Zach MacDonald — OGILVIE

Zach MacDonaldOF Lakeland Flying Tigers

Age 22 R/R 6'1" / 195 lbs A HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION292 act + 194 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.157 / .249 / .285

PA194

HR5

SB9

K%40

BB%8

BABIP245

ISO128

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	20	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	34	32	2	1	0	0	2	24	0	1	0	62	118	94	211	31	250	71	6	114	-55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	34	31	5	2	1	0	3	18	0	1	0	161	235	290	526	129	385	53	9	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	240	201	26	4	2	4	26	118	11	22	3	129	265	229	494	100	272	49	11	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A	2 teams	—	240	194	36	5	2	4	33	83	11	22	3	186	336	294	630	108	294	35	14	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	DET	—	292	254	37	6	2	10	22	148	10	23	0	146	241	303	544	157	265	51	8	241	43	-19	+5	+0	-2	+8	-0.8
YTD	22	A	DET	—	292	246	53	8	3	14	30	104	10	23	0	215	325	443	768	228	291	36	10	335	115	+5	+5	+0	-2	+8	1.6
ROS	22	A	DET	0%	194	171	27	5	1	5	16	78	5	9	1	157	249	285	535	128	243	40	8	245	46	-12	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.6
ROS	22	MLB	DET	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		239	—	—	221	27	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	22	A	DET	—	292	255	37	6	2	10	22	148	10	23	0	145	241	302	543	157	262	51	8	241	43	-19	+5	+0	-2	+8	-0.8
TOT	22	A	DET	—	486	425	64	11	3	15	38	226	15	32	1	150	244	296	540	146	256	46	8	243	44	-31	+6	+0	-3	+14	-1.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	DET	34%	384	338	56	10	2	10	33	146	10	13	1	166	260	296	556	130	251	38	9	256	54	-20	+2	+0	-2	+11	-0.9
2028	24	MLB	DET	46%	441	389	67	12	2	12	38	162	11	15	1	172	265	306	571	134	256	37	9	263	60	-20	+3	+0	-3	+12	-0.8
2029	25	MLB	DET	52%	465	411	73	13	2	13	40	167	11	15	1	178	268	314	582	136	258	36	9	268	63	-19	+3	+0	-3	+13	-0.7
2030	26	MLB	DET	54%	479	424	77	14	2	14	41	171	11	16	1	182	271	323	594	142	259	36	9	270	64	-19	+3	+0	-3	+14	-0.6
2027	23	MLB	DET	34%	132	117	19	3	1	3	11	50	3	4	0	162	252	282	534	120	246	38	8	233	37	-9	+1	+0	-1	+4	-0.6
2028	24	MLB	DET	46%	203	179	31	6	1	5	17	75	5	7	1	173	264	302	565	128	251	37	8	241	43	-13	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.8
2029	25	MLB	DET	52%	240	211	37	7	1	6	21	86	6	8	1	175	269	303	572	128	254	36	9	246	46	-15	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.8
2030	26	MLB	DET	54%	260	229	40	7	1	7	23	93	6	9	1	175	267	306	573	131	255	36	9	248	48	-15	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	835	737	127	23	4	21	72	304	20	28	3	172	264	300	564	128	255	36	9	243	44	-52	+4	+0	-5	+24	-3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	98	18	3	16	56	237	16	22	2	171	264	296	560	125	253	36	9	243	44	-41	+4	+0	-4	+18	-2.3
Career	—			—	2237	1966	328	59	11	58	196	866	59	91	8	167	262	296	559	130	256	39	9	256	54	-116	+15	+0	-13	+63	-5.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	95	17	3	17	57	252	17	26	2	166	262	296	558	130	256	39	9	256	54	-34	+4	+0	-4	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	20	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	34	31	5	2	1	0	3	18	0	1	0	161	235	290	526	129	385	53	9	238	40	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	188	154	26	3	0	4	24	68	8	16	3	169	312	266	578	97	262	36	13	277	70	-6	+2	—	—	+5	0.1
2025	21	ROK	FCL Tigers	—	52	40	10	2	2	0	9	15	3	6	0	250	423	400	823	150	400	29	17	379	148	+3	+1	—	—	+1	0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	1,143	29	35	175	263	305	-7	+0	-2.4	-1.2
	/162	664	17	21	175	263	305	-4.0	+0.0	-1.4	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Zach MacDonald (OGILVIE)	22	20	30	60	50	150/244/296	146	256	15	32	46%	8%	44	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Charcer Burks 2017 · A	22	39→45	39→40	52→50	42	189/255/275	86	267	5	17	30%	7%	45	-2.1	200/273/295	95	285	8	14	30%	8%	57	-1.2	195/270/282	88	278	8	14	30%	8%	51	-1.4
✕Estarlin Martinez 2014 · A	22	42→41	40	52→50	43	208/260/302	94	266	8	14	25%	6%	53	-1.5	225/273/291	66	296	3	12	24%	6%	55	-1.4	234/282/282	48	308	1	11	23%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	39→46	38→40	53→60	49	182/289/262	80	287	6	16	35%	11%	58	-1.2	202/293/281	79	297	5	23	30%	10%	63	-0.8	214/304/283	68	303	4	34	27%	10%	66	-0.4
✕Dalvy Rosario 2022 · A	22	41	38→40	54→55	42	197/258/274	77	271	6	14	29%	7%	45	-2.1	193/239/285	92	285	9	19	34%	5%	40	-2.4	182/224/268	86	273	9	22	35%	4%	27	-2.1
✕Jawuan Harris 2019 · A	22	40→24	40	51→55	42	188/270/283	95	293	7	14	35%	8%	54	-1.4	158/251/236	78	308	5	19	45%	9%	35	-2.8	116/220/180	64	246	5	26	49%	10%	6	-2.4
✕Estarlyn Morales 2015 · A	22	43→39	41→40	51→50	43	210/265/312	102	273	8	12	26%	6%	58	-1.2	203/247/294	91	294	7	12	32%	5%	46	-2.0	190/227/271	81	277	6	14	33%	4%	27	-2.7
✕Juan Montes 2017 · A	22	39	38→30	50→55	43	189/263/266	77	237	6	12	22%	6%	46	-2.0	203/284/273	70	273	5	16	26%	6%	58	-1.2	192/284/244	52	266	4	21	26%	6%	50	-0.5
✕Kenedy Corona 2022 · A	22	43→40	39→45	52→55	39	205/259/290	85	285	6	20	29%	5%	50	-1.8	206/268/333	127	294	13	23	33%	7%	66	-0.6	198/265/322	124	280	13	27	32%	7%	58	-0.9
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕John Rhodes 2023 · AA	22	44→34	41→40	58→50	48	209/290/312	103	280	7	16	26%	8%	69	-0.4	183/250/282	99	265	10	9	33%	7%	45	-2.1	165/231/253	88	240	10	7	34%	7%	26	-2.5
✕Dyron Campos 2023 · A	22	36	42→30	47→50	37	184/235/285	101	268	10	7	34%	6%	39	-2.5	176/233/263	87	293	8	9	40%	5%	33	-2.9	109/170/174	66	190	7	13	45%	4%	-19	-2.1
✕Chris Roller 2019 · A	22	40	41→50	51→55	42	193/268/296	103	286	9	14	34%	8%	56	-1.3	205/269/314	109	292	8	12	30%	6%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Max George 2019 · A	23	33→36	41→45	53→55	43	170/253/270	99	234	9	20	30%	7%	44	-2.1	183/267/288	105	279	10	20	36%	8%	55	-1.4	148/255/300	152	246	20	20	45%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Jeff Flagg 2009 · A	23	38	44→45	54→40	43	194/261/311	117	269	11	10	31%	8%	57	-1.2	195/249/303	108	324	11	6	40%	6%	49	-1.8	178/229/283	104	304	12	3	43%	6%	33	-1.0
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→38	43→50	55	35	192/249/294	102	300	11	14	38%	5%	47	-1.9	197/249/320	123	286	14	19	35%	5%	54	-1.4	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Troy Stokes Jr. 2018 · AA	22	41→38	45→50	53→55	44	207/273/334	127	264	12	20	26%	7%	68	-0.5	194/271/323	129	281	13	16	34%	8%	65	-0.7	173/260/293	120	252	12	18	34%	8%	50	-1.1
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Sean Coyle 2013 · A	21	36→34	45→50	54→50	37	187/249/310	124	268	12	13	34%	6%	52	-1.6	201/258/355	154	293	19	14	37%	6%	68	-0.5	192/251/359	168	278	23	15	39%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Demi Orimoloye 2019 · A	22	36→35	41→40	51→55	36	182/236/278	96	274	9	17	36%	5%	37	-2.6	183/229/278	95	299	9	16	40%	5%	34	-2.8	167/205/258	91	280	9	19	42%	4%	15	-2.6