Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 12 | 7 | 38 | 150 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 58% | 3.2 | 18.1% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 0.7% | 1.89 | 2.81 | — |
| 2021 | 17 | ROK | DSL Colorado | 12 | 7 | 38 | 150 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 58% | 3.2 | 26.7% | 5.3% | 21.3% | 0.7% | 1.89 | 1.97 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 12 | 11 | 41 | 168 | 43 | 17 | 2 | 92% | 3.4 | 17.4% | 12.6% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 2.43 | 3.86 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 12 | 11 | 41 | 168 | 43 | 17 | 2 | 92% | 3.4 | 25.6% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 1.2% | 2.43 | 2.88 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 16 | 2 | 34 | 163 | 36 | 9 | 3 | 12% | 2.1 | 15.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 4.46 | 4.22 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rockies | 16 | 2 | 34 | 163 | 36 | 9 | 3 | 12% | 2.1 | 22.1% | 5.5% | 16.6% | 1.8% | 4.46 | 2.93 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | MLB | COL | 4 | 4 | 20 | 86 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.1 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 3.0% | 4.32 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | COL | 4 | 4 | 21 | 90 | 21 | 8 | 3 | 100% | 5.3 | 24.0% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 4.18 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | COL | 2 | 2 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.0 | 24.0% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 4.18 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 10 | 44 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 5.2 | 24.0% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 3.80 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 35 | 35 | 200 | 844 | 211 | 77 | 19 | 100% | 5.6 | 24.0% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 3.0% | 4.24 | 3.80 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 40 | 20 | 113 | 481 | 81 | 42 | 7 | 50% | 2.8 | 16.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 1.6% | 2.87 | 3.65 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 71 | 35 | 200 | 851 | 143 | 75 | 13 | 50% | 2.8 | 16.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 1.6% | 2.87 | 3.65 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Claudio Galva (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.32 | 23.2% | 9.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.18 | 24.0% | 15.3% | 21 | -0.14 | — | — | — |
| Carson Rudd R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.43 | 25.4% | 10.6% | 2.1% | .351 | 5.24 | 21.6% | 5.6% | 193 | +1.81 | 3.43 | 242 | 87 |
| Connor Cooke R 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 85 |
| Casey Legumina R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 85 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2027 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 83 |
| Cole Stapler R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.83 | 19.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | .266 | 3.29 | 18.1% | 13.2% | 220 | -0.54 | 3.28 | 255 | 81 |
| Colin Fields R 2027 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 80 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2027 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 79 |
| Yon Castro R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.21 | 20.5% | 8.5% | 1.4% | .297 | 4.53 | 19.5% | 8.8% | 167 | +1.32 | 3.21 | 274 | 78 |
| Rico Garcia R 2027 · 3.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.21 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .316 | 3.82 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 296 | +0.61 | 3.21 | 566 | 78 |
| Franco Aleman R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.93 | 21.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .391 | 3.00 | 29.2% | 18.4% | 114 | -0.93 | 0.86 | 198 | 78 |
| Daniel Bies R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.96 | 24.5% | 6.8% | 3.8% | .339 | 3.22 | 20.3% | 11.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.22 | 115 | 77 |
| Mason McGwire R 2026 · 3.50 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.50 | 23.5% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 128 | 77 |
| Ray Gaither R 2028 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 77 |
| Clay Chandler R 2027 · 4.97 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.97 | 18.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | .319 | 5.05 | 14.8% | 8.8% | 293 | +0.08 | 4.82 | 328 | 76 |
| Nick Gallagher R 2026 · 4.14 FIP | 22 | SW | 4.14 | 17.2% | 7.1% | 2.9% | .310 | 4.49 | 22.4% | 7.1% | 90 | +0.35 | 4.09 | 196 | 76 |
| Evan McKendry R 2027 · 4.24 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.24 | 18.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | .256 | 5.40 | 18.7% | 11.6% | 324 | +1.16 | 4.14 | 474 | 76 |
| John Matthews R 2027 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 75 |
| Michael Knorr R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 75 |
| Clark Beeker R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 75 |
| Marc Brakeman R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.85 | 17.9% | 7.1% | 2.5% | .319 | 4.99 | 18.6% | 5.0% | 83 | +1.14 | 3.85 | 156 | 75 |