Yeiner FernandezC Tulsa Drillers
Age 23 R/R 5'9" / 170 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 297 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†64
AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .292 / .301
PA297
HR2
K%16
BB%6
BABIP274
ISO70
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -16.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-16BATRUN: -0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +5.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.91.90.81.21.41.41.31.21.00.7+$61M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 25
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT55
scouting grade only
POWER25
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.4$9M+$8M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.4$8M+$8M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.3$7M+$7M
2032Arb-1$2M+1.2$6M+$5M
2033Arb-2$3M+1.0$5M+$3M
2034Arb-3$3M+0.7$2M+$0.2M
Totals $11M $37M +$31M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROK2 teams 191176 50912 8456 13 284337381718 97369 244 310 95
202118 ROK2 teams 191172 611213 12306 13 355416488904 134414 166 402 166
202219 A2 teams 455411 1001616 309210 32 243310331641 88297 207 289 79
202219 A2 teams 455394 11619211 475810 32 294384437820 142319 1310 366 138
202320 A+2 teams 479429 1071336 37837 42 249319336655 86292 178 293 82
202320 A+2 teams 479411 1131847 55617 42 275370389759 114304 1311 342 120
202421 AA2 teams 457411 832203 268616 83 202276277553 75245 196 246 46
202421 AA2 teams 457398 1012814 395916 83 254344359704 106286 139 320 103
202522 AATulsa Drillers 442407 971202 23659 22 238294283576 44277 155 260 57
202522 AATulsa Drillers 442390 981402 39499 22 251333303635 51281 119 295 84
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 AALAD 2322 2100 150 00 91130136267 45118 224 122 -48 -4 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.3
YTD23 AALAD 2321 2100 240 00 95174143317 48118 179 156 -22 -3 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.2
ROS23 AALAD 2% 297272 631112 17486 31 232292301593 70271 166 268 64 -12 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.2
ROS23 MLBLAD 2% 66 1000 010 00 167167167333 268 170 252 51 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL23 AALAD 2928 3100 160 00 107138143281 36136 213 149 -28 -4 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.3
TOT23 AALAD 320294 651212 18536 31 221280289569 68263 176 258 56 -16 +0 +0 +6 +9 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBLAD 31% 497454 1071916 31829 52 236298322619 86273 166 280 73 -15 +0 +0 +9 +14 0.8
202825 MLBLAD 45% 520472 1132018 34879 52 239303337640 97275 177 289 79 -12 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.2
202926 MLBLAD 51% 520471 1142019 35889 52 242307346653 104276 177 293 82 -10 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.4
203027 MLBLAD 53% 520470 1132019 36909 52 240307345651 104276 177 294 83 -10 +0 +0 +9 +15 1.4
203128 MLBLAD 53% 520470 1132019 36909 52 240307345651 104276 177 293 82 -10 +0 -1 +9 +15 1.3
203229 MLBLAD 53% 520470 1121919 36919 52 238305340645 102275 187 291 81 -11 +0 -1 +9 +15 1.2
203330 MLBLAD 52% 520470 1101918 36939 42 234301330631 96274 187 288 79 -13 +0 -2 +9 +15 1.0
203431 MLBLAD 52% 501453 1061818 35918 41 234300331632 97272 187 284 75 -14 +0 -3 +9 +14 0.7
202724 MLBLAD 31% 154140 33602 10253 11 236301321622 86270 166 264 60 -7 -0 +0 +3 +4 -0.0
202825 MLBLAD 45% 232211 50913 15394 21 237300332632 95272 176 272 67 -9 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.2
202926 MLBLAD 51% 265240 571014 18455 31 237304338642 100272 177 277 70 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.3
203027 MLBLAD 53% 273247 591015 19475 31 239306348654 109273 177 278 71 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.4
203128 MLBLAD 53% 277251 601015 19485 31 239305347652 108272 177 277 70 -9 +0 -0 +5 +8 0.3
203229 MLBLAD 53% 273247 581014 19485 21 235303332635 97272 187 275 69 -10 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.2
203330 MLBLAD 52% 271245 571004 19485 21 233301322624 90271 187 272 67 -10 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.1
203431 MLBLAD 52% 260236 54904 18474 21 229295318612 89268 187 268 64 -11 +0 -1 +5 +7 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 20111823 42974531 13734836 188 235302332634 97274 177 273 67 -74 +0 -4 +36 +57 1.6
/ 162G 650589 13924210 4411212 63 236302334637 98274 177 273 67 -24 +0 -1 +12 +18 0.5
Career 64395836 13882381487 4201131125 5928 238303328631 90279 187 284 75 -179 +1 -7 +115 +182 11.5
/ 162G 650589 1402419 4211413 63 238303328630 90279 186 284 75 -18 +0 -1 +12 +18 1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 3431 16101 231 00 5165596451.204 129556 96 534 267 +6 +0 +1 0.8
202118 ROKACL Dodgers 157141 451112 10275 13 319385454839 135381 176 373 144 +8 -1 +4 1.1
202219 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes 423363 10616210 465510 32 292387430816 138318 1311 366 138 +18 -0 +12 3.0
202219 INTLCardenales de Lara 3231 10301 130 00 323344516860 194333 93 377 147 +2 +0 +1 0.3
202320 A+Great Lakes Loons 433373 1021436 47567 42 273365375741 102303 1311 334 114 +7 +0 +12 1.9
202320 INTLGlendale Desert Dogs 4638 11411 850 00 289413526939 237312 1117 412 173 +4 +0 +1 0.5
202421 AATulsa Drillers 419364 892403 395613 82 245339335674 91279 139 310 95 -2 +1 +12 1.1
202421 INTLCardenales de Lara 3834 12411 033 01 3534056181.023 265355 80 433 190 +4 -0 +1 0.5
202522 AATulsa Drillers 442390 981402 39499 22 251333303635 51281 119 295 84 -8 -0 +13 0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#2Zack Cozartlast yr '19
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA
83,3508521246300398+33+3814.214.8
/162664174+6.6+7.62.8pk7: 15
#3Derek Norrislast yr '17
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA
62,1956326230304380+39+5013.713.7
/162664198+11.9+15.14.1pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons
42,0123218239300338+36+164.64.5
/162664116+11.9+5.31.5pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Yeiner Fernandez (OGILVIE) 23 55 25 45 40 221/280/289 68263 23 17% 6% 56 -0.1
Isiah Kiner-Falefa
2018 · AA
23 52→56 36→40 47→55 45 246/294/309 63293 311 17% 5% 69 -0.4 244/301/332 88293 612 18% 6% 78 +0.2 264/312/3417729962114%5%81+0.3
Brallan Perez
2019 · A
23 53 35→30 42→50 45 246/300/305 58305 37 20% 6% 70 -0.3 218/277/277 59287 38 24% 6% 53 -1.5 197/258/230322622824%6%30-1.7
Jorge Flores
2015 · AA
23 51→56 36→30 43→50 45 238/288/309 71283 211 16% 5% 66 -0.6 221/271/287 66274 49 20% 6% 53 -1.5 218/285/2937526571019%6%59-0.7
Ramon Soto
2011 · AAA
23 51 36→30 40→45 43 244/284/305 61297 48 19% 4% 63 -0.8 240/286/307 67289 48 18% 5% 65 -0.7 287/332/349623512818%5%91+0.4
Roy Morales
2017 · A
22 50 35→30 47→45 48 232/295/292 60271 35 15% 6% 66 -0.6 231/295/299 68279 49 18% 7% 68 -0.5 271/335/332613234816%7%90+0.4
Richard Rodriguez
2016 · A
23 54 34→30 43→50 48 251/299/297 46305 19 18% 6% 67 -0.5 211/252/271 60282 38 25% 5% 41 -2.3 148/174/15681970724%3%-26-1.4
Yonathan Mendoza
2017 · AA
23 51 36→30 46→45 47 241/292/305 64291 45 18% 6% 67 -0.5 240/288/296 56293 46 18% 6% 63 -0.9 236/285/279432893518%6%54-0.9
Angelo Amendolare
2016 · AAA
23 47 37→30 44→50 51 220/293/292 73263 47 18% 8% 66 -0.6 228/299/298 70312 39 26% 8% 69 -0.4 241/317/2834334101026%8%69-0.2
Rossmel Perez
2013 · AA
23 53→55 35→30 46→45 54 246/307/302 56271 36 11% 8% 72 -0.2 250/300/317 67273 56 10% 6% 73 -0.1 259/301/31960279439%5%72-0.1
Mike Dowd
2013 · A
23 52 38→40 45→40 44 247/291/331 84291 56 17% 5% 73 -0.1 207/251/281 74259 54 22% 4% 43 -2.2 183/221/242592305122%2%17-1.5
Jimmy Rohan
2007 · AAA
23 51 37→40 39→45 47 238/284/311 72276 46 15% 6% 65 -0.7 226/277/302 76281 46 20% 6% 59 -1.1 221/271/269492790020%6%46-0.6
Anthony Gomez
2014 · A
23 51→54 36→30 47→45 44 240/274/304 64274 48 14% 4% 58 -1.2 220/251/284 64261 48 17% 4% 43 -2.2 197/213/222252330515%2%6-1.8
Nate Samson
2011 · AA
23 50→57 35→40 40→45 46 236/281/287 52270 36 14% 5% 57 -1.2 218/261/301 83263 68 19% 5% 53 -1.5 221/267/3007826261018%5%52-0.5
Ramón Cabrera
2013 · AA
23 52→59 38→40 42→40 49 246/294/327 81280 44 14% 6% 73 -0.1 257/302/343 86294 53 14% 6% 81 +0.4 267/310/349823045213%6%82+0.4
Raywilly Gomez
2014 · AA
24 51 36→30 45→40 53 236/297/304 68271 33 14% 8% 69 -0.4 240/299/306 66277 44 14% 8% 70 -0.3 253/310/302492874212%7%71-0.1
Bryson Brigman
2018 · A
23 48→58 36→40 47→50 44 225/272/287 62283 310 21% 6% 53 -1.5 241/294/317 76304 410 21% 6% 71 -0.3 255/311/3408531751120%7%81+0.3
Carlos Garay
2018 · A
23 59→64 36→30 45→30 42 278/307/342 64320 34 14% 3% 82 +0.5 259/291/337 78310 55 17% 4% 74 -0.1 283/303/353703344016%2%78+0.1
Chad Zurcher
2013 · A
24 48 36→30 47→45 50 222/288/291 69266 39 17% 7% 62 -0.9 227/311/289 62295 27 21% 10% 72 -0.2 235/337/268333010619%12%75-0.0
Rubén Tejada
2014 · MLB
24 52→61 36→40 43→50 48 243/294/312 69281 36 14% 6% 69 -0.4 240/314/324 84286 64 17% 9% 82 +0.5 246/313/343972867115%8%81+0.2
Marcus Lemon
2011 · AA
23 51→53 37→40 44→45 44 241/282/318 78294 37 19% 5% 66 -0.6 239/280/320 81299 39 20% 5% 65 -0.7 233/281/325922964622%6%63-0.4