Zuher Yousuf — OGILVIE

Zuher Yousuf P Clearwater Threshers

Age 20 LHP 5'10" / 174 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 0.6 · 2031

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 26 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107115vR 123

ERA4.73

FIP4.73

K%21.3%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%9.8%

ROS IP27

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 26 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$45M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5060

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-2	$1M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.8M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$5M		$10M	+$8M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	15	0	37	159	49	17	0	0%	2.5	21.0%	13.4%	7.6%	0.0%	3.62	3.02	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies Red	15	0	37	159	49	17	0	0%	2.5	21.0%	13.4%	7.6%	0.0%	3.62	3.02	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies Red	15	0	37	159	49	17	0	0%	2.5	30.8%	10.7%	20.1%	0.0%	3.62	1.84	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	8	49	202	55	19	3	67%	4.1	19.2%	11.4%	7.8%	1.9%	1.65	3.99	—
2025	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	8	49	202	55	19	3	67%	4.1	19.2%	11.4%	7.8%	1.9%	1.65	3.99	—
2025	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	8	49	202	55	19	3	67%	4.1	27.2%	9.4%	17.8%	1.5%	1.65	2.81	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	24	15	79	364	72	31	8	62%	3.3	14.6%	10.0%	4.6%	2.9%	5.83	4.71	—
YTD	20	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	24	15	79	364	72	31	8	62%	3.3	14.6%	10.0%	4.6%	2.9%	5.83	4.71	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	A RAW	PHI	24	15	79	364	72	31	8	62%	3.3	19.8%	8.5%	11.3%	2.2%	5.83	3.71	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	PHI	13	13	81	342	75	36	10	100%	6.2	21.9%	10.6%	11.3%	2.8%	4.59	4.53	+0.3
2028	22	MLB MLE	PHI	14	14	85	358	82	35	10	100%	6.1	22.8%	9.6%	13.2%	2.8%	4.41	4.31	+0.6
2029	23	MLB MLE	PHI	14	14	88	372	87	34	10	100%	6.3	23.5%	9.0%	14.4%	2.8%	4.25	4.15	+0.8
2030	24	MLB MLE	PHI	15	15	90	381	92	33	10	100%	6.0	24.0%	8.7%	15.3%	2.7%	4.13	4.05	+0.9
2031	25	MLB MLE	PHI	15	15	91	386	94	33	10	100%	6.1	24.4%	8.5%	15.8%	2.7%	4.05	3.99	+1.0
2032	26	MLB MLE	PHI	15	15	91	386	95	33	10	100%	6.1	24.6%	8.5%	16.1%	2.7%	4.00	3.97	+1.0
2033	27	MLB MLE	PHI	14	14	90	380	93	33	11	100%	6.4	24.6%	8.6%	16.0%	2.8%	4.00	4.01	+1.0
2034	28	MLB MLE	PHI	14	14	87	369	90	32	11	100%	6.2	24.4%	8.7%	15.7%	2.9%	4.06	4.09	+0.8
2035	29	MLB MLE	PHI	13	13	83	352	85	32	11	100%	6.4	24.2%	8.9%	15.2%	3.0%	4.16	4.22	+0.7
2036	30	MLB MLE	PHI	13	13	78	331	86	28	11	100%	6.0	25.9%	8.5%	17.4%	3.2%	4.14	4.13	+0.7
2027	21	MLB CTX	PHI	6	6	40	169	37	18	5	100%	6.7	21.9%	10.6%	11.3%	3.0%	4.70	4.64	+0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	PHI	10	10	62	262	60	25	8	100%	6.2	22.8%	9.6%	13.2%	3.0%	4.52	4.42	+0.4
2029	23	MLB CTX	PHI	12	12	74	312	73	28	9	100%	6.2	23.5%	9.0%	14.4%	3.0%	4.36	4.26	+0.7
2030	24	MLB CTX	PHI	13	13	80	338	81	29	10	100%	6.2	24.0%	8.7%	15.3%	2.9%	4.24	4.16	+0.8
2031	25	MLB CTX	PHI	14	14	84	355	86	30	10	100%	6.0	24.4%	8.5%	15.8%	2.9%	4.16	4.10	+0.9
2032	26	MLB CTX	PHI	14	14	85	359	88	30	10	100%	6.1	24.6%	8.5%	16.1%	2.9%	4.11	4.08	+0.9
2033	27	MLB CTX	PHI	14	14	86	363	89	31	11	100%	6.1	24.6%	8.6%	16.0%	3.0%	4.11	4.12	+0.9
2034	28	MLB CTX	PHI	13	13	83	350	86	31	11	100%	6.4	24.4%	8.7%	15.7%	3.1%	4.17	4.20	+0.8
2035	29	MLB CTX	PHI	13	13	79	334	81	30	11	100%	6.1	24.2%	8.9%	15.2%	3.2%	4.28	4.34	+0.6
2036	30	MLB CTX	PHI	12	12	74	312	81	26	11	100%	6.2	25.9%	8.5%	17.4%	3.4%	4.27	4.26	+0.7
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		120	120	748	3157	763	280	96	100%	6.2	24.2%	8.9%	15.3%	3.0%	4.26	3.85	+9.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		32	32	200	844	204	75	26	100%	6.2	24.2%	8.9%	15.3%	3.0%	4.26	3.85	+2.5
Career	—	MLE		51	23	165	725	125	81	14	45%	3.2	17.3%	11.1%	6.1%	2.0%	4.09	4.14	+4.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		62	28	200	879	152	98	17	45%	3.2	17.3%	11.1%	6.1%	2.0%	4.09	4.14	+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zuher Yousuf (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.73	21.3%	11.5%	2.9%	—	4.32	22.8%	13.0%	254	-0.41	—	—	—
Sonny Vargas L 2021 · 4.54 FIP	20	SP-	4.54	21.0%	10.1%	3.5%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	165	85
Alex Ayala Jr. L 2022 · 4.20 FIP	20	SW	4.20	20.7%	12.3%	2.3%	.271	5.99	13.6%	-3.1%	71	+1.79	4.20	128	85
Raúl Alcantara L 2021 · 4.31 FIP	20	SP-	4.31	19.6%	12.8%	2.3%	.295	4.50	19.0%	4.2%	229	+0.19	3.82	396	84
Benony Robles L 2021 · 3.65 FIP	20	SP-	3.65	22.3%	10.1%	2.1%	.262	5.09	19.2%	4.5%	135	+1.44	3.65	271	84
Thomas Ireland L 2023 · 4.64 FIP	21	SP-	4.64	16.7%	8.7%	3.4%	.286	3.80	17.3%	7.9%	201	-0.84	2.95	245	83
Matt Osterberg L 2021 · 3.88 FIP	22	SW	3.88	20.2%	12.3%	1.7%	.255	4.04	15.6%	9.3%	274	+0.16	3.70	294	81
Bodi Rascon L 2021 · 4.18 FIP	20	SP-	4.18	15.4%	8.8%	2.3%	.271	5.30	15.7%	3.9%	143	+1.12	4.18	218	80
Steven Pérez L 2021 · 5.07 FIP	20	SW	5.07	18.3%	11.4%	3.8%	.305	4.81	20.2%	5.6%	116	-0.26	3.71	354	79
Kyle Twomey L 2016 · 4.07 FIP	22	SP-	4.07	17.6%	10.5%	2.1%	.298	3.96	14.8%	6.9%	68	-0.11	3.96	141	78
Blake Townsend L 2021 · 3.78 FIP	20	SP-	3.78	26.7%	11.2%	2.8%	.286	4.01	18.5%	4.8%	96	+0.23	3.34	305	77
Pablo Aldonis L 2022 · 4.19 FIP	20	SP-	4.19	20.7%	8.0%	3.3%	.324	2.64	21.9%	13.1%	68	-1.55	1.89	135	77
Franklin Dacosta L 2019 · 3.78 FIP	19	SP-	3.78	15.9%	8.1%	1.8%	.274	3.72	21.2%	13.5%	118	-0.06	2.83	247	77
Conner Menez L 2016 · 4.10 FIP	21	SP-	4.10	16.0%	8.5%	2.3%	.282	3.83	21.9%	10.7%	377	-0.27	2.03	503	77
Bryan Sammons L 2017 · 3.58 FIP	22	SP-	3.58	22.7%	10.5%	1.9%	.275	3.96	18.4%	8.4%	228	+0.38	3.58	688	77
Carlos Meza L 2021 · 5.03 FIP	20	SP-	5.03	15.5%	12.2%	3.1%	.325	4.67	20.6%	4.4%	138	-0.36	3.72	229	77
Joe Kemlage L 2022 · 4.42 FIP	23	SW	4.42	19.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.278	5.35	17.6%	5.9%	65	+0.93	4.42	128	77
Bailey Horn L 2021 · 4.99 FIP	23	SP-	4.99	19.7%	12.7%	3.6%	.300	4.64	21.9%	9.9%	152	-0.35	3.96	265	77
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	76
Jack Patterson L 2018 · 4.72 FIP	22	SP-	4.72	14.7%	8.0%	3.4%	.299	3.10	19.4%	7.9%	80	-1.62	3.10	127	76
Elier Morillo L 2023 · 4.12 FIP	17	SP-	4.12	18.1%	12.7%	1.7%	.418	4.31	28.7%	8.3%	89	+0.19	2.67	115	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.5	81	23.9%	9.0%	1.10	4.19
Vince Velasquez ('23)	3.8	85	24.9%	9.3%	1.48	4.88
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Alex Wood ('24)	5.0	111	21.6%	7.0%	0.96	3.98
Jon Gray ('24)	6.1	122	23.4%	7.8%	1.15	4.45
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Ross Stripling ('24)	4.2	94	20.9%	5.6%	1.32	4.17