Earle Zulueta — OGILVIE

Earle Zulueta P FCL Cardinals

Age 19 RHP 6'4" / 180 lbs ROK peak 0.5 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 8 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121113vR 105

ERA4.62

FIP4.62

K%21.8%

BB%10.6%

K-BB%11.2%

ROS IP8

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 8 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5055

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	6	5	14	53	11	5	1	83%	2.3	14.1%	11.8%	2.3%	2.5%	3.29	4.79	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	6	5	14	53	11	5	1	83%	2.3	14.1%	11.8%	2.3%	2.5%	3.29	4.79	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	6	5	14	53	11	5	1	83%	2.3	20.8%	9.4%	11.3%	1.9%	3.29	3.54	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	14	8	43	196	44	30	5	57%	3.1	15.2%	18.2%	-2.9%	4.2%	5.23	6.44	—
YTD	19	A MLE	Palm Beach Cardinals	14	8	43	196	44	30	5	57%	3.1	15.2%	18.2%	-2.9%	4.2%	5.23	6.44	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	STL	12	8	36	165	37	24	5	67%	3.0	22.4%	14.5%	7.9%	3.0%	5.45	4.71	—
2026	19	A RAW	STL	2	0	7	31	7	6	0	0%	3.4	22.6%	19.4%	3.2%	0.0%	4.05	3.64	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	STL	10	10	44	187	42	18	5	100%	4.4	22.3%	9.9%	12.4%	2.9%	4.51	4.46	+0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	STL	5	5	22	93	21	9	3	100%	4.4	22.3%	9.9%	12.4%	2.9%	4.51	4.46	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		5	5	22	92	20	9	3	100%	4.3	22.3%	9.9%	12.4%	2.9%	4.51	4.08	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		43	43	200	844	184	83	28	100%	4.6	22.3%	9.9%	12.4%	2.9%	4.51	4.08	+2.0
Career	—	MLE		20	13	57	249	37	42	10	65%	2.8	15.0%	16.8%	-1.8%	3.9%	4.76	6.09	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		71	46	200	879	132	148	34	65%	2.8	15.0%	16.8%	-1.8%	3.9%	4.76	6.09	+1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Earle Zulueta (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.62	21.8%	10.6%	3.0%	—	4.46	22.3%	12.4%	44	-0.16	—	—	—
Edwin Jimenez R 2021 · 4.03 FIP	19	SP-	4.03	19.3%	8.9%	2.6%	.330	4.79	16.5%	8.0%	277	+0.76	4.03	406	84
Luis Victorino R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	19	SP-	4.26	18.9%	12.8%	2.1%	.301	4.98	15.9%	-5.0%	84	+0.72	4.26	149	81
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	80
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	80
Jerming Rosario R 2021 · 4.97 FIP	19	SW	4.97	21.1%	10.5%	4.2%	.303	4.43	20.9%	5.7%	281	-0.54	3.05	505	80
Jose Morban R 2017 · 4.42 FIP	19	SP-	4.42	18.7%	11.2%	2.7%	.333	3.98	16.9%	5.8%	61	-0.44	3.98	178	80
Sean Paul Liñan R 2023 · 4.05 FIP	18	SP-	4.05	17.7%	8.3%	2.5%	.324	4.30	22.1%	10.2%	210	+0.25	3.29	272	80
Fraynel Nova R 2022 · 3.83 FIP	20	SP-	3.83	16.4%	7.9%	2.0%	.296	4.17	14.9%	4.9%	110	+0.34	3.38	129	79
Carlos Jimenez R 2021 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP-	4.08	20.6%	12.9%	2.0%	.274	5.21	20.4%	-0.0%	141	+1.13	4.07	257	79
Miguel Rondon R 2019 · 4.47 FIP	18	SP-	4.47	18.9%	9.4%	3.2%	.361	7.30	18.1%	2.1%	88	+2.83	2.62	179	78
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	78
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	78
Reibyn Corona R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	19	SP-	5.02	17.0%	13.1%	3.1%	.290	5.53	14.5%	1.7%	63	+0.51	4.48	190	77
Luis Arejula R 2021 · 3.52 FIP	19	SP	3.52	21.9%	8.7%	2.1%	.318	4.46	15.7%	3.5%	71	+0.94	3.52	115	77
Reynardo Cruz R 2021 · 3.96 FIP	19	SP-	3.96	22.5%	14.8%	1.6%	.264	5.44	16.1%	-2.1%	40	+1.48	3.96	216	77
Kyle Glogoski R 2018 · 3.46 FIP	19	SP-	3.46	19.9%	8.5%	1.7%	.277	3.92	20.6%	9.1%	93	+0.46	3.32	206	76
Ryan Fernandez R 2018 · 4.44 FIP	20	SP-	4.44	19.2%	6.8%	3.8%	.357	3.37	20.8%	13.2%	53	-1.07	3.02	360	76
Domingo Pena R 2017 · 4.99 FIP	19	SP-	4.99	20.4%	8.3%	4.7%	.250	5.87	11.9%	2.8%	43	+0.88	3.34	165	76
Alimber Santa R 2021 · 4.85 FIP	18	SW	4.85	17.0%	11.4%	3.2%	.304	5.08	20.9%	1.8%	125	+0.23	3.32	274	76
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	26	22.3%	10.0%	1.14	4.53
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97