Jay Thomason
3B Cedar Rapids Kernels| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AMIN | 85 | .213/.306/.320 | 2 | 1 | 29 | — | .154/.224/.244 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+/A/ROKMIN | 247 | .244/.402/.477 | 10 | 28 | 84 | — | .188/.307/.376 |
| 2026 | 24 | AA/A+MIN | 347 | .297/.401/.454 | 11 | 27 | 91 | — | .244/.326/.362 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBMIN | 1 | .227/.307/.369 | 0 | 0 | 91 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ38% MLB | 26 | MLBMIN | 89 | .230/.310/.382 | 3 | 3 | 95 | 0.2 | |
| 2029PROJ52% MLB | 27 | MLBMIN | 139 | .230/.309/.380 | 4 | 4 | 95 | 0.3 |
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 60
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 85 | 75 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 306 | 320 | 626 | 107 | 246 | 19 | 12 | 289 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 68 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 167 | 242 | 333 | 576 | 167 | 211 | 32 | 7 | 251 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 161 | 121 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 38 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 298 | 469 | 579 | 1.047 | 281 | 368 | 24 | 21 | 454 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | ROK | FCL Twins | — | 18 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 389 | 167 | 556 | 83 | 167 | 33 | 33 | 304 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 136 | 119 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 33 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 303 | 385 | 429 | 814 | 126 | 390 | 24 | 10 | 365 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 211 | 174 | 51 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 54 | 2 | 18 | 3 | 293 | 411 | 471 | 883 | 178 | 383 | 26 | 16 | 391 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 85 | 78 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 154 | 224 | 244 | 467 | 90 | 195 | 26 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 68 | 61 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 131 | 197 | 279 | 476 | 148 | 180 | 43 | 6 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 161 | 133 | 30 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 52 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 226 | 356 | 444 | 800 | 218 | 302 | 32 | 14 | 347 | 121 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | ROK MLE | FCL Twins | — | 18 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 278 | 143 | 421 | 71 | 118 | 50 | 22 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Wichita Wind Surge | — | 136 | 123 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 40 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 260 | 326 | 358 | 684 | 98 | 359 | 29 | 7 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 211 | 184 | 43 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 69 | 2 | 18 | 3 | 234 | 325 | 364 | 689 | 130 | 322 | 33 | 11 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 85 | 78 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 154 | 224 | 244 | 467 | 90 | 185 | 26 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A RAW | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 85 | 75 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 213 | 306 | 320 | 626 | 107 | 246 | 19 | 12 | 289 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 247 | 209 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 89 | 6 | 28 | 2 | 187 | 303 | 373 | 676 | 187 | 263 | 36 | 12 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 247 | 193 | 47 | 11 | 2 | 10 | 45 | 66 | 6 | 28 | 2 | 244 | 402 | 477 | 878 | 233 | 308 | 27 | 18 | 387 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 347 | 307 | 75 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 109 | 5 | 27 | 9 | 244 | 326 | 368 | 694 | 124 | 346 | 31 | 9 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 347 | 293 | 87 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 46 | 87 | 5 | 27 | 9 | 297 | 401 | 454 | 855 | 157 | 386 | 25 | 13 | 381 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 85 | 78 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 154 | 224 | 244 | 467 | 90 | 195 | 26 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 247 | 210 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 89 | 6 | 28 | 2 | 186 | 303 | 371 | 675 | 186 | 255 | 36 | 12 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 347 | 307 | 75 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 109 | 5 | 27 | 9 | 244 | 326 | 368 | 694 | 124 | 337 | 31 | 9 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 85 | 78 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 154 | 224 | 244 | 467 | 90 | 195 | 26 | 8 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 247 | 210 | 39 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 89 | 6 | 28 | 2 | 186 | 303 | 371 | 675 | 186 | 255 | 36 | 12 | 293 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 347 | 307 | 75 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 109 | 5 | 27 | 9 | 244 | 326 | 368 | 694 | 124 | 337 | 31 | 9 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIN | 0% | 380 | 338 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 34 | 104 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 227 | 307 | 368 | 675 | 142 | 291 | 27 | 9 | 303 | 91 | -4 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +8 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIN | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 307 | 369 | 676 | 142 | 291 | 0 | 0 | 304 | 91 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIN | 38% | 235 | 209 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 64 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 230 | 310 | 381 | 691 | 151 | 291 | 27 | 9 | 309 | 95 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIN | 52% | 267 | 238 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 72 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 229 | 309 | 380 | 689 | 150 | 290 | 27 | 9 | 308 | 95 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIN | 60% | 286 | 255 | 59 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 77 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 228 | 308 | 376 | 684 | 148 | 289 | 27 | 9 | 306 | 93 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIN | 62% | 290 | 259 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 78 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 227 | 305 | 371 | 677 | 145 | 288 | 27 | 9 | 303 | 91 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | 0.3 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIN | 63% | 290 | 259 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 78 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 224 | 302 | 365 | 667 | 141 | 286 | 27 | 9 | 300 | 89 | -4 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +6 | 0.2 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB MLE | MIN | 63% | 276 | 247 | 54 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 76 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 220 | 297 | 354 | 652 | 135 | 282 | 28 | 9 | 293 | 85 | -5 | -0 | -3 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIN | 38% | 89 | 80 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 230 | 310 | 382 | 692 | 152 | 291 | 27 | 9 | 310 | 95 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIN | 52% | 139 | 123 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 37 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 230 | 309 | 380 | 690 | 151 | 291 | 27 | 9 | 309 | 95 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | 0.3 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIN | 60% | 171 | 152 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 46 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 229 | 308 | 377 | 685 | 148 | 289 | 27 | 9 | 307 | 93 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIN | 62% | 179 | 159 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 48 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 227 | 305 | 372 | 677 | 145 | 288 | 27 | 9 | 304 | 91 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIN | 63% | 182 | 162 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 49 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 224 | 302 | 366 | 668 | 141 | 286 | 27 | 9 | 300 | 89 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB CTX | MIN | 63% | 175 | 156 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 48 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 220 | 297 | 355 | 652 | 135 | 282 | 27 | 9 | 294 | 85 | -3 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 935 | 832 | 190 | 32 | 5 | 27 | 83 | 252 | 11 | 21 | 7 | 228 | 307 | 376 | 683 | 148 | 292 | 27 | 9 | 303 | 88 | -10 | +1 | -4 | +3 | +20 | 1.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 578 | 132 | 22 | 3 | 19 | 58 | 175 | 8 | 15 | 5 | 228 | 307 | 375 | 683 | 147 | 292 | 27 | 9 | 303 | 88 | -7 | +1 | -3 | +2 | +14 | 0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2530 | 2244 | 499 | 79 | 11 | 73 | 234 | 721 | 32 | 100 | 28 | 222 | 305 | 365 | 670 | 143 | 291 | 28 | 9 | 299 | 88 | -19 | +2 | -7 | +7 | +40 | 2.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 577 | 128 | 20 | 3 | 19 | 60 | 185 | 8 | 26 | 7 | 222 | 304 | 366 | 670 | 144 | 290 | 28 | 9 | 299 | 88 | -7 | +1 | -2 | +2 | +14 | 0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 211 PAwOBA .385 → .302 (−83)K% 25.6% → 32.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.59% | ÷1.000 | ×1.270 | — | — | 32.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 10.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.95% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.958 | ×0.988 | 26.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×0.958 | ×0.988 | 3.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.958 | ×0.988 | 1.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 4.61% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.
Result: wOBA .385 → .302; ISO .178 → .138; BABIP .383 → .322. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAWichita Wind Surge · 136 PAwOBA .356 → .302 (−54)K% 24.3% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.26% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 6.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.21% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 1.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 31.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 2.98% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.006 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.77% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .356 → .302; ISO .126 → .101; BABIP .390 → .359. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 161 PAwOBA .446 → .347 (−99)K% 23.6% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.60% | ÷0.994 | ×1.360 | — | — | 32.29% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 21.12% | ÷1.054 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 13.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.11% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 2.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.89% | ÷1.029 | ×0.920 | ×0.965 | ×0.990 | 19.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.64% | ÷1.032 | ×0.830 | ×0.965 | ×0.990 | 7.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.20% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.965 | ×0.990 | 1.05% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.64% | ÷0.898 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 8.50% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 106, 2B 106, 3B 100, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .446 → .347; ISO .281 → .240; BABIP .368 → .302. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 68 PAwOBA .252 → .194 (−58)K% 32.4% → 42.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.35% | ÷0.979 | ×1.270 | — | — | 41.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.35% | ÷0.989 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.47% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.16% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 12.01% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.088 | ×0.810 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 3.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.63% | ÷0.943 | ×0.850 | ×0.984 | ×0.998 | 2.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.962 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 4.37% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 98, 2B 118, 3B 89, K 96, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.984.
Result: wOBA .252 → .194; ISO .167 → .126; BABIP .211 → .180. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Twins · 18 PAwOBA .299 → .187 (−112)K% 33.3% → 48.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.998 | ×1.440 | — | — | 48.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 33.33% | ÷0.981 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 20.34% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.028 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷0.979 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 11.83% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.006 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 106, 2B 96, 3B 100, K 100, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .299 → .187; ISO .083 → .056; BABIP .167 → .118. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 85 PAwOBA .282 → .211 (−71)K% 18.8% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.82% | ÷0.994 | ×1.360 | — | — | 25.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.76% | ÷0.976 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.32% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.34% | ÷1.096 | ×0.920 | ×0.957 | — | 16.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.39% | ÷1.019 | ×0.830 | ×0.957 | — | 2.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.962 | ×0.910 | ×0.957 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.39% | ÷0.962 | ×0.800 | — | — | 2.82% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 119, 2B 104, 3B 92, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .282 → .211; ISO .107 → .083; BABIP .246 → .195. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).