Victor Santos
P
FCL Orioles
Age 19
LHP
6'0" / 153 lbs
ROK
2026 ROS PROJECTION17 act + 16 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 104113vR 122
ERA4.54
FIP4.54
K%22.5%
BB%10.9%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Orioles Black | 9 | 2 | 13 | 58 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 22% | 1.5 | 16.4% | 17.2% | -0.8% | 2.5% | 6.07 | 5.25 | — |
| 2024 | 17 | ROK | DSL Orioles Black | 9 | 2 | 13 | 58 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 22% | 1.5 | 24.1% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 1.7% | 6.07 | 3.77 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Orioles Black | 10 | 10 | 33 | 164 | 36 | 32 | 0 | 100% | 3.3 | 14.9% | 24.4% | -9.5% | 0.0% | 6.21 | 4.93 | — |
| 2025 | 18 | ROK | DSL Orioles Black | 10 | 10 | 33 | 164 | 36 | 32 | 0 | 100% | 3.3 | 22.0% | 19.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 6.21 | 3.82 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 19 | ROK | FCL Orioles | 12 | 0 | 17 | 85 | 20 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 16.0% | 25.0% | -9.0% | 0.0% | 10.38 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | BAL | 15 | 0 | 16 | 67 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 19 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.5% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 2.9% | 4.54 | 4.54 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 19 | MLB | BAL | — | — | 33 | 152 | 35 | 24 | 2 | — | — | 23.1% | 16.0% | 7.1% | 1.3% | 7.59 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | BAL | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 20 | MLB | BAL | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 3.99 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 3.99 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 31 | 12 | 64 | 307 | 48 | 71 | 1 | 39% | 2.1 | 15.5% | 23.2% | -7.7% | 0.5% | 7.31 | 4.99 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 97 | 38 | 200 | 959 | 149 | 223 | 4 | 39% | 2.1 | 15.5% | 23.2% | -7.7% | 0.5% | 7.31 | 4.99 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Victor Santos (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.54 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 2.9% | — | 4.37 | 22.9% | 12.8% | 20 | -0.17 | — | — | — |
| Taylor Hearn L 2028 · 3.88 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.88 | 26.1% | 10.6% | 3.0% | .347 | 3.97 | 22.3% | 11.7% | 236 | +0.09 | 3.66 | 572 | 79 |
| Matt Osterberg L 2029 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 78 |
| Adam Macko L 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 18 | SW | 3.88 | 22.4% | 14.6% | 1.5% | .353 | 3.57 | 27.2% | 12.4% | 72 | -0.31 | 3.51 | 382 | 78 |
| Josh Hendrickson L 2028 · 3.99 FIP | 21 | SW | 3.99 | 21.8% | 6.7% | 3.4% | .250 | 4.39 | 19.3% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.40 | 3.93 | 319 | 77 |
| Francisco Villegas L 2026 · 4.55 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.55 | 17.0% | 8.1% | 3.4% | .256 | 5.57 | 17.9% | 3.1% | 59 | +1.02 | 4.55 | 131 | 77 |
| James Gonzalez L 2025 · 3.47 FIP | 18 | SP- | 3.47 | 18.7% | 7.8% | 1.8% | .327 | 4.87 | 17.1% | 7.0% | 91 | +1.40 | 2.31 | 455 | 76 |
| Harry Gustin L 2029 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.97 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .331 | 4.42 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 89 | +0.45 | 3.77 | 132 | 75 |
| Rafael Marcano L 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.59 | 16.2% | 8.7% | 1.4% | .304 | 4.43 | 19.7% | 7.0% | 117 | +0.84 | 3.38 | 291 | 75 |
| Alex Ayala Jr. L 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.28 | 20.7% | 12.3% | 2.5% | .271 | 5.86 | 13.6% | -3.1% | 71 | +1.58 | 4.28 | 128 | 73 |
| Jacob Lopez L 2027 · 3.66 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.66 | 24.3% | 7.9% | 2.9% | .302 | 3.58 | 30.4% | 21.6% | 55 | -0.08 | 3.50 | 478 | 73 |
| Connor Curlis L 2028 · 3.49 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.49 | 19.3% | 10.8% | 1.2% | .306 | 6.24 | 16.6% | 4.6% | 172 | +2.75 | 3.49 | 309 | 72 |
| Bodi Rascon L 2027 · 4.55 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.55 | 15.4% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .271 | 5.56 | 15.7% | 3.9% | 143 | +1.01 | 4.55 | 218 | 72 |
| Victor Cabreja L 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 20 | SW | 3.75 | 17.0% | 13.0% | 0.8% | .348 | 4.50 | 11.2% | 1.7% | 146 | +0.75 | 3.75 | 233 | 72 |
| Deivi Diaz L 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.73 | 20.4% | 11.6% | 1.6% | .369 | 4.50 | 13.5% | -2.3% | 57 | +0.77 | 3.73 | 161 | 71 |
| Drew Harrington L 2028 · 4.18 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.18 | 15.7% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .295 | 4.11 | 12.5% | 5.4% | 175 | -0.07 | 3.19 | 190 | 71 |
| Tucker Novotny L 2029 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.81 | 21.5% | 13.1% | 1.6% | .272 | 4.65 | 17.9% | 0.5% | 35 | +0.84 | 3.81 | 112 | 71 |
| Juan Diaz L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 19 | SW | 3.96 | 17.5% | 14.4% | 0.9% | .239 | 3.00 | 16.8% | 9.8% | 43 | -0.96 | 3.00 | 100 | 71 |
| Daniel Juarez L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 18 | SU | 4.45 | 24.9% | 14.7% | 2.9% | .389 | 4.29 | 26.5% | 9.0% | 68 | -0.16 | 3.79 | 221 | 71 |
| Chase Watkins L 2029 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.81 | 20.6% | 11.8% | 1.8% | .346 | 4.29 | 17.7% | 9.0% | 156 | +0.48 | 3.27 | 232 | 71 |
| Jordi Martinez L 2026 · 4.73 FIP | 19 | SW | 4.73 | 17.7% | 12.5% | 2.8% | .258 | 4.17 | 16.6% | 7.5% | 104 | -0.56 | 3.15 | 205 | 70 |