 4.15 | 4.12 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | TB | 43 | 0 | 45 | 190 | 44 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 2.8% | 4.16 | 4.17 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 139 | 0 | 146 | 617 | 143 | 54 | 17 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 2.8% | 4.17 | 3.77 | +2.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 196 | 74 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 2.8% | 4.17 | 3.77 | +3.8 | ||
| Career | — | 45 | 18 | 144 | 574 | 118 | 43 | 8 | 40% | 3.2 | 20.6% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 1.4% | 2.76 | 3.08 | +3.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 25 | 200 | 799 | 164 | 60 | 11 | 40% | 3.2 | 20.6% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 1.4% | 2.76 | 3.08 | +5.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jacob Kisting (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.30 | 21.9% | 9.2% | 2.7% | — | 4.15 | 23.0% | 14.2% | 160 | -0.15 | — | — | — |
| Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 87 |
| Colin Fields R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 85 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 84 |
| Brett Gillis R 2028 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 84 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 84 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 84 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.40 | 18.8% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .330 | 3.82 | 25.6% | 15.0% | 145 | -0.58 | 2.52 | 275 | 83 |
| J.C. Flowers R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.39 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 4.95 | 16.5% | 1.9% | 184 | +1.56 | 3.39 | 281 | 83 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 82 |
| Rico Garcia R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.21 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .316 | 3.82 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 296 | +0.61 | 3.21 | 566 | 82 |
| John Matthews R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 82 |
| Michael Knorr R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 81 |
| Michael Santos R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.50 | 17.4% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .289 | 4.91 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 49 | +0.41 | 2.26 | 276 | 81 |
| Vince Velasquez R 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.17 | 26.2% | 9.8% | 1.9% | .290 | 3.93 | 25.5% | 16.5% | 350 | +0.76 | 3.17 | 948 | 81 |
| Evan McKendry R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.24 | 18.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | .256 | 5.40 | 18.7% | 11.6% | 324 | +1.16 | 4.14 | 474 | 80 |
| Ricky Castro R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 80 |
| Clark Beeker R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 80 |
| Julian Garcia R 2026 · 3.15 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.15 | 22.2% | 9.4% | 1.3% | .314 | 5.03 | 17.6% | 7.9% | 177 | +1.88 | 1.61 | 328 | 80 |
| Jake Christianson R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.92 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 1.9% | .309 | 4.78 | 16.4% | 6.1% | 105 | +0.86 | 3.92 | 188 | 80 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 5 | 53 | 22.9% | 8.9% | 1.07 | 4.21 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| David Hernandez ('19) | 5 | 54 | 25.0% | 7.9% | 1.14 | 4.10 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Juan Nicasio ('19) | 5 | 68 | 25.5% | 8.4% | 0.83 | 4.21 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |