Victor Santos

P FCL Orioles

Age 20 LHP 6'0" / 153 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Orioles B…	10	10	33	6.21	3.82	22.0%	19.5%	—	K 14.9% · BB 24.4% · FIP 4.93
2026	19	ROKBAL	13	0	19	9.31	3.67	22.0%	18.7%	—	K 14.9% · BB 23.4% · FIP 4.80
2027PROJ	20	MLBBAL	13	0	14	5.90	5.90	19.9%	20.0%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBBAL	14	0	15	5.54	5.40	20.8%	16.8%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsRoberto Medina (age 19) · Oriel Castro (age 20) · Colby Langford (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129137vR 145

ERA5.90

FIP5.90

K%19.9%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-0.1%

Proj IP14

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	9	2	13	58	14	8	1	22%	1.5	16.4%	17.2%	-0.8%	2.4%	6.07	5.24	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	9	2	13	58	14	8	1	22%	1.5	16.4%	17.2%	-0.8%	2.4%	6.07	5.24	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	9	2	13	58	14	8	1	22%	1.5	24.1%	13.8%	10.3%	1.7%	6.07	3.77	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	10	10	33	164	36	32	0	100%	3.3	14.9%	24.4%	-9.5%	0.0%	6.21	4.93	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	10	10	33	164	36	32	0	100%	3.3	14.9%	24.4%	-9.5%	0.0%	6.21	4.93	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	10	10	33	164	36	32	0	100%	3.3	22.0%	19.5%	2.4%	0.0%	6.21	3.82	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	13	0	19	91	20	17	0	0%	1.5	14.9%	23.4%	-8.4%	0.0%	9.31	4.80	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	13	0	19	91	20	17	0	0%	1.5	14.9%	23.4%	-8.4%	0.0%	9.31	4.80	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	FCL Orioles	13	0	19	91	20	17	0	0%	1.5	22.0%	18.7%	3.3%	0.0%	9.31	3.67	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	BAL	13	0	14	59	12	12	2	0%	1.1	19.9%	20.0%	-0.1%	2.9%	5.90	5.90	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	BAL	30	0	32	133	28	22	4	0%	1.1	20.8%	16.8%	3.9%	2.8%	5.54	5.40	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	BAL	14	0	15	63	13	11	2	0%	1.1	20.8%	16.8%	3.9%	2.8%	5.54	5.40	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	15	65	14	11	2	0%	1.0	20.8%	16.8%	3.9%	2.8%	5.54	5.02	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	142	26	0%	1.1	20.8%	16.8%	3.9%	2.8%	5.54	5.02	-1.1
Career	—	MLE		32	12	66	313	48	71	1	38%	2.1	15.2%	22.8%	-7.6%	0.5%	7.09	4.95	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	36	200	948	144	216	4	37%	2.1	15.2%	22.8%	-7.6%	0.5%	7.09	4.95	-2.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Victor Santos (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.90	19.9%	20.0%	2.9%	—	5.40	20.8%	3.9%	32	-0.50	—	—	—
Roberto Medina L 2024 · 5.29 FIP	19	SW	5.29	18.5%	19.6%	2.3%	.254	5.91	15.1%	-2.7%	45	+0.62	3.87	109	83
Oriel Castro L 2021 · 4.95 FIP	20	SW	4.95	19.6%	19.0%	2.0%	.390	5.41	16.3%	-0.1%	41	+0.46	4.63	129	81
Colby Langford L 2024 · 5.34 FIP	22	SW	5.34	21.6%	22.5%	2.2%	.273	6.01	22.2%	-1.1%	110	+0.67	4.92	168	78
Brayan De Paula L 2019 · 6.00 FIP	20	SW	6.00	16.9%	16.4%	4.1%	.272	4.58	20.9%	6.1%	59	-1.42	3.57	243	78
Yenfri Sosa L 2024 · 6.08 FIP	20	SU	6.08	19.0%	21.3%	3.4%	.309	4.41	21.7%	7.4%	38	-1.67	2.49	128	76
Braian Salazar L 2024 · 4.71 FIP	19	SW	4.71	22.0%	20.2%	1.7%	.344	4.11	21.7%	5.1%	107	-0.60	3.58	158	76
Brayan Restituyo L 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.6%	14.6%	2.5%	.397	4.46	18.4%	6.3%	144	-0.35	3.66	239	76
Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.80 FIP	21	SP-	5.80	20.8%	16.6%	4.3%	.290	4.30	19.0%	8.0%	394	-1.50	3.58	460	75
Matt Minnick L 2019 · 5.59 FIP	23	SU	5.59	17.2%	14.1%	3.9%	.302	4.67	23.5%	12.1%	105	-0.92	3.81	147	75
Dominic Scheffler L 2024 · 5.54 FIP	20	SP-	5.54	19.7%	28.4%	0.9%	.348	5.19	16.1%	-4.1%	82	-0.35	4.59	110	75
CD Pelham L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	20	SU	4.77	18.8%	18.7%	1.6%	.286	4.00	20.4%	7.8%	109	-0.77	3.39	288	75
Alvaro Gamez L 2024 · 5.50 FIP	19	SW	5.50	13.2%	21.0%	1.6%	.278	7.06	15.0%	-9.3%	21	+1.56	4.57	115	74
Gregori Louis L 2023 · 6.48 FIP	20	SU	6.48	17.3%	20.4%	4.1%	.241	4.37	19.6%	2.9%	111	-2.11	3.58	149	74
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.28	17.9%	4.2%	149	-0.59	4.79	194	74
Gabriel Cotto L 2019 · 5.98 FIP	19	SW	5.98	11.3%	18.4%	2.8%	.309	5.15	18.5%	2.4%	113	-0.83	5.02	236	74
Daniel Gonzalez L 2022 · 5.66 FIP	20	SU	5.66	16.3%	14.0%	3.9%	.310	4.44	23.2%	1.7%	55	-1.22	4.34	136	73
Christian Chamberlain L 2022 · 6.42 FIP	23	SU	6.42	23.4%	21.7%	4.6%	.330	4.12	24.1%	5.4%	99	-2.30	3.91	148	73
Deyer Zapata L 2024 · 5.79 FIP	20	SU	5.79	18.0%	15.3%	4.1%	.319	3.77	16.2%	7.0%	15	-2.02	3.77	130	72
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	72
Enrique Perez L 2018 · 4.81 FIP	20	SU	4.81	16.2%	14.3%	2.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	133	72