Elvin Garcia — OGILVIE

Elvin GarciaSS Delmarva Shorebirds

Age 19 S/R 6'2" / 165 lbs A HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION294 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%44

BB%11

BABIP304

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$7M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE58

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Arb-1	$1M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$0.2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	139	109	32	10	5	1	27	25	2	12	1	294	442	505	947	211	369	18	19	416	167	+11	+2	—	—	+3	1.6
2025	18	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	115	94	22	4	1	1	17	42	3	1	2	234	368	330	698	96	404	37	15	325	106	+1	-1	—	—	+2	0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	139	119	24	7	4	1	17	37	2	12	1	202	312	353	665	151	274	27	12	288	81	-3	+2	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	115	101	15	2	1	1	10	62	3	1	2	149	246	218	463	69	324	54	9	200	22	-11	-1	—	—	+2	-0.9
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	139	119	24	7	4	1	17	37	2	12	1	202	312	353	665	151	280	27	12	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	139	109	32	10	5	1	27	25	2	12	1	294	442	505	947	211	369	18	19	416	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	115	101	15	2	1	1	10	62	3	1	2	149	246	218	463	69	359	54	9	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	—	115	94	22	4	1	1	17	42	3	1	2	234	368	330	698	96	404	37	15	325	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	139	119	24	7	4	1	17	37	2	12	1	202	312	353	665	151	274	27	12	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	115	101	15	2	1	1	10	62	3	1	2	149	246	218	463	69	324	54	9	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	139	119	24	7	4	1	17	37	2	12	1	202	312	353	665	151	274	27	12	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	115	101	15	2	1	1	10	62	3	1	2	149	246	218	463	69	324	54	9	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A MLE	BAL	—	294	267	44	7	1	2	20	149	6	0	2	165	239	221	460	56	362	51	7	208	27	-25	-1	+0	+3	+6	-1.7
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK RAW	BAL	—	42	38	14	2	0	0	3	9	1	0	0	368	429	421	850	53	483	21	7	387	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A RAW	BAL	—	252	217	46	8	1	3	29	96	5	0	2	212	319	300	618	88	364	38	12	289	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	BAL	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		299	44	11	234	45	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	BAL	—	303	275	45	7	1	2	21	153	6	0	2	164	238	218	457	55	358	50	7	209	28	-26	-1	+0	+3	+7	-1.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	317	284	54	10	1	5	25	119	5	4	2	190	268	285	553	95	301	38	8	251	56	-17	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.6
2028	21	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	422	378	73	13	2	7	34	152	7	7	3	193	272	294	566	101	301	36	8	263	64	-18	+0	+0	+5	+9	-0.4
2029	22	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	492	441	89	16	2	10	40	173	8	9	4	202	280	315	595	113	301	35	8	270	69	-18	+0	+0	+5	+11	-0.2
2030	23	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	535	478	97	18	2	11	44	185	8	10	4	203	281	318	599	115	301	35	8	274	72	-18	+0	+0	+6	+12	-0.0
2031	24	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	562	501	103	19	2	12	47	193	9	11	5	206	285	323	609	118	302	34	8	276	73	-18	+0	+0	+6	+12	0.0
2032	25	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	577	515	107	19	3	13	48	198	9	11	5	208	287	332	619	124	302	34	8	277	74	-18	+0	+0	+6	+13	0.1
2033	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	583	520	107	19	3	13	49	200	9	11	5	206	285	329	614	123	302	34	8	278	74	-18	+0	+0	+6	+13	0.1
2034	27	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	582	519	106	19	2	13	49	200	9	12	5	204	284	324	608	119	302	34	8	278	74	-18	+0	+0	+6	+13	0.1
2035	28	MLB MLE	BAL	59%	577	513	104	19	2	12	50	199	9	11	5	203	285	318	603	115	302	34	9	277	73	-18	+0	-1	+6	+13	-0.0
2036	29	MLB MLE	BAL	61%	567	504	102	18	2	12	49	197	9	11	5	202	285	317	602	115	301	35	9	275	72	-19	+0	-1	+6	+12	-0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	109	97	18	3	0	2	9	41	2	2	1	186	269	278	547	93	305	38	8	243	56	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	204	183	37	7	1	4	16	74	3	3	1	202	277	317	594	115	305	36	8	255	64	-9	+0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2029	22	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	267	239	48	9	1	5	22	94	4	5	2	201	279	310	589	109	306	35	8	263	69	-10	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.1
2030	23	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	303	270	56	10	1	7	25	105	5	6	3	207	287	330	616	122	306	35	8	267	72	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	-0.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	318	284	59	11	1	7	26	109	5	6	3	208	286	327	613	120	307	34	8	269	73	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.0
2032	25	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	326	291	60	11	1	7	27	112	5	6	3	206	285	323	608	117	307	34	8	270	74	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.0
2033	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	329	293	61	11	1	8	28	113	5	6	3	208	288	334	623	126	307	34	9	270	74	-10	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.0
2034	27	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	323	288	59	11	1	7	27	111	5	6	3	205	284	323	607	118	307	34	8	271	74	-10	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.1
2035	28	MLB CTX	BAL	59%	341	304	64	12	1	8	29	118	5	7	3	211	290	336	625	125	306	35	9	270	73	-11	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.0
2036	29	MLB CTX	BAL	61%	346	308	64	12	1	8	30	120	5	6	3	208	289	331	620	123	306	35	9	268	72	-11	+0	-1	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2866	2557	526	97	9	63	239	997	44	53	25	206	285	325	609	119	306	35	8	267	70	-97	+1	-1	+31	+62	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	119	22	2	14	54	226	10	12	6	205	284	322	607	117	305	35	8	267	70	-22	+0	-0	+7	+14	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5477	4881	982	179	26	110	463	1919	87	110	46	201	282	316	598	115	303	35	8	272	70	-181	+2	-2	+56	+113	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	116	21	3	13	55	228	10	13	5	200	281	314	595	114	302	35	8	272	70	-22	+0	-0	+7	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.6	3,030	61	56	203	279	318	+32	+18	1.2	1.4
/162	664	13	12	+7.1	+3.9	0.3	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Elvin Garcia (OGILVIE)	19	20→25	33→38	47→52	58	175/251/249	73	299	2	2	40%	8%	45	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jose Acosta 2019 · A	19	39	37→45	53→55	47	185/259/257	72	250	4	14	26%	8%	49	-2.4	225/287/322	97	319	6	19	29%	7%	74	-0.6	203/263/320	117	308	11	21	36%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Daniel Vellojin 2019 · A	19	39	39→45	47→45	48	189/268/273	83	260	6	6	28%	9%	56	-1.9	213/303/311	98	271	7	8	22%	10%	78	-0.3	194/297/306	112	259	11	6	27%	12%	72	-0.3
✕Kleiber Rodriguez 2018 · A	19	37	35→30	46→40	46	175/250/234	59	244	2	5	27%	8%	40	-3.0	219/280/288	69	282	3	5	21%	7%	63	-1.4	240/298/301	61	284	2	4	15%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Adrian Placencia 2022 · A	19	36→38	41→45	48→50	43	173/260/271	98	283	9	7	39%	9%	53	-2.1	183/275/296	113	307	12	12	40%	10%	65	-1.2	172/269/283	111	290	13	13	41%	11%	57	-1.5
✕Jose Perez 2023 · A	19	41	36→40	44→45	50	191/273/255	63	252	3	8	24%	9%	53	-2.1	201/307/293	92	271	5	6	25%	12%	76	-0.4	184/305/272	88	246	5	5	24%	13%	69	-0.3
✕Allan Castro 2022 · A	19	38→44	39→45	51→50	41	184/253/278	94	271	4	6	32%	7%	51	-2.2	195/264/303	108	279	8	11	31%	8%	61	-1.5	202/276/313	110	274	9	14	28%	9%	65	-1.0
✕Juan Mosquera 2007 · A	19	38	35→30	49→55	44	180/246/238	57	263	3	15	31%	8%	38	-3.2	201/290/246	45	281	1	14	26%	10%	58	-1.7	210/308/237	27	280	0	17	22%	11%	61	-0.5
✕Nerwilian Cedeño 2021 · A	19	39→32	35→45	49→50	49	184/269/244	60	270	2	7	30%	10%	50	-2.3	194/269/301	107	303	9	11	36%	9%	63	-1.4	173/245/279	105	263	10	12	36%	8%	46	-1.5
✕Omar Alfonzo 2023 · A	19	36→40	37→45	48→40	48	173/263/240	67	258	5	3	32%	10%	47	-2.5	205/289/309	104	317	11	4	35%	10%	72	-0.7	200/285/310	110	312	13	2	37%	10%	69	-0.6
✕Oliver Dominguez 2008 · A	19	38	35→40	47→45	42	179/250/238	59	267	3	9	32%	7%	41	-3.0	205/271/300	95	275	8	12	26%	8%	63	-1.4	199/269/297	97	258	9	16	25%	8%	60	-0.6
✕Milkar Perez 2021 · A	19	43	39→40	45→40	44	205/274/289	84	285	6	8	29%	8%	61	-1.5	204/297/262	58	312	2	4	31%	11%	65	-1.2	203/294/276	74	305	4	2	31%	10%	64	-0.7
✕Nomar Fana 2022 · A	19	41	38→50	48→50	41	195/251/274	79	290	5	9	33%	7%	49	-2.4	193/263/294	101	310	9	11	37%	8%	59	-1.7	177/259/297	120	274	14	14	38%	10%	56	-0.6
✕Alejandro Flores 2015 · A	19	40	41→50	48→40	43	199/259/294	95	265	9	5	28%	7%	57	-1.8	193/255/281	88	289	7	6	33%	7%	52	-2.2	200/255/329	129	272	11	4	29%	6%	60	-0.8
✕Robel García 2012 · A	19	37	43→50	53→40	43	183/255/301	118	276	9	9	35%	8%	57	-1.8	185/251/274	89	282	5	5	34%	8%	49	-2.4	189/259/371	183	269	25	2	39%	8%	74	-0.3
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	41→37	38→45	47→55	49	191/288/272	81	291	5	8	32%	10%	64	-1.3	194/290/296	102	287	9	14	33%	10%	70	-0.8	175/281/296	121	259	13	27	34%	10%	66	-0.9
✕Jose Colmenares 2021 · A	19	39	39→45	47→50	45	192/256/277	84	251	7	8	26%	7%	52	-2.2	210/290/338	128	295	14	8	31%	9%	79	-0.2	177/254/299	122	259	13	14	35%	8%	55	-0.8
✕Edwin Mateo 2018 · A	19	39	37→40	46→55	45	187/255/254	66	252	4	12	26%	7%	46	-2.6	202/279/280	78	267	6	14	25%	9%	61	-1.5	209/289/292	83	287	6	19	27%	8%	66	-0.5
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	45→42	39→50	49→30	44	209/283/294	85	312	6	8	32%	8%	66	-1.1	208/290/371	163	304	19	3	35%	10%	87	+0.4	198/292/375	177	282	21	1	35%	11%	85	+0.1
✕Ghordy Santos 2019 · A	19	37	38→40	51→50	53	176/275/255	79	250	5	16	29%	11%	55	-1.9	208/279/293	85	314	6	15	32%	9%	64	-1.3	179/233/285	106	312	11	11	44%	6%	42	-1.1
✕Logan Wagner 2023 · A	19	43→31	36→60	48→50	42	203/264/271	68	295	4	8	31%	7%	53	-2.1	195/285/302	107	299	10	9	35%	10%	70	-0.9	170/261/321	151	246	18	10	37%	9%	63	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps