Giussepe Velasquez

Giussepe Velasquez P Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 34 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 128119vR 111

ERA4.97

FIP4.97

K%17.1%

BB%10.0%

K-BB%7.1%

ROS IP34

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 34 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies White	14	14	52	221	56	19	3	100%	3.7	17.2%	10.7%	6.5%	2.2%	2.75	4.21	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies White	14	14	52	221	56	19	3	100%	3.7	25.3%	8.6%	16.7%	1.4%	2.75	2.79	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	FCL Phillies	9	0	11	50	10	6	2	0%	1.2	13.6%	15.0%	-1.4%	5.9%	9.82	7.10	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	FCL Phillies	9	0	11	50	10	6	2	0%	1.2	20.0%	12.0%	8.0%	4.0%	9.82	5.28	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	7	42	172	50	20	5	54%	3.2	20.5%	14.1%	6.4%	3.9%	3.46	5.26	—
2023	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	7	42	172	50	20	5	54%	3.2	20.5%	14.1%	6.4%	3.9%	3.46	5.26	—
2023	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	7	42	172	50	20	5	54%	3.2	29.1%	11.6%	17.4%	2.9%	3.46	3.70	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	9	50	211	41	17	5	69%	3.9	13.8%	9.6%	4.2%	2.8%	4.47	4.71	—
2025	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	13	9	50	211	41	17	5	69%	3.9	13.8%	9.6%	4.2%	2.8%	4.47	4.71	—
2025	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	13	9	50	211	41	17	5	69%	3.9	19.4%	8.1%	11.4%	2.4%	4.47	3.78	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	27	3	70	303	67	34	15	11%	2.6	17.4%	12.1%	5.4%	5.2%	4.89	6.02	—
YTD	23	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	27	3	70	303	67	34	15	11%	2.6	17.4%	12.1%	5.4%	5.2%	4.89	6.02	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	23	A RAW	PHI	8	1	17	72	21	8	1	12%	2.1	29.2%	11.1%	18.1%	1.4%	2.16	2.81	—
2026	23	A+ RAW	PHI	18	1	50	216	45	22	11	6%	2.8	20.8%	10.2%	10.6%	5.1%	5.36	5.43	—
2026	23	AA RAW	PHI	1	1	3	15	1	4	3	100%	3.0	6.7%	26.7%	-20.0%	20.0%	12.00	16.89	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	PHI	67	0	70	297	56	28	9	0%	1.0	18.9%	9.4%	9.4%	3.0%	4.80	4.73	-0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	PHI	68	0	71	301	60	27	9	0%	1.0	19.9%	9.1%	10.8%	3.0%	4.67	4.60	-0.0
2029	26	MLB MLE	PHI	68	0	71	301	61	27	9	0%	1.0	20.4%	9.1%	11.4%	3.0%	4.59	4.55	0.0
2030	27	MLB MLE	PHI	67	0	70	296	61	27	9	0%	1.0	20.5%	9.1%	11.3%	3.0%	4.58	4.58	-0.0
2031	28	MLB MLE	PHI	65	0	68	287	58	27	9	0%	1.0	20.4%	9.3%	11.1%	3.1%	4.63	4.66	-0.1
2032	29	MLB MLE	PHI	62	0	65	274	55	26	9	0%	1.0	20.1%	9.5%	10.6%	3.3%	4.73	4.79	-0.2
2027	24	MLB CTX	PHI	29	0	30	127	24	12	4	0%	1.0	18.9%	9.4%	9.4%	3.0%	4.80	4.73	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	PHI	45	0	47	198	39	18	6	0%	1.0	19.9%	9.1%	10.8%	3.0%	4.67	4.60	-0.0
2029	26	MLB CTX	PHI	53	0	56	236	48	21	7	0%	1.1	20.4%	9.1%	11.4%	3.0%	4.59	4.55	0.0
2030	27	MLB CTX	PHI	57	0	60	253	52	23	8	0%	1.1	20.5%	9.1%	11.3%	3.0%	4.58	4.58	-0.0
2031	28	MLB CTX	PHI	58	0	61	258	52	24	8	0%	1.1	20.4%	9.3%	11.1%	3.1%	4.63	4.66	-0.1
2032	29	MLB CTX	PHI	56	0	59	249	50	24	8	0%	1.1	20.1%	9.5%	10.6%	3.3%	4.73	4.79	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		298	0	313	1323	266	122	41	0%	1.1	20.1%	9.2%	10.9%	3.1%	4.65	4.27	+1.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	170	78	26	0%	1.1	20.1%	9.2%	10.9%	3.1%	4.65	4.27	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		76	33	225	957	162	112	36	43%	3.0	16.9%	11.7%	5.2%	3.8%	4.27	5.24	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		67	29	200	849	144	100	32	43%	3.0	16.9%	11.7%	5.2%	3.8%	4.27	5.24	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Giussepe Velasquez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.97	17.1%	10.0%	3.0%	—	4.63	19.7%	10.5%	213	-0.34	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	88
Patrick Halligan R 2023 · 4.43 FIP	23	SW	4.43	18.8%	11.6%	2.6%	.330	3.73	25.0%	14.9%	174	-0.70	2.47	304	86
John Matthews R 2021 · 4.87 FIP	23	SW	4.87	18.6%	10.4%	3.7%	.351	4.75	15.5%	1.6%	145	-0.12	4.51	213	84
Hunter Hayes R 2023 · 4.53 FIP	22	SW	4.53	13.3%	9.7%	2.4%	.307	4.49	16.5%	4.0%	155	-0.04	3.34	216	83
Ben Anderson R 2021 · 4.84 FIP	23	SW	4.84	19.8%	9.4%	4.0%	.309	4.02	16.2%	7.7%	147	-0.82	3.80	399	83
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	83
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	83
Jake Christianson R 2023 · 4.00 FIP	23	SW	4.00	17.9%	10.1%	2.1%	.309	4.72	16.4%	6.1%	105	+0.72	4.00	188	83
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	82
Michael Santos R 2018 · 4.41 FIP	23	SW	4.41	17.4%	9.1%	2.9%	.289	4.87	15.0%	6.4%	49	+0.46	2.26	276	82
Anyelo Gómez R 2016 · 4.66 FIP	23	SW	4.66	17.1%	12.2%	2.7%	.292	2.66	24.2%	15.6%	68	-2.00	2.66	145	82
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	81
Houston Roth R 2021 · 4.63 FIP	23	SW	4.63	16.4%	10.5%	2.9%	.263	4.83	20.8%	8.3%	228	+0.20	3.79	406	81
Scott Burke R 2018 · 4.55 FIP	24	SW	4.55	14.2%	7.7%	3.0%	.316	5.27	14.9%	6.7%	61	+0.72	4.55	119	81
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	80
Connor Johnstone R 2018 · 4.40 FIP	23	SW	4.40	15.7%	7.6%	3.0%	.272	4.51	12.9%	7.9%	166	+0.11	3.78	319	80
Nick Lockhart R 2023 · 4.63 FIP	22	SW	4.63	16.1%	10.6%	2.8%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	4.44	140	80
Clark Beeker R 2016 · 4.04 FIP	23	SW	4.04	20.0%	7.1%	3.2%	.270	4.35	11.6%	6.4%	244	+0.31	4.04	287	80
Kyle Smith R 2016 · 5.05 FIP	23	SW	5.05	14.7%	8.7%	3.8%	.326	3.31	15.2%	9.5%	76	-1.74	3.31	159	80
Joan Gregorio R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	23	SW	4.29	18.0%	10.2%	2.6%	.269	4.18	21.1%	11.1%	208	-0.11	3.69	301	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	64	19.8%	9.3%	1.19	4.69
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Austin Voth ('24)	1.7	58	22.2%	8.2%	1.50	4.63
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Luis Cessa ('23)	2.1	53	18.3%	7.8%	1.40	4.43
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59