Keisther Castillo

Keisther Castillo P ACL Royals

Age 18 RHP 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 19 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.04

FIP5.04

K%20.5%

BB%12.7%

K-BB%7.8%

ROS IP19

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	11	11	32	134	30	15	4	100%	2.9	15.2%	14.0%	1.2%	4.8%	4.22	6.20	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	11	11	32	134	30	15	4	100%	2.9	15.2%	14.0%	1.2%	4.8%	4.22	6.20	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	11	11	32	134	30	15	4	100%	2.9	22.4%	11.2%	11.2%	3.0%	4.22	4.26	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	13	10	34	173	51	29	10	77%	2.6	20.0%	21.0%	-0.9%	8.1%	8.47	8.50	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	13	10	34	173	51	29	10	77%	2.6	20.0%	21.0%	-0.9%	8.1%	8.47	8.50	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	18	ROK RAW	KC	13	10	34	173	51	29	10	77%	2.6	29.5%	16.8%	12.7%	5.8%	8.47	5.91	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	KC	6	6	35	148	31	17	4	100%	5.8	21.3%	11.5%	9.8%	3.0%	4.86	4.79	+0.0
2027	19	MLB CTX	KC	3	3	17	72	15	8	2	100%	5.7	21.3%	11.5%	9.8%	3.0%	4.86	4.79	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	17	73	15	8	2	100%	4.3	21.3%	11.5%	9.8%	3.0%	4.86	4.41	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		46	46	200	844	174	93	23	100%	4.3	21.3%	11.5%	9.8%	3.0%	4.86	4.41	+1.2
Career	—	MLE		24	21	66	307	55	55	20	88%	2.8	17.9%	17.9%	0.0%	6.6%	6.41	7.50	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		73	64	200	930	167	167	62	88%	2.8	17.9%	17.9%	0.0%	6.6%	6.41	7.50	+0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Keisther Castillo (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.04	20.5%	12.7%	3.1%	—	4.79	21.3%	9.8%	35	-0.25	—	—	—
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	85
Anderson Cardenas R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	17	SP	4.22	17.3%	12.6%	1.8%	.319	4.04	21.2%	8.3%	92	-0.18	3.52	129	85
Aneury Lora R 2022 · 3.95 FIP	18	SP	3.95	16.6%	11.1%	1.5%	.339	3.72	15.1%	5.9%	114	-0.23	3.69	192	82
Nelfy Ynfante R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	18	SP	4.22	18.1%	10.7%	2.4%	.309	4.71	16.8%	5.5%	225	+0.49	3.70	297	82
Edgar Leon R 2023 · 4.36 FIP	18	SP	4.36	18.2%	15.4%	1.5%	.268	4.93	17.6%	-3.0%	83	+0.57	4.13	144	81
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	80
Richard Fernandez R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	19	SP	5.10	15.1%	9.3%	3.8%	.309	4.25	16.5%	-0.2%	85	-0.85	3.66	137	80
Claudio Galva R 2022 · 3.97 FIP	18	SP	3.97	17.4%	12.6%	1.4%	.255	4.17	15.0%	8.1%	34	+0.20	2.86	113	80
Jordany Ventura R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP	4.08	16.8%	8.9%	2.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	219	79
Yaqui Rivera R 2021 · 3.92 FIP	18	SP	3.92	18.3%	13.5%	1.2%	.314	3.82	21.7%	6.7%	139	-0.10	3.67	289	79
Cesar Espinal R 2023 · 4.28 FIP	17	SP	4.28	17.0%	10.1%	2.4%	.303	6.16	16.1%	-4.2%	56	+1.88	4.28	109	79
Walter Ford R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	18	SP	4.14	15.2%	12.1%	1.4%	.348	5.71	12.4%	5.7%	308	+1.57	4.14	330	78
Carson Fulmer R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	21	SP	4.15	21.4%	11.5%	2.5%	.259	4.96	17.1%	4.0%	364	+0.81	3.88	899	78
Carlos Betancourt R 2019 · 4.47 FIP	18	SP	4.47	15.5%	12.5%	2.0%	.293	3.35	19.9%	10.6%	45	-1.12	3.35	188	78
Marco Raya R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	19	SP	4.77	21.4%	10.3%	4.0%	.250	4.44	19.5%	8.3%	254	-0.33	3.99	380	78
Gio Arriera R 2017 · 5.41 FIP	19	SP	5.41	15.1%	13.9%	3.3%	.333	4.34	15.5%	2.0%	79	-1.07	4.34	185	78
Nicholas Economos R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	20	SP-	4.95	15.3%	10.7%	3.3%	.233	5.28	10.4%	0.6%	57	+0.33	4.40	223	78
Regi Grace R 2019 · 3.92 FIP	19	SP	3.92	16.3%	11.2%	1.4%	.333	4.23	20.5%	8.8%	86	+0.31	3.44	224	77
Gary Gill Hill R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	18	SP	4.91	14.1%	12.2%	2.6%	.356	4.59	16.1%	9.8%	380	-0.32	4.32	417	77
Giussepe Velasquez R 2021 · 4.21 FIP	18	SP	4.21	17.2%	10.7%	2.2%	.329	5.64	19.1%	4.8%	53	+1.43	4.21	222	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	21.0%	11.9%	1.17	4.92
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10