Ryan Miller
P
Albuquerque Isotopes
Age 30
RHP
6'0" / 180 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION42 act + 66 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129120vR 111
ERA4.62
FIP4.87
K%19.6%
BB%7.4%
K-BB%12.2%
ROS IP66
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 108 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p3793.6
Whiff%
p1019.6%
K%
p2819.0%
xwOBA vs
p370.327
FB+0.9 (42%)
SI (42%)
SL-1.6 (58%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 23 | A | Kane County Cougars | 27 | 0 | 55 | 238 | 36 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 2.0 | 11.2% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 3.62 | 6.02 | — |
| 2019 | 23 | A | Kane County Cougars | 27 | 0 | 55 | 238 | 36 | 17 | 7 | 0% | 2.0 | 15.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 3.62 | 4.38 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 25 | 0 | 36 | 151 | 50 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 25.5% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 5.75 | 5.78 | — |
| 2022 | 26 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 25 | 0 | 36 | 151 | 50 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.4 | 33.1% | 11.9% | 21.2% | 4.6% | 5.75 | 4.35 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 41 | 1 | 60 | 260 | 67 | 19 | 8 | 2% | 1.5 | 20.9% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 3.4% | 4.03 | 4.20 | — |
| 2023 | 27 | AA | Portland Sea Dogs | 41 | 1 | 60 | 260 | 67 | 19 | 8 | 2% | 1.5 | 25.8% | 7.3% | 18.5% | 3.1% | 4.03 | 3.55 | — |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 1 | 75 | 306 | 72 | 20 | 9 | 2% | 1.6 | 21.1% | 6.8% | 14.4% | 3.9% | 2.75 | 4.33 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 47 | 1 | 75 | 306 | 72 | 20 | 9 | 2% | 1.6 | 23.5% | 6.5% | 17.0% | 2.9% | 2.75 | 3.54 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 37 | 0 | 50 | 200 | 44 | 15 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 4.32 | 5.71 | — |
| 2025 | 29 | AAA | Toledo Mud Hens | 37 | 0 | 50 | 200 | 44 | 15 | 8 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 14.5% | 4.0% | 4.32 | 4.32 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 30 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 34 | 3 | 42 | 209 | 27 | 23 | 6 | 9% | 1.2 | 11.4% | 11.6% | -0.2% | 3.2% | 7.71 | 5.34 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | COL | 63 | 0 | 66 | 277 | 54 | 21 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 3.8% | 4.62 | 4.87 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 30 | MLB | COL | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.6% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 3.8% | 4.62 | 4.87 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 30 | MLB | COL | — | — | 108 | 486 | 81 | 44 | 17 | — | — | 16.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 5.83 | 5.05 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 30 | MLB | COL | — | — | 7 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 19.6% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 3.8% | 4.62 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | COL | 58 | 0 | 61 | 259 | 50 | 21 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 4.86 | 5.05 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | COL | 54 | 0 | 57 | 239 | 45 | 20 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 5.07 | 5.25 | -0.5 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | COL | 50 | 0 | 52 | 220 | 40 | 20 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 5.30 | 5.48 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 31 | MLB | COL | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 4.0% | 4.86 | 5.05 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 32 | MLB | COL | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 25 | 11 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 5.07 | 5.25 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 33 | MLB | COL | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 5.30 | 5.48 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 104 | 0 | 109 | 461 | 87 | 40 | 19 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 4.96 | 4.86 | +0.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 192 | 0 | 200 | 850 | 160 | 74 | 35 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 4.96 | 4.86 | +1.3 | ||
| Career | — | 211 | 5 | 318 | 1364 | 247 | 122 | 60 | 2% | 1.5 | 18.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 4.38 | 5.12 | +1.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 133 | 3 | 200 | 857 | 155 | 77 | 38 | 2% | 1.5 | 18.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 4.38 | 5.12 | +0.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ryan Miller (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.87 | 19.6% | 7.4% | 3.8% | — | 5.25 | 18.8% | 10.3% | 170 | +0.38 | — | — | — |
| Angel Castro R 2028 · 4.89 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.89 | 15.9% | 8.0% | 3.9% | .268 | 4.43 | 13.6% | 5.5% | 231 | -0.46 | 3.48 | 292 | 84 |
| Alexi Ogando R 2027 · 5.03 FIP | 31 | SU | 5.03 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 4.3% | .253 | 3.84 | 17.2% | 8.0% | 67 | -1.19 | 3.73 | 132 | 84 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.12 | 18.2% | 6.3% | 3.2% | .265 | 3.74 | 17.8% | 10.3% | 131 | -0.38 | 3.53 | 365 | 82 |
| Jean Machi R 2029 · 4.50 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.50 | 16.3% | 8.6% | 3.1% | .276 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 128 | -0.44 | 3.92 | 186 | 82 |
| David Hernandez R 2026 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 82 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.65 | 15.7% | 6.7% | 3.7% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.39 | 101 | 81 |
| Rob Wooten R 2026 · 5.26 FIP | 30 | SU | 5.26 | 19.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | .299 | 3.74 | 17.7% | 14.4% | 111 | -1.52 | 3.19 | 191 | 81 |
| Drew Storen R 2025 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 81 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.81 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .373 | 3.58 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.23 | 3.37 | 170 | 81 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2024 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 78 |
| Adam Warren R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 23.3% | 8.5% | 2.8% | .288 | 4.75 | 20.6% | 9.9% | 86 | +0.99 | 2.71 | 392 | 78 |
| Felipe Arredondo R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.08 | 14.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | .311 | 4.91 | 16.2% | 9.1% | 64 | -0.17 | 3.93 | 337 | 78 |
| Fernando Nieve R 2029 · 4.17 FIP | 33 | SU | 4.17 | 22.0% | 10.5% | 2.9% | .290 | 2.37 | 26.9% | 22.6% | 89 | -1.80 | 2.08 | 112 | 78 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2027 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 78 |
| Erik Davis R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.18 | 22.2% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .349 | 3.44 | 17.4% | 8.5% | 65 | -0.74 | 3.07 | 227 | 77 |
| Esteban Haro R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.61 | 17.1% | 10.2% | 3.0% | .338 | 3.71 | 11.6% | 6.3% | 75 | -0.90 | 3.62 | 164 | 77 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.16 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 253 | 77 |
| Adrian Garza R 2025 · 4.70 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.70 | 16.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% | .351 | 5.58 | 9.7% | 4.1% | 113 | +0.88 | 4.03 | 229 | 76 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.04 FIP | 31 | SU | 4.04 | 25.1% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .280 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 102 | 76 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2024 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 59 | 19.0% | 8.2% | 1.58 | 4.94 |
| Alex Young ('23) | 5 | 52 | 19.5% | 8.6% | 1.61 | 4.43 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Adam Morgan ('21) | 6 | 59 | 20.5% | 7.1% | 1.56 | 4.77 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Austin Voth ('24) | 6 | 58 | 22.2% | 8.2% | 1.50 | 4.63 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |