Alejandro Chiquillo
P
Hickory Crawdads
Age 23
RHP
6'1" / 180 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 17 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
K%22.9%
BB%9.4%
K-BB%13.5%
ROS IP17
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 58 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 7 | 6 | 27 | 103 | 30 | 10 | 0 | 86% | 3.9 | 19.8% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 0.0% | 0.67 | 2.96 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | DSL Rangers Red | 7 | 6 | 27 | 103 | 30 | 10 | 0 | 86% | 3.9 | 29.1% | 9.7% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 0.67 | 1.99 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 9 | 4 | 29 | 136 | 37 | 12 | 3 | 44% | 3.3 | 18.5% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 6.75 | 3.99 | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 9 | 4 | 29 | 136 | 37 | 12 | 3 | 44% | 3.3 | 27.2% | 8.8% | 18.4% | 2.2% | 6.75 | 3.13 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | A | Hickory Crawdads | 11 | 8 | 41 | 164 | 37 | 15 | 4 | 73% | 3.7 | 16.7% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.10 | 5.07 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TEX | 3 | 3 | 17 | 72 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 23 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.35 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 23 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 58 | 236 | 53 | 22 | 6 | — | — | 22.7% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 2.6% | 3.47 | 4.86 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 4 | 4 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 5.0 | 23.5% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 4.23 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | TEX | 2 | 2 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 4.5 | 23.5% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 4.23 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 100% | 4.3 | 23.5% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 3.85 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 36 | 36 | 200 | 844 | 187 | 70 | 23 | 100% | 5.6 | 23.5% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 2.9% | 4.28 | 3.85 | +3.6 | ||
| Career | — | 27 | 18 | 97 | 403 | 73 | 45 | 9 | 67% | 3.6 | 18.1% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 3.53 | 4.17 | +1.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 56 | 37 | 200 | 831 | 150 | 93 | 18 | 67% | 3.6 | 18.1% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 2.1% | 3.53 | 4.17 | +2.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alejandro Chiquillo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 22.9% | 9.4% | 2.9% | — | 4.23 | 23.5% | 14.5% | 20 | -0.12 | — | — | — |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 86 |
| Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 85 |
| Michael Knorr R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 85 |
| Andrew Quezada R 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.35 | 18.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | .312 | 4.78 | 14.6% | 6.1% | 291 | +0.43 | 4.25 | 412 | 83 |
| Ricky Castro R 2027 · 3.93 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.93 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% | .287 | 4.58 | 19.4% | 11.0% | 140 | +0.65 | 3.90 | 202 | 81 |
| Ray Gaither R 2027 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 81 |
| Colin Fields R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 81 |
| Ryan Jennings R 2027 · 3.29 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.29 | 23.4% | 11.9% | 1.2% | .316 | 4.60 | 23.0% | 9.5% | 109 | +1.31 | 3.29 | 142 | 81 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 80 |
| Ryan Atkinson R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.58 | 18.4% | 11.3% | 2.9% | .315 | 4.53 | 21.6% | 9.0% | 305 | -0.05 | 4.07 | 338 | 80 |
| Keith Rogalla R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.55 | 21.2% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .344 | 3.62 | 18.0% | 5.9% | 65 | +0.07 | 3.00 | 113 | 80 |
| Brett Gillis R 2028 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 79 |
| Rico Garcia R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.21 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .316 | 3.82 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 296 | +0.61 | 3.21 | 566 | 79 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 78 |
| Blair Henley R 2027 · 4.80 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.80 | 20.8% | 12.2% | 3.5% | .450 | 4.58 | 17.9% | 4.8% | 170 | -0.22 | 3.80 | 187 | 78 |
| Nick Fraze R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.68 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | .271 | 4.64 | 18.1% | 10.2% | 162 | -0.04 | 3.81 | 278 | 78 |
| Sam Benschoter R 2027 · 3.96 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.96 | 26.3% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .344 | 5.03 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 306 | +1.07 | 3.58 | 426 | 78 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.43 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 195 | -0.13 | 2.97 | 258 | 78 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 78 |
| J.C. Flowers R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.39 | 21.3% | 8.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 4.95 | 16.5% | 1.9% | 184 | +1.56 | 3.39 | 281 | 77 |