Avery Romero
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 22 | A+MIA | 505 | .259/.319/.314 | 3 | 3 | 57 | — | .237/.283/.288 |
| 2016 | 23 | AA/A+2 orgs | 413 | .236/.311/.322 | 4 | 3 | 51 | — | .206/.267/.288 |
| 2017 | 24 | A+Lancaster Jet… | 177 | .271/.347/.426 | 6 | 4 | 59 | — | .211/.266/.298 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 19 | ROK | GCL Marlins | — | 139 | 121 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 223 | 314 | 347 | 661 | 124 | 242 | 15 | 7 | 299 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 40 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 147 | 237 | 265 | 502 | 118 | 143 | 12 | 10 | 222 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 108 | 100 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 320 | 370 | 400 | 770 | 80 | 368 | 12 | 6 | 348 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 399 | 366 | 117 | 23 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 47 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 320 | 368 | 429 | 797 | 109 | 354 | 12 | 6 | 353 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 505 | 455 | 118 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 71 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 259 | 319 | 314 | 633 | 55 | 297 | 14 | 8 | 286 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA | Jacksonville Suns | — | 117 | 100 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 190 | 302 | 290 | 592 | 100 | 217 | 15 | 13 | 275 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 296 | 269 | 68 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 39 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 253 | 314 | 335 | 649 | 82 | 283 | 13 | 7 | 294 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 177 | 155 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 271 | 347 | 426 | 773 | 155 | 279 | 13 | 10 | 338 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 139 | 125 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 168 | 241 | 248 | 489 | 80 | 196 | 22 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 40 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 211 | 257 | 468 | 114 | 133 | 18 | 8 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 108 | 102 | 29 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 284 | 324 | 363 | 687 | 78 | 343 | 18 | 5 | 295 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 399 | 374 | 107 | 19 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 64 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 286 | 322 | 366 | 689 | 80 | 331 | 16 | 4 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 505 | 465 | 110 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 99 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 237 | 283 | 288 | 571 | 52 | 281 | 20 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | AA MLE | Jacksonville Suns | — | 117 | 105 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 181 | 259 | 276 | 535 | 95 | 213 | 18 | 9 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 296 | 273 | 59 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 56 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 216 | 270 | 293 | 563 | 77 | 253 | 19 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 177 | 161 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 34 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 211 | 266 | 298 | 564 | 87 | 239 | 19 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 139 | 125 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 168 | 241 | 248 | 489 | 80 | 200 | 22 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Marlins | — | 139 | 121 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 223 | 314 | 347 | 661 | 124 | 242 | 15 | 7 | 299 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 40 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 211 | 257 | 468 | 114 | 148 | 18 | 8 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A RAW | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 40 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 147 | 237 | 265 | 502 | 118 | 143 | 12 | 10 | 222 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 476 | 136 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 83 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 286 | 323 | 366 | 688 | 80 | 339 | 16 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 507 | 466 | 149 | 31 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 60 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 320 | 369 | 423 | 791 | 103 | 357 | 12 | 6 | 352 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 505 | 465 | 110 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 99 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 237 | 283 | 288 | 571 | 52 | 290 | 20 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ RAW | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 505 | 455 | 118 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 71 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 259 | 319 | 314 | 633 | 55 | 297 | 14 | 8 | 286 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 413 | 378 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 77 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 204 | 264 | 278 | 542 | 74 | 245 | 19 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 413 | 369 | 87 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 35 | 56 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 236 | 311 | 322 | 633 | 87 | 265 | 14 | 8 | 288 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 177 | 161 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 34 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 211 | 266 | 298 | 564 | 87 | 244 | 19 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ RAW | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 177 | 155 | 42 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 23 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 271 | 347 | 426 | 773 | 155 | 279 | 13 | 10 | 338 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Marlins | — | 139 | 126 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 241 | 246 | 487 | 79 | 196 | 22 | 4 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 20 | A MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 40 | 37 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 135 | 211 | 243 | 454 | 108 | 133 | 18 | 8 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 507 | 476 | 136 | 27 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 83 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 286 | 323 | 366 | 688 | 80 | 334 | 16 | 4 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jupiter Hammerheads | — | 505 | 470 | 110 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 99 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 234 | 283 | 285 | 568 | 51 | 281 | 20 | 6 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 413 | 379 | 77 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 77 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 203 | 264 | 277 | 541 | 74 | 242 | 19 | 6 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lancaster JetHawks | — | 177 | 163 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 34 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 209 | 266 | 294 | 560 | 86 | 239 | 19 | 7 | 255 | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1781 | 1640 | 383 | 65 | 4 | 15 | 97 | 330 | 17 | 20 | 11 | 234 | 283 | 305 | 589 | 72 | 280 | 19 | 5 | 260 | 62 | -80 | -0 | +0 | +6 | +39 | -3.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 599 | 139 | 24 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 120 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 232 | 281 | 301 | 582 | 68 | 279 | 18 | 5 | 260 | 62 | -29 | -0 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.3 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2017 A+Lancaster JetHawks · 177 PAwOBA .335 → .255 (−80)K% 13.0% → 19.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.99% | ÷0.897 | ×1.340 | — | — | 19.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.17% | ÷1.017 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 7.01% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.73% | ÷1.004 | ×0.910 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 20.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.039 | ×0.820 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 3.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.136 | ×0.760 | ×0.999 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.55% | ÷1.600 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 2.58% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 220, 1B 101, 2B 108, 3B 127, K 79, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.
Result: wOBA .335 → .255; ISO .155 → .095; BABIP .279 → .239. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 296 PAwOBA .289 → .248 (−41)K% 13.2% → 19.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.18% | ÷0.987 | ×1.420 | — | — | 18.96% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.76% | ÷0.933 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 5.42% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.35% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.61% | ÷1.005 | ×0.920 | ×0.973 | ×0.998 | 20.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.65% | ÷1.003 | ×0.960 | ×0.973 | ×0.998 | 5.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×0.973 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.30% | ÷0.918 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 1.25% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 97, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .289 → .248; ISO .082 → .074; BABIP .283 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAJacksonville Suns · 117 PAwOBA .271 → .235 (−36)K% 14.5% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.53% | ÷0.986 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.98% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.82% | ÷1.029 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 8.70% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.85% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.74% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.66% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×1.039 | ×1.027 | 15.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.61% | ÷0.957 | ×0.910 | ×1.039 | ×1.027 | 3.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.41% | ÷1.013 | ×0.880 | ×1.039 | ×1.027 | 2.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.20% | ÷1.423 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.70% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 185, 1B 99, 2B 91, 3B 103, K 97, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.039.
Result: wOBA .271 → .235; ISO .100 → .087; BABIP .217 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 505 PAwOBA .282 → .252 (−30)K% 14.1% → 19.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.06% | ÷1.014 | ×1.420 | — | — | 19.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.52% | ÷1.037 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.012 | 5.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.40% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.012 | 0.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.04% | ÷1.002 | ×0.920 | ×1.018 | ×1.012 | 24.63% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.65% | ÷1.064 | ×0.960 | ×1.018 | ×1.012 | 3.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.26% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.018 | ×1.012 | 0.24% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.78% | ÷0.819 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 0.85% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 64, 1B 100, 2B 113, 3B 80, K 103, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.018.
Result: wOBA .282 → .252; ISO .055 → .053; BABIP .297 → .281. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AGreensboro Grasshoppers · 399 PAwOBA .345 → .301 (−45)K% 11.8% → 16.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.78% | ÷0.985 | ×1.340 | — | — | 16.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.27% | ÷0.987 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.015 | 4.25% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.015 | 0.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.59% | ÷0.952 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×1.015 | 26.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.21% | ÷0.982 | ×0.820 | ×0.985 | ×1.015 | 6.02% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.31% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.985 | ×1.015 | 0.33% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.57% | ÷1.245 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.015 | 1.05% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 90, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 97, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .345 → .301; ISO .109 → .085; BABIP .354 → .331. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 A+Jupiter Hammerheads · 108 PAwOBA .339 → .295 (−44)K% 12.0% → 18.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.04% | ÷0.951 | ×1.420 | — | — | 17.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.48% | ÷1.079 | ×0.750 | — | ×1.027 | 4.63% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.93% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×1.027 | 0.88% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.59% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×0.971 | ×1.027 | 24.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.20% | ÷0.944 | ×0.960 | ×0.971 | ×1.027 | 9.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.914 | ×0.810 | ×0.971 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.983 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 103, 2B 89, 3B 83, K 90, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .339 → .295; ISO .080 → .077; BABIP .368 → .343. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AGreensboro Grasshoppers · 40 PAwOBA .216 → .181 (−35)K% 12.5% → 17.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.50% | ÷0.963 | ×1.340 | — | — | 17.39% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷0.920 | ×0.660 | — | ×1.030 | 7.39% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.34% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.030 | 9.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.45% | ÷0.945 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 3.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.959 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.235 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.030 | 2.36% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 147, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 92, K 93, BB 84 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .216 → .181; ISO .118 → .090; BABIP .143 → .133. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 ROKGCL Marlins · 139 PAwOBA .296 → .223 (−73)K% 15.1% → 21.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.11% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 21.76% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 4.49% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.32% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 3.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.017 | ×1.008 | 15.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.017 | ×1.008 | 4.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.017 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 2.36% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.017.
Result: wOBA .296 → .223; ISO .124 → .093; BABIP .242 → .196. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).