Yensy Bello — OGILVIE

Yensy Bello P Modesto Nuts

Age 23 LHP 5'10" / 180 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131139vR 147

ERA6.02

FIP6.02

K%13.3%

BB%16.9%

K-BB%-3.6%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 5 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3030

CTRL3030

CMD2525

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	12	0	12	58	17	15	1	0%	1.0	19.9%	32.3%	-12.4%	2.4%	7.71	6.82	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	12	0	12	58	17	15	1	0%	1.0	29.3%	25.9%	3.4%	1.7%	7.71	5.16	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	15	0	26	111	39	11	0	0%	1.7	23.9%	12.4%	11.5%	0.0%	3.51	2.65	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	15	0	26	111	39	11	0	0%	1.7	23.9%	12.4%	11.5%	0.0%	3.51	2.65	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	15	0	26	111	39	11	0	0%	1.7	35.1%	9.9%	25.2%	0.0%	3.51	1.35	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	14	63	16	6	0	0%	1.0	17.9%	8.8%	9.1%	0.0%	2.51	2.70	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	14	0	14	63	16	6	0	0%	1.0	17.9%	8.8%	9.1%	0.0%	2.51	2.70	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	14	0	14	63	16	6	0	0%	1.0	25.4%	9.5%	15.9%	0.0%	2.51	2.12	—
2025	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	34	0	52	244	46	31	2	0%	1.5	14.0%	15.0%	-1.0%	1.4%	5.57	4.59	—
2025	22	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	34	0	52	244	46	31	2	0%	1.5	14.0%	15.0%	-1.0%	1.4%	5.57	4.59	—
2025	22	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	34	0	52	244	46	31	2	0%	1.5	18.9%	12.7%	6.1%	0.8%	5.57	3.62	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	SEA	5	0	5	21	3	4	1	0%	1.0	13.3%	16.9%	-3.6%	2.8%	6.02	6.02	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	SEA	60	0	63	266	41	40	7	0%	1.1	15.5%	15.2%	0.3%	2.8%	5.70	5.61	-0.7
2028	25	MLB MLE	SEA	61	0	64	270	45	38	7	0%	1.0	16.8%	14.1%	2.7%	2.8%	5.46	5.37	-0.6
2027	24	MLB CTX	SEA	26	0	27	114	18	17	3	0%	1.0	15.5%	15.2%	0.3%	2.8%	5.70	5.61	-0.3
2028	25	MLB CTX	SEA	40	0	42	177	30	25	5	0%	1.1	16.8%	14.1%	2.7%	2.8%	5.46	5.37	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		66	0	69	293	48	43	8	0%	1.1	16.3%	14.5%	1.8%	2.8%	5.55	5.08	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	138	124	23	0%	1.1	16.3%	14.5%	1.8%	2.8%	5.55	5.08	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		75	0	103	476	83	75	5	0%	1.4	17.5%	15.7%	1.8%	1.0%	4.88	4.16	-1.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		145	0	200	921	161	144	9	0%	1.4	17.5%	15.7%	1.8%	1.0%	4.88	4.16	-2.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yensy Bello (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.02	13.3%	16.9%	2.8%	—	5.49	16.2%	1.5%	127	-0.53	—	—	—
Chris Nunn L 2015 · 5.49 FIP	24	SU	5.49	13.9%	16.8%	2.6%	.350	3.92	19.3%	6.7%	37	-1.57	3.30	180	90
Gerardo Concepción L 2015 · 5.40 FIP	23	SU	5.40	14.0%	18.5%	2.1%	.352	4.53	16.9%	6.5%	60	-0.87	4.53	104	88
Chris Reed L 2015 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.4%	14.5%	2.3%	.284	4.67	16.4%	6.6%	81	-0.25	4.67	137	85
Austin Hamilton L 2017 · 4.92 FIP	23	SU	4.92	17.0%	15.6%	2.3%	.329	4.20	16.3%	8.9%	109	-0.72	4.02	135	82
José Manuel Fernández L 2016 · 6.16 FIP	23	SU	6.16	16.4%	19.7%	3.5%	.211	4.71	17.7%	6.4%	168	-1.45	3.35	263	82
Dan Lietz L 2017 · 4.94 FIP	23	SU	4.94	10.2%	16.8%	1.1%	.264	5.82	11.1%	-2.1%	38	+0.88	4.43	188	82
Max Herrmann L 2017 · 5.09 FIP	24	SU	5.09	15.0%	17.9%	1.8%	.333	4.37	12.2%	0.8%	152	-0.72	3.93	168	81
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	81
Juan Pichardo L 2021 · 4.83 FIP	23	SU	4.83	17.7%	17.1%	1.9%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	2.13	103	80
Graeme Stinson L 2021 · 5.66 FIP	23	SU	5.66	12.6%	12.6%	3.7%	.266	4.14	21.4%	8.7%	101	-1.52	3.56	146	80
Nicolo Pinazzi L 2023 · 6.79 FIP	23	SU	6.79	19.3%	26.9%	3.5%	.307	2.58	30.1%	16.3%	62	-4.21	2.58	155	79
Bryan King L 2021 · 5.20 FIP	24	SU	5.20	17.4%	17.8%	2.4%	.317	2.86	24.0%	14.5%	77	-2.34	2.45	239	79
Aaron Brown L 2017 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	15.0%	17.6%	1.6%	.348	4.38	19.8%	5.2%	127	-0.58	4.04	269	79
Josh D. Smith L 2015 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	11.5%	17.1%	1.8%	.258	3.94	19.9%	8.2%	222	-1.34	3.17	335	78
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	78
Joe Jacques L 2018 · 5.61 FIP	23	SU	5.61	12.1%	22.2%	1.3%	.265	4.00	18.7%	6.9%	113	-1.61	2.89	356	78
Ever Moya L 2022 · 6.20 FIP	23	SU	6.20	10.9%	18.4%	3.1%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	3.52	170	77
Evan Shawver L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	23	SW	5.78	15.9%	16.5%	3.5%	.327	4.11	18.1%	7.1%	162	-1.67	3.92	278	77
Jose Garcia L 2021 · 6.10 FIP	23	SU	6.10	10.2%	14.6%	3.7%	.276	—	—	—	—	—	3.46	149	77
Josh Mitchell L 2018 · 4.90 FIP	23	SU	4.90	14.6%	11.9%	2.8%	.325	2.90	19.0%	11.1%	44	-2.00	2.90	100	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	63	15.2%	15.4%	1.07	5.72
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99