Francisco EspinozaC ACL Dodgers
Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 206 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION93 act + 62 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†75
AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .290 / .304
PA62
HR1
K%26
BB%8
BABIP282
ISO89
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.8 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +4.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.01.32.60.71.21.72.02.12.12.12.12.01.91.6+$135M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT57
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED48
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+2.1$11M+$10M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+2.1$10M+$9M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+2.1$9M+$9M
2035Arb-1$4M+2.0$8M+$7M
2036Arb-2$6M+1.9$7M+$5M
2037Arb-3$8M+1.6$6M+$3M
Totals $21M $50M +$43M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL LAD Mega — 7762 12200 9165 00 194342226568 32255 2112 259 56 — — — — — —
202417 ROKDSL LAD Mega — 7756 13200 15115 00 232434268702 36283 1419 346 123 — — — — — —
202518 ROKACL Dodgers — 140127 34321 12251 01 268336346682 79327 189 299 87 — — — — — —
202518 ROKACL Dodgers — 140120 42531 19171 01 350443467910 117402 1214 409 171 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD19 ROKLAD — 9383 18302 8281 10 217293325619 108296 309 284 75 -3 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.2
YTD19 ROKLAD — 9378 23403 13201 10 295402462864 167357 2214 383 152 +5 +0 +0 +2 +3 1.0
ROS19 ROKLAD 0% 6256 12201 5161 10 214290304594 89295 268 283 75 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
ROS19 MLBLAD 0% 01 0000 000 00 —— 291 —— 272 66 — — +0 +0 — —
FULL19 ROKLAD — 9384 18302 8281 10 214293321615 107291 309 284 75 -3 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.2
TOT19 ROKLAD — 155139 30503 13442 20 216292317609 101290 288 283 75 -4 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202720 MLBLAD 43% 235210 48814 20593 31 229305333638 105297 259 293 83 -5 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.7
202821 MLBLAD 61% 359320 751227 31885 62 234312350662 116298 259 299 87 -5 +0 +0 +6 +10 1.2
202922 MLBLAD 68% 448400 951639 391096 82 237315360675 122298 249 303 90 -5 +1 +0 +8 +13 1.7
203023 MLBLAD 71% 506451 10818311 441226 93 239315366681 126299 249 305 92 -5 +1 +0 +9 +14 2.0
203124 MLBLAD 71% 520463 11118312 451257 93 240317369686 130300 249 307 93 -4 +1 +0 +9 +15 2.1
203225 MLBLAD 71% 520463 11118312 451257 93 240317369686 130300 249 308 94 -4 +1 +0 +9 +15 2.1
203326 MLBLAD 71% 520462 11118312 461257 93 240318370689 130299 249 308 94 -4 +1 +0 +9 +15 2.1
203427 MLBLAD 69% 520462 11118312 461257 93 240318370689 130299 249 308 94 -4 +1 +0 +9 +15 2.1
203528 MLBLAD 69% 520461 11018312 471267 93 239318369687 130299 249 307 93 -4 +1 -1 +9 +15 2.0
203629 MLBLAD 67% 520461 10918311 471277 93 236317360677 124298 249 305 92 -5 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.9
203730 MLBLAD 66% 520461 10918311 471287 83 236317360677 124297 259 302 89 -6 +0 -2 +9 +15 1.6
203831 MLBLAD 71% 504448 10417310 451266 83 232311350661 118295 259 298 86 -8 +0 -3 +9 +14 1.3
203932 MLBLAD 74% 489436 981629 441246 72 225305333637 108292 259 293 82 -10 +1 -4 +9 +14 1.0
204033 MLBLAD 77% 451403 891428 401165 62 221299325624 104288 269 286 77 -12 +0 -4 +8 +13 0.5
202720 MLBLAD 43% 10190 21312 9251 10 233310356666 122293 259 281 73 -3 +0 +0 +2 +3 0.2
202821 MLBLAD 61% 218194 44714 19543 31 227306335641 108294 259 286 77 -6 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.5
202922 MLBLAD 68% 305272 631026 26744 52 232308349657 118294 249 290 80 -7 +0 +0 +5 +9 0.8
203023 MLBLAD 71% 360321 751228 31875 62 234311358669 125295 249 292 82 -7 +0 +0 +6 +10 1.0
203124 MLBLAD 71% 369329 781328 32895 62 237314362676 125296 249 294 83 -7 +0 +0 +7 +10 1.1
203225 MLBLAD 71% 369329 781328 32885 72 237314362676 125296 249 294 83 -7 +1 +0 +7 +10 1.1
203326 MLBLAD 71% 369329 781328 32885 72 237314362676 125295 249 295 84 -7 +1 +0 +7 +10 1.1
203427 MLBLAD 69% 361321 751228 32875 62 234313358671 125295 249 295 84 -7 +0 +0 +6 +10 1.1
203528 MLBLAD 69% 358318 751228 32865 62 236315362677 126295 249 294 83 -7 +0 -0 +6 +10 1.0
203629 MLBLAD 67% 348310 721227 31854 62 232310352662 119294 249 292 82 -7 +0 -1 +6 +10 0.8
203730 MLBLAD 66% 342304 701127 31844 62 230310349658 118293 259 289 80 -8 +0 -1 +6 +10 0.7
203831 MLBLAD 71% 357318 731227 32894 62 230308346654 116291 259 285 77 -9 +0 -2 +6 +10 0.6
203932 MLBLAD 74% 364324 721127 33924 52 222302333635 111288 259 280 73 -11 +0 -3 +7 +10 0.3
204033 MLBLAD 77% 346308 671026 31894 52 218297321619 104284 269 274 68 -13 +0 -3 +6 +10 0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 45674068 9411512694 403111758 7525 231310351660 119294 249 289 80 -106 +5 -11 +82 +129 10.2
/ 162G— — 650579 13321413 571598 114 230307347655 117292 249 289 80 -15 +1 -2 +12 +18 1.4
Career— — 69116146 144723439142 612168293 11037 235314356670 120299 249 301 89 -87 +7 -15 +123 +196 22.9
/ 162G— — 650578 13622413 581589 103 235315355669 119300 249 301 89 -8 +1 -1 +12 +18 2.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202417 ROKDSL LAD Mega — 7756 13200 15115 00 232434268702 36283 1419 346 123 +2 +0 — — +2 0.4
202518 ROKACL Dodgers — 140120 42531 19171 01 350443467910 117402 1214 409 171 +11 -0 — — +4 1.5

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21
career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA
104,23810957246292387+42+6818.017.6
/162664179+6.6+10.62.8pk7: 17
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA
113,088538241318351+55+5716.616.1
/162664112+11.9+12.33.6pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA
83,3508521246300398+33+3814.214.8
/162664174+6.6+7.62.8pk7: 15
#5Derek Norrislast yr '17
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA
62,1956326230304380+39+5013.713.7
/162664198+11.9+15.14.1pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons
104,7029978236310358+84+4015.912.9
/1626641411+11.9+5.62.2pk7: 10
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Francisco Espinoza (OGILVIE) 19 52→57 35→40 43→48 60 216/292/317 101290 32 28% 8% 75 +0.3 ————————— —————————
✕Jesus Rodriguez
2021 · A 		19 46→55 42→45 49→50 46 224/285/337 113288 99 25% 8% 72 -0.2 235/300/339 104298 612 22% 8% 80 +0.4 254/315/36210830991620%7%88+0.7
✕Juan Fernandez
2018 · A 		19 48→57 41→40 48→50 47 230/294/335 105278 86 20% 7% 77 +0.1 200/257/274 74263 44 24% 6% 45 -2.1 239/301/3329329710922%6%74-0.0
✕Jeferson Quero
2022 · A 		19 48→42 43→50 47→45 50 230/306/345 115283 910 21% 8% 85 +0.7 221/273/345 124289 148 27% 6% 70 -0.3 225/289/37014526918423%7%82+0.3
✕Luis Santana
2018 · A 		19 52 39→45 54→50 50 243/311/343 100274 511 13% 7% 85 +0.7 245/315/335 90288 69 16% 7% 85 +0.7 225/297/334109287111024%7%74-0.0
●Daniel Robertson
2013 · A 		19 45→54 46→45 52→40 49 225/297/363 139266 126 20% 8% 85 +0.7 232/296/339 107293 93 23% 7% 79 +0.3 231/336/34511430111425%11%96+0.8
✕Blaze Alexander
2019 · A 		20 48 42→45 52→50 43 226/288/345 119321 810 30% 7% 76 +0.1 200/266/306 106300 1011 34% 7% 57 -1.2 237/319/364126339121531%8%92+0.8
✕Andy Paz
2012 · A 		19 50 36→40 44→45 50 231/310/298 67290 38 20% 8% 74 -0.1 208/273/281 73275 45 24% 8% 53 -1.5 208/262/276682716424%7%43-0.5
✕Jesus Morelli
2009 · A 		19 49 42→45 48→50 49 234/311/346 112300 912 24% 8% 87 +0.8 220/282/289 69304 410 27% 6% 59 -1.1 219/279/2604128701422%6%47-0.5
✕Sam McMillan
2019 · A 		20 47 41→40 47→45 49 227/314/329 102280 86 21% 8% 85 +0.7 215/317/292 77291 47 25% 10% 77 +0.1 211/334/282712734721%12%79+0.1
✕Edgardo Rodriguez
2021 · A 		20 48 41→45 48→30 43 233/283/334 102283 85 21% 5% 72 -0.2 201/244/277 76295 65 32% 5% 39 -2.5 180/204/231512579033%2%11-0.8
✕Manuel Joseph
2013 · A 		19 46 41→45 44→50 45 221/274/319 97271 88 21% 6% 63 -0.8 244/300/352 108288 915 18% 6% 83 +0.6 263/321/381118302102115%5%101+0.8
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr.
2023 · A 		20 51→53 39→40 54→50 56 239/327/329 91293 614 19% 11% 89 +1.0 243/317/334 91314 814 23% 8% 86 +0.8 243/318/3318831381423%8%83+0.4
✕Jose Paez
2013 · A 		19 49 40→45 51→50 43 233/286/331 98308 613 25% 6% 71 -0.3 210/256/293 83314 411 32% 5% 49 -1.8 178/220/2466828331236%4%17-1.1
✕Luis Alvarez
2009 · A 		19 47 43→45 44→45 48 231/306/343 112272 115 19% 7% 85 +0.7 224/289/325 101280 96 22% 6% 72 -0.2 209/262/31710825012121%4%55-0.3
✕Luisangel Acuña
2021 · A 		19 49→55 38→45 51→60 51 232/298/315 83281 513 18% 8% 72 -0.2 229/285/335 106315 1130 29% 7% 72 -0.2 236/292/342106319113928%7%74-0.1
✕Osleivis Basabe
2019 · A 		18 51→61 38→45 49→50 48 238/291/324 86288 312 18% 7% 71 -0.3 236/280/312 76293 312 19% 5% 63 -0.8 270/315/37110232841718%5%90+0.8
✕Ramón Rodríguez
2018 · A 		19 48 40 49→45 45 232/284/331 99286 75 21% 6% 71 -0.3 212/263/280 68261 44 19% 6% 48 -1.9 215/285/31910423612515%8%66-0.2
✕Cam Maron
2010 · A 		19 46→56 40 50→40 47 222/289/316 94291 77 25% 8% 69 -0.4 242/309/331 89308 75 22% 8% 82 +0.5 244/317/320763144222%9%78+0.1
●Dilson Herrera
2013 · A 		19 44→54 43→50 51→50 43 214/269/331 117274 913 25% 6% 65 -0.7 241/291/379 138314 1412 26% 6% 86 +0.8 258/308/400143315151323%6%96+1.3
✕Christian Arroyo
2014 · A 		19 48→54 40→45 49→45 43 230/278/337 107296 56 23% 6% 69 -0.4 232/265/329 97295 74 23% 4% 62 -0.9 250/302/39814830016722%5%93+0.5