Shaun Anderson

P Salt Lake Bees

Age 32 RHP 6'6" / 228 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	29	MIX2 levels	25	11	79	4.08	3.25	20.5%	4.7%	1.2	K 18.1% · BB 4.3% · FIP 3.58
2025	30	MIX2 levels	31	23	128	6.40	4.67	17.0%	7.2%	1.1	K 14.9% · BB 6.5% · FIP 4.80
2026	31	MIX2 levels	34	6	72	5.27	4.23	22.0%	9.6%	0.3	K 19.7% · BB 9.0% · FIP 4.37
2027PROJ	32	MLBLAA	156	0	164	5.14	4.90	17.2%	7.6%	-0.7
2028PROJ95% MLB	33	MLBLAA	75	0	79	5.16	5.18	16.3%	8.1%	-0.6
2029PROJ90% MLB	34	MLBLAA	38	0	40	5.35	5.48	15.4%	8.6%	-0.4

Last 3 seasons WAR 2.6 · Next 3 projected WAR -1.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo30

K%23

xwOBA vs10

CompsElian Leyva (age 30) · Marco Quevedo (age 32) · Mike Burns (age 31)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA5.14

FIP4.90

K%17.2%

BB%7.6%

K-BB%9.6%

Proj IP164

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 164 IP

Statcast · Contract

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p3093.1

Whiff%

p5826.6%

p2318.3%

xwOBA vs

p100.391

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2017	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	123	505	107	33	9	96%	5.1	16.1%	7.6%	8.5%	2.1%	3.44	3.83	—
2017	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	23	123	505	107	33	9	96%	5.1	21.2%	6.5%	14.7%	1.8%	3.44	3.12	—
2018	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	24	141	593	127	33	14	96%	5.7	17.7%	6.0%	11.7%	3.0%	3.69	4.03	—
2018	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	24	141	593	127	33	14	96%	5.7	21.4%	5.6%	15.9%	2.4%	3.69	3.29	—
2019	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	24	134	588	111	48	16	67%	3.7	18.0%	8.3%	9.8%	2.9%	4.96	4.24	+1.8
2019	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	24	134	588	111	48	16	67%	3.7	18.9%	8.2%	10.7%	2.7%	4.96	4.07	+2.1
2020	25	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	18	0	15	67	18	12	3	0%	0.9	26.9%	17.9%	9.0%	4.8%	3.52	5.76	-0.2
2020	25	MLB RAW	San Francisco Giants	18	0	15	67	18	12	3	0%	0.9	26.9%	17.9%	9.0%	4.5%	3.52	5.64	-0.2
2021	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	47	217	46	21	6	0%	1.4	19.7%	9.9%	9.8%	2.7%	5.59	4.16	+0.2
2021	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	47	217	46	21	6	0%	1.4	21.2%	9.7%	11.5%	2.8%	5.59	4.15	+0.2
2022	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	15	89	376	76	32	11	41%	2.4	18.1%	9.1%	9.0%	3.4%	3.74	4.61	-0.1
2022	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	15	89	376	76	32	11	41%	2.4	20.2%	8.5%	11.7%	2.9%	3.74	4.08	+0.5
2023	28	AAA MLE	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	11	11	52	231	35	15	11	100%	4.7	13.0%	5.8%	7.2%	5.1%	4.85	5.54	—
2023	28	AAA RAW	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	11	11	52	231	35	15	11	100%	4.7	15.2%	6.5%	8.7%	4.8%	4.85	5.37	—
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	11	79	341	70	16	8	44%	3.2	18.1%	4.3%	13.8%	2.7%	4.08	3.58	+0.9
2024	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	25	11	79	341	70	16	8	44%	3.2	18.1%	4.3%	13.8%	2.7%	4.08	3.58	+0.9
2024	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	25	11	79	341	70	16	8	44%	3.2	20.5%	4.7%	15.8%	2.3%	4.08	3.25	+1.2
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	23	128	583	99	42	21	74%	4.1	14.9%	6.5%	8.3%	3.9%	6.40	4.80	+0.9
2025	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	31	23	128	583	99	42	21	74%	4.1	14.9%	6.5%	8.3%	3.9%	6.40	4.80	+0.9
2025	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	31	23	128	583	99	42	21	74%	4.1	17.0%	7.2%	9.8%	3.6%	6.40	4.67	+1.1
2026	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	6	72	322	71	31	10	18%	2.1	19.7%	9.0%	10.7%	3.3%	5.27	4.37	+0.2
2026	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	6	72	322	71	31	10	18%	2.1	19.7%	9.0%	10.7%	3.3%	5.27	4.37	+0.2
2026	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	6	72	322	71	31	10	18%	2.1	22.0%	9.6%	12.4%	3.1%	5.27	4.23	+0.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			88	18	183	859	145	72	33	20%	2.1	16.9%	8.4%	8.5%	3.8%	6.53	5.04	-1.0
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	32	MLB	LAA	156	0	164	692	119	53	24	0%	1.1	17.2%	7.6%	9.6%	3.5%	5.14	4.90	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	33	MLB MLE	LAA	79	0	83	350	57	28	13	0%	1.0	16.3%	8.1%	8.3%	3.7%	5.16	5.18	-0.6
2029	34	MLB MLE	LAA	42	0	44	185	29	16	7	0%	1.0	15.4%	8.6%	6.9%	4.0%	5.35	5.48	-0.4
2028	33	MLB CTX	LAA	75	0	79	334	54	27	13	0%	1.1	16.3%	8.1%	8.3%	3.7%	5.16	5.18	-0.6
2029	34	MLB CTX	LAA	38	0	40	169	26	14	7	0%	1.1	15.4%	8.6%	6.9%	4.0%	5.35	5.48	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		201	18	302	1359	225	113	52	9%	1.5	16.6%	8.3%	8.2%	3.8%	6.02	4.87	-1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		133	12	200	901	149	75	34	9%	1.5	16.6%	8.3%	8.2%	3.8%	6.02	4.87	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		275	137	881	3823	663	285	122	50%	3.2	17.4%	7.5%	9.9%	3.2%	4.58	4.33	-2.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	31	200	868	151	65	28	50%	3.2	17.4%	7.5%	9.9%	3.2%	4.58	4.33	-1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AAASalt Lake Bees · 52 IPFIP 3.71 → 4.01 (+0.31)K% 23.6% → 20.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	23.58%	—	×0.860	20.28%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.17%	—	×0.900	8.25%
HR / BF /BF	2.62%	÷1.000	×1.100	2.88%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors (Triple-A 2023+ robo-zone set: walks improve on promotion) — K ×0.86, BB ×0.90, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 3.71 → 4.01, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AAASalt Lake Bees · 117 IPFIP 4.19 → 4.47 (+0.28)K% 16.7% → 14.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	16.70%	—	×0.860	14.36%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	7.40%	—	×0.900	6.66%
HR / BF /BF	2.85%	÷0.989	×1.100	3.17%

Result: FIP 4.19 → 4.47, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAAJacksonville Jumbo Shrimp · 63 IPFIP 2.94 → 3.34 (+0.40)K% 23.4% → 20.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	23.44%	—	×0.860	20.16%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	5.86%	—	×0.900	5.27%
HR / BF /BF	1.95%	÷0.925	×1.100	2.32%

Result: FIP 2.94 → 3.34, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 AAALehigh Valley IronPigs · 52 IPFIP 5.26 → 5.54 (+0.28)K% 15.2% → 13.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	15.15%	—	×0.860	13.03%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	6.49%	—	×0.900	5.84%
HR / BF /BF	4.76%	÷1.028	×1.100	5.10%

Result: FIP 5.26 → 5.54, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 AAABuffalo Bisons · 88 IPFIP 4.10 → 4.61 (+0.52)K% 20.6% → 18.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	20.60%	—	×0.880	18.12%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	8.67%	—	×1.050	9.11%
HR / BF /BF	2.98%	÷0.951	×1.100	3.45%

Factors used: pitcher AAA level factors — K ×0.88, BB ×1.05, HR ×1.10. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 90).

Result: FIP 4.10 → 4.61, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas · 23 IPFIP 3.19 → 3.50 (+0.31)K% 29.0% → 25.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	29.03%	—	×0.880	25.55%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.75%	—	×1.050	11.29%
HR / BF /BF	2.15%	÷1.154	×1.100	2.05%

Result: FIP 3.19 → 3.50, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 AAASacramento River Cats · 38 IPFIP 3.00 → 3.38 (+0.38)K% 25.5% → 22.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	25.47%	—	×0.880	22.41%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	8.07%	—	×1.050	8.48%
HR / BF /BF	1.86%	÷1.027	×1.100	2.00%

Result: FIP 3.00 → 3.38, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2018 AARichmond Flying Squirrels · 94 IPFIP 3.07 → 4.00 (+0.93)K% 23.7% → 19.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	23.72%	—	×0.810	19.22%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	5.61%	—	×1.100	6.17%
HR / BF /BF	2.30%	÷0.869	×1.200	3.17%

Factors used: pitcher AA level factors — K ×0.81, BB ×1.10, HR ×1.20. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 74).

Result: FIP 3.07 → 4.00, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Shaun Anderson (OGILVIE)	—	—	—	—	—	3.5%	—	5.28	16.0%	7.8%	127	+0.38	—	—	—
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	72
Marco Quevedo R 2019 · 5.17 FIP	32	SP-	5.17	13.6%	11.4%	3.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	300	71
Mike Burns R 2009 · 4.90 FIP	31	SP-	4.90	17.2%	6.6%	4.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	104	70
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	14.0%	6.6%	4.2%	.268	5.28	17.5%	9.7%	166	+0.25	3.97	567	68
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2016 · 4.84 FIP	32	SP-	4.84	8.4%	9.2%	2.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.81	104	68
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	67
Chris Jakubauskas R 2011 · 4.42 FIP	32	SW	4.42	15.7%	7.9%	3.0%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	165	64
Todd Redmond R 2015 · 3.86 FIP	30	SW	3.86	15.4%	7.1%	2.1%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.21	247	64
Rudy Gonzalez R 2015 · 4.52 FIP	34	SW	4.52	13.5%	9.6%	2.4%	.347	3.84	14.0%	6.5%	79	-0.68	3.31	119	64
Ivan Maldonado R 2015 · 4.60 FIP	35	SW	4.60	12.8%	8.7%	2.7%	.269	5.41	6.4%	-3.3%	104	+0.81	4.60	172	64
Mike Fyhrie R 2002 · 3.86 FIP	32	SW	3.86	13.7%	9.0%	1.4%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.08	173	63
Angel Sánchez R 2023 · 4.90 FIP	33	SW	4.90	19.0%	10.5%	3.8%	.333	3.77	11.8%	6.8%	27	-1.13	3.77	284	63
Thad Weber R 2017 · 5.25 FIP	32	SP-	5.25	13.2%	4.4%	4.9%	.398	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	378	62
Bradin Hagens R 2019 · 5.46 FIP	30	SW	5.46	13.2%	12.6%	3.4%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	254	62
Jesse Estrada R 2016 · 3.80 FIP	32	SU	3.80	10.1%	4.0%	1.9%	.285	4.89	11.2%	5.1%	180	+1.09	3.80	257	61
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2017 · 5.96 FIP	32	SW	5.96	10.0%	13.0%	3.8%	.316	4.50	21.3%	16.2%	15	-1.46	3.39	212	60
Cody Satterwhite R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	30	SU	4.22	17.0%	7.1%	3.0%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.69	147	60
Ramon Delgado R 2017 · 4.31 FIP	30	SW	4.31	11.2%	4.0%	3.0%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	4.31	135	59
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	59
Osvaldo Fernandez R 2001 · 4.53 FIP	32	SP-	4.53	9.6%	8.2%	2.2%	.324	—	—	—	—	—	4.25	387	58

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 2,161 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 910 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.4	79	16.8%	8.3%	1.44	5.70
Mike Wright Jr. ('21)	1.4	55	17.4%	8.8%	1.47	5.97
Hector Noesí ('19)	2.1	70	16.4%	8.7%	1.53	5.51
Adam Bernero ('06)	1.9	75	14.7%	7.9%	1.39	5.91
Steve Shields ('85-'89, -3 WAR*)	1.1	55	17.0%*	9.0%*	1.61*	5.49*
Mike Brown ('82-'87, -2 WAR*)	1.3	85	14.3%*	8.8%*	1.41*	5.73*
Rob Gardner ('65-'73, -2 WAR*)	1.7	66	17.4%*	9.9%*	1.32*	5.45*