Elvin Garcia
SS Delmarva Shorebirds| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKDSL Orioles B… | 139 | .294/.442/.505 | 1 | 12 | 73 | — | .172/.304/.276 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKBAL | 115 | .234/.368/.330 | 1 | 1 | 24 | — | .149/.246/.218 |
| 2026 | 19 | A/ROKBAL | 294 | .235/.334/.318 | 3 | 0 | 36 | — | .174/.256/.231 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBBAL | 404 | .196/.268/.296 | 6 | 6 | 60 | -0.3 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBBAL | 81 | .206/.278/.328 | 2 | 1 | 69 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 22 | MLBBAL | 168 | .214/.286/.353 | 5 | 2 | 77 | -0.0 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Orioles Black | — | 139 | 109 | 32 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 294 | 442 | 505 | 947 | 211 | 369 | 18 | 19 | 416 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | FCL Orioles | — | 115 | 94 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 234 | 368 | 330 | 698 | 96 | 404 | 37 | 15 | 325 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 252 | 217 | 46 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 96 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 212 | 319 | 300 | 618 | 88 | 364 | 38 | 12 | 289 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | FCL Orioles | — | 42 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 368 | 429 | 421 | 850 | 53 | 483 | 21 | 7 | 387 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles Black | — | 139 | 116 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 31 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 172 | 304 | 276 | 580 | 103 | 232 | 22 | 14 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles | — | 115 | 101 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 149 | 246 | 218 | 463 | 69 | 331 | 54 | 9 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Delmarva Shorebirds | — | 252 | 225 | 36 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 131 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 160 | 247 | 222 | 469 | 62 | 354 | 52 | 8 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles | — | 42 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 256 | 310 | 282 | 592 | 26 | 392 | 31 | 5 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles Black | — | 139 | 116 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 31 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 172 | 304 | 276 | 580 | 103 | 233 | 22 | 14 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Orioles Black | — | 139 | 109 | 32 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 294 | 442 | 505 | 947 | 211 | 369 | 18 | 19 | 416 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles | — | 115 | 101 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 149 | 246 | 218 | 463 | 69 | 359 | 54 | 9 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Orioles | — | 115 | 94 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 234 | 368 | 330 | 698 | 96 | 404 | 37 | 15 | 325 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 294 | 264 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 144 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 174 | 256 | 231 | 487 | 57 | 373 | 49 | 8 | 221 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 294 | 255 | 60 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 105 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 235 | 334 | 318 | 652 | 82 | 388 | 36 | 11 | 303 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles Black | — | 139 | 116 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 31 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 172 | 304 | 276 | 580 | 103 | 232 | 22 | 14 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles | — | 115 | 101 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 149 | 246 | 218 | 463 | 69 | 331 | 54 | 9 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 294 | 263 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 144 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 175 | 256 | 232 | 488 | 57 | 359 | 49 | 8 | 221 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Orioles Black | — | 139 | 116 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 31 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 172 | 304 | 276 | 580 | 103 | 232 | 22 | 14 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Orioles | — | 115 | 101 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 149 | 246 | 218 | 463 | 69 | 331 | 54 | 9 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 294 | 263 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 144 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 175 | 256 | 232 | 488 | 57 | 359 | 49 | 8 | 221 | 35 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | BAL | 0% | 404 | 365 | 71 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 126 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 196 | 268 | 296 | 564 | 101 | 276 | 31 | 8 | 257 | 60 | -19 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +9 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | BAL | 34% | 237 | 214 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 73 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 203 | 275 | 321 | 596 | 118 | 279 | 31 | 8 | 270 | 69 | -9 | +0 | -2 | +3 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | BAL | 48% | 346 | 311 | 66 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 104 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 210 | 282 | 345 | 627 | 135 | 281 | 30 | 8 | 282 | 77 | -9 | +0 | -3 | +4 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | BAL | 54% | 417 | 376 | 81 | 14 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 123 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 217 | 290 | 369 | 659 | 152 | 283 | 29 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -7 | +0 | -2 | +4 | +9 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | BAL | 55% | 461 | 415 | 92 | 16 | 2 | 16 | 37 | 134 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 223 | 295 | 387 | 682 | 165 | 285 | 29 | 8 | 303 | 92 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | BAL | 56% | 486 | 438 | 99 | 17 | 3 | 18 | 39 | 140 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 227 | 299 | 401 | 699 | 174 | 286 | 29 | 8 | 310 | 96 | -2 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +11 | 1.5 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | BAL | 56% | 499 | 450 | 103 | 17 | 3 | 20 | 40 | 144 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 228 | 301 | 409 | 710 | 181 | 286 | 29 | 8 | 314 | 99 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +11 | 1.6 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | BAL | 55% | 501 | 450 | 102 | 17 | 3 | 19 | 40 | 145 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 227 | 300 | 406 | 706 | 179 | 286 | 29 | 8 | 313 | 98 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +11 | 1.6 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | BAL | 55% | 498 | 449 | 100 | 17 | 2 | 19 | 40 | 145 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 226 | 298 | 402 | 700 | 176 | 285 | 29 | 8 | 310 | 96 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +5 | +11 | 1.4 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | BAL | 53% | 487 | 439 | 98 | 17 | 2 | 18 | 39 | 143 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 223 | 295 | 396 | 691 | 173 | 284 | 29 | 8 | 307 | 94 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +11 | 1.1 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | BAL | 53% | 475 | 429 | 94 | 16 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 141 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 220 | 292 | 389 | 680 | 168 | 282 | 30 | 8 | 302 | 91 | -5 | -0 | -2 | +5 | +10 | 0.8 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB MLE | BAL | 52% | 459 | 415 | 90 | 15 | 2 | 16 | 36 | 138 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 217 | 287 | 379 | 666 | 163 | 279 | 30 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -7 | -2 | -2 | +5 | +10 | 0.3 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB MLE | BAL | 56% | 438 | 396 | 84 | 14 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 134 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 212 | 281 | 367 | 648 | 156 | 275 | 31 | 8 | 289 | 82 | -9 | -2 | -3 | +5 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | BAL | 34% | 81 | 74 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 278 | 328 | 606 | 122 | 283 | 31 | 7 | 274 | 69 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | BAL | 48% | 168 | 151 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 214 | 286 | 353 | 639 | 140 | 285 | 30 | 8 | 287 | 77 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | BAL | 54% | 226 | 203 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 67 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 221 | 293 | 379 | 672 | 158 | 288 | 30 | 8 | 299 | 85 | -4 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | BAL | 55% | 256 | 231 | 52 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 75 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 227 | 299 | 398 | 697 | 171 | 290 | 29 | 8 | 309 | 92 | -3 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | BAL | 56% | 272 | 245 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 78 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 231 | 303 | 411 | 714 | 181 | 291 | 29 | 8 | 316 | 96 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | BAL | 56% | 281 | 252 | 58 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 81 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 233 | 305 | 420 | 725 | 188 | 291 | 29 | 8 | 320 | 99 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.9 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | BAL | 55% | 277 | 250 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 80 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 232 | 304 | 418 | 722 | 186 | 291 | 29 | 8 | 319 | 98 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | 0.9 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | BAL | 55% | 273 | 246 | 57 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 22 | 80 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 230 | 302 | 413 | 715 | 183 | 290 | 29 | 8 | 316 | 96 | -1 | +0 | -0 | +3 | +6 | 0.8 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | BAL | 53% | 260 | 234 | 53 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 76 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 228 | 299 | 407 | 706 | 179 | 288 | 29 | 8 | 312 | 94 | -2 | +0 | -1 | +3 | +6 | 0.6 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | BAL | 53% | 250 | 225 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 74 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 225 | 296 | 399 | 695 | 175 | 287 | 30 | 8 | 308 | 91 | -3 | -0 | -1 | +3 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB CTX | BAL | 52% | 239 | 215 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 72 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 221 | 291 | 390 | 681 | 169 | 284 | 30 | 8 | 302 | 87 | -4 | -1 | -1 | +3 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB CTX | BAL | 56% | 246 | 222 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 75 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 216 | 285 | 377 | 662 | 162 | 280 | 30 | 8 | 295 | 82 | -5 | -2 | -2 | +3 | +5 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2829 | 2548 | 574 | 100 | 11 | 105 | 225 | 834 | 34 | 32 | 18 | 225 | 297 | 397 | 694 | 172 | 290 | 29 | 8 | 308 | 85 | -32 | -1 | -8 | +30 | +61 | 5.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 585 | 132 | 23 | 3 | 24 | 52 | 192 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 226 | 298 | 398 | 696 | 173 | 290 | 30 | 8 | 308 | 85 | -7 | -0 | -2 | +7 | +14 | 1.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 6030 | 5424 | 1165 | 201 | 32 | 191 | 487 | 1857 | 77 | 75 | 41 | 215 | 289 | 369 | 658 | 154 | 286 | 31 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -71 | -2 | -17 | +59 | +119 | 8.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 585 | 126 | 22 | 3 | 21 | 52 | 200 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 215 | 288 | 371 | 659 | 156 | 286 | 31 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -8 | -0 | -2 | +7 | +14 | 1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 ADelmarva Shorebirds · 252 PAwOBA .282 → .212 (−70)K% 38.1% → 51.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.10% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 51.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.51% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 8.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.98% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.62% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.033 | ×1.045 | 27.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.033 | ×1.045 | 5.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.83% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.033 | ×1.045 | 0.81% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 2.07% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.033.
Result: wOBA .282 → .212; ISO .088 → .061; BABIP .364 → .354. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKFCL Orioles · 42 PAwOBA .377 → .272 (−105)K% 21.4% → 30.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.43% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.86% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 4.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 41.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 34.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.90% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 5.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .377 → .272; ISO .053 → .035; BABIP .483 → .392. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKFCL Orioles · 115 PAwOBA .317 → .204 (−113)K% 36.5% → 53.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.52% | ÷0.980 | ×1.440 | — | — | 53.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.91% | ÷1.020 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 8.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.61% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 1.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷0.997 | ×0.820 | ×1.026 | ×1.022 | 26.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.033 | ×0.720 | ×1.026 | ×1.022 | 5.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×1.026 | ×1.022 | 1.26% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 1.53% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 99, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 96, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .317 → .204; ISO .096 → .056; BABIP .404 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL Orioles Black · 139 PAwOBA .409 → .276 (−133)K% 18.0% → 22.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.99% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.42% | ÷0.964 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 14.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 1.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷1.067 | ×0.680 | ×0.994 | ×1.022 | 12.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.90% | ÷0.988 | ×0.600 | ×0.994 | ×1.022 | 7.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 5.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.994 | ×1.022 | 3.63% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.19% | ÷0.988 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.58% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 113, 2B 98, 3B 100, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .409 → .276; ISO .211 → .129; BABIP .369 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).