Giussepe Velasquez P Jersey Shore BlueClaws
Age 23 RHP 6'1" / 170 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 34 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122113vR 104
ERA4.56
FIP4.56
K%21.2%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%11.6%
ROS IP34
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 83 IP
K: -1.3 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -2.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-3BBCONTACT: -15.1 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-15CONTACTSTAM: +7.9 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+8STAMTotal WAR: -1.19 (83 IP)-1.2WAR
0.00.10.10.10.10.026283031
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202118ROKDSL Phillies White14145222156193100%3.717.2%10.7%6.5%2.6%2.754.44
202118ROKDSL Phillies White14145222156193100%3.725.3%8.6%16.7%1.4%2.752.79
202219ROKFCL Phillies90115010620%1.213.6%15.0%-1.4%6.3%9.827.29
202219ROKFCL Phillies90115010620%1.220.0%12.0%8.0%4.0%9.825.28
202320MIX2 levels137421725020554%3.220.5%14.1%6.4%3.8%3.465.24
202320MIX2 levels137421725020554%3.229.1%11.6%17.4%2.9%3.463.70
202522MIX2 levels139502114117569%3.913.8%9.6%4.2%2.6%4.474.60
202522MIX2 levels139502114117569%3.919.4%8.1%11.4%2.4%4.473.78
▸ 2026 Season
202623AAReading Fightin Phils1724922045271312%2.915.4%12.9%2.5%7.4%5.927.46-1.7
ROS23MLBPHI33034145311440%1.021.2%9.6%11.6%3.0%4.564.56-0.0
ROS23MLBPHI021.2%9.6%11.6%3.0%4.564.56
2026 TOT23MLBPHI8336576411720.8%11.2%9.6%4.8%5.366.26-1.2
2026 FULL23MLBPHI0100021.2%9.6%11.7%3.0%4.564.18+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724MLBPHI34035149331440%1.022.0%9.1%12.9%3.0%4.474.42+0.1
202825MLBPHI34036151341340%1.122.5%8.9%13.6%3.0%4.394.34+0.1
202926MLBPHI34036151341340%1.122.7%8.9%13.9%3.0%4.354.32+0.1
203027MLBPHI34035149341340%1.022.7%8.9%13.8%3.0%4.354.36+0.1
203128MLBPHI32034144331350%1.122.6%9.1%13.5%3.1%4.404.44+0.0
202724MLBPHI140156314620%1.122.0%9.1%12.9%3.0%4.474.42+0.0
202825MLBPHI2302410123930%1.022.5%8.9%13.6%3.0%4.394.34+0.1
202926MLBPHI27028118271040%1.022.7%8.9%13.9%3.0%4.354.32+0.1
203027MLBPHI29030127291140%1.022.7%8.9%13.8%3.0%4.354.36+0.1
203128MLBPHI29030127291240%1.022.6%9.1%13.5%3.1%4.404.44+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career122012853912248160%1.022.6%9.0%13.6%3.0%4.383.99+2.1
/ 200 IP190020084419175250%1.122.6%9.0%13.6%3.0%4.383.99+3.3
Career66322048741431043748%3.116.4%11.9%4.5%4.3%4.465.56-0.4
/ 200 IP65312008571401023648%3.116.4%11.9%4.5%4.3%4.465.56-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Giussepe Velasquez (OGILVIE) 4.56 21.2%9.6%3.0% 4.36 22.4%13.4%107 -0.20
Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.28 FIP 24 SP- 4.28 23.3%9.3%3.6%.260 4.34 20.5%11.0%189 +0.06 3.68 323 85
Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.89 FIP 23 SW 3.89 21.8%8.6%2.8%.293 4.63 20.4%9.0%33 +0.74 2.08 276 84
Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.40 FIP 23 SW 4.40 18.8%11.6%2.6%.330 3.82 25.6%15.0%145 -0.58 2.52 275 83
Shohei Tomioka R 2028 · 4.06 FIP 25 SW 4.06 18.9%9.0%2.6%.311 4.48 17.3%3.8%141 +0.42 3.63 281 83
John Matthews R 2026 · 4.88 FIP 23 SW 4.88 18.6%10.4%3.7%.351 4.67 15.5%1.6%145 -0.21 4.40 213 83
Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.98 FIP 23 SP- 3.98 21.2%8.7%2.9%.374 4.64 20.5%7.6%188 +0.66 3.18 234 83
Clark Beeker R 2026 · 4.04 FIP 23 SW 4.04 20.0%7.1%3.2%.270 4.35 11.6%6.4%244 +0.31 4.04 287 82
Colin Fields R 2026 · 3.48 FIP 23 SP- 3.48 20.5%10.3%1.5%.246 4.20 21.6%12.8%184 +0.72 3.07 229 82
Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.34 FIP 23 SP- 4.34 18.4%11.5%2.4%.306 4.68 16.2%5.7%316 +0.34 3.90 371 81
Brett Gillis R 2028 · 3.37 FIP 25 SP- 3.37 20.3%8.8%1.6%.278 5.10 15.8%6.7%73 +1.73 3.37 119 81
Michael Santos R 2026 · 4.50 FIP 23 SW 4.50 17.4%9.1%3.1%.289 4.91 15.0%6.4%49 +0.41 2.26 276 81
Ben Anderson R 2026 · 5.05 FIP 23 SW 5.05 19.8%9.4%4.4%.309 3.93 16.2%7.7%147 -1.12 3.71 361 80
Brad Deppermann R 2028 · 4.65 FIP 25 SW 4.65 17.1%9.6%3.2%.289 3.44 20.0%7.8%45 -1.21 1.94 143 80
Danny Kirwin R 2027 · 4.29 FIP 24 SW 4.29 17.9%9.9%2.6%.262 5.23 16.8%4.6%91 +0.94 4.03 161 80
Adam Leverett R 2026 · 5.08 FIP 23 SW 5.08 20.6%9.3%4.6%.338 4.11 13.8%4.8%154 -0.97 3.26 376 80
Ray Gaither R 2027 · 4.91 FIP 24 SP- 4.91 21.9%13.2%3.6%.314 4.49 18.6%4.7%123 -0.42 4.16 164 79
Brendan Collins R 2025 · 3.60 FIP 22 SW 3.60 21.8%10.3%1.9%.294 3.85 20.2%5.1%54 +0.25 3.60 122 79
Tristan Stevens R 2028 · 4.28 FIP 25 SW 4.28 17.3%8.2%2.9%.411 3.71 15.0%7.7%91 -0.57 3.71 126 79
Evan McKendry R 2026 · 4.24 FIP 23 SW 4.24 18.4%5.5%3.6%.256 5.40 18.7%11.6%324 +1.16 4.14 474 79
Nathanael Santiago R 2028 · 3.47 FIP 25 SP- 3.47 20.3%11.4%1.2%.286 3.51 23.2%10.9%71 +0.04 2.45 138 79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION63522.3%9.1%1.174.42
Jacob Barnes ('24)74222.1%9.6%1.214.58
Shane Greene ('21)75621.4%8.5%1.164.67
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21
Bryan Shaw ('23)86421.4%9.4%1.124.19
Drew VerHagen ('23)64319.7%9.4%1.404.82