Jay Thomason3B
Cedar Rapids Kernels
Age 24
L/R
6'1" / 200 lbs
A+
BB +3%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.4 · 2029
wRC+†62
AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .298 / .369
PA194
HR6
SB7
K%31
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
50→50
PWR
60→60
SPD
60→60
EYE
60→60
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.4peak
2030
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +1.3 | $12M | +$11M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +1.2 | $11M | +$10M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +1.1 | $11M | +$10M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.8 | $4M | +$2M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $2M | +0.6 | $3M | +$1M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +0.3 | $2M | +$0.6M |
| Totals | $7M | $42M | +$35M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 85 | 77 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .169 | .247 | .273 | .520 | .104 | .212 | 27 | 9 | .218 | 25 | -7 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +2 | -0.5 |
| 2025 | 23 | A | 3 teams | 247 | 207 | 40 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 31 | 92 | 6 | 28 | 2 | .193 | .316 | .386 | .702 | .193 | .284 | 37 | 13 | .303 | 90 | -3 | +5 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 1.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 43 | 38 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 3 | 0 | .132 | .233 | .158 | .390 | .026 | .333 | 53 | 12 | .173 | -9 | -5 | +1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | MIN | 151 | 134 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 49 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .209 | .293 | .351 | .644 | .142 | .295 | 32 | 9 | .293 | 82 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.2 |
| TOT | 24 | MLB | MIN | 194 | 172 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 72 | 2 | 7 | 1 | .192 | .280 | .308 | .588 | .116 | .299 | 37 | 10 | .266 | 62 | -8 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 10% | MIN | 246 | 216 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 66 | 3 | 7 | 1 | .222 | .311 | .384 | .696 | .162 | .279 | 27 | 10 | .310 | 95 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +7 | 0.8 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 25% | MIN | 319 | 280 | 64 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 85 | 4 | 8 | 1 | .229 | .316 | .400 | .716 | .171 | .282 | 27 | 10 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +9 | 1.2 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 43% | MIN | 357 | 314 | 72 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 36 | 94 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .229 | .316 | .398 | .714 | .169 | .282 | 26 | 10 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +1 | +0 | +1 | +10 | 1.4 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 52% | MIN | 380 | 334 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 39 | 101 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .231 | .318 | .401 | .719 | .171 | .282 | 27 | 10 | .317 | 100 | +0 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +11 | 1.3 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 63% | MIN | 387 | 340 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 104 | 4 | 9 | 1 | .226 | .315 | .394 | .709 | .168 | .281 | 27 | 10 | .314 | 99 | -1 | +1 | -1 | +1 | +11 | 1.2 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 73% | MIN | 390 | 343 | 77 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 106 | 4 | 9 | 0 | .224 | .313 | .391 | .703 | .166 | .280 | 27 | 10 | .311 | 96 | -2 | +2 | -2 | +1 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 81% | MIN | 381 | 335 | 74 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 105 | 4 | 8 | 0 | .221 | .310 | .379 | .689 | .158 | .278 | 28 | 10 | .308 | 94 | -3 | +2 | -3 | +1 | +11 | 0.8 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB 88% | MIN | 366 | 322 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 37 | 103 | 4 | 7 | 0 | .214 | .303 | .366 | .669 | .152 | .276 | 28 | 10 | .303 | 90 | -4 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +10 | 0.6 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | MIN | 338 | 298 | 63 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 97 | 3 | 7 | 0 | .211 | .299 | .356 | .654 | .144 | .275 | 29 | 10 | .297 | 86 | -5 | +1 | -4 | +1 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | MIN | 296 | 261 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 88 | 3 | 6 | 0 | .203 | .293 | .337 | .630 | .134 | .273 | 30 | 10 | .291 | 81 | -6 | +1 | -5 | +1 | +8 | -0.1 |
| 2037 | 35 | MLB | MIN | 245 | 217 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 75 | 2 | 5 | 0 | .203 | .288 | .341 | .629 | .138 | .270 | 31 | 10 | .283 | 75 | -7 | +1 | -6 | +1 | +7 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4188 | 3678 | 799 | 143 | 21 | 133 | 429 | 1188 | 47 | 117 | 9 | .217 | .307 | .376 | .683 | .159 | .280 | 28 | 10 | .305 | 91 | -41 | +20 | -25 | +15 | +119 | 8.9 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 571 | 124 | 22 | 3 | 21 | 67 | 184 | 7 | 18 | 1 | .217 | .307 | .377 | .684 | .159 | .278 | 28 | 10 | .305 | 91 | -6 | +3 | -4 | +2 | +18 | 1.4 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 85 | 75 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .213 | .306 | .320 | .626 | .107 | .246 | 19 | 12 | .289 | 79 | -2 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 68 | 60 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 0 | .167 | .242 | .333 | .576 | .167 | .211 | 32 | 7 | .251 | 51 | -4 | +1 | — | — | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 161 | 121 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 34 | 38 | 5 | 19 | 1 | .298 | .469 | .579 | 1.047 | .281 | .368 | 24 | 21 | .454 | 206 | +19 | +3 | — | — | +5 | 2.8 |
| 2025 | 23 | ROK | FCL Twins | 18 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 1 | .083 | .389 | .167 | .556 | .083 | .167 | 33 | 33 | .304 | 91 | -0 | +1 | — | — | +1 | 0.1 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jay Thomason (OGILVIE) | 24 | 50 | 60 | 60 | 60 | .216/.298/.369 | .153 | .291 | 6 | 4 | 31% | 9% | 89 | +0.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Austin Wells 2023 · AA |
24 | 43→45 | 52→55 | 57→50 | 47 | .221/.304/.390 | .169 | .296 | 20 | 14 | 31% | 10% | 96 | +1.5 | .219/.293/.392 | .173 | .271 | 21 | 8 | 27% | 9% | 92 | +1.2 | .215/.288/.396 | .181 | .255 | 22 | 5 | 25% | 8% | 89 | +0.7 |
|
●Dominic Canzone 2022 · AA |
24 | 46→53 | 49→60 | 54→50 | 42 | .231/.289/.377 | .145 | .306 | 16 | 18 | 29% | 7% | 85 | +0.7 | .244/.298/.420 | .176 | .291 | 22 | 13 | 24% | 7% | 101 | +1.8 | .252/.309/.432 | .181 | .291 | 24 | 5 | 22% | 7% | 106 | +1.5 |
|
✕DJ Stewart 2018 · AA |
24 | 46→48 | 48→60 | 52→50 | 48 | .232/.304/.375 | .143 | .287 | 16 | 16 | 24% | 8% | 92 | +1.2 | .226/.301/.386 | .160 | .275 | 19 | 12 | 24% | 8% | 94 | +1.3 | .217/.322/.406 | .189 | .259 | 24 | 4 | 26% | 12% | 104 | +1.0 |
|
●Daulton Varsho 2020 · AA |
24 | 48→49 | 52→60 | 55→50 | 45 | .246/.304/.414 | .168 | .285 | 20 | 19 | 22% | 6% | 102 | +1.9 | .238/.303/.424 | .186 | .278 | 22 | 16 | 23% | 8% | 105 | +2.1 | .235/.301/.435 | .201 | .269 | 26 | 15 | 23% | 8% | 102 | +1.6 |
|
●James Outman 2022 · AA |
25 | 40→49 | 50→60 | 53→50 | 42 | .203/.280/.356 | .152 | .292 | 18 | 15 | 35% | 8% | 77 | +0.1 | .227/.313/.417 | .190 | .325 | 23 | 14 | 35% | 9% | 107 | +2.2 | .223/.317/.418 | .195 | .310 | 25 | 14 | 34% | 10% | 107 | +2.0 |
|
●Josh Lowe 2022 · AAA |
24 | 45→55 | 53→55 | 57→60 | 44 | .230/.295/.402 | .172 | .309 | 21 | 24 | 32% | 8% | 95 | +1.4 | .250/.308/.421 | .171 | .354 | 18 | 28 | 32% | 8% | 105 | +2.1 | .253/.310/.424 | .171 | .356 | 18 | 33 | 32% | 7% | 101 | +1.5 |
|
●Will Benson 2023 · MLB |
25 | 42→51 | 52→55 | 53→55 | 50 | .214/.312/.388 | .175 | .301 | 20 | 16 | 34% | 11% | 99 | +1.7 | .222/.312/.399 | .177 | .317 | 19 | 23 | 33% | 11% | 102 | +1.8 | .215/.300/.396 | .181 | .302 | 20 | 24 | 33% | 10% | 92 | +0.8 |
|
●Bo Naylor 2023 · AAA |
23 | 39→43 | 51→55 | 54→50 | 47 | .204/.289/.363 | .160 | .282 | 18 | 16 | 33% | 10% | 82 | +0.5 | .215/.301/.392 | .177 | .270 | 21 | 10 | 27% | 10% | 95 | +1.4 | .206/.293/.385 | .178 | .247 | 22 | 6 | 26% | 10% | 88 | +0.6 |
|
✕Dustin Harris 2023 · AA |
24 | 46→53 | 55 | 54→60 | 46 | .243/.304/.425 | .182 | .281 | 24 | 18 | 23% | 7% | 105 | +2.1 | .222/.294/.355 | .133 | .287 | 14 | 28 | 26% | 8% | 82 | +0.5 | .216/.291/.332 | .116 | .283 | 11 | 34 | 26% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
●Wilyer Abreu 2023 · AA |
24 | 42→48 | 48→60 | 51→50 | 48 | .206/.299/.347 | .142 | .306 | 17 | 19 | 36% | 11% | 83 | +0.6 | .232/.314/.413 | .181 | .299 | 23 | 14 | 29% | 10% | 106 | +2.2 | .240/.318/.444 | .204 | .286 | 27 | 11 | 26% | 10% | 110 | +1.8 |
|
●Scott Schebler 2015 · AA |
24 | 44→52 | 53→60 | 52→50 | 38 | .230/.281/.412 | .183 | .289 | 20 | 10 | 28% | 4% | 92 | +1.2 | .233/.290/.419 | .186 | .282 | 22 | 10 | 25% | 5% | 98 | +1.6 | .244/.314/.434 | .191 | .283 | 24 | 5 | 23% | 7% | 105 | +1.9 |
|
✕Derek Fisher 2018 · MLB |
24 | 46→51 | 51→55 | 51→55 | 45 | .234/.302/.396 | .162 | .314 | 19 | 19 | 31% | 8% | 96 | +1.5 | .224/.300/.392 | .168 | .320 | 21 | 17 | 34% | 9% | 95 | +1.4 | .195/.279/.355 | .161 | .286 | 21 | 15 | 37% | 10% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Garrett Mitchell 2022 · AA |
23 | 47 | 45→50 | 56→60 | 48 | .223/.306/.345 | .122 | .333 | 14 | 20 | 34% | 10% | 85 | +0.7 | .239/.311/.374 | .135 | .355 | 13 | 26 | 33% | 9% | 94 | +1.3 | .249/.323/.406 | .156 | .360 | 16 | 32 | 33% | 9% | 102 | +0.8 |
|
●Jason Kipnis 2012 · MLB |
25 | 50→60 | 49→55 | 57→55 | 45 | .250/.308/.407 | .157 | .308 | 15 | 12 | 24% | 7% | 101 | +1.8 | .258/.331/.399 | .141 | .311 | 13 | 22 | 20% | 9% | 108 | +2.3 | .270/.347/.400 | .130 | .326 | 10 | 21 | 19% | 10% | 110 | +2.5 |
|
✕Kevin Watson Jr 2023 · A |
24 | 45 | 46→50 | 55→50 | 48 | .214/.308/.345 | .130 | .323 | 13 | 13 | 34% | 11% | 85 | +0.7 | .229/.307/.312 | .083 | .321 | 5 | 10 | 27% | 10% | 76 | +0.1 | .245/.325/.293 | .048 | .333 | 0 | 8 | 24% | 10% | 77 | +0.1 |
|
●Joey Wendle 2014 · A |
24 | 49→59 | 49→50 | 50 | 43 | .243/.299/.399 | .155 | .300 | 16 | 9 | 24% | 6% | 95 | +1.4 | .236/.278/.373 | .137 | .292 | 12 | 9 | 23% | 4% | 79 | +0.3 | .274/.334/.406 | .132 | .327 | 9 | 19 | 18% | 6% | 106 | +1.2 |
|
✕Zach Kokoska 2023 · A |
24 | 43 | 49→55 | 55 | 42 | .221/.285/.371 | .150 | .283 | 17 | 16 | 28% | 6% | 82 | +0.5 | .201/.268/.369 | .168 | .279 | 21 | 17 | 35% | 6% | 76 | +0.0 | .171/.243/.342 | .171 | .244 | 23 | 19 | 39% | 6% | 56 | -0.7 |
|
✕Michael Massey 2022 · A |
24 | 44→49 | 54→55 | 51→50 | 44 | .231/.284/.409 | .178 | .260 | 22 | 11 | 21% | 6% | 92 | +1.2 | .237/.287/.401 | .164 | .283 | 20 | 10 | 23% | 5% | 92 | +1.2 | .240/.287/.404 | .164 | .281 | 20 | 9 | 22% | 5% | 90 | +0.8 |
|
✕Nate Tenbrink 2011 · AA |
24 | 50→52 | 46→50 | 57→50 | 46 | .244/.306/.379 | .135 | .309 | 12 | 15 | 25% | 7% | 92 | +1.2 | .225/.295/.371 | .146 | .308 | 15 | 15 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.8 | .219/.293/.368 | .149 | .332 | 16 | 11 | 36% | 8% | 82 | +0.2 |
|
●Travis Shaw 2014 · AA |
24 | 41→51 | 49→60 | 49→45 | 48 | .211/.291/.365 | .155 | .275 | 16 | 8 | 29% | 9% | 84 | +0.6 | .230/.291/.383 | .153 | .283 | 18 | 6 | 24% | 7% | 88 | +0.9 | .246/.330/.453 | .207 | .280 | 26 | 7 | 22% | 11% | 116 | +2.7 |