Victor Santos — OGILVIE

Victor Santos P FCL Orioles

Age 19 LHP 6'0" / 153 lbs ROK

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 15 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130139vR 147

ERA5.98

FIP5.98

K%19.8%

BB%20.5%

K-BB%-0.7%

ROS IP16

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	9	2	13	58	14	8	1	22%	1.5	16.4%	17.2%	-0.8%	2.4%	6.07	5.24	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	9	2	13	58	14	8	1	22%	1.5	16.4%	17.2%	-0.8%	2.4%	6.07	5.24	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	9	2	13	58	14	8	1	22%	1.5	24.1%	13.8%	10.3%	1.7%	6.07	3.77	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	10	10	33	164	36	32	0	100%	3.3	14.9%	24.4%	-9.5%	0.0%	6.21	4.93	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	10	10	33	164	36	32	0	100%	3.3	14.9%	24.4%	-9.5%	0.0%	6.21	4.93	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	10	10	33	164	36	32	0	100%	3.3	22.0%	19.5%	2.4%	0.0%	6.21	3.82	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	13	0	19	91	20	17	0	0%	1.5	14.9%	23.4%	-8.4%	0.0%	9.31	4.80	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	13	0	19	91	20	17	0	0%	1.5	14.9%	23.4%	-8.4%	0.0%	9.31	4.80	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	BAL	13	0	19	91	20	17	0	0%	1.5	22.0%	18.7%	3.3%	0.0%	9.31	3.61	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BAL	30	0	32	133	28	23	4	0%	1.1	20.7%	17.2%	3.5%	2.8%	5.60	5.46	-0.3
2027	20	MLB CTX	BAL	14	0	15	63	13	11	2	0%	1.1	20.7%	17.2%	3.5%	2.8%	5.60	5.46	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	15	65	14	11	2	0%	1.0	20.7%	17.2%	3.5%	2.8%	5.60	5.08	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	142	26	0%	1.1	20.7%	17.2%	3.5%	2.8%	5.60	5.08	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		32	12	66	313	48	71	1	38%	2.1	15.2%	22.8%	-7.6%	0.5%	7.09	4.95	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		97	36	200	948	144	216	4	37%	2.1	15.2%	22.8%	-7.6%	0.5%	7.09	4.95	-2.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Victor Santos (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.98	19.8%	20.5%	2.9%	—	5.46	20.7%	3.5%	32	-0.52	—	—	—
Yordan Nodal L 2021 · 5.02 FIP	19	SW	5.02	15.7%	20.7%	1.2%	.292	5.13	14.7%	-0.2%	128	+0.11	4.94	193	78
Edgardo Ibarra L 2022 · 5.37 FIP	19	SW	5.37	16.2%	16.6%	2.8%	.250	5.26	14.4%	-5.7%	63	-0.11	5.26	142	77
Sandro Bargallo L 2021 · 6.70 FIP	19	SP-	6.70	15.8%	26.5%	2.9%	.308	4.91	19.2%	-3.1%	82	-1.79	4.16	129	77
Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.80 FIP	21	SP-	5.80	20.8%	16.6%	4.3%	.290	4.31	18.9%	7.9%	394	-1.49	3.58	457	76
Develson Aria L 2019 · 5.19 FIP	18	SU	5.19	15.5%	19.7%	1.6%	.311	4.33	21.7%	3.1%	54	-0.86	4.32	137	75
Bryce Hubbart L 2023 · 5.87 FIP	22	SW	5.87	17.0%	26.0%	1.7%	.303	5.32	17.8%	4.0%	148	-0.55	4.79	193	75
Gabriel Cotto L 2019 · 5.98 FIP	19	SW	5.98	11.3%	18.4%	2.8%	.309	5.15	18.5%	2.4%	113	-0.83	5.02	236	74
Riger Fernandez L 2017 · 5.21 FIP	19	SW	5.21	17.5%	24.7%	0.8%	.278	4.61	17.2%	-2.3%	35	-0.60	4.61	164	74
Zhiorman Imbriano L 2022 · 5.72 FIP	19	SU	5.72	12.3%	21.1%	1.8%	.283	4.79	13.2%	-5.0%	65	-0.93	3.82	100	73
Felix Cabrera L 2021 · 6.37 FIP	19	SW	6.37	11.0%	22.5%	2.5%	.324	4.96	15.3%	-2.3%	92	-1.41	3.96	132	73
Daniel Gonzalez L 2021 · 5.55 FIP	19	SU	5.55	13.6%	19.1%	2.1%	.318	4.98	20.1%	2.0%	100	-0.57	4.34	136	72
Roberth Fernandez L 2015 · 5.66 FIP	20	SW	5.66	11.4%	16.2%	2.7%	.356	4.92	14.7%	6.3%	60	-0.74	4.92	103	72
Javier Navas L 2017 · 6.10 FIP	19	SW	6.10	11.1%	19.7%	2.6%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.63	103	72
Ryan Anderson L 2021 · 5.71 FIP	22	SP-	5.71	14.7%	26.1%	1.0%	.373	3.73	20.3%	11.0%	149	-1.98	2.80	214	71
Yeury Gervacio L 2018 · 4.88 FIP	19	SW	4.88	13.9%	13.8%	2.2%	.376	4.70	17.8%	4.2%	65	-0.18	4.10	184	71
Luis Gutierrez L 2022 · 6.38 FIP	19	SW	6.38	11.7%	20.5%	3.0%	.244	4.27	15.5%	5.5%	231	-2.11	3.26	296	71
Yordy Herrera L 2023 · 4.98 FIP	18	SU	4.98	20.6%	23.1%	1.3%	.283	4.88	21.2%	1.8%	117	-0.10	3.87	163	70
Starlin Savinon L 2023 · 7.01 FIP	18	SU	7.01	14.9%	27.3%	3.1%	.327	3.87	17.2%	2.4%	109	-3.14	3.67	128	70
Juan Rojas L 2023 · 5.60 FIP	19	SP-	5.60	13.5%	14.4%	3.3%	.286	4.28	16.9%	2.0%	178	-1.32	2.74	282	70
Yensy Bello L 2022 · 6.82 FIP	19	SU	6.82	19.9%	32.3%	2.4%	.240	3.76	17.4%	4.1%	91	-3.06	2.65	103	69