Dauri Fernandez — OGILVIE

Dauri Fernandez2B Hill City Howlers

Age 19 S/R 5'9" / 155 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION273 act + 182 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .278 / .327

PA182

HR2

SB12

K%27

BB%5

BABIP305

ISO101

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 32

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER32

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$8M	+$7M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.5	$8M	+$7M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2034	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$7M	+$4M
2035	Arb-3	$7M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$18M		$41M	+$33M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	192	174	36	6	3	0	10	32	6	8	0	207	274	276	550	69	250	17	5	246	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	192	167	48	9	4	1	17	19	6	8	0	287	374	407	781	120	315	10	9	350	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	—	200	184	43	7	2	3	10	34	2	18	4	234	281	342	623	109	265	17	5	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK	2 teams	—	200	178	58	10	4	6	16	25	2	18	4	326	388	528	916	202	344	12	8	394	160	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	19	A	CLE	—	273	252	58	9	4	3	17	82	2	35	11	230	284	333	617	103	325	30	6	268	63	-11	+3	+0	+1	+8	-0.0
YTD	19	A	CLE	—	273	242	67	12	5	3	27	58	2	35	11	277	354	405	759	128	350	21	10	339	118	+5	+3	+0	+1	+8	1.7
ROS	19	A	CLE	0%	182	168	38	7	2	2	10	49	2	12	4	226	278	327	605	101	304	27	5	272	66	-7	+1	-0	+1	+5	-0.1
ROS	19	MLB	CLE	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		305	—	—	266	62	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	19	A	CLE	—	273	253	58	9	4	3	17	82	2	35	11	229	284	332	616	103	324	30	6	268	63	-11	+3	+0	+1	+8	-0.0
TOT	19	A	CLE	—	455	420	96	16	6	5	27	131	4	47	15	229	282	331	613	102	317	29	6	270	65	-18	+3	-0	+2	+13	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	20	MLB	CLE	34%	402	370	86	16	4	6	25	105	4	14	4	232	288	346	634	114	305	26	6	285	76	-11	+1	-1	+1	+11	0.2
2028	21	MLB	CLE	48%	485	446	106	20	4	9	31	123	5	15	4	238	295	361	656	123	305	25	6	294	83	-9	+1	-1	+2	+14	0.7
2029	22	MLB	CLE	54%	537	490	118	22	4	11	36	133	6	15	4	241	301	369	670	129	305	25	7	300	88	-7	+1	-1	+2	+15	1.0
2030	23	MLB	CLE	57%	569	519	127	23	5	13	39	139	6	14	4	245	305	383	688	139	306	24	7	304	91	-6	+1	-1	+2	+16	1.2
2031	24	MLB	CLE	57%	587	536	131	24	5	13	40	142	6	14	4	244	304	381	685	136	306	24	7	306	93	-5	+1	-1	+2	+17	1.4
2032	25	MLB	CLE	57%	597	544	134	25	5	14	41	144	7	14	4	246	307	388	695	142	306	24	7	308	94	-4	+1	-1	+2	+17	1.5
2033	26	MLB	CLE	56%	600	546	135	25	5	14	42	145	7	13	4	247	309	388	698	141	306	24	7	308	94	-4	+1	-1	+2	+17	1.5
2034	27	MLB	CLE	55%	596	542	133	24	5	14	42	144	7	13	4	245	308	386	694	140	306	24	7	308	94	-4	+1	-1	+2	+17	1.5
2035	28	MLB	CLE	55%	590	536	132	24	5	14	42	144	7	12	4	246	309	388	697	142	306	24	7	307	93	-5	+1	-2	+2	+17	1.3
2036	29	MLB	CLE	53%	579	526	128	23	5	13	42	142	6	12	3	243	307	380	687	137	305	25	7	305	92	-5	+1	-3	+2	+16	1.2
2037	30	MLB	CLE	53%	567	515	124	23	4	12	41	141	6	11	3	241	304	371	675	130	304	25	7	302	90	-7	+1	-3	+2	+16	0.9
2038	31	MLB	CLE	52%	552	501	120	22	4	12	40	139	6	10	3	240	303	371	675	132	301	25	7	298	86	-8	+1	-4	+2	+16	0.6
2027	20	MLB	CLE	34%	138	127	30	6	1	2	9	36	1	5	1	236	292	346	638	110	306	26	7	278	71	-5	+1	-0	+0	+4	0.0
2028	21	MLB	CLE	48%	235	215	50	9	2	4	15	59	3	7	2	233	292	349	641	116	306	25	6	287	78	-6	+1	-1	+1	+7	0.2
2029	22	MLB	CLE	54%	291	267	64	12	2	6	19	72	3	8	2	240	298	367	665	127	306	25	7	292	82	-6	+1	-1	+1	+8	0.4
2030	23	MLB	CLE	57%	322	293	72	13	3	7	22	79	4	8	2	246	307	382	689	137	306	25	7	296	85	-6	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.5
2031	24	MLB	CLE	57%	332	302	74	14	3	7	23	81	4	8	2	245	307	381	688	136	307	24	7	298	87	-5	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.6
2032	25	MLB	CLE	57%	337	307	76	14	3	8	23	81	4	8	2	248	308	391	699	143	307	24	7	300	87	-5	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.6
2033	26	MLB	CLE	56%	339	308	76	14	3	8	24	82	4	8	2	247	310	390	699	143	307	24	7	300	88	-5	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.6
2034	27	MLB	CLE	55%	330	300	74	13	3	8	23	80	4	7	2	247	309	390	699	143	307	24	7	300	88	-5	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.6
2035	28	MLB	CLE	55%	324	294	72	13	3	7	23	79	4	7	2	245	308	381	689	136	306	24	7	299	87	-5	+1	-1	+1	+9	0.5
2036	29	MLB	CLE	53%	310	282	68	12	2	7	22	76	3	6	2	241	303	372	675	131	305	25	7	297	86	-5	+0	-1	+1	+9	0.4
2037	30	MLB	CLE	53%	298	271	66	12	2	7	22	74	3	6	2	244	307	380	688	137	304	25	7	295	84	-6	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.3
2038	31	MLB	CLE	52%	288	262	62	11	2	6	21	72	3	5	2	237	301	363	663	126	302	25	7	291	81	-6	+0	-2	+1	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3544	3229	784	143	29	77	246	871	40	83	23	243	304	377	681	134	307	25	7	296	84	-63	+7	-12	+13	+100	4.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	143	26	5	14	45	160	7	15	4	242	302	373	676	132	306	25	7	296	84	-11	+1	-2	+2	+18	0.9
Career	—			—	7235	6597	1591	291	62	150	491	1756	83	195	53	241	302	372	674	131	305	24	7	300	88	-102	+18	-22	+26	+205	12.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	143	26	6	13	44	158	7	18	5	241	301	371	672	130	305	24	7	300	88	-9	+2	-2	+2	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2024	17	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	192	167	48	9	4	1	17	19	6	8	0	287	374	407	781	120	315	10	9	350	126	+6	+2	—	—	+5	1.3
2025	18	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	24	22	6	1	0	0	0	3	0	2	0	273	273	318	591	45	286	12	0	242	43	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2025	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	176	156	52	9	4	6	16	22	2	16	4	333	402	558	960	224	354	12	9	415	176	+15	+2	—	—	+5	2.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kevin Pillarlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,353 PA	11	4,353	114	108	256	294	407	+9	+16	12.6	12.4
	/162	664	17	16	256	294	407	+1.4	+2.5	1.9	pk7: 12
#2Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	8	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
	/162	664	19	34	244	314	394	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#3Royce Claytonlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,920 PA	8	3,920	54	70	256	311	365	+18	+17	10.1	10.0
	/162	664	9	12	256	311	365	+3.1	+2.9	1.7	pk7: 10
#4Alex Gonzalezlast yr '05 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,150 PA	6	3,150	86	34	246	304	402	-0	+23	9.7	9.7
	/162	664	18	7	246	304	402	-0.0	+4.9	2.1	pk7: 10
#5Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
	/162	664	12	20	254	307	380	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9
#6Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,818	81	89	242	299	375	+14	+4	7.7	6.8
	/162	664	14	15	242	299	375	+2.4	+0.8	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dauri Fernandez (OGILVIE)	19	25→55	25→32	55→53	40	229/282/331	102	317	5	47	29%	6%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	217/281/315	98	303	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→46	38→30	53→60	41	203/260/286	83	285	4	12	29%	6%	49	-1.8	223/283/291	68	291	2	11	22%	7%	59	-1.1	217/330/261	45	297	1	34	24%	14%	71	-0.2
✕Leo Rivas 2016 · A	18	44→54	37→40	52→65	44	204/291/284	80	291	3	16	28%	8%	63	-0.8	208/298/281	73	293	3	17	27%	10%	65	-0.7	239/352/335	95	318	9	44	24%	14%	101	+1.2
●Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	45→55	37→50	51→50	47	213/285/285	72	291	5	12	27%	8%	59	-1.1	243/293/354	111	312	8	11	23%	6%	80	+0.4	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Ronny Simon 2019 · A	19	41→51	37→50	47→55	44	195/271/269	74	274	3	11	28%	7%	50	-1.7	212/273/338	126	273	10	14	25%	7%	68	-0.5	261/322/377	116	323	10	29	21%	7%	95	+1.0
✕Harold Garcia 2006 · A	19	43→53	37→45	49→55	41	202/272/282	80	293	3	10	30%	6%	54	-1.4	220/300/318	98	281	6	11	23%	6%	76	+0.0	253/307/360	107	342	7	26	27%	4%	86	+0.5
✕Rosell Herrera 2012 · A	19	42→52	39→45	49→55	43	203/258/285	82	265	6	9	25%	6%	48	-1.9	217/267/293	76	300	6	10	28%	6%	53	-1.5	247/301/337	90	315	4	24	22%	7%	76	+0.1
✕Shawn O'Malley 2008 · A	20	42→52	36→45	50→60	41	198/262/265	67	281	4	11	29%	6%	45	-2.1	214/290/268	54	298	1	24	26%	7%	58	-1.2	263/323/363	100	326	5	23	19%	7%	92	+0.8
✕Leody Taveras 2018 · A	19	45→53	39→50	52→55	44	217/261/302	85	268	6	12	21%	6%	53	-1.5	218/262/298	80	293	5	16	26%	6%	52	-1.6	239/291/390	151	301	16	19	25%	6%	88	+0.8
✕Ramón Cabrera 2009 · A	19	43→53	40	51→40	49	209/274/305	96	254	7	7	20%	8%	60	-1.0	234/282/320	86	276	4	5	16%	6%	66	-0.6	263/317/347	84	301	3	3	13%	7%	86	+0.6
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	245/292/346	101	303	7	14	21%	5%	78	+0.2	237/292/339	102	303	8	14	23%	6%	76	+0.1	255/306/365	110	315	10	22	21%	6%	86	+0.6
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→45	54→50	43	225/276/311	86	292	5	14	24%	6%	62	-0.9	252/298/346	94	308	6	11	19%	6%	80	+0.4	274/322/369	95	316	5	8	14%	6%	95	+1.2
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→49	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	72	-0.2	229/306/358	129	287	12	10	23%	9%	89	+0.9	227/311/374	147	272	15	9	21%	10%	92	+1.1
●Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	37→47	38→45	50→55	44	183/245/265	82	243	5	12	26%	7%	37	-2.6	233/283/341	108	299	5	13	22%	6%	72	-0.2	254/308/362	108	342	5	19	26%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Geraldo Quintero 2021 · A	19	44→50	38→40	51→60	49	207/277/289	82	253	5	16	20%	7%	58	-1.2	209/274/295	86	277	4	19	24%	7%	57	-1.2	225/290/312	88	297	5	28	24%	7%	65	-0.5
✕Delino DeShields 2012 · A	19	40→50	40→45	50→65	41	196/253/282	87	272	8	16	30%	6%	45	-2.1	225/290/327	102	307	8	38	27%	7%	72	-0.2	242/320/339	97	323	6	34	25%	10%	85	+0.6
✕Bengie González 2009 · A	19	41→51	34→45	51→50	47	194/264/244	51	272	2	11	28%	8%	40	-2.4	205/256/250	45	276	1	12	24%	6%	37	-2.6	262/314/365	103	319	5	12	18%	7%	89	+0.7
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	47	217/279/316	98	271	8	11	23%	7%	65	-0.7	239/313/375	136	278	16	17	19%	9%	95	+1.4	230/306/371	141	263	18	23	20%	9%	88	+0.7
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Ildemaro Vargas 2010 · A	19	45→55	37→45	47→50	45	209/276/285	76	270	3	10	23%	7%	56	-1.3	219/281/303	84	264	4	8	17%	6%	63	-0.9	263/306/353	90	281	7	12	9%	5%	82	+0.4