Duque Hebbert
P
West Michigan Whitecaps
Age 24
RHP
5'10" / 170 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 57 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 138129vR 120
ERA5.30
FIP5.30
K%12.3%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%2.6%
ROS IP57
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 94 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 14 | 8 | 37 | 157 | 41 | 6 | 2 | 57% | 2.7 | 17.8% | 4.8% | 13.0% | 1.8% | 4.58 | 3.17 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 14 | 8 | 37 | 157 | 41 | 6 | 2 | 57% | 2.7 | 26.1% | 3.8% | 22.3% | 1.3% | 4.58 | 2.08 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 7 | 64 | 267 | 50 | 19 | 7 | 32% | 2.9 | 13.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 5.06 | 4.61 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 7 | 64 | 267 | 50 | 19 | 7 | 32% | 2.9 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 2.6% | 5.06 | 3.85 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 1 | 63 | 270 | 51 | 20 | 6 | 3% | 1.9 | 13.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 4.86 | 4.39 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 1 | 63 | 270 | 51 | 20 | 6 | 3% | 1.9 | 18.9% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 2.2% | 4.86 | 3.67 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Erie SeaWolves | 22 | 0 | 37 | 166 | 29 | 9 | 7 | 0% | 1.7 | 12.7% | 3.8% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 6.57 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | DET | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 30 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 12.3% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.30 | 5.30 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12.3% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.30 | 5.30 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | DET | — | — | 94 | 407 | 59 | 33 | 14 | — | — | 14.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 5.80 | 5.09 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 12.3% | 9.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.30 | 4.92 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | DET | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.6% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 5.07 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | DET | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 39 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.0% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 5.00 | 4.95 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | DET | 54 | 0 | 57 | 240 | 39 | 23 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 4.96 | 4.96 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | DET | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.6% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 5.12 | 5.07 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | DET | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.0% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 5.00 | 4.95 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB | DET | 42 | 0 | 44 | 186 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 4.96 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 102 | 0 | 108 | 454 | 72 | 43 | 13 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 5.01 | 4.60 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 134 | 80 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.8% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 5.01 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 91 | 16 | 201 | 860 | 121 | 56 | 25 | 18% | 2.2 | 14.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 5.19 | 4.31 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 90 | 16 | 200 | 854 | 121 | 56 | 24 | 18% | 2.2 | 14.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 5.19 | 4.31 | +2.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Duque Hebbert (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.30 | 12.3% | 9.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.99 | 15.6% | 6.1% | 172 | -0.31 | — | — | — |
| Mark Peterson R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.15 | 11.5% | 8.5% | 3.5% | .277 | 4.72 | 15.9% | 5.6% | 112 | -0.43 | 4.62 | 185 | 90 |
| Devin Burke R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.61 | 11.7% | 7.0% | 3.0% | .275 | 3.97 | 13.7% | 8.8% | 87 | -0.64 | 3.97 | 149 | 88 |
| Robbie Aviles R 2026 · 4.77 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.77 | 11.5% | 8.7% | 2.8% | .343 | 3.62 | 12.2% | 6.5% | 58 | -1.15 | 3.62 | 172 | 88 |
| Troy Neiman R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.93 | 13.1% | 8.5% | 3.4% | .287 | 4.60 | 19.7% | 11.7% | 135 | -0.33 | 3.84 | 199 | 88 |
| David Reid-Foley R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.89 | 13.8% | 8.8% | 3.4% | .308 | 6.53 | 16.2% | 7.6% | 33 | +1.64 | 4.89 | 110 | 88 |
| Zach Nuding R 2027 · 5.09 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.09 | 12.5% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .236 | 4.99 | 12.6% | 3.3% | 106 | -0.10 | 4.99 | 146 | 88 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2027 · 4.50 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.50 | 13.6% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .286 | 4.16 | 16.1% | 7.8% | 91 | -0.34 | 3.28 | 252 | 87 |
| Jonathan Brand R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.59 | 13.6% | 10.6% | 2.4% | .284 | 3.85 | 23.0% | 12.0% | 89 | -0.74 | 3.24 | 172 | 87 |
| Kevin Johnson R 2026 · 4.59 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.59 | 11.0% | 8.5% | 2.5% | .302 | 5.48 | 9.9% | -2.0% | 26 | +0.89 | 4.59 | 106 | 86 |
| Robert Kwiatkowski R 2026 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.28 | 9.6% | 7.9% | 1.8% | .277 | 4.38 | 16.2% | 6.7% | 164 | +0.10 | 4.01 | 254 | 86 |
| Scott Burke R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.84 | 14.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | .316 | 5.01 | 14.9% | 6.7% | 61 | +0.17 | 4.84 | 119 | 86 |
| Reece Karalus R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.81 | 15.4% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .299 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.74 | 149 | 85 |
| Juan Paniagua R 2027 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 15.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .262 | 4.62 | 16.2% | 1.8% | 93 | -0.13 | 4.51 | 151 | 85 |
| Tyler Barnette R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.53 | 13.0% | 10.0% | 2.3% | .333 | 3.99 | 10.7% | -3.5% | 13 | -0.54 | 3.53 | 173 | 85 |
| Pedro Echemendia R 2027 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.76 | 15.0% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .286 | 4.02 | 11.0% | 5.9% | 72 | -0.74 | 4.02 | 141 | 84 |
| Conor Steinbaugh R 2027 · 4.77 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.77 | 16.0% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .281 | 6.87 | 14.3% | 0.8% | 39 | +2.10 | 4.77 | 107 | 84 |
| John Kuchno R 2026 · 5.66 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.66 | 8.9% | 8.7% | 4.0% | .247 | 5.21 | 10.2% | 1.6% | 84 | -0.45 | 2.43 | 162 | 84 |
| Cade Denton R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.96 | 15.9% | 11.1% | 3.3% | .345 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.36 | 127 | 84 |
| Jaime Lugo R 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.29 | 11.8% | 11.3% | 1.4% | .295 | 4.26 | 14.3% | 6.7% | 188 | -0.03 | 3.77 | 287 | 83 |
| David Berg R 2026 · 4.74 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.74 | 14.1% | 8.1% | 3.3% | .293 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.41 | 123 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 57 | 14.8% | 9.6% | 1.15 | 5.09 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Vance Worley ('17) | 3 | 77 | 15.4% | 8.5% | 1.02 | 4.73 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Adam Conley ('19) | 5 | 83 | 19.7% | 9.5% | 1.17 | 4.82 |
| Odrisamer Despaigne ('18) | 4 | 63 | 13.5% | 8.1% | 0.96 | 5.54 |