Keisther Castillo

P ACL Royals

Age 19 RHP 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKDSL Royals Ve…	11	11	32	4.22	4.26	22.4%	11.2%	—	K 15.2% · BB 14.0% · FIP 6.20
2026	18	ROKKC	13	10	34	8.47	6.48	29.5%	16.8%	—	K 20.0% · BB 21.0% · FIP 8.50
2027PROJ	19	MLBKC	4	4	20	5.69	5.69	21.1%	17.4%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBKC	3	3	16	5.39	5.28	21.7%	14.9%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 3, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 88%

CompsDaniel Corniel (age 19) · Eddy Peralta (age 20) · Jharold Clemente (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 141133vR 125

ERA5.69

FIP5.69

K%21.1%

BB%17.4%

K-BB%3.7%

Proj IP20

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 20 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	11	11	32	134	30	15	4	100%	2.9	15.2%	14.0%	1.2%	4.8%	4.22	6.20	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	11	11	32	134	30	15	4	100%	2.9	15.2%	14.0%	1.2%	4.8%	4.22	6.20	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	11	11	32	134	30	15	4	100%	2.9	22.4%	11.2%	11.2%	3.0%	4.22	4.26	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	13	10	34	173	51	29	10	77%	2.6	20.0%	21.0%	-0.9%	8.1%	8.47	8.50	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	13	10	34	173	51	29	10	77%	2.6	20.0%	21.0%	-0.9%	8.1%	8.47	8.50	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	ACL Royals	13	10	34	173	51	29	10	77%	2.6	29.5%	16.8%	12.7%	5.8%	8.47	6.48	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	KC	4	4	20	84	18	15	3	100%	5.0	21.1%	17.4%	3.7%	3.3%	5.69	5.69	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	KC	6	6	32	136	29	20	4	100%	5.4	21.7%	14.9%	6.8%	3.2%	5.39	5.28	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	KC	3	3	16	68	15	10	2	100%	5.3	21.7%	14.9%	6.8%	3.2%	5.39	5.28	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	16	67	14	10	2	100%	5.3	21.7%	14.9%	6.8%	3.2%	5.39	4.90	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		43	43	200	844	177	127	25	100%	4.6	21.7%	14.9%	6.8%	3.2%	5.39	4.90	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		24	21	66	307	55	55	20	88%	2.8	17.9%	17.9%	0.0%	6.6%	6.41	7.50	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		73	64	200	930	167	167	62	88%	2.8	17.9%	17.9%	0.0%	6.6%	6.41	7.50	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Keisther Castillo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.69	21.1%	17.4%	3.3%	—	5.28	21.7%	6.8%	32	-0.41	—	—	—
Daniel Corniel R 2023 · 5.15 FIP	19	SP-	5.15	20.3%	17.1%	2.9%	.364	4.37	15.7%	3.2%	140	-0.78	3.50	218	84
Eddy Peralta R 2023 · 4.65 FIP	20	SP-	4.65	22.0%	19.8%	1.6%	.342	3.96	21.0%	1.7%	86	-0.69	3.73	117	83
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	83
Biembenido Brito R 2022 · 4.64 FIP	19	SP	4.64	24.7%	18.5%	2.3%	.301	5.37	18.7%	-1.3%	91	+0.73	3.58	130	82
Tyrone Yulie R 2021 · 6.80 FIP	19	SP	6.80	19.7%	22.1%	4.7%	.324	5.30	18.1%	2.7%	166	-1.50	4.87	265	82
Edgar Isea R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	19	SP-	5.51	19.3%	20.3%	2.7%	.371	5.19	21.4%	-4.1%	98	-0.32	4.50	162	81
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	81
Marlon Nieves R 2024 · 5.63 FIP	19	SP	5.63	17.9%	20.0%	2.8%	.300	4.19	18.6%	1.2%	134	-1.44	3.82	187	81
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	81
Justin Lange R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	19	SP	4.55	19.3%	18.4%	1.4%	.298	4.81	23.4%	3.7%	122	+0.26	4.55	144	80
Tahnaj Thomas R 2018 · 5.06 FIP	19	SP-	5.06	23.0%	15.6%	3.5%	.268	6.04	17.0%	2.7%	61	+0.98	3.81	214	80
Junior Mieses R 2019 · 4.87 FIP	19	SP-	4.87	19.9%	19.2%	1.9%	.296	6.10	18.9%	-1.2%	134	+1.23	4.87	236	80
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	80
Lisandro Almonte R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	19	SP-	4.89	16.3%	16.4%	2.0%	.298	4.93	19.6%	4.9%	78	+0.04	3.81	128	80
Janser Lara R 2016 · 5.61 FIP	19	SP-	5.61	20.1%	17.3%	3.7%	.354	5.04	17.9%	4.8%	118	-0.57	2.84	220	79
Adam Bates R 2024 · 5.12 FIP	18	SP-	5.12	16.2%	14.1%	2.9%	.358	6.39	13.0%	-7.2%	146	+1.27	5.12	183	79
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.13	23.2%	9.3%	203	-1.71	3.51	226	79
Yerlin Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.73 FIP	19	SP-	5.73	20.0%	23.6%	2.4%	.378	4.63	19.9%	0.7%	112	-1.10	3.84	244	79
Tanner McDougal R 2023 · 4.96 FIP	20	SP	4.96	19.7%	16.9%	2.5%	.285	4.81	21.3%	8.0%	253	-0.15	3.82	323	78
Chen-Wei Lin R 2023 · 6.48 FIP	21	SP	6.48	21.3%	22.0%	4.4%	.379	3.81	20.5%	8.4%	257	-2.67	3.05	269	78

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	21.5%	15.9%	1.24	5.50
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*