Pablo Castillo

C FCL Twins

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 189 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKMIN	95	.315/.474/.411	1	2	76	—	.221/.368/.299
2026	18	ROKMIN	32	.333/.438/.370	0	0	69	—	.250/.344/.286
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBMIN	142	.208/.290/.276	1	1	64	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBMIN	47	.212/.295/.290	0	0	69	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBMIN	137	.216/.299/.302	2	1	73	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

wOBA95

wRC+93

Z-Con%75

BB%58

ISO49

Whiff%43

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 92%

CompsAndres Regnault (age 19) · Adrian De Leon (age 19) · Andrés Nolaya (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 46 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .288 / .274

PA46

HR0

K%28

BB%8

ISO68

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$21M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$2M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$1M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Twins	—	95	73	23	4	0	1	14	22	8	2	4	315	474	411	885	96	440	23	15	412	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Twins	—	32	27	9	1	0	0	4	7	1	0	0	333	438	370	808	37	450	22	12	377	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	95	77	17	3	0	1	10	27	8	2	4	221	368	299	667	78	300	28	11	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	32	28	7	1	0	0	3	10	1	0	0	250	344	286	629	36	372	31	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	95	77	17	3	0	1	10	27	8	2	4	221	368	299	667	78	327	28	11	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	—	95	73	23	4	0	1	14	22	8	2	4	315	474	411	885	96	440	23	15	412	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	32	28	7	1	0	0	3	10	1	0	0	250	344	286	629	36	389	31	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	32	27	9	1	0	0	4	7	1	0	0	333	438	370	808	37	450	22	12	377	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	95	77	17	3	0	1	10	27	8	2	4	221	368	299	667	78	300	28	11	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	32	28	7	1	0	0	3	10	1	0	0	250	344	286	629	36	372	31	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	—	95	77	17	3	0	1	10	27	8	2	4	221	368	299	667	78	300	28	11	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	32	28	7	1	0	0	3	10	1	0	0	250	344	286	629	36	372	31	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	142	127	26	4	1	1	11	40	3	1	0	208	290	276	566	68	290	28	8	263	64	-6	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIN	34%	136	121	26	4	1	1	11	37	3	1	0	212	295	290	585	78	292	27	8	270	69	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	282	250	53	8	1	3	23	76	7	2	1	216	299	302	600	86	293	27	8	277	73	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIN	54%	392	347	77	12	2	6	32	105	10	3	1	219	302	312	614	93	294	27	8	282	77	-11	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	466	414	91	15	2	7	38	123	11	3	1	222	304	321	625	100	294	26	8	286	80	-11	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	515	456	104	17	3	9	42	135	12	4	2	224	306	329	635	105	295	26	8	290	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIN	57%	520	460	104	17	3	9	43	136	12	4	2	225	307	332	638	107	295	26	8	291	83	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIN	56%	520	460	104	17	3	9	43	136	12	4	2	225	307	333	640	108	295	26	8	291	83	-10	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	520	460	103	17	2	9	43	137	12	4	2	224	306	330	636	107	294	26	8	290	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIN	55%	520	460	102	16	2	9	43	138	12	3	2	222	304	326	629	104	293	27	8	287	80	-12	-0	-1	+9	+11	0.8
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	520	462	100	16	2	8	42	140	11	3	4	219	301	319	620	100	292	27	8	283	78	-14	-1	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	MIN	53%	520	462	100	16	2	8	42	141	11	3	7	216	297	311	608	95	290	27	8	279	75	-16	-2	-2	+9	+11	0.1
2039	31	MLB MLE	MIN	52%	504	448	95	15	2	7	40	139	11	3	8	212	292	301	593	89	286	28	8	273	71	-18	-3	-3	+9	+11	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIN	34%	47	42	8	1	0	0	4	13	1	0	0	212	295	290	585	78	292	28	9	271	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	137	122	27	4	1	2	11	37	3	1	0	216	299	302	601	86	293	27	8	277	73	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIN	54%	213	189	42	7	1	3	17	57	5	2	1	219	302	313	614	94	294	27	8	282	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	264	235	51	8	1	4	21	70	6	2	1	222	304	322	626	100	294	27	8	286	80	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	291	258	57	9	1	5	24	76	7	2	1	224	306	330	636	105	295	26	8	290	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIN	57%	294	261	58	9	1	5	24	77	7	2	1	225	307	332	639	107	295	26	8	291	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIN	56%	294	261	57	9	1	5	24	77	7	2	1	225	307	334	640	109	295	26	8	292	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	288	255	57	9	1	5	24	76	7	2	1	224	306	331	637	107	294	26	8	290	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIN	55%	285	254	56	9	1	5	23	76	6	2	1	222	304	326	630	104	293	27	8	287	80	-7	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	278	247	55	9	1	5	23	75	6	2	2	219	301	319	620	100	292	27	8	284	78	-7	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	MIN	53%	274	244	52	8	1	4	22	74	6	2	4	216	297	311	609	95	290	27	8	279	75	-8	-1	-1	+5	+6	0.0
2039	31	MLB CTX	MIN	52%	263	234	50	8	1	4	21	72	6	2	4	212	292	301	593	89	287	27	8	273	71	-9	-1	-1	+5	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2928	2602	570	90	11	47	238	780	67	21	17	219	301	316	617	97	293	27	8	285	78	-74	-3	-4	+52	+63	3.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	126	20	2	10	53	173	15	5	4	218	300	311	612	93	292	27	8	285	78	-16	-1	-1	+12	+14	0.8
Career	—	MLE		—	5588	4946	1091	175	25	86	459	1493	134	39	36	221	304	318	622	98	296	27	8	284	78	-140	-5	-7	+98	+118	6.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	127	20	3	10	53	174	16	5	4	221	304	318	622	97	297	27	8	284	78	-17	-1	-1	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.5	2,973	48	21	221	300	321	+53	+28	5.7	5.2
/162	664	11	5	+11.9	+6.3	1.3	pk7: 5
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Pablo Castillo (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	206/288/274	68	290	0	0	28%	8%	64	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	40	185/238/269	84	259	7	4	30%	6%	43	-2.8	195/239/273	78	247	5	3	22%	5%	44	-2.8	242/310/379	137	297	17	3	24%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Frank Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	40	35→45	48→30	48	184/279/246	61	271	2	5	30%	9%	55	-2.0	187/249/270	83	271	7	4	32%	6%	47	-2.5	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Juan Uriarte 2017 · A	19	40	37→45	45→30	42	191/256/259	68	246	4	5	24%	6%	48	-2.5	210/260/300	90	277	8	4	26%	4%	58	-1.7	184/228/264	80	253	7	0	29%	3%	36	-1.0
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Johanfran Garcia 2024 · A	19	41	40→50	49→45	42	199/270/291	93	282	8	6	31%	7%	61	-1.5	219/276/349	130	326	16	5	36%	6%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	318	23	4	38%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Yasmil Bucce 2024 · A	19	41	38→55	49→40	44	194/265/274	79	279	5	4	30%	8%	55	-2.0	199/299/306	107	308	10	4	35%	11%	76	-0.4	192/301/328	137	300	16	2	37%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Carlos Cauro 2023 · A	18	41	35→40	45	44	190/263/252	62	283	3	5	32%	8%	49	-2.4	198/278/298	100	289	10	5	32%	9%	65	-1.2	191/283/288	97	272	12	4	31%	9%	65	-0.4
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Jesús Báez 2024 · A	19	35→41	40→55	45	46	177/246/265	88	234	7	9	27%	8%	46	-2.6	218/275/368	150	257	19	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Richard Ramirez 2024 · A	19	34	39→55	48→40	46	173/246/259	86	244	7	5	31%	9%	45	-2.7	199/260/315	116	319	12	4	39%	7%	62	-1.4	198/255/335	137	313	16	2	40%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	41→44	38→50	47→50	54	193/285/279	86	256	5	8	25%	11%	63	-1.3	188/262/304	116	277	10	9	34%	8%	61	-1.5	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	40→42	37→55	48→50	46	191/261/271	79	260	3	5	26%	8%	52	-2.2	197/244/318	121	277	11	5	32%	5%	56	-1.9	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Freuddy Batista 2019 · A	19	36	40→50	45→40	43	179/248/267	88	250	7	4	30%	7%	47	-2.5	187/244/294	107	279	10	5	35%	6%	51	-2.2	195/262/337	142	285	14	5	35%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A	19	40	39→45	46→50	45	192/269/279	87	247	7	7	24%	7%	58	-1.7	210/272/303	93	266	5	11	22%	5%	63	-1.3	210/267/312	102	264	5	11	22%	5%	62	-0.6

Pablo Castillo

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps