Gregory Sanchez — OGILVIE

Gregory Sanchez P ACL Rockies

Age 19 RHP 6'4" / 189 lbs ROK peak 0.3 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 19 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 108

ERA4.81

FIP4.81

K%21.8%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%9.4%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	13	13	33	168	42	19	0	100%	2.6	17.0%	14.1%	2.9%	0.0%	5.40	3.46	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	13	13	33	168	42	19	0	100%	2.6	17.0%	14.1%	2.9%	0.0%	5.40	3.46	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	13	13	33	168	42	19	0	100%	2.6	25.0%	11.3%	13.7%	0.0%	5.40	2.29	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	2	2	3	16	2	2	0	100%	1.7	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	0.0%	10.80	3.63	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	2	2	3	16	2	2	0	100%	1.7	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	0.0%	10.80	3.63	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	2	2	3	16	2	2	0	100%	1.7	12.5%	12.5%	0.0%	0.0%	10.80	3.70	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	1	0	1	4	0	1	0	0%	1.0	—	—	—	—	0.00	—	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	1	0	1	4	0	1	0	0%	1.0	—	—	—	—	0.00	—	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	COL	1	0	1	4	0	1	0	0%	1.0	0.0%	25.0%	-25.0%	0.0%	0.00	6.27	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	COL	6	6	32	133	30	15	4	100%	5.2	22.4%	11.2%	11.2%	2.9%	4.66	4.59	+0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	COL	3	3	15	63	14	7	2	100%	5.0	22.4%	11.2%	11.2%	2.9%	4.66	4.59	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	15	65	15	7	2	100%	5.2	22.4%	11.2%	11.2%	2.9%	4.66	4.21	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		43	43	200	844	194	90	26	100%	4.6	22.4%	11.2%	11.2%	2.9%	4.66	4.21	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		16	15	38	188	31	27	0	94%	2.4	16.3%	14.2%	2.0%	0.0%	5.73	3.53	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	80	200	998	162	142	0	94%	2.4	16.3%	14.2%	2.0%	0.0%	5.73	3.53	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Gregory Sanchez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.81	21.8%	12.3%	2.9%	—	4.59	22.4%	11.2%	32	-0.22	—	—	—
Ricardo Yan R 2022 · 4.00 FIP	19	SP	4.00	20.5%	14.6%	1.4%	.271	4.43	20.2%	4.3%	211	+0.43	3.62	300	83
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	82
Carson Fulmer R 2015 · 4.15 FIP	21	SP	4.15	21.4%	11.5%	2.5%	.259	4.96	17.1%	4.0%	364	+0.81	3.88	899	81
Anderson Cardenas R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	17	SP	4.22	17.3%	12.6%	1.8%	.319	4.04	21.2%	8.3%	92	-0.18	3.52	129	81
Carlos Jimenez R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP-	4.08	20.6%	12.9%	2.0%	.274	5.21	20.4%	-0.0%	141	+1.13	4.07	257	80
Aneury Lora R 2022 · 3.95 FIP	18	SP	3.95	16.6%	11.1%	1.5%	.339	3.72	15.1%	5.9%	114	-0.23	3.69	192	80
Reny Artiles R 2021 · 4.34 FIP	19	SP	4.34	24.2%	12.4%	3.1%	.419	5.64	14.8%	-6.5%	109	+1.30	4.34	165	80
Jonathan Stiever R 2018 · 4.39 FIP	21	SP	4.39	22.9%	9.7%	3.6%	.308	4.25	20.7%	14.2%	219	-0.14	4.23	247	79
Tahnaj Thomas R 2018 · 5.06 FIP	19	SP-	5.06	23.0%	15.6%	3.5%	.268	6.04	17.0%	2.7%	61	+0.98	3.81	214	79
Edgar Leon R 2023 · 4.36 FIP	18	SP	4.36	18.2%	15.4%	1.5%	.268	4.93	17.6%	-3.0%	83	+0.57	4.13	144	79
Luis Serna R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	19	SP	4.34	18.4%	11.8%	2.4%	.288	4.07	21.0%	11.8%	188	-0.27	2.80	289	78
Richard Fernandez R 2022 · 5.10 FIP	19	SP	5.10	15.1%	9.3%	3.8%	.309	4.25	16.5%	-0.2%	85	-0.85	3.66	137	78
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	78
Felix Arronde R 2022 · 4.74 FIP	19	SP	4.74	20.7%	9.9%	3.9%	.371	4.23	16.7%	7.3%	278	-0.51	4.16	442	77
Nelfy Ynfante R 2023 · 4.22 FIP	18	SP	4.22	18.1%	10.7%	2.4%	.309	4.71	16.8%	5.5%	225	+0.49	3.70	297	77
Luis Perales R 2022 · 3.74 FIP	19	SP	3.74	23.9%	16.6%	1.0%	.253	4.39	23.9%	10.2%	116	+0.65	2.34	248	77
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	76
Marco Raya R 2022 · 4.77 FIP	19	SP	4.77	21.4%	10.3%	4.0%	.250	4.44	19.5%	8.3%	254	-0.33	3.99	380	76
Walter Ford R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	18	SP	4.14	15.2%	12.1%	1.4%	.348	5.71	12.4%	5.7%	308	+1.57	4.14	330	75
Jordany Ventura R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP	4.08	16.8%	8.9%	2.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	219	75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	22.1%	11.6%	1.12	4.72
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Lucas Sims ('24)	1.4	47	27.6%	11.6%	1.24	4.22