Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Yankees | 9 | 9 | 24 | 113 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 100% | 2.6 | 10.8% | 11.1% | -0.2% | 2.5% | 6.46 | 4.95 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Yankees | 9 | 9 | 24 | 113 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 100% | 2.6 | 15.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 6.46 | 3.95 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 10 | 39 | 176 | 50 | 31 | 5 | 83% | 3.2 | 19.7% | 22.1% | -2.4% | 4.7% | 6.52 | 6.80 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 10 | 39 | 176 | 50 | 31 | 5 | 83% | 3.2 | 28.4% | 17.6% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 6.52 | 4.60 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 22 | 22 | 87 | 393 | 87 | 55 | 6 | 100% | 4.0 | 16.4% | 16.5% | -0.1% | 1.9% | 4.97 | 4.84 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 22 | 22 | 87 | 393 | 87 | 55 | 6 | 100% | 4.0 | 22.1% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 1.5% | 4.97 | 3.89 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 16 | 16 | 79 | 347 | 90 | 43 | 13 | 100% | 4.9 | 20.0% | 14.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.56 | 5.76 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 16 | 16 | 79 | 347 | 90 | 43 | 13 | 100% | 4.9 | 25.9% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 3.7% | 4.56 | 4.59 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 36 | 0 | 38 | 168 | 43 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.7% | 16.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.50 | 5.70 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 36 | 0 | 38 | 168 | 43 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.6% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 3.0% | 5.50 | 4.45 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Altoona Curve | 7 | 0 | 10 | 54 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 12.0% | 28.5% | -16.5% | 4.4% | 14.90 | 8.14 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PIT | 25 | 0 | 26 | 109 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.79 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PIT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.79 | 4.79 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 36 | 163 | 32 | 26 | 5 | — | — | 19.8% | 16.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 7.54 | 5.70 | -0.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | 4.79 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 25 | 0 | 26 | 111 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | PIT | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 3.2% | 4.67 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | 4.68 | 4.25 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 200 | 83 | 33 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | 4.68 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 102 | 57 | 276 | 1251 | 220 | 209 | 44 | 56% | 2.7 | 17.6% | 16.7% | 0.9% | 3.5% | 5.62 | 5.64 | -0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 74 | 41 | 200 | 908 | 160 | 151 | 32 | 56% | 2.7 | 17.6% | 16.7% | 0.9% | 3.5% | 5.62 | 5.64 | -0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tyrone Yulie (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.79 | 22.3% | 11.4% | 3.2% | — | 4.62 | 22.8% | 12.2% | 26 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 82 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 81 |
| Casey Legumina R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 80 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 79 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 79 |
| Trent Fennell R 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .328 | 5.38 | 19.4% | 3.5% | 107 | +1.50 | 3.88 | 163 | 78 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2026 · 5.41 FIP | 24 | SP- | 5.41 | 17.2% | 11.3% | 4.2% | .370 | 3.48 | 23.5% | 13.7% | 142 | -1.93 | 2.88 | 157 | 77 |
| Mitch Neunborn R 2028 · 3.92 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.92 | 24.5% | 9.5% | 3.1% | .232 | 5.11 | 17.5% | 6.2% | 190 | +1.19 | 3.92 | 233 | 77 |
| Grant Ford R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 76 |
| Sean Sullivan R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 4.1% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 318 | 76 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.09 | 18.2% | 9.9% | 4.1% | .304 | 3.92 | 17.8% | 9.2% | 166 | -1.17 | 3.59 | 307 | 76 |
| Carlo Reyes R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.26 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .318 | 3.98 | 24.1% | 12.9% | 61 | -0.28 | 2.79 | 229 | 76 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.87 | 20.0% | 12.1% | 1.7% | .322 | 4.79 | 20.4% | 8.0% | 146 | +0.92 | 3.18 | 234 | 75 |
| C.J. Culpepper R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.74 | 21.0% | 12.8% | 1.5% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 253 | 75 |
| T.J. Weir R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.08 | 20.0% | 9.1% | 2.8% | .319 | 3.46 | 19.0% | 9.6% | 190 | -0.62 | 3.21 | 349 | 75 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.79 | 19.0% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .296 | 4.83 | 18.7% | 8.3% | 87 | +0.04 | 3.93 | 268 | 75 |
| Alex Valverde R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.72 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 2.6% | .321 | 6.00 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 166 | +2.28 | 3.72 | 423 | 74 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2027 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 74 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 19.5% | 14.2% | 1.7% | .287 | 4.49 | 19.3% | 10.3% | 169 | +0.28 | 3.81 | 233 | 74 |
| Ryan Zeferjahn R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.45 | 21.0% | 12.4% | 2.8% | .325 | 4.48 | 27.5% | 13.5% | 163 | +0.03 | 3.30 | 323 | 74 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 22.5% | 11.0% | 1.23 | 4.73 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |