Starlin Savinon
P
FCL Rays
Age 21
LHP
6'0" / 182 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION25 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120129vR 138
ERA5.31
FIP5.31
K%18.0%
BB%14.0%
K-BB%4.0%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 61 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rays | 15 | 0 | 19 | 96 | 21 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 14.9% | 27.3% | -12.5% | 3.3% | 7.45 | 7.14 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rays | 15 | 0 | 19 | 96 | 21 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.9% | 21.9% | 0.0% | 2.1% | 7.45 | 5.53 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rays | 16 | 7 | 41 | 163 | 29 | 16 | 1 | 44% | 2.6 | 12.1% | 12.3% | -0.2% | 0.7% | 3.95 | 3.99 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rays | 16 | 7 | 41 | 163 | 29 | 16 | 1 | 44% | 2.6 | 17.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 0.6% | 3.95 | 3.17 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 13 | 9 | 41 | 162 | 46 | 19 | 1 | 69% | 3.2 | 19.3% | 14.7% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 3.05 | 3.85 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tampa Bay | 13 | 9 | 41 | 162 | 46 | 19 | 1 | 69% | 3.2 | 28.4% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 0.6% | 3.05 | 2.57 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | ROK | FCL Rays | 17 | 0 | 25 | 111 | 36 | 15 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 22.1% | 16.9% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 3.55 | 3.38 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | TB | 34 | 0 | 36 | 151 | 27 | 21 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.0% | 14.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.31 | 5.31 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | TB | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18.0% | 14.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.31 | 5.31 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | TB | — | — | 61 | 262 | 63 | 36 | 4 | — | — | 24.1% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 1.6% | 4.58 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | TB | 36 | 0 | 38 | 158 | 31 | 20 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 4.96 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | TB | 37 | 0 | 39 | 164 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 4.85 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | TB | 38 | 0 | 40 | 168 | 36 | 18 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 4.69 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | TB | 17 | 0 | 18 | 76 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 5.06 | 4.96 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | TB | 27 | 0 | 28 | 118 | 24 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 2.8% | 4.85 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | TB | 31 | 0 | 33 | 139 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | 4.69 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 76 | 0 | 80 | 337 | 69 | 39 | 9 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 4.83 | 4.35 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 173 | 98 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.6% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 4.83 | 4.35 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 61 | 16 | 127 | 532 | 90 | 89 | 6 | 26% | 2.1 | 16.9% | 16.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 4.11 | 4.39 | +1.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 96 | 25 | 200 | 838 | 141 | 140 | 9 | 26% | 2.1 | 16.9% | 16.7% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 4.11 | 4.39 | +2.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Starlin Savinon (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.31 | 18.0% | 14.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.76 | 20.4% | 8.8% | 116 | -0.55 | — | — | — |
| Matt Minnick L 2028 · 5.59 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.59 | 17.2% | 14.1% | 3.9% | .302 | 4.65 | 23.5% | 12.1% | 105 | -0.94 | 3.77 | 147 | 84 |
| Manuel Osorio L 2025 · 5.22 FIP | 20 | SU | 5.22 | 18.7% | 15.3% | 3.2% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.90 | 153 | 84 |
| Felix Polanco L 2026 · 5.46 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.46 | 16.1% | 13.0% | 3.8% | .275 | 4.30 | 18.8% | 6.2% | 51 | -1.16 | 3.64 | 105 | 83 |
| Matt Walker L 2028 · 4.27 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.27 | 16.7% | 13.3% | 1.6% | .324 | 4.69 | 15.5% | 4.0% | 94 | +0.42 | 4.27 | 156 | 82 |
| Luis Silva L 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.05 | 14.1% | 13.4% | 2.6% | .311 | 6.59 | 8.7% | -7.4% | 12 | +1.54 | 4.48 | 107 | 80 |
| Max Green L 2027 · 4.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.97 | 15.7% | 13.3% | 2.8% | .352 | 4.40 | 13.9% | 6.6% | 86 | -0.57 | 4.23 | 169 | 80 |
| Cole Reynolds L 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.81 | 16.4% | 16.2% | 1.9% | .304 | 5.26 | 17.3% | 0.4% | 52 | +0.45 | 4.81 | 108 | 80 |
| Ryan Wilson L 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.93 | 16.2% | 13.8% | 2.6% | .279 | 4.41 | 20.7% | 10.3% | 113 | -0.52 | 3.43 | 222 | 80 |
| Drew Harrington L 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.18 | 15.7% | 9.6% | 2.1% | .295 | 4.11 | 12.5% | 5.4% | 175 | -0.07 | 3.19 | 190 | 80 |
| Sean Mellen L 2028 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.62 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | .364 | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 55 | -0.65 | 3.97 | 101 | 79 |
| Rio Britton L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.19 | 19.2% | 13.5% | 1.8% | .354 | 4.77 | 22.0% | 6.2% | 60 | +0.58 | 4.19 | 128 | 79 |
| Will Mabrey L 2027 · 4.11 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.11 | 18.5% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .256 | 4.12 | 19.2% | 7.0% | 46 | +0.01 | 4.11 | 112 | 79 |
| Trevor Seidenberger L 2028 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.63 | 18.1% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .248 | 6.50 | 13.1% | -1.8% | 52 | +1.87 | 4.63 | 101 | 79 |
| Caden Monke L 2027 · 5.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.38 | 18.9% | 12.8% | 4.1% | .323 | 5.28 | 19.0% | -0.3% | 51 | -0.10 | 3.73 | 152 | 79 |
| Victor Cabreja L 2026 · 4.20 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.20 | 15.8% | 14.5% | 1.1% | .213 | 5.26 | 11.1% | 1.6% | 164 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 233 | 78 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2028 · 5.61 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.61 | 12.6% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .266 | 4.08 | 21.4% | 8.7% | 101 | -1.53 | 3.54 | 146 | 78 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 78 |
| Austin Hamilton L 2028 · 4.92 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.92 | 17.0% | 15.6% | 2.3% | .329 | 4.18 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 109 | -0.74 | 4.06 | 135 | 78 |
| Jorger Petri L 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.93 | 19.1% | 15.2% | 2.8% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 147 | 78 |
| Adrian Almeida L 2026 · 5.65 FIP | 21 | SU | 5.65 | 18.6% | 15.3% | 4.0% | .295 | 4.97 | 18.4% | -4.1% | 119 | -0.68 | 4.24 | 188 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 38 | 19.9% | 12.2% | 1.09 | 4.97 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |