Elvin GarciaSS
FCL Orioles
Age 19
S/R
6'2" / 165 lbs
ROK
HR +8%BB -5%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
peak 3.0 · 2033
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .278 / .307
PA98
HR2
K%31
BB%9
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
20↗25
PWR
32↗37
SPD
52↗57
EYE
58↗63
trajectory · 10 yrs
3.0peak
2033
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2032
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2037
First FA Year 2038
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2030 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2031 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2032 | |||
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +2.8 | $27M | +$26M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.0 | $30M | +$29M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $1.0M | +3.0 | $30M | +$29M |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $6M | +2.9 | $30M | +$24M |
| 2036 | Ext / FA-deal | $9M | +2.6 | $28M | +$19M |
| 2037 | Ext / FA-deal | $12M | +2.4 | $27M | +$14M |
| Totals | $30M | $171M | +$141M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Orioles Black | 139 | 118 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 37 | 2 | 12 | 1 | .203 | .319 | .356 | .675 | .153 | .284 | 27 | 13 | .287 | 78 | -3 | +2 | +0 | +1 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 115 | 101 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 62 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .139 | .237 | .188 | .425 | .050 | .333 | 54 | 9 | .197 | 9 | -12 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +3 | -0.8 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | MLB | BAL | 98 | 88 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 30 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .205 | .286 | .330 | .615 | .125 | .281 | 31 | 9 | .269 | 64 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB 11% | BAL | 187 | 165 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 55 | 2 | 4 | 1 | .212 | .297 | .333 | .631 | .121 | .289 | 29 | 10 | .291 | 81 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB 28% | BAL | 322 | 282 | 62 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 33 | 90 | 4 | 8 | 2 | .220 | .310 | .358 | .669 | .138 | .290 | 28 | 10 | .304 | 91 | -3 | +1 | +0 | +3 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB 48% | BAL | 421 | 368 | 84 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 114 | 5 | 10 | 2 | .228 | .321 | .383 | .704 | .155 | .291 | 27 | 11 | .312 | 97 | -1 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +12 | 1.6 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB 65% | BAL | 487 | 425 | 97 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 53 | 129 | 6 | 12 | 3 | .228 | .322 | .381 | .703 | .153 | .291 | 26 | 11 | .318 | 101 | +1 | +1 | +0 | +5 | +14 | 2.1 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB 82% | BAL | 530 | 459 | 106 | 19 | 3 | 16 | 59 | 139 | 7 | 13 | 3 | .231 | .328 | .390 | .718 | .159 | .292 | 26 | 11 | .322 | 105 | +3 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +15 | 2.5 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB | BAL | 556 | 481 | 112 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 63 | 145 | 7 | 13 | 3 | .233 | .330 | .393 | .723 | .160 | .292 | 26 | 11 | .325 | 107 | +4 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +16 | 2.8 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB | BAL | 570 | 492 | 114 | 20 | 3 | 18 | 66 | 148 | 7 | 13 | 3 | .232 | .331 | .394 | .725 | .163 | .293 | 26 | 12 | .327 | 108 | +5 | +1 | +0 | +6 | +16 | 3.0 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB | BAL | 574 | 495 | 115 | 20 | 3 | 18 | 67 | 150 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .232 | .332 | .394 | .726 | .162 | .293 | 26 | 12 | .327 | 108 | +5 | +2 | +0 | +6 | +16 | 3.0 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB | BAL | 571 | 492 | 114 | 20 | 3 | 18 | 67 | 150 | 7 | 13 | 2 | .232 | .332 | .394 | .726 | .163 | .292 | 26 | 12 | .326 | 107 | +5 | +2 | -1 | +6 | +16 | 2.9 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB | BAL | 563 | 485 | 110 | 19 | 3 | 17 | 66 | 150 | 7 | 12 | 2 | .227 | .328 | .384 | .711 | .157 | .292 | 27 | 12 | .324 | 106 | +4 | +2 | -1 | +6 | +16 | 2.6 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB | BAL | 554 | 477 | 109 | 19 | 3 | 17 | 65 | 149 | 7 | 12 | 1 | .229 | .330 | .388 | .718 | .159 | .290 | 27 | 12 | .321 | 103 | +2 | +2 | -2 | +6 | +16 | 2.4 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB | BAL | 540 | 464 | 104 | 18 | 3 | 16 | 64 | 148 | 7 | 10 | 0 | .224 | .327 | .379 | .706 | .155 | .289 | 27 | 12 | .317 | 101 | +0 | +2 | -3 | +6 | +15 | 2.1 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB | BAL | 522 | 450 | 100 | 17 | 3 | 15 | 61 | 145 | 6 | 10 | 0 | .222 | .323 | .373 | .696 | .151 | .287 | 28 | 12 | .312 | 97 | -2 | +2 | -4 | +6 | +15 | 1.7 |
| 2040 | 33 | MLB | BAL | 493 | 426 | 92 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 58 | 141 | 6 | 9 | 0 | .216 | .318 | .359 | .678 | .143 | .285 | 29 | 12 | .307 | 93 | -4 | +2 | -4 | +5 | +14 | 1.3 |
| 2041 | 34 | MLB | BAL | 446 | 386 | 81 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 52 | 131 | 5 | 8 | 0 | .210 | .312 | .342 | .653 | .132 | .284 | 29 | 12 | .300 | 88 | -6 | +2 | -5 | +5 | +13 | 0.8 |
| 2042 | 35 | MLB | BAL | 392 | 340 | 70 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 45 | 119 | 4 | 8 | 0 | .206 | .306 | .332 | .638 | .126 | .281 | 30 | 11 | .292 | 82 | -8 | +2 | -6 | +4 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2043 | 36 | MLB | BAL | 332 | 287 | 57 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 38 | 104 | 4 | 7 | 0 | .199 | .301 | .317 | .618 | .118 | .278 | 31 | 11 | .284 | 75 | -9 | +1 | -6 | +4 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2044 | 37 | MLB | BAL | 268 | 233 | 44 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 87 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .189 | .289 | .292 | .581 | .103 | .274 | 32 | 11 | .274 | 68 | -10 | +1 | -7 | +3 | +8 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8680 | 7514 | 1662 | 291 | 51 | 239 | 987 | 2423 | 107 | 195 | 27 | .221 | .320 | .369 | .689 | .148 | .291 | 28 | 11 | .311 | 96 | -37 | +28 | -38 | +93 | +246 | 29.7 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 563 | 125 | 22 | 4 | 18 | 74 | 181 | 8 | 15 | 2 | .222 | .321 | .371 | .692 | .149 | .292 | 28 | 11 | .311 | 96 | -3 | +2 | -3 | +7 | +18 | 2.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Orioles Black | 139 | 109 | 32 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 12 | 1 | .294 | .442 | .505 | .947 | .211 | .369 | 18 | 19 | .416 | 176 | +12 | +2 | — | — | +4 | 1.8 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 115 | 94 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .234 | .368 | .330 | .698 | .096 | .404 | 37 | 15 | .325 | 107 | +1 | -1 | — | — | +3 | 0.4 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Elvin Garcia (OGILVIE) | 19 | 20→25 | 32→37 | 52→57 | 63 | .198/.278/.307 | .109 | .281 | 2 | 2 | 31% | 9% | 64 | -0.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A |
19 | 43→42 | 45→40 | 53→65 | 45 | .213/.281/.336 | .123 | .279 | 13 | 11 | 28% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .194/.288/.298 | .104 | .270 | 9 | 21 | 29% | 10% | 66 | -0.6 | .165/.260/.259 | .093 | .238 | 9 | 30 | 32% | 10% | 44 | -1.1 |
|
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A |
19 | 39→41 | 42→50 | 53→55 | 44 | .191/.270/.293 | .102 | .283 | 10 | 11 | 34% | 8% | 56 | -1.3 | .199/.283/.318 | .119 | .317 | 11 | 15 | 37% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .216/.296/.349 | .133 | .314 | 15 | 19 | 33% | 9% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Maximo Rivera 2012 · A |
19 | 36 | 41→45 | 47→60 | 41 | .181/.239/.272 | .091 | .247 | 9 | 13 | 30% | 6% | 37 | -2.6 | .219/.271/.301 | .082 | .284 | 7 | 20 | 24% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .234/.281/.297 | .063 | .300 | 5 | 24 | 23% | 5% | 58 | -0.3 |
|
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A |
19 | 40 | 40→45 | 46→45 | 47 | .186/.285/.282 | .096 | .298 | 8 | 6 | 36% | 11% | 61 | -1.0 | .184/.262/.261 | .077 | .294 | 6 | 6 | 36% | 9% | 44 | -2.1 | .182/.268/.267 | .085 | .274 | 6 | 3 | 33% | 10% | 48 | -0.6 |
|
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A |
19 | 39 | 35→30 | 49→55 | 44 | .184/.249/.245 | .061 | .269 | 3 | 14 | 31% | 8% | 34 | -2.8 | .201/.291/.247 | .046 | .283 | 1 | 15 | 26% | 10% | 53 | -1.5 | .210/.308/.237 | .027 | .280 | 0 | 17 | 22% | 11% | 56 | -0.4 |
|
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2012 · A |
19 | 42 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 43 | .205/.277/.309 | .104 | .271 | 9 | 8 | 27% | 6% | 64 | -0.8 | .224/.284/.326 | .102 | .290 | 5 | 11 | 24% | 5% | 70 | -0.3 | .226/.280/.337 | .111 | .291 | 6 | 11 | 23% | 4% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Jon Del Campo 2007 · A |
19 | 43 | 38→45 | 45→55 | 46 | .207/.270/.286 | .079 | .275 | 6 | 6 | 26% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .206/.258/.287 | .081 | .298 | 4 | 5 | 30% | 6% | 48 | -1.9 | .267/.300/.379 | .112 | .337 | 12 | 18 | 24% | 3% | 90 | +0.6 |
|
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A |
19 | 42→46 | 41→40 | 50→55 | 53 | .198/.304/.305 | .107 | .295 | 7 | 15 | 32% | 12% | 75 | -0.0 | .207/.301/.301 | .094 | .296 | 6 | 20 | 29% | 11% | 72 | -0.2 | .211/.291/.296 | .085 | .285 | 5 | 23 | 25% | 9% | 64 | -0.5 |
|
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A |
19 | 40→50 | 41→45 | 56→55 | 44 | .195/.266/.289 | .094 | .272 | 9 | 17 | 30% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .217/.283/.315 | .098 | .299 | 7 | 21 | 28% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .253/.315/.362 | .109 | .325 | 7 | 28 | 23% | 8% | 88 | +0.8 |
|
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A |
19 | 43 | 38→30 | 52→60 | 41 | .205/.262/.288 | .083 | .287 | 4 | 12 | 29% | 6% | 50 | -1.7 | .223/.282/.290 | .067 | .291 | 2 | 11 | 22% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .224/.333/.269 | .045 | .305 | 1 | 34 | 23% | 14% | 74 | -0.0 |
|
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A |
19 | 42→40 | 41→50 | 46→40 | 44 | .207/.262/.297 | .091 | .272 | 9 | 9 | 27% | 7% | 53 | -1.5 | .205/.256/.301 | .096 | .278 | 8 | 7 | 27% | 6% | 51 | -1.7 | .210/.263/.325 | .115 | .276 | 10 | 3 | 27% | 6% | 59 | -0.6 |
|
✕Adrian Placencia 2022 · A |
19 | 37→38 | 40→45 | 49→50 | 43 | .177/.265/.270 | .093 | .291 | 8 | 7 | 39% | 10% | 49 | -1.8 | .183/.276/.296 | .113 | .307 | 12 | 12 | 40% | 10% | 60 | -1.0 | .172/.269/.283 | .111 | .289 | 13 | 13 | 41% | 11% | 51 | -1.3 |
|
✕Robel García 2012 · A |
19 | 37→36 | 42→50 | 53→40 | 43 | .182/.256/.297 | .115 | .277 | 8 | 9 | 35% | 8% | 51 | -1.7 | .185/.252/.276 | .091 | .276 | 6 | 6 | 32% | 8% | 43 | -2.2 | .189/.260/.380 | .191 | .269 | 27 | 2 | 39% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A |
19 | 42→36 | 38→45 | 47→60 | 48 | .195/.289/.277 | .082 | .295 | 5 | 8 | 32% | 10% | 61 | -1.0 | .192/.285/.295 | .103 | .282 | 10 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 64 | -0.8 | .179/.278/.292 | .113 | .261 | 13 | 23 | 34% | 9% | 59 | -0.8 |
|
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A |
18 | 41 | 38→30 | 49→50 | 44 | .199/.262/.281 | .083 | .258 | 5 | 7 | 24% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .211/.287/.284 | .073 | .267 | 5 | 9 | 21% | 9% | 61 | -1.0 | .221/.317/.274 | .053 | .274 | 5 | 10 | 19% | 11% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A |
18 | 40 | 42→50 | 48→55 | 43 | .195/.271/.297 | .102 | .274 | 9 | 9 | 31% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .218/.289/.357 | .139 | .282 | 16 | 15 | 27% | 8% | 81 | +0.4 | .220/.291/.383 | .163 | .271 | 20 | 20 | 26% | 8% | 85 | +0.3 |
|
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A |
19 | 40 | 37→45 | 53→55 | 47 | .189/.261/.262 | .073 | .255 | 4 | 13 | 26% | 8% | 44 | -2.1 | .224/.287/.321 | .097 | .315 | 6 | 19 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .206/.266/.325 | .120 | .308 | 11 | 21 | 35% | 6% | 59 | -0.5 |
|
✕Nelson Quiroz 2021 · A |
19 | 44 | 37→40 | 47→40 | 45 | .209/.268/.279 | .070 | .271 | 5 | 6 | 24% | 7% | 50 | -1.7 | .224/.289/.327 | .103 | .275 | 7 | 5 | 20% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .253/.306/.321 | .068 | .288 | 2 | 0 | 12% | 6% | 73 | -0.0 |
|
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A |
19 | 41 | 36→40 | 44→45 | 50 | .193/.274/.261 | .067 | .256 | 3 | 8 | 24% | 9% | 50 | -1.8 | .200/.306/.291 | .091 | .270 | 5 | 7 | 25% | 12% | 72 | -0.2 | .183/.303/.269 | .087 | .244 | 5 | 5 | 24% | 13% | 63 | -0.3 |
|
✕Victor Acosta 2023 · A |
19 | 41→43 | 40 | 50 | 44 | .198/.278/.293 | .095 | .282 | 7 | 15 | 30% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .190/.276/.266 | .076 | .276 | 3 | 11 | 30% | 8% | 53 | -1.5 | .181/.272/.246 | .065 | .263 | 2 | 12 | 29% | 7% | 42 | -1.5 |