Francisco Espinoza
C Ontario Tower Buzzers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROKDSL LAD Mega | 77 | .232/.434/.268 | 0 | 0 | 57 | — | .164/.329/.180 |
| 2025 | 18 | ROKLAD | 140 | .350/.443/.467 | 1 | 0 | 96 | — | .276/.343/.354 |
| 2026 | 19 | A/ROKLAD | 190 | .317/.415/.422 | 3 | 1 | 96 | — | .268/.346/.341 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 20 | MLBLAD | 300 | .222/.294/.313 | 4 | 4 | 73 | 0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ34% MLB | 21 | MLBLAD | 56 | .222/.295/.320 | 1 | 1 | 78 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ48% MLB | 22 | MLBLAD | 128 | .225/.299/.331 | 2 | 2 | 82 | 0.2 |
Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 39
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL LAD Mega | — | 77 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 434 | 268 | 702 | 36 | 283 | 14 | 19 | 346 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | — | 140 | 120 | 42 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 350 | 443 | 467 | 910 | 117 | 402 | 12 | 14 | 409 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A | Ontario Tower Buzzers | — | 133 | 115 | 34 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 296 | 386 | 330 | 717 | 35 | 378 | 20 | 11 | 332 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | — | 57 | 46 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 370 | 482 | 652 | 1.134 | 283 | 438 | 21 | 16 | 481 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL LAD Mega | — | 77 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 329 | 180 | 509 | 16 | 199 | 17 | 13 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 140 | 127 | 35 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 276 | 343 | 354 | 697 | 79 | 339 | 18 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | Ontario Tower Buzzers | — | 133 | 119 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 35 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 269 | 341 | 294 | 635 | 25 | 377 | 26 | 8 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 57 | 49 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 265 | 357 | 449 | 806 | 184 | 342 | 30 | 11 | 352 | 124 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL LAD Mega | — | 77 | 61 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 164 | 329 | 180 | 509 | 16 | 204 | 17 | 13 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL LAD Mega | — | 77 | 56 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 232 | 434 | 268 | 702 | 36 | 283 | 14 | 19 | 346 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 140 | 127 | 35 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 276 | 343 | 354 | 697 | 79 | 337 | 18 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Dodgers | — | 140 | 120 | 42 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 350 | 443 | 467 | 910 | 117 | 402 | 12 | 14 | 409 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 190 | 169 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 53 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 266 | 340 | 337 | 678 | 71 | 371 | 28 | 8 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 190 | 161 | 51 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 38 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 317 | 415 | 422 | 837 | 106 | 393 | 20 | 13 | 377 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL LAD Mega | — | 77 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 329 | 177 | 506 | 16 | 199 | 17 | 13 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 140 | 126 | 35 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 278 | 343 | 357 | 700 | 79 | 339 | 18 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 190 | 169 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 53 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 266 | 340 | 337 | 678 | 71 | 366 | 28 | 8 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL LAD Mega | — | 77 | 62 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 161 | 329 | 177 | 506 | 16 | 199 | 17 | 13 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 140 | 126 | 35 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 278 | 343 | 357 | 700 | 79 | 339 | 18 | 9 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 190 | 169 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 53 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 266 | 340 | 337 | 678 | 71 | 366 | 28 | 8 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB MLE | LAD | 0% | 300 | 270 | 61 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 76 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 222 | 294 | 313 | 607 | 91 | 292 | 25 | 8 | 276 | 73 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 21 | MLB MLE | LAD | 34% | 164 | 148 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 226 | 299 | 327 | 626 | 100 | 293 | 25 | 8 | 284 | 78 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.3 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB MLE | LAD | 48% | 265 | 238 | 54 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 65 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 229 | 303 | 337 | 640 | 108 | 293 | 25 | 8 | 290 | 82 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | 0.5 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB MLE | LAD | 54% | 355 | 318 | 74 | 12 | 2 | 7 | 30 | 86 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 232 | 305 | 346 | 651 | 114 | 294 | 24 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +8 | 0.8 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB MLE | LAD | 55% | 413 | 370 | 87 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 99 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 234 | 307 | 352 | 659 | 118 | 295 | 24 | 8 | 297 | 87 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +9 | 1.0 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB MLE | LAD | 56% | 445 | 400 | 94 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 106 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 235 | 308 | 355 | 664 | 121 | 295 | 24 | 8 | 299 | 88 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB MLE | LAD | 56% | 445 | 400 | 94 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 106 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 234 | 308 | 355 | 663 | 120 | 294 | 24 | 8 | 299 | 88 | -6 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 1.2 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAD | 55% | 445 | 399 | 94 | 16 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 107 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 233 | 307 | 352 | 659 | 119 | 294 | 24 | 9 | 297 | 87 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +8 | +10 | 1.1 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAD | 55% | 445 | 400 | 93 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 37 | 108 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 231 | 305 | 347 | 652 | 116 | 293 | 24 | 8 | 294 | 85 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 1.0 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAD | 53% | 445 | 400 | 91 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 109 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 229 | 302 | 341 | 643 | 112 | 291 | 24 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +8 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB MLE | LAD | 53% | 445 | 400 | 90 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 37 | 111 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 226 | 299 | 333 | 632 | 107 | 290 | 25 | 8 | 286 | 80 | -11 | +0 | -2 | +8 | +10 | 0.5 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB MLE | LAD | 52% | 409 | 368 | 82 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 103 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 222 | 294 | 323 | 617 | 101 | 286 | 25 | 8 | 280 | 76 | -12 | -1 | -3 | +7 | +9 | 0.0 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB MLE | LAD | 56% | 370 | 334 | 73 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 95 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 216 | 288 | 311 | 598 | 94 | 283 | 26 | 8 | 272 | 70 | -13 | -3 | -4 | +7 | +8 | -0.5 |
| 2028 | 21 | MLB CTX | LAD | 34% | 56 | 50 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 295 | 320 | 616 | 98 | 286 | 25 | 9 | 280 | 78 | -1 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 22 | MLB CTX | LAD | 48% | 128 | 115 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 225 | 299 | 331 | 631 | 106 | 287 | 24 | 9 | 286 | 82 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | 0.2 |
| 2030 | 23 | MLB CTX | LAD | 54% | 193 | 173 | 39 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 47 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 228 | 302 | 340 | 642 | 112 | 288 | 24 | 8 | 290 | 85 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | 0.4 |
| 2031 | 24 | MLB CTX | LAD | 55% | 229 | 205 | 48 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 55 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 230 | 304 | 346 | 650 | 116 | 288 | 24 | 8 | 293 | 87 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2032 | 25 | MLB CTX | LAD | 56% | 249 | 223 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 60 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 231 | 305 | 350 | 655 | 119 | 288 | 24 | 8 | 295 | 88 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2033 | 26 | MLB CTX | LAD | 56% | 250 | 224 | 51 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 60 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 230 | 305 | 349 | 654 | 119 | 288 | 24 | 8 | 295 | 88 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.7 |
| 2034 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAD | 55% | 246 | 220 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 59 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 229 | 304 | 347 | 650 | 117 | 287 | 24 | 9 | 294 | 87 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.6 |
| 2035 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAD | 55% | 244 | 218 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 59 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 228 | 302 | 342 | 643 | 114 | 286 | 24 | 9 | 291 | 85 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +4 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2036 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAD | 53% | 238 | 213 | 49 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 58 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 225 | 299 | 336 | 634 | 111 | 285 | 24 | 8 | 287 | 83 | -5 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.4 |
| 2037 | 30 | MLB CTX | LAD | 53% | 234 | 211 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 58 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 222 | 295 | 328 | 623 | 106 | 283 | 25 | 8 | 283 | 80 | -6 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2038 | 31 | MLB CTX | LAD | 52% | 213 | 192 | 43 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 54 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 218 | 290 | 318 | 608 | 100 | 280 | 25 | 8 | 277 | 76 | -6 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2039 | 32 | MLB CTX | LAD | 56% | 208 | 187 | 40 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 53 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 213 | 284 | 306 | 590 | 93 | 277 | 25 | 8 | 269 | 70 | -7 | -2 | -2 | +4 | +5 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 2488 | 2231 | 504 | 80 | 11 | 48 | 208 | 608 | 28 | 36 | 22 | 226 | 300 | 336 | 636 | 110 | 288 | 24 | 8 | 287 | 83 | -50 | -2 | -6 | +44 | +54 | 4.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 583 | 132 | 21 | 3 | 13 | 54 | 159 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 226 | 300 | 340 | 639 | 113 | 287 | 24 | 8 | 287 | 83 | -13 | -0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 1.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5163 | 4631 | 1071 | 175 | 29 | 90 | 434 | 1255 | 61 | 74 | 43 | 231 | 306 | 340 | 645 | 109 | 296 | 24 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -97 | -2 | -10 | +85 | +103 | 8.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 135 | 22 | 4 | 11 | 55 | 158 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 232 | 307 | 340 | 646 | 108 | 297 | 24 | 8 | 291 | 83 | -13 | -0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AOntario Tower Buzzers · 133 PAwOBA .327 → .292 (−35)K% 19.5% → 26.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.55% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 26.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 8.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.50% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 1.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×1.045 | 34.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.045 | 4.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .327 → .292; ISO .035 → .030; BABIP .378 → .377. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKACL Dodgers · 57 PAwOBA .477 → .352 (−125)K% 21.1% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.05% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 9.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.75% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 1.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 24.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 8.53% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.82% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 6.93% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .477 → .352; ISO .283 → .213; BABIP .438 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Dodgers · 140 PAwOBA .399 → .310 (−89)K% 12.1% → 17.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.14% | ÷0.993 | ×1.440 | — | — | 17.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.57% | ÷0.997 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 8.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.53% |
| Singles /BIP | 32.04% | ÷0.996 | ×0.820 | ×1.044 | ×1.022 | 28.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.85% | ÷1.102 | ×0.720 | ×1.044 | ×1.022 | 3.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.91% | ÷1.060 | ×0.720 | ×1.044 | ×1.022 | 2.11% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.97% | ÷1.187 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 0.65% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 99, 2B 120, 3B 112, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .399 → .310; ISO .117 → .082; BABIP .402 → .339. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 DSLDSL LAD Mega · 77 PAwOBA .344 → .252 (−92)K% 14.3% → 17.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.29% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.48% | ÷1.030 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 13.53% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.49% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 4.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.44% | ÷0.988 | ×0.680 | ×1.010 | ×1.022 | 17.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.44% | ÷0.953 | ×0.600 | ×1.010 | ×1.022 | 2.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.079 | ×0.600 | ×1.010 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.095 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 98, 2B 91, 3B 116, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.010.
Result: wOBA .344 → .252; ISO .036 → .026; BABIP .283 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).