Franco Aleman P Columbus Clippers
Age 26 RHP 6'6" / 235 lbs AAA peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION36 act + 52 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 9788vR 79
ERA3.38
FIP3.38
K%31.8%
BB%12.7%
K-BB%19.1%
ROS IP52
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 88 IP
K: +10.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+10KBB: -2.7 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-3BBCONTACT: +10.4 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+10CONTACTSTAM: +9.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+9STAMTotal WAR: +2.89 (88 IP)+2.9WAR
0.10.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
OFP40
STUF6060
CMD3540
K†7070

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202222ALynchburg Hillcats248562607518633%2.321.3%8.2%13.2%2.9%6.313.93
202222ALynchburg Hillcats248562607518633%2.328.8%6.9%21.9%2.3%6.312.78
202323MIX2 levels39055233841840%1.428.4%8.8%19.6%1.9%3.112.86
202323MIX2 levels39055233841840%1.436.1%7.7%28.3%1.7%3.111.97
202424AAAColumbus Clippers2402393341010%0.932.2%11.3%20.9%1.1%1.992.39
202424AAAColumbus Clippers2402393341010%0.936.6%10.8%25.8%1.1%1.992.00
202525AAAColumbus Clippers37037175572340%1.028.7%13.8%14.9%2.1%7.853.59
202525AAAColumbus Clippers37037175572340%1.032.6%13.1%19.4%2.3%7.853.29
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBCleveland Guardians3403613048910%1.137.5%7.3%30.2%0.0%0.500.86+1.6
ROS26MLBCLE49052217692850%1.131.8%12.7%19.1%2.5%3.383.38+0.7
ROS26MLBCLE50052220702850%1.031.8%12.7%19.1%2.5%3.383.38+0.7
2026 TOT26MLBCLE8834711737633.7%10.5%23.2%1.8%2.192.34+2.9
2026 FULL26MLBCLE6025111737646.6%14.6%32.0%2.5%3.232.40+1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBCLE56059247723170%1.029.0%12.5%16.5%2.8%4.114.13+0.3
202828MLBCLE54057240683070%1.128.5%12.4%16.1%2.9%4.184.22+0.2
202929MLBCLE52054229642870%1.028.0%12.4%15.5%3.0%4.294.36+0.1
202727MLBCLE53056236692970%1.129.0%12.5%16.5%2.8%4.114.13+0.3
202828MLBCLE51054228652870%1.128.5%12.4%16.1%2.9%4.184.22+0.2
202929MLBCLE49051215602770%1.028.0%12.4%15.5%3.0%4.294.36+0.1
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career2090221927268114260%1.128.9%12.3%16.6%2.8%3.893.76+4.2
/ 200 IP1900200840243103240%1.128.9%12.3%16.6%2.8%3.893.76+3.8
Career158820689125086175%1.328.1%9.6%18.5%1.9%4.232.98+5.8
/ 200 IP153820086424383165%1.328.1%9.6%18.5%1.9%4.232.98+5.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Franco Aleman (OGILVIE) 4.00 30.9%13.2%2.6% 4.23 28.5%16.1%170 +0.23
Jon Edwards R 2027 · 3.54 FIP 27 SU 3.54 31.7%13.1%2.7%.264 2.30 30.3%22.6%30 -1.24 2.30 132 91
Tucker Healy R 2026 · 3.02 FIP 26 SU 3.02 30.4%10.5%2.1%.294 4.85 16.9%5.8%67 +1.83 2.85 174 88
Justin Grimm R 2026 · 2.93 FIP 26 SU 2.93 32.8%12.3%1.9%.250 4.11 26.1%15.2%157 +1.18 2.93 335 87
Zach Franklin R 2026 · 3.48 FIP 26 SU 3.48 29.2%11.7%2.5%.265 5.47 27.4%21.2%41 +1.99 3.48 138 85
Peyton Gray R 2026 · 4.31 FIP 26 SU 4.31 29.2%14.1%3.5%.307 2.87 138 85
Eric Orze R 2026 · 3.96 FIP 26 SU 3.96 28.8%12.7%3.1%.261 3.34 22.7%12.8%112 -0.62 3.06 331 84
Brad Boxberger R 2027 · 3.99 FIP 27 SU 3.99 27.3%10.0%3.5%.280 4.01 28.5%17.2%107 +0.02 3.07 363 83
Mychal Givens R 2026 · 2.86 FIP 26 SU 2.86 30.7%10.9%1.8%.299 3.32 28.3%20.0%218 +0.46 1.75 526 81
Brooks Kriske R 2025 · 3.52 FIP 25 SU 3.52 26.1%12.2%2.0%.245 5.01 28.6%16.5%41 +1.49 3.00 246 81
Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.57 FIP 26 SU 4.57 26.5%11.2%4.2%.299 4.42 22.3%10.3%87 -0.15 3.74 163 81
Jeff Ames R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 26 SU 3.89 25.1%13.4%2.2%.310 4.58 25.4%10.8%79 +0.69 3.89 272 80
Pierce Johnson R 2026 · 3.20 FIP 26 SU 3.20 27.8%11.7%1.8%.374 3.75 25.0%13.7%86 +0.55 2.83 577 80
Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.54 FIP 26 SU 3.54 25.8%12.1%2.0%.214 3.04 25.0%15.3%55 -0.50 2.59 156 80
Brad Brach R 2029 · 3.25 FIP 29 SU 3.25 27.5%10.8%2.0%.259 3.16 25.6%17.1%210 -0.09 2.73 410 80
Spencer Patton R 2027 · 3.46 FIP 27 SU 3.46 26.8%9.6%2.5%.295 2.74 30.3%18.1%57 -0.72 2.74 239 79
Jordan Gore R 2026 · 3.24 FIP 26 SU 3.24 25.8%11.9%1.5%.223 5.47 15.2%-3.3%46 +2.23 3.24 113 79
Argenis Angulo R 2025 · 4.12 FIP 25 SU 4.12 27.6%13.4%3.0%.263 6.61 21.0%5.6%58 +2.49 3.07 245 79
Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP 26 SU 3.91 23.7%11.6%2.5%.305 3.92 17.1%13.9%45 +0.01 3.21 161 79
Michael Stryffeler R 2026 · 4.35 FIP 26 SU 4.35 30.4%17.3%3.0%.277 4.75 19.4%1.1%33 +0.40 2.43 140 78
Matt Carasiti R 2026 · 2.88 FIP 26 SU 2.88 27.6%11.1%1.3%.379 3.96 18.6%8.6%43 +1.08 2.88 312 78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION45729.1%12.6%1.094.14
Lucas Sims ('24)64727.6%11.6%1.244.22
Kyle Barraclough ('19)55029.0%14.1%0.863.53
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21
Greg Holland ('21)64525.4%12.3%0.874.03
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82
José Cisnero ('23)54224.8%11.3%0.943.84