Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Yankees | 14 | 5 | 52 | 250 | 44 | 19 | 3 | 36% | 3.7 | 12.0% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.81 | 4.21 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Yankees | 14 | 5 | 52 | 250 | 44 | 19 | 3 | 36% | 3.7 | 17.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 1.2% | 3.81 | 3.25 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 15 | 0 | 31 | 139 | 31 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 2.1 | 15.2% | 14.4% | 0.8% | 3.0% | 5.23 | 5.30 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 15 | 0 | 31 | 139 | 31 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 2.1 | 22.3% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 2.2% | 5.23 | 3.91 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 5 | 27 | 116 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 45% | 2.4 | 20.5% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 1.4% | 2.36 | 3.21 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 5 | 27 | 116 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 45% | 2.4 | 30.2% | 9.5% | 20.7% | 0.9% | 2.36 | 2.20 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 22 | 20 | 88 | 362 | 103 | 31 | 11 | 91% | 4.0 | 21.1% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 3.8% | 3.59 | 4.66 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 22 | 20 | 88 | 362 | 103 | 31 | 11 | 91% | 4.0 | 28.5% | 8.6% | 19.9% | 3.0% | 3.59 | 3.44 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 12 | 12 | 48 | 187 | 47 | 15 | 3 | 100% | 4.0 | 19.4% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 2.2% | 2.27 | 3.85 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | 12 | 12 | 48 | 187 | 47 | 15 | 3 | 100% | 4.0 | 25.1% | 8.0% | 17.1% | 1.6% | 2.27 | 2.89 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 6 | 32 | 151 | 29 | 20 | 3 | 43% | 2.3 | 15.3% | 14.7% | 0.5% | 2.7% | 7.31 | 5.17 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 14 | 6 | 32 | 151 | 29 | 20 | 3 | 43% | 2.3 | 19.2% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 7.31 | 4.38 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 4 | 4 | 21 | 90 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 5.3 | 21.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 3 | 3 | 21 | 88 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 100% | 6.9 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAD | 1 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 8.0 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 7.8 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.22 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 33 | 33 | 200 | 844 | 179 | 77 | 26 | 100% | 6.0 | 21.9% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 3.1% | 4.57 | 4.22 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 88 | 48 | 277 | 1205 | 210 | 130 | 32 | 55% | 3.1 | 17.4% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 3.90 | 4.44 | +3.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 64 | 35 | 200 | 870 | 152 | 94 | 23 | 55% | 3.1 | 17.4% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 3.90 | 4.44 | +2.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yon Castro (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.54 | 21.9% | 10.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.60 | 21.9% | 11.7% | 21 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 80 |
| Sam Lewis R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SP- | 3.43 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.3% | .246 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.10 | 224 | 79 |
| Preston Johnson R 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.47 | 146 | 78 |
| Chase Whitley R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.04 | 19.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | .217 | 3.24 | 18.0% | 11.8% | 81 | -0.80 | 3.11 | 159 | 73 |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2025 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 71 |
| Kyle Lloyd R 2026 · 4.17 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.17 | 18.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .336 | 4.33 | 17.2% | 9.3% | 110 | +0.16 | 3.46 | 572 | 71 |
| Chad Dallas R 2025 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SP- | 3.40 | 19.8% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.40 | 322 | 71 |
| Blake Beers R 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.20 | 18.3% | 9.1% | 2.7% | .322 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.20 | 416 | 70 |
| Andres Santiago R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.27 | 16.3% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .384 | 5.45 | 13.1% | 3.2% | 159 | +1.18 | 3.74 | 291 | 70 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2028 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 70 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 69 |
| Shawn Dubin R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.35 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 3.8% | .292 | 3.91 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 79 | -1.44 | 3.04 | 341 | 69 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 69 |
| Brian Edgington R 2025 · 5.05 FIP | 26 | SP- | 5.05 | 19.3% | 12.3% | 3.7% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.81 | 171 | 69 |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.25 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.0% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.91 | 169 | 68 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 68 |
| Jonathan Pintaro R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.11 | 24.4% | 13.2% | 2.5% | .302 | 3.12 | 26.0% | 15.4% | 35 | -0.99 | 3.12 | 187 | 68 |
| Paul Clemens R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 68 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 68 |
| Lisalverto Bonilla R 2026 · 4.60 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.60 | 18.2% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .304 | 4.88 | 15.8% | 3.2% | 11 | +0.28 | 3.25 | 221 | 68 |