Jhonan Coba
P
FCL Tigers
Age 20
RHP
6'0" / 150 lbs
ROK
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 27 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 108
ERA4.76
FIP4.76
K%21.3%
BB%11.6%
K-BB%9.6%
ROS IP27
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 61 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.6% | 22.5% | -6.9% | 1.9% | 10.22 | 5.68 | — |
| 2024 | 18 | ROK | DSL Tigers 1 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 61 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 23.0% | 18.0% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 10.22 | 4.56 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 10 | 9 | 42 | 178 | 50 | 15 | 2 | 90% | 4.2 | 19.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 1.4% | 5.14 | 3.61 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 10 | 9 | 42 | 178 | 50 | 15 | 2 | 90% | 4.2 | 28.1% | 8.4% | 19.7% | 1.1% | 5.14 | 2.41 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | ROK | FCL Tigers | 11 | 11 | 34 | 154 | 42 | 25 | 6 | 100% | 3.1 | 18.5% | 20.3% | -1.7% | 5.5% | 6.55 | 7.10 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | DET | 5 | 5 | 27 | 113 | 24 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 5.4 | 21.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 4.76 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.3% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 2.9% | 4.76 | 4.76 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | DET | — | — | 61 | 267 | 66 | 38 | 9 | — | — | 24.7% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 3.5% | 5.77 | 6.07 | -1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | DET | 5 | 5 | 28 | 119 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 100% | 5.6 | 22.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | DET | 3 | 3 | 14 | 59 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 4.7 | 22.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 3 | 3 | 14 | 58 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 100% | 4.6 | 22.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.18 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 41 | 41 | 200 | 844 | 188 | 87 | 29 | 100% | 4.8 | 22.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 2.9% | 4.62 | 4.18 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 31 | 20 | 89 | 393 | 72 | 64 | 12 | 65% | 2.9 | 18.3% | 16.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 6.39 | 5.30 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 45 | 200 | 886 | 163 | 144 | 27 | 65% | 2.9 | 18.3% | 16.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 6.39 | 5.30 | +0.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jhonan Coba (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.76 | 21.3% | 11.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.56 | 22.0% | 11.2% | 28 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Chad Donato R 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 87 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 87 |
| Rayner Urbaez R 2026 · 3.82 FIP | 20 | SP | 3.82 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 2.3% | .337 | 3.35 | 15.0% | 3.0% | 27 | -0.47 | 2.50 | 103 | 86 |
| Ulices Campos R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.60 | 17.9% | 11.5% | 2.8% | .253 | 5.16 | 12.0% | 1.0% | 65 | +0.56 | 4.13 | 153 | 84 |
| Jharold Clemente R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.08 | 17.5% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .258 | 5.35 | 13.3% | 4.3% | 92 | +0.27 | 3.91 | 116 | 83 |
| Kamdyn Perry R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 20 | SP | 5.18 | 18.6% | 12.8% | 3.7% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.18 | 123 | 82 |
| Jordany Ventura R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SP | 4.08 | 16.8% | 8.9% | 2.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 219 | 82 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2029 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 82 |
| Tanner Hall R 2028 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 82 |
| Jairo Garcia R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.47 | 16.4% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .298 | 5.25 | 10.1% | -1.9% | 96 | +0.78 | 3.88 | 148 | 81 |
| José López R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 19.1% | 9.9% | 2.3% | .329 | 3.72 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 436 | -0.32 | 3.08 | 543 | 81 |
| Logan Gragg R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 20 | SP | 4.02 | 17.4% | 9.5% | 2.2% | .343 | 5.04 | 15.2% | 8.2% | 202 | +1.02 | 4.02 | 412 | 81 |
| Reibyn Corona R 2025 · 4.94 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.94 | 17.0% | 13.1% | 2.9% | .290 | 5.61 | 14.5% | 1.7% | 63 | +0.67 | 4.38 | 190 | 81 |
| Luis Cohen R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.14 | 17.2% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .263 | 4.99 | 13.7% | 3.4% | 225 | +0.85 | 3.00 | 310 | 80 |
| Porter Hodge R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.18 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | .336 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 249 | -0.78 | 2.98 | 349 | 80 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2029 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 79 |
| Nicholas Economos R 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.95 | 15.3% | 10.7% | 3.3% | .233 | 5.28 | 10.4% | 0.6% | 57 | +0.33 | 4.58 | 223 | 79 |
| Mac Sceroler R 2028 · 4.46 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.46 | 17.6% | 11.8% | 2.5% | .318 | 4.22 | 18.4% | 10.3% | 200 | -0.24 | 3.81 | 275 | 79 |
| Darren Bowen R 2028 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.93 | 19.0% | 12.8% | 1.5% | .236 | 5.29 | 15.2% | 4.9% | 205 | +1.36 | 3.91 | 261 | 79 |
| Carson Fulmer R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 21 | SP | 4.04 | 21.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .259 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 4.0% | 364 | +0.83 | 3.84 | 879 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 27 | 21.7% | 11.2% | 1.12 | 4.69 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Keegan Thompson ('24) | 4 | 57 | 23.0% | 11.3% | 1.19 | 3.64 |