Keisther Castillo P ACL Royals
Age 18 RHP 6'2" / 180 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 19 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 102
ERA4.48
FIP4.48
K%22.7%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%13.1%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP
K: +2.7 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+3KBB: -3.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-4BBCONTACT: -12.9 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-13CONTACTSTAM: +2.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: -1.26 (49 IP)-1.3WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202517ROKDSL Royals Ventura11113213430154100%2.915.2%14.0%1.2%5.5%4.226.63
202517ROKDSL Royals Ventura11113213430154100%2.922.4%11.2%11.2%3.0%4.224.26
▸ 2026 Season
202618ROKACL Royals118301464725873%2.821.9%21.4%0.5%7.7%7.428.17-1.3
ROS18MLBKC3319801882100%6.322.7%9.6%13.1%3.1%4.484.48+0.0
ROS18MLBKC022.7%9.6%13.1%3.1%4.484.48
2026 TOT18MLBKC4922665331028.8%14.5%14.4%4.6%6.296.75-1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719MLBKC4420842083100%5.023.2%9.2%14.0%3.0%4.394.34+0.0
202719MLBKC2210421041100%5.023.2%9.2%14.0%3.0%4.394.34+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career2210421041100%4.923.2%9.2%14.0%3.0%4.393.96+0.1
/ 200 IP46462008442038120100%4.323.2%9.2%14.0%3.0%4.393.96+3.4
Career22196228052501986%2.818.7%17.9%0.8%6.6%5.787.43-2.1
/ 200 IP71612008981681606086%2.818.7%17.9%0.8%6.6%5.787.43-4.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Keisther Castillo (OGILVIE) 4.48 22.7%9.6%3.1% 4.34 23.2%14.0%20 -0.14
Sheng-En Lin R 2027 · 3.58 FIP 19 SP- 3.58 22.3%9.6%2.1%.223 4.19 17.8%3.4%61 +0.61 3.58 108 84
Luis Arejula R 2027 · 3.46 FIP 19 SP 3.46 21.9%8.7%2.0%.318 4.42 15.7%3.5%71 +0.96 3.46 115 83
Shawndrick Oduber R 2026 · 4.21 FIP 18 SP 4.21 22.0%7.2%3.8%.337 5.35 15.2%3.4%72 +1.14 4.21 104 83
Juan Bello R 2026 · 3.83 FIP 18 SP 3.83 18.3%6.9%2.5%.256 3.93 18.2%7.6%155 +0.10 3.83 187 82
Dahian Santos R 2026 · 4.91 FIP 18 SP- 4.91 24.2%10.1%4.7%.316 4.73 25.1%10.2%161 -0.18 4.35 197 81
Marco Raya R 2027 · 4.77 FIP 19 SP 4.77 21.4%10.3%4.0%.250 4.47 20.0%8.0%254 -0.30 3.83 358 80
Jose Montero R 2027 · 3.77 FIP 19 SP 3.77 20.8%7.9%2.6%.377 3.97 15.8%4.6%234 +0.20 3.77 342 80
Moises Castillo R 2027 · 4.58 FIP 19 SP- 4.58 18.1%11.7%2.8%.269 4.08 19.4%5.0%65 -0.50 3.77 101 80
Gilberto Batista R 2026 · 3.97 FIP 18 SP- 3.97 22.8%6.2%3.7%.323 5.20 15.0%4.5%187 +1.23 3.97 227 79
Kyle Glogoski R 2027 · 3.46 FIP 19 SP- 3.46 19.9%8.5%1.7%.277 3.92 20.6%9.1%93 +0.46 3.43 206 79
Ramon Marquez R 2027 · 3.98 FIP 19 SP 3.98 21.1%8.8%2.8%.331 3.00 30.4%19.8%49 -0.98 3.00 104 79
Jordany Ventura R 2027 · 4.08 FIP 19 SP 4.08 16.8%8.9%2.3%.264 4.08 219 78
Nelfy Ynfante R 2026 · 4.33 FIP 18 SP 4.33 18.1%10.7%2.5%.309 4.72 16.4%5.0%202 +0.39 3.71 274 78
Gabe Bierman R 2029 · 5.08 FIP 21 SP- 5.08 21.3%11.8%4.2%.277 4.65 16.2%4.0%187 -0.43 4.20 301 78
Miguel Díaz R 2028 · 3.40 FIP 20 SP- 3.40 19.3%7.7%1.7%.365 4.50 19.4%8.2%233 +1.10 2.22 573 77
Jordy Vargas R 2026 · 4.46 FIP 18 SP 4.46 22.1%10.0%3.6%.239 4.56 19.8%6.3%95 +0.10 3.02 257 77
Carlos Naveda R 2026 · 3.77 FIP 18 SP 3.77 19.9%10.5%1.9%.297 2.63 16.9%11.7%64 -1.14 2.63 120 77
Jonathan Stiever R 2029 · 4.39 FIP 21 SP 4.39 22.9%9.7%3.6%.308 4.32 20.7%14.2%219 -0.07 3.96 247 77
Andry Rondon R 2027 · 3.46 FIP 19 SP 3.46 19.8%8.2%1.8%.283 3.98 15.6%1.1%49 +0.52 3.26 105 76
Carson Fulmer R 2029 · 4.04 FIP 21 SP 4.04 21.4%11.5%2.4%.259 4.87 17.1%4.0%364 +0.83 3.84 879 76