Franco Aleman — OGILVIE

Franco Aleman P Columbus Clippers

Age 26 RHP 6'6" / 235 lbs AAA peak 0.4 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION55 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9890vR 82

ERA3.43

FIP3.43

K%29.6%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%18.8%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Statcast · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—40

STUF6060

CMD3540

K†6565

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7296.1

Whiff%

p5926.7%

p7727.2%

xwOBA vs

p390.324

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	22	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	24	8	56	260	75	18	6	33%	2.3	21.3%	8.2%	13.2%	3.0%	6.31	3.95	—
2022	22	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	24	8	56	260	75	18	6	33%	2.3	28.8%	6.9%	21.9%	2.3%	6.31	2.78	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	55	233	84	18	4	0%	1.4	28.4%	8.8%	19.6%	2.0%	3.11	2.92	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	55	233	84	18	4	0%	1.4	28.4%	8.8%	19.6%	2.0%	3.11	2.92	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	55	233	84	18	4	0%	1.4	36.1%	7.7%	28.3%	1.7%	3.11	1.97	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	24	0	23	93	34	10	1	0%	0.9	30.3%	9.7%	20.7%	1.1%	1.99	2.38	—
2024	24	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	24	0	23	93	34	10	1	0%	0.9	30.3%	9.7%	20.7%	1.1%	1.99	2.38	—
2024	24	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	24	0	23	93	34	10	1	0%	0.9	36.6%	10.8%	25.8%	1.1%	1.99	2.00	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	37	0	37	175	57	23	4	0%	1.0	27.0%	11.8%	15.2%	2.3%	7.85	3.58	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	37	0	37	175	57	23	4	0%	1.0	27.0%	11.8%	15.2%	2.3%	7.85	3.58	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	Columbus Clippers	37	0	37	175	57	23	4	0%	1.0	32.6%	13.1%	19.4%	2.3%	7.85	3.29	—
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			21	0	22	103	28	10	4	0%	1.1	27.2%	9.7%	17.5%	3.9%	4.43	4.26	+0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	53	0	55	227	77	19	5	0%	1.0	30.3%	8.0%	22.3%	2.3%	2.45	2.79	+1.2
YTD	26	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	53	0	55	227	77	19	5	0%	1.0	30.3%	8.0%	22.3%	2.3%	2.45	2.79	+1.2
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	26	AAA RAW	CLE	32	0	33	124	49	9	1	0%	1.0	39.5%	7.3%	32.3%	0.8%	1.10	1.13	—
2026	26	MLB RAW	CLE	21	0	22	103	28	10	4	0%	1.1	27.2%	9.7%	17.5%	3.9%	4.43	4.17	+0.1
SO FAR	26	MLB RAW	CLE	21	0	22	103	28	10	4	0%	1.1	27.2%	9.7%	17.5%	3.9%	4.43	4.17	+0.1
ROS	26	MLB MLE	CLE	5	0	5	21	6	2	1	0%	1.0	29.6%	10.8%	18.8%	2.7%	3.43	3.43	+0.1
ROS	26	MLB CTX	CLE	5	0	5	21	6	2	1	0%	1.0	29.6%	10.8%	18.8%	2.7%	3.43	3.43	+0.1
2026 TOT	26	MLB MLE	CLE	—	—	60	248	83	21	6	—	—	33.6%	8.6%	25.0%	2.2%	2.54	2.84	+1.3
FULL	26	MLB A+C	CLE	—	—	27	115	83	21	6	—	—	72.1%	18.4%	53.7%	4.8%	5.57	1.99	+0.6
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CLE	56	0	59	247	70	27	7	0%	1.0	28.2%	11.1%	17.2%	2.9%	4.10	4.11	+0.3
2028	28	MLB MLE	CLE	54	0	57	240	67	27	7	0%	1.1	27.8%	11.1%	16.7%	3.1%	4.18	4.21	+0.2
2027	27	MLB CTX	CLE	53	0	56	236	67	26	7	0%	1.1	28.2%	11.1%	17.2%	2.9%	4.10	4.11	+0.3
2028	28	MLB CTX	CLE	51	0	54	228	63	25	7	0%	1.1	27.8%	11.1%	16.7%	3.1%	4.18	4.21	+0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		130	0	137	587	164	63	18	0%	1.1	27.9%	10.8%	17.1%	3.1%	4.16	3.84	+1.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	857	239	92	26	0%	1.1	27.9%	10.8%	17.1%	3.1%	4.16	3.84	+1.7
Career	—	MLE		177	8	225	988	266	89	23	5%	1.3	26.9%	9.1%	17.9%	2.3%	4.40	3.23	+0.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		157	7	200	878	236	80	20	5%	1.3	26.9%	9.1%	17.9%	2.3%	4.40	3.23	+0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Franco Aleman (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.94	29.3%	11.6%	2.7%	—	4.16	28.0%	16.9%	115	+0.22	—	—	—
Jon Edwards R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	31.7%	13.1%	2.4%	.264	2.40	30.3%	22.6%	30	-1.00	2.40	132	86
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	85
Tucker Healy R 2016 · 2.82 FIP	26	SU	2.82	30.4%	10.5%	1.8%	.294	4.64	16.9%	5.8%	67	+1.82	2.82	174	85
Zac Leigh R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	28.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.282	4.58	19.9%	3.7%	131	+0.74	3.70	201	85
Brad Boxberger R 2015 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	27.3%	10.0%	3.4%	.280	4.09	28.5%	17.2%	107	+0.16	3.01	363	83
Lucas Wepf R 2023 · 3.62 FIP	23	SU	3.62	27.6%	10.7%	2.7%	.323	3.97	26.2%	13.8%	136	+0.35	2.90	195	83
Sam Wolff R 2017 · 3.40 FIP	26	SU	3.40	26.6%	8.0%	2.8%	.291	2.98	24.1%	13.3%	63	-0.42	2.66	178	82
Lou Trivino R 2018 · 3.54 FIP	26	SU	3.54	27.4%	9.0%	2.9%	.247	3.90	22.4%	11.8%	157	+0.36	2.39	593	82
Shane Smith R 2023 · 3.52 FIP	23	SU	3.52	28.1%	10.4%	2.7%	.259	3.59	22.9%	13.1%	284	+0.07	3.01	342	82
Justin Grimm R 2015 · 3.00 FIP	26	SU	3.00	32.8%	12.3%	2.0%	.250	4.17	26.1%	15.2%	157	+1.17	3.00	335	82
Ryan Brasier R 2016 · 3.68 FIP	28	SU	3.68	25.0%	7.7%	3.1%	.289	3.09	24.2%	17.9%	130	-0.59	2.31	426	82
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	81
Simon Castro R 2015 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	26.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.320	3.58	26.0%	17.6%	128	+0.30	3.01	185	81
Brooks Kriske R 2019 · 3.47 FIP	25	SU	3.47	26.1%	12.2%	1.9%	.245	4.95	28.6%	16.5%	41	+1.48	3.15	246	81
Jhan Mariñez R 2015 · 3.50 FIP	26	SU	3.50	23.1%	9.3%	2.1%	.244	3.70	18.9%	11.1%	168	+0.20	3.16	253	81
Pierce Johnson R 2017 · 3.09 FIP	26	SU	3.09	27.8%	11.7%	1.6%	.374	3.71	25.0%	13.7%	86	+0.62	2.75	593	81
Maikel Cleto R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	26	SU	3.79	25.8%	12.1%	2.4%	.214	3.13	25.0%	15.3%	55	-0.66	2.59	156	81
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	81
Matt Ramsey R 2017 · 3.25 FIP	27	SU	3.25	24.2%	9.6%	1.8%	.330	3.21	23.6%	14.6%	81	-0.04	2.42	125	80
Spencer Patton R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	27	SU	3.47	26.8%	9.6%	2.6%	.295	2.79	30.3%	18.1%	57	-0.68	2.79	239	80

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	28.5%	11.2%	1.12	4.07
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Colin Poche ('24)	1.0	52	27.0%	9.2%	1.34	3.63
Ryan Buchter ('19)	1.1	53	26.7%	10.8%	1.10	2.87
Robert Stephenson ('23)	1.7	57	26.2%	9.9%	1.39	4.33
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64