Yordy Herrera
P
Palm Beach Cardinals
Age 21
LHP
6'2" / 150 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION23 act + 90 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119128vR 137
ERA5.24
FIP5.24
K%22.2%
BB%16.3%
K-BB%5.9%
ROS IP90
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 113 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 13 | 1 | 17 | 88 | 27 | 20 | 0 | 8% | 1.3 | 20.9% | 28.4% | -7.5% | 0.0% | 4.32 | 4.94 | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 13 | 1 | 17 | 88 | 27 | 20 | 0 | 8% | 1.3 | 30.7% | 22.7% | 8.0% | 0.0% | 4.32 | 3.46 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 17 | 0 | 29 | 119 | 36 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 20.6% | 23.1% | -2.5% | 1.4% | 3.68 | 5.04 | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | DSL Cardinals | 17 | 0 | 29 | 119 | 36 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.7 | 30.3% | 18.5% | 11.8% | 0.8% | 3.68 | 3.34 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 34 | 148 | 62 | 23 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 29.9% | 16.8% | 13.1% | 2.2% | 3.15 | 3.90 | — |
| 2024 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 0 | 34 | 148 | 62 | 23 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 41.9% | 15.5% | 26.4% | 1.4% | 3.15 | 2.26 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 33 | 0 | 57 | 269 | 68 | 41 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 18.7% | 18.0% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 5.65 | 4.92 | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 33 | 0 | 57 | 269 | 68 | 41 | 4 | 0% | 1.7 | 25.3% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 1.5% | 5.65 | 3.78 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 21 | A | Palm Beach Cardinals | 21 | 0 | 23 | 120 | 26 | 27 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.4% | 27.1% | -11.7% | 2.3% | 7.33 | 6.47 | -0.5 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | STL | 86 | 0 | 90 | 380 | 84 | 62 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.2% | 16.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 5.24 | 5.24 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 21 | MLB | STL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.2% | 16.3% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 5.24 | 5.24 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 21 | MLB | STL | — | — | 113 | 500 | 110 | 89 | 13 | — | — | 22.1% | 17.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 5.67 | 5.49 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | STL | 90 | 0 | 94 | 399 | 95 | 56 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.9% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 4.93 | 4.79 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | STL | 93 | 0 | 98 | 414 | 103 | 52 | 11 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.9% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.51 | +1.0 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | STL | 96 | 0 | 100 | 424 | 108 | 50 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.5% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 2.8% | 4.46 | 4.33 | +1.3 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | STL | 97 | 0 | 102 | 429 | 111 | 48 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.8% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 2.8% | 4.32 | 4.23 | +1.4 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | STL | 97 | 0 | 102 | 429 | 112 | 48 | 12 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 4.25 | 4.21 | +1.4 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | STL | 95 | 0 | 100 | 423 | 110 | 48 | 12 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.0% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 4.25 | 4.25 | +1.3 |
| 2027 | 22 | MLB | STL | 44 | 0 | 46 | 194 | 46 | 27 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.9% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 4.93 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB | STL | 68 | 0 | 71 | 300 | 75 | 38 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.9% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 4.66 | 4.51 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB | STL | 79 | 0 | 83 | 350 | 89 | 41 | 10 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.5% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 2.8% | 4.46 | 4.33 | +0.7 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB | STL | 86 | 0 | 90 | 380 | 98 | 43 | 10 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.8% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 2.8% | 4.32 | 4.23 | +1.0 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB | STL | 89 | 0 | 93 | 393 | 102 | 44 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 4.25 | 4.21 | +1.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB | STL | 89 | 0 | 93 | 393 | 102 | 44 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 11.2% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 4.25 | 4.25 | +1.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 454 | 0 | 477 | 2013 | 513 | 237 | 56 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.5% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 3.96 | +8.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 215 | 99 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.5% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 2.8% | 4.43 | 3.96 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 102 | 1 | 161 | 744 | 156 | 158 | 13 | 1% | 1.6 | 21.0% | 21.3% | -0.3% | 1.8% | 4.86 | 4.99 | +0.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 127 | 1 | 200 | 924 | 194 | 197 | 16 | 1% | 1.6 | 21.0% | 21.3% | -0.3% | 1.8% | 4.86 | 4.99 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Yordy Herrera (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.24 | 22.2% | 16.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.54 | 24.7% | 11.9% | 293 | -0.70 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Walling L 2028 · 4.20 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.20 | 23.7% | 14.8% | 2.2% | .272 | 3.95 | 22.2% | 8.5% | 105 | -0.25 | 3.12 | 161 | 83 |
| Seth Clark L 2028 · 4.30 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.30 | 22.5% | 15.0% | 2.2% | .287 | 5.13 | 18.4% | 0.6% | 82 | +0.83 | 4.30 | 128 | 82 |
| Jonathan Hennigan L 2027 · 4.31 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.31 | 22.0% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .341 | 3.53 | 17.5% | 5.8% | 119 | -0.78 | 3.41 | 265 | 82 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 82 |
| Rio Britton L 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.19 | 19.2% | 13.5% | 1.8% | .354 | 4.77 | 22.0% | 6.2% | 60 | +0.58 | 4.19 | 128 | 82 |
| Carlos Rey L 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 22.0% | 1.3% | .297 | 3.92 | 25.9% | 5.0% | 84 | -0.48 | 3.91 | 141 | 80 |
| Jeff Belge L 2028 · 5.03 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.03 | 24.0% | 18.8% | 2.9% | .343 | 3.76 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 131 | -1.27 | 3.27 | 175 | 80 |
| Will Mabrey L 2027 · 4.11 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.11 | 18.5% | 12.6% | 1.8% | .256 | 4.12 | 19.2% | 7.0% | 46 | +0.01 | 4.11 | 112 | 80 |
| Ty Madrigal L 2029 · 4.64 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.64 | 19.3% | 15.7% | 2.2% | .329 | 5.86 | 17.6% | 2.4% | 49 | +1.22 | 4.64 | 107 | 80 |
| Kade Bragg L 2029 · 4.40 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.40 | 23.3% | 13.0% | 3.0% | .255 | 4.15 | 23.7% | 2.3% | 45 | -0.25 | 4.15 | 112 | 79 |
| Spencer Herrmann L 2027 · 4.10 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.10 | 18.0% | 15.1% | 1.1% | .293 | 4.37 | 17.2% | 8.6% | 169 | +0.27 | 3.86 | 225 | 79 |
| Trevor Seidenberger L 2028 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.63 | 18.1% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .248 | 6.50 | 13.1% | -1.8% | 52 | +1.87 | 4.63 | 101 | 78 |
| Jorger Petri L 2025 · 4.93 FIP | 20 | SU | 4.93 | 19.1% | 15.2% | 2.8% | .328 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 147 | 78 |
| Caden Monke L 2027 · 5.38 FIP | 22 | SU | 5.38 | 18.9% | 12.8% | 4.1% | .323 | 5.28 | 19.0% | -0.3% | 51 | -0.10 | 3.73 | 152 | 78 |
| Joseph Menefee L 2028 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.45 | 21.9% | 18.5% | 1.6% | .361 | 4.59 | 24.8% | 6.0% | 99 | +0.14 | 3.16 | 146 | 78 |
| Braian Salazar L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.86 | 20.8% | 13.4% | 3.3% | .297 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 146 | 77 |
| Julian Bosnic L 2028 · 5.78 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.78 | 22.5% | 21.0% | 3.5% | .206 | 4.70 | 19.1% | -0.1% | 90 | -1.08 | 4.28 | 136 | 77 |
| Daniel Stumpf L 2029 · 4.54 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.54 | 20.8% | 11.5% | 3.2% | .268 | 3.58 | 22.5% | 15.3% | 123 | -0.96 | 1.84 | 238 | 77 |
| Yenfri Sosa L 2026 · 4.38 FIP | 21 | SU | 4.38 | 21.7% | 14.3% | 2.4% | .292 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.49 | 128 | 77 |
| Brendan Nail L 2028 · 4.74 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.74 | 23.8% | 16.4% | 2.9% | .305 | 3.95 | 26.2% | 15.2% | 87 | -0.79 | 3.67 | 165 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 98 | 24.9% | 12.6% | 1.08 | 4.57 |
| Patrick Sandoval ('24) | 6 | 89 | 22.7% | 10.1% | 0.92 | 4.01 |
| Tyson Ross ('19) | 4 | 107 | 21.3% | 10.8% | 0.84 | 4.31 |
| Zack Godley ('20) | 6 | 94 | 22.1% | 9.5% | 1.13 | 4.86 |
| Ian Anderson ('22) | 3 | 91 | 22.5% | 10.4% | 0.96 | 3.97 |
| Francisco Liriano ('19) | 5 | 130 | 22.3% | 11.2% | 1.09 | 4.30 |
| Chad Kuhl ('24) | 8 | 84 | 20.0% | 10.4% | 1.31 | 4.98 |