Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 14 | 14 | 52 | 221 | 56 | 19 | 3 | 100% | 3.7 | 17.2% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 2.75 | 4.44 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Phillies White | 14 | 14 | 52 | 221 | 56 | 19 | 3 | 100% | 3.7 | 25.3% | 8.6% | 16.7% | 1.4% | 2.75 | 2.79 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 9 | 0 | 11 | 50 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 13.6% | 15.0% | -1.4% | 6.3% | 9.82 | 7.29 | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | FCL Phillies | 9 | 0 | 11 | 50 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.0% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 9.82 | 5.28 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 7 | 42 | 172 | 50 | 20 | 5 | 54% | 3.2 | 20.5% | 14.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.46 | 5.24 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 7 | 42 | 172 | 50 | 20 | 5 | 54% | 3.2 | 29.1% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 2.9% | 3.46 | 3.70 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 9 | 50 | 211 | 41 | 17 | 5 | 69% | 3.9 | 13.8% | 9.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.47 | 4.60 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 13 | 9 | 50 | 211 | 41 | 17 | 5 | 69% | 3.9 | 19.4% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 2.4% | 4.47 | 3.78 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 17 | 2 | 49 | 220 | 45 | 27 | 13 | 12% | 2.9 | 15.4% | 12.9% | 2.5% | 7.4% | 5.92 | 7.46 | -1.7 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | PHI | 33 | 0 | 34 | 145 | 31 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.56 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 83 | 365 | 76 | 41 | 17 | — | — | 20.8% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 5.36 | 6.26 | -1.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 23 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 4.56 | 4.18 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 34 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 33 | 14 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 34 | 0 | 36 | 151 | 34 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 34 | 0 | 36 | 151 | 34 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.7% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 34 | 0 | 35 | 149 | 34 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 33 | 13 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | PHI | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB | PHI | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.5% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.39 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB | PHI | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 27 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB | PHI | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 29 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.7% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.36 | +0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 29 | 0 | 30 | 127 | 29 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 3.1% | 4.40 | 4.44 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 122 | 0 | 128 | 539 | 122 | 48 | 16 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 3.99 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 75 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.38 | 3.99 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 66 | 32 | 204 | 874 | 143 | 104 | 37 | 48% | 3.1 | 16.4% | 11.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.46 | 5.56 | -0.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 31 | 200 | 857 | 140 | 102 | 36 | 48% | 3.1 | 16.4% | 11.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.46 | 5.56 | -0.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Giussepe Velasquez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.56 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.36 | 22.4% | 13.4% | 107 | -0.20 | — | — | — |
| Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 85 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 84 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.40 | 18.8% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .330 | 3.82 | 25.6% | 15.0% | 145 | -0.58 | 2.52 | 275 | 83 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 83 |
| John Matthews R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 83 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 83 |
| Clark Beeker R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 82 |
| Colin Fields R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 82 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 81 |
| Brett Gillis R 2028 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 81 |
| Michael Santos R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.50 | 17.4% | 9.1% | 3.1% | .289 | 4.91 | 15.0% | 6.4% | 49 | +0.41 | 2.26 | 276 | 81 |
| Ben Anderson R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 80 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 80 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.29 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 5.23 | 16.8% | 4.6% | 91 | +0.94 | 4.03 | 161 | 80 |
| Adam Leverett R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.08 | 20.6% | 9.3% | 4.6% | .338 | 4.11 | 13.8% | 4.8% | 154 | -0.97 | 3.26 | 376 | 80 |
| Ray Gaither R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 79 |
| Brendan Collins R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 79 |
| Tristan Stevens R 2028 · 4.28 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.28 | 17.3% | 8.2% | 2.9% | .411 | 3.71 | 15.0% | 7.7% | 91 | -0.57 | 3.71 | 126 | 79 |
| Evan McKendry R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.24 | 18.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | .256 | 5.40 | 18.7% | 11.6% | 324 | +1.16 | 4.14 | 474 | 79 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 6 | 35 | 22.3% | 9.1% | 1.17 | 4.42 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |