Luis Suisbel
3B Everett AquaSox| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | A/INTL2 orgs | 672 | .276/.362/.448 | 20 | 6 | 88 | — | .224/.292/.348 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 661 | .211/.314/.393 | 27 | 11 | 57 | — | .154/.236/.293 |
| 2026 | 23 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 453 | .256/.341/.480 | 19 | 6 | 73 | — | .196/.263/.359 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBSEA | 1 | .193/.261/.341 | 0 | 0 | 71 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBSEA | 76 | .197/.265/.347 | 2 | 1 | 73 | -0.0 | |
| 2029PROJ44% MLB | 26 | MLBSEA | 131 | .199/.267/.350 | 4 | 2 | 75 | -0.1 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | — | 160 | 128 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 47 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 188 | 342 | 281 | 623 | 94 | 272 | 29 | 11 | 299 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | DSL Mariners | — | 163 | 134 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 44 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 216 | 356 | 373 | 729 | 157 | 291 | 27 | 10 | 337 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Modesto Nuts | — | 144 | 124 | 36 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 290 | 380 | 492 | 872 | 202 | 390 | 30 | 8 | 382 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Mariners | — | 140 | 103 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 26 | 39 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 291 | 475 | 573 | 1.048 | 282 | 407 | 28 | 19 | 455 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Modesto Nuts | — | 552 | 475 | 131 | 23 | 4 | 15 | 49 | 144 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 276 | 361 | 436 | 796 | 160 | 352 | 26 | 9 | 348 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 120 | 105 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 276 | 367 | 505 | 871 | 229 | 312 | 19 | 10 | 384 | 146 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | — | 491 | 427 | 90 | 15 | 1 | 23 | 48 | 135 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 211 | 309 | 412 | 722 | 201 | 246 | 27 | 10 | 322 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 170 | 143 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 210 | 327 | 336 | 663 | 126 | 239 | 19 | 11 | 305 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | — | 433 | 383 | 99 | 27 | 2 | 19 | 35 | 109 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 258 | 338 | 488 | 826 | 230 | 311 | 25 | 8 | 360 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 20 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 200 | 400 | 267 | 667 | 67 | 250 | 15 | 20 | 331 | 110 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 160 | 133 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 58 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 113 | 253 | 158 | 411 | 45 | 168 | 36 | 8 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 163 | 140 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 55 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 129 | 252 | 214 | 466 | 86 | 178 | 34 | 7 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 144 | 128 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 227 | 303 | 375 | 678 | 148 | 348 | 40 | 6 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 140 | 113 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 57 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 195 | 345 | 389 | 735 | 195 | 301 | 41 | 11 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 552 | 491 | 110 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 197 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 224 | 292 | 348 | 640 | 124 | 311 | 36 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 491 | 441 | 68 | 11 | 1 | 16 | 34 | 191 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 154 | 236 | 293 | 528 | 138 | 213 | 39 | 7 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | Everett AquaSox | — | 433 | 393 | 77 | 20 | 1 | 14 | 25 | 147 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 196 | 263 | 359 | 622 | 163 | 269 | 34 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 160 | 133 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 58 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 113 | 253 | 158 | 411 | 45 | 184 | 36 | 8 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Mariners | — | 160 | 128 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 47 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 188 | 342 | 281 | 623 | 94 | 272 | 29 | 11 | 299 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 163 | 140 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 55 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 129 | 252 | 214 | 466 | 86 | 193 | 34 | 7 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Mariners | — | 163 | 134 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 44 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 216 | 356 | 373 | 729 | 157 | 291 | 27 | 10 | 337 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 284 | 240 | 52 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 114 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 217 | 331 | 396 | 727 | 179 | 353 | 40 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 284 | 227 | 66 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 38 | 82 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 291 | 427 | 529 | 956 | 238 | 397 | 29 | 13 | 418 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 672 | 601 | 135 | 20 | 4 | 16 | 40 | 240 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 225 | 292 | 351 | 643 | 126 | 331 | 36 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 672 | 580 | 160 | 32 | 4 | 20 | 61 | 167 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 276 | 362 | 448 | 810 | 172 | 344 | 25 | 9 | 355 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 661 | 590 | 92 | 15 | 1 | 22 | 46 | 256 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 156 | 241 | 297 | 537 | 141 | 221 | 39 | 7 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 661 | 570 | 120 | 21 | 1 | 27 | 66 | 167 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 211 | 314 | 393 | 707 | 182 | 244 | 25 | 10 | 317 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 453 | 411 | 82 | 21 | 2 | 15 | 26 | 154 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 200 | 267 | 370 | 637 | 170 | 275 | 34 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 453 | 398 | 102 | 28 | 2 | 19 | 39 | 112 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 256 | 341 | 480 | 821 | 224 | 309 | 25 | 9 | 359 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 160 | 134 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 58 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 112 | 253 | 157 | 410 | 45 | 168 | 36 | 8 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 163 | 139 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 55 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 129 | 252 | 216 | 467 | 86 | 178 | 34 | 7 | 201 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 284 | 241 | 52 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 114 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 216 | 331 | 394 | 725 | 178 | 325 | 40 | 9 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 672 | 610 | 135 | 20 | 4 | 16 | 40 | 240 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 221 | 292 | 346 | 638 | 125 | 311 | 36 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 661 | 590 | 92 | 15 | 1 | 22 | 46 | 256 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 156 | 241 | 297 | 537 | 141 | 213 | 39 | 7 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 453 | 412 | 82 | 21 | 2 | 15 | 26 | 154 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 199 | 267 | 369 | 636 | 170 | 269 | 34 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 672 | 610 | 135 | 20 | 4 | 16 | 40 | 240 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 221 | 292 | 346 | 638 | 125 | 311 | 36 | 6 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 661 | 590 | 92 | 15 | 1 | 22 | 46 | 256 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 156 | 241 | 297 | 537 | 141 | 213 | 39 | 7 | 234 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 453 | 412 | 82 | 21 | 2 | 15 | 26 | 154 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 199 | 267 | 369 | 636 | 170 | 269 | 34 | 6 | 273 | 71 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | SEA | 0% | 380 | 345 | 68 | 14 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 128 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 196 | 263 | 347 | 609 | 151 | 267 | 34 | 6 | 272 | 71 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB CTX | SEA | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 261 | 341 | 602 | 147 | 265 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 71 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | SEA | 30% | 251 | 228 | 45 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 83 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 199 | 267 | 353 | 619 | 154 | 269 | 33 | 6 | 277 | 73 | -8 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB MLE | SEA | 44% | 297 | 270 | 55 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 97 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 201 | 269 | 355 | 625 | 154 | 270 | 33 | 6 | 279 | 75 | -9 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +6 | -0.2 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB MLE | SEA | 49% | 316 | 286 | 58 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 102 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 202 | 271 | 355 | 626 | 153 | 270 | 32 | 7 | 280 | 76 | -9 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +7 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB MLE | SEA | 52% | 324 | 293 | 59 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 103 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 202 | 271 | 353 | 624 | 151 | 270 | 32 | 7 | 279 | 75 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB MLE | SEA | 56% | 319 | 288 | 59 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 101 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 202 | 271 | 349 | 620 | 147 | 270 | 32 | 7 | 278 | 74 | -10 | +0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | -0.4 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB MLE | SEA | 59% | 312 | 283 | 56 | 11 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 100 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 199 | 267 | 341 | 608 | 142 | 267 | 32 | 7 | 273 | 71 | -11 | -0 | -2 | +1 | +7 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | SEA | 30% | 76 | 69 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 265 | 347 | 612 | 150 | 266 | 33 | 7 | 274 | 73 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +2 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 26 | MLB CTX | SEA | 44% | 131 | 118 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 43 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 199 | 267 | 350 | 617 | 151 | 267 | 33 | 7 | 276 | 75 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 27 | MLB CTX | SEA | 49% | 155 | 141 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 50 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 200 | 269 | 350 | 618 | 150 | 268 | 32 | 6 | 277 | 76 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| 2031 | 28 | MLB CTX | SEA | 52% | 167 | 151 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 53 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 200 | 269 | 347 | 617 | 147 | 268 | 32 | 7 | 276 | 75 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 29 | MLB CTX | SEA | 56% | 178 | 161 | 32 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 56 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 200 | 269 | 344 | 613 | 144 | 267 | 31 | 7 | 275 | 74 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2033 | 30 | MLB CTX | SEA | 59% | 183 | 166 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 59 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 197 | 265 | 336 | 601 | 139 | 265 | 32 | 7 | 270 | 71 | -6 | -0 | -1 | +1 | +4 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 890 | 806 | 160 | 33 | 3 | 26 | 59 | 286 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 199 | 268 | 344 | 611 | 145 | 269 | 32 | 7 | 275 | 66 | -28 | -0 | -3 | +3 | +19 | -0.9 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 589 | 117 | 24 | 2 | 19 | 43 | 209 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 199 | 267 | 343 | 610 | 144 | 268 | 32 | 7 | 275 | 66 | -20 | -0 | -3 | +2 | +14 | -0.7 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4422 | 3954 | 764 | 145 | 18 | 130 | 294 | 1534 | 128 | 62 | 25 | 193 | 271 | 338 | 609 | 144 | 272 | 35 | 7 | 266 | 66 | -64 | +1 | -7 | +7 | +44 | -1.9 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 581 | 112 | 21 | 3 | 19 | 43 | 225 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 193 | 270 | 337 | 608 | 145 | 272 | 35 | 7 | 266 | 66 | -20 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Everett AquaSox · 433 PAwOBA .352 → .273 (−79)K% 25.2% → 34.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.17% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 33.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 5.73% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.54% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.998 | 2.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 16.82% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.85% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 8.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.995 | ×0.998 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.998 | 5.74% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.995.
Result: wOBA .352 → .273; ISO .230 → .175; BABIP .311 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Everett AquaSox · 491 PAwOBA .315 → .234 (−81)K% 27.5% → 38.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.49% | ÷0.957 | ×1.350 | — | — | 38.77% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.78% | ÷0.999 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 7.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.65% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×1.012 | 2.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.47% | ÷1.001 | ×0.910 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | 15.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.14% | ÷0.955 | ×0.830 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | 4.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.34% | ÷1.150 | ×0.820 | ×0.970 | ×1.012 | 0.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.88% | ÷1.036 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.012 | 6.38% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 100, 2B 91, 3B 130, K 91, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .315 → .234; ISO .201 → .144; BABIP .246 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AModesto Nuts · 552 PAwOBA .347 → .279 (−68)K% 26.1% → 35.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.09% | ÷0.993 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.72% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.70% | ÷1.010 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 6.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.54% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.89% | ÷0.970 | ×0.920 | ×0.968 | ×1.015 | 25.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.95% | ÷1.076 | ×0.830 | ×0.968 | ×1.015 | 5.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.21% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.968 | ×1.015 | 0.94% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.53% | ÷0.897 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 4.10% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 94, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 99, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.968.
Result: wOBA .347 → .279; ISO .160 → .127; BABIP .352 → .311. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AModesto Nuts · 144 PAwOBA .377 → .302 (−75)K% 29.9% → 39.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.86% | ÷1.026 | ×1.360 | — | — | 39.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.013 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 5.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.17% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 3.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.86% | ÷0.974 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 28.55% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.70% | ÷1.050 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 2.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.47% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.030 | 1.91% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.41% | ÷0.883 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 6.91% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 95, 2B 110, 3B 130, K 105, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .377 → .302; ISO .202 → .163; BABIP .390 → .348. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Mariners · 140 PAwOBA .448 → .310 (−138)K% 27.9% → 40.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.86% | ÷0.992 | ×1.440 | — | — | 40.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.57% | ÷0.989 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 11.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.14% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 5.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.44% | ÷0.987 | ×0.820 | ×0.959 | ×0.995 | 18.57% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.94% | ÷0.993 | ×0.720 | ×0.959 | ×0.995 | 7.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.959 | ×0.995 | 2.15% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.38% | ÷0.945 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 7.70% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 99, 3B 100, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.959.
Result: wOBA .448 → .310; ISO .282 → .204; BABIP .407 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL Mariners · 163 PAwOBA .329 → .201 (−128)K% 27.0% → 33.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.99% | ÷0.977 | ×1.220 | — | — | 33.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.43% | ÷1.055 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 6.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 7.36% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 5.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.89% | ÷0.991 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 12.25% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.78% | ÷0.953 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 4.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.11% | ÷1.105 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 0.57% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.44% | ÷1.015 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 2.05% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 91, 3B 121, K 95, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .329 → .201; ISO .157 → .079; BABIP .291 → .178. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL Mariners · 160 PAwOBA .295 → .189 (−106)K% 29.4% → 36.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.38% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.62% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 7.30% |
| HBP% /PA | 8.12% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 5.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.75% | ÷0.957 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 13.44% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.41% | ÷1.177 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 3.61% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.939 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.47% | ÷1.004 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 1.17% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 91, 2B 135, 3B 88, K 99, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .295 → .189; ISO .094 → .045; BABIP .272 → .168. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .