Dauri Fernandez — OGILVIE

Dauri FernandezSS Hill City Howlers

Age 19 S/R 5'9" / 155 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION424 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP292

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$36M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 32

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER32

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

DEFENSE51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$6M	+$5M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Arb-1	$5M	+1.1	$5M	+$3M
2034	Arb-2	$8M	+1.1	$5M	+$1M
2035	Arb-3	$11M	+1.0	$4M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$16M		$32M	+$20M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2024	17	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	192	167	48	9	4	1	17	19	6	8	0	287	374	407	781	120	315	10	9	350	123	+5	+2	—	—	+4	1.1
2025	18	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	24	22	6	1	0	0	0	3	0	2	0	273	273	318	591	45	286	12	0	242	50	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	176	156	52	9	4	6	16	22	2	16	4	333	402	558	960	224	354	12	9	415	167	+14	+2	—	—	+4	2.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	192	174	37	6	3	1	10	29	6	8	0	213	279	299	578	86	244	15	5	251	56	-10	+2	—	—	+4	-0.4
2025	18	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	24	22	6	1	0	0	0	4	0	2	0	273	273	318	591	45	253	17	0	235	45	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2025	18	ROK MLE	ACL Guardians	—	176	162	38	6	3	3	10	30	2	16	4	235	287	364	652	130	263	17	6	284	78	-5	+2	—	—	+4	0.1
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	192	174	37	6	3	1	10	29	6	8	0	213	279	299	578	86	247	15	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	—	192	167	48	9	4	1	17	19	6	8	0	287	374	407	781	120	315	10	9	350	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	200	184	44	7	3	3	10	35	2	18	4	239	286	359	644	120	273	18	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	200	178	58	10	4	6	16	25	2	18	4	326	388	528	916	202	344	12	8	394	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	192	174	37	6	3	1	10	29	6	8	0	213	279	299	578	86	244	15	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	200	186	44	7	3	3	10	35	2	18	4	237	286	355	641	118	262	18	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	192	174	37	6	3	1	10	29	6	8	0	213	279	299	578	86	244	15	5	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	200	186	44	7	3	3	10	35	2	18	4	237	286	355	641	118	262	18	5	278	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A MLE	CLE	—	424	392	86	18	6	5	26	123	2	59	17	219	271	334	606	115	303	29	6	264	65	-18	+5	+0	+5	+9	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A RAW	CLE	—	357	316	86	16	6	4	35	74	2	51	15	272	348	399	747	127	340	21	10	333	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	19	A+ RAW	CLE	—	67	62	14	7	2	2	5	13	0	8	2	226	284	500	784	274	255	19	7	337	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	19	A MLE	CLE	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		295	22	11	277	74	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	19	A MLE	CLE	—	433	400	87	18	6	5	27	125	2	60	17	217	270	330	600	113	300	29	6	264	65	-18	+5	-0	+5	+9	0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	CLE	34%	402	371	88	17	5	7	25	93	3	19	5	237	291	367	657	129	296	23	6	292	84	-8	+2	-1	+4	+9	0.6
2028	21	MLB MLE	CLE	48%	495	454	110	21	6	10	33	111	5	20	5	242	301	381	682	139	297	22	7	301	90	-6	+2	-1	+5	+11	1.1
2029	22	MLB MLE	CLE	54%	534	487	120	23	6	12	37	118	5	18	5	246	306	392	698	146	297	22	7	308	94	-4	+2	-1	+6	+12	1.4
2030	23	MLB MLE	CLE	57%	569	518	128	25	6	13	40	124	6	17	5	247	309	394	702	147	298	22	7	312	97	-2	+1	-1	+6	+12	1.7
2031	24	MLB MLE	CLE	57%	587	535	133	25	7	14	41	126	6	16	4	249	309	400	709	151	298	21	7	315	99	-1	+2	-1	+6	+13	1.9
2032	25	MLB MLE	CLE	57%	597	544	136	26	7	15	42	128	6	15	4	250	311	406	717	156	298	21	7	316	100	+0	+1	-1	+6	+13	2.0
2033	26	MLB MLE	CLE	56%	600	546	137	26	7	15	43	129	6	14	4	251	313	407	719	156	298	22	7	317	101	+0	+1	-1	+6	+13	2.0
2034	27	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	596	542	136	26	7	15	43	128	6	14	4	251	313	408	721	157	298	21	7	317	101	+0	+1	-1	+6	+13	2.0
2035	28	MLB MLE	CLE	55%	590	536	133	25	7	14	43	128	6	13	4	248	311	399	710	151	298	22	7	316	100	-0	+1	-2	+6	+13	1.8
2036	29	MLB MLE	CLE	53%	579	525	130	25	6	14	43	126	6	12	3	248	312	398	710	150	297	22	7	314	99	-1	+1	-3	+6	+13	1.7
2037	30	MLB MLE	CLE	57%	567	515	126	24	6	13	42	125	5	11	3	245	308	390	698	146	296	22	7	311	97	-2	+1	-3	+6	+12	1.4
2038	31	MLB MLE	CLE	60%	552	501	122	23	6	13	41	124	5	10	3	244	307	391	698	148	294	22	7	307	94	-4	+1	-4	+6	+12	1.1
2039	32	MLB MLE	CLE	61%	534	485	115	21	5	12	39	122	5	9	2	237	301	375	676	138	290	23	7	301	90	-6	+1	-5	+6	+12	0.7
2040	33	MLB MLE	CLE	62%	504	457	106	19	5	10	37	117	5	8	2	232	297	361	658	129	286	23	7	294	85	-9	+1	-5	+5	+11	0.3
2041	34	MLB MLE	CLE	58%	457	417	94	16	5	9	33	109	4	6	2	225	289	353	641	127	281	24	7	285	79	-11	+0	-6	+5	+10	-0.2
2027	20	MLB CTX	CLE	34%	138	127	29	6	1	2	9	32	1	7	2	228	285	339	623	110	294	23	7	283	84	-3	+1	-0	+1	+3	0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	CLE	48%	240	220	52	10	2	5	16	54	2	9	3	236	294	368	662	132	295	22	7	292	90	-3	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.5
2029	22	MLB CTX	CLE	54%	290	265	64	12	3	6	20	64	3	10	3	242	302	377	679	136	295	22	7	298	94	-2	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.8
2030	23	MLB CTX	CLE	57%	322	294	72	14	3	7	22	70	3	10	3	245	304	384	688	139	296	22	7	302	97	-1	+1	-1	+3	+7	1.0
2031	24	MLB CTX	CLE	57%	332	303	74	14	3	8	23	72	3	9	2	244	304	389	693	145	296	22	7	305	99	-0	+1	-1	+4	+7	1.1
2032	25	MLB CTX	CLE	57%	337	307	76	15	3	8	24	72	3	9	2	248	308	394	703	147	296	21	7	306	100	+0	+1	-1	+4	+7	1.1
2033	26	MLB CTX	CLE	56%	339	309	76	15	3	8	24	73	3	8	2	246	307	392	698	146	296	22	7	307	101	+0	+1	-1	+4	+7	1.1
2034	27	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	330	300	74	14	3	8	24	71	3	8	2	247	309	393	702	147	296	22	7	307	101	+0	+1	-1	+4	+7	1.1
2035	28	MLB CTX	CLE	55%	324	294	73	14	3	8	24	70	3	7	2	248	312	398	709	150	296	22	7	306	100	-0	+1	-1	+3	+7	1.0
2036	29	MLB CTX	CLE	53%	310	281	69	13	3	7	23	68	3	6	2	246	309	388	697	142	295	22	7	304	99	-1	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.9
2037	30	MLB CTX	CLE	57%	324	294	72	14	3	8	24	72	3	6	2	245	308	395	703	150	294	22	7	302	97	-1	+0	-2	+3	+7	0.8
2038	31	MLB CTX	CLE	60%	329	299	72	14	3	7	24	74	3	6	2	241	304	378	682	137	292	22	7	298	94	-2	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.6
2039	32	MLB CTX	CLE	61%	327	297	70	13	3	7	24	75	3	5	1	236	299	370	670	135	289	23	7	292	90	-4	+1	-3	+4	+7	0.4
2040	33	MLB CTX	CLE	62%	315	286	66	12	3	6	23	73	3	5	1	231	295	357	652	126	285	23	7	285	85	-5	+1	-3	+3	+7	0.2
2041	34	MLB CTX	CLE	58%	265	242	53	9	2	5	19	63	2	4	1	219	281	335	616	116	279	24	7	277	79	-7	+0	-3	+3	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4522	4118	992	189	41	100	323	1003	41	109	30	241	303	380	682	139	293	22	7	299	93	-29	+10	-22	+48	+98	10.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	142	27	6	14	46	144	6	16	4	240	301	377	678	137	292	22	7	299	93	-4	+1	-3	+7	+14	1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	8564	7799	1896	355	97	190	603	1874	87	229	59	243	305	387	691	143	295	22	7	306	93	-53	+19	-39	+88	+177	19.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	143	27	7	14	46	142	7	17	4	242	304	382	686	140	293	22	7	306	93	-4	+1	-3	+7	+14	1.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bill Halllast yr '11 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,621 PA	5.5	3,621	123	62	249	308	437	+22	+7	15.9	16.6
/162	664	23	11	+4.1	+1.3	2.9	pk7: 17
#2Kevin Pillarlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,353 PA	6.6	4,353	114	108	256	294	407	+9	+16	12.6	12.4
/162	664	17	16	+1.4	+2.5	1.9	pk7: 12
#3Drew Stubbslast yr '16 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,143 PA	4.7	3,143	92	161	244	314	394	+3	+16	12.2	12.3
/162	664	19	34	+0.6	+3.3	2.6	pk7: 12
#4Jose Lopezlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,089 PA	6.2	4,089	92	25	262	292	395	+16	+24	10.7	10.7
/162	664	15	4	+2.6	+3.9	1.7	pk7: 11
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	7.2	4,794	106	119	244	302	388	+19	+6	12.2	10.0
/162	664	15	16	+2.6	+0.8	1.7	pk7: 8
#5Brett Lawrielast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,417 PA	3.6	2,417	71	41	261	315	419	+9	+1	9.4	9.4
/162	664	20	11	+2.4	+0.3	2.6	pk7: 9
#6Manuel Margotlast yr '24 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,154 PA	4.8	3,154	56	94	254	307	380	-5	+27	8.4	8.8
/162	664	12	20	-1.1	+5.6	1.8	pk7: 9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dauri Fernandez (OGILVIE)	19	25→55	25→32	55→53	40	228/278/337	109	295	3	24	24%	6%	74	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Leo Rivas 2017 · A	19	45→54	36→40	54→65	48	210/293/282	73	289	3	21	26%	8%	68	-1.0	200/289/277	77	290	4	13	29%	10%	65	-1.2	241/356/333	92	321	9	44	24%	14%	102	+1.0
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	51→55	40→45	53→55	43	244/293/346	101	299	6	14	20%	5%	80	-0.1	238/292/336	98	305	7	14	23%	6%	78	-0.3	255/308/363	108	313	9	21	21%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Luis Durango 2022 · A	19	49	38→30	54→65	43	230/293/302	72	309	5	25	26%	6%	72	-0.7	209/284/263	54	281	2	28	24%	7%	59	-1.6	251/307/296	45	331	0	54	22%	4%	70	-0.3
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	52→62	37→40	56→60	50	245/307/319	74	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	250/296/311	61	297	1	19	15%	6%	73	-0.6	302/361/382	79	347	4	36	13%	8%	110	+1.8
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	47→48	41→50	53→45	48	227/287/331	103	273	8	13	20%	7%	76	-0.4	228/306/352	124	285	12	10	23%	9%	88	+0.4	229/316/366	137	276	13	9	21%	10%	94	+0.6
✕Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	45→55	37→45	51→50	46	211/284/282	71	293	4	12	28%	8%	63	-1.3	242/292/348	106	310	7	11	23%	6%	80	-0.1	262/318/385	123	318	10	13	20%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Alen Hanson 2012 · A	19	46→52	39→50	58→60	44	218/271/315	96	273	4	19	21%	6%	65	-1.2	236/283/372	136	299	10	20	23%	6%	83	+0.1	239/283/383	143	299	11	21	23%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	58	-1.7	218/283/318	100	304	7	21	28%	8%	71	-0.8	258/316/357	98	327	7	29	22%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Olvy Marte 2014 · A	19	50	36→40	49→55	45	231/293/306	75	296	3	19	22%	6%	72	-0.7	213/273/285	72	296	3	13	27%	7%	59	-1.6	174/240/218	44	253	0	13	29%	7%	31	-0.9
●Adael Amador 2022 · A	19	45→54	41→50	45→55	48	220/284/320	100	275	8	11	23%	8%	72	-0.7	239/315/371	132	277	15	17	19%	9%	96	+1.0	231/310/363	132	264	16	23	19%	9%	89	+0.4
●Geraldo Perdomo 2019 · A	19	46→56	36→45	53→55	55	213/301/277	64	275	3	17	22%	11%	69	-0.9	218/303/296	78	282	4	15	22%	9%	74	-0.5	257/357/385	127	281	12	19	12%	12%	112	+2.1
✕Ramón Cabrera 2009 · A	19	43→53	40	51→40	49	209/274/305	96	254	7	7	20%	8%	65	-1.2	237/285/325	88	280	4	5	16%	6%	73	-0.6	271/325/356	85	309	2	3	12%	7%	92	+0.6
✕Manuel Guzman 2014 · A	19	48	37→45	47→55	51	227/293/300	73	272	4	14	17%	8%	70	-0.8	219/285/275	56	274	2	19	19%	8%	61	-1.5	237/306/305	68	287	4	15	18%	9%	72	-0.3
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→40	54→50	43	225/276/311	86	292	5	14	24%	6%	66	-1.1	253/298/346	93	309	6	11	19%	6%	82	+0.0	272/321/361	89	314	4	8	14%	6%	93	+0.7
✕Yonny Hernández 2017 · A	19	47→57	34→30	53→60	52	216/292/271	55	261	1	19	16%	8%	64	-1.3	225/304/280	55	278	1	24	18%	9%	70	-0.8	265/327/322	57	316	2	17	16%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Carlos Willoughby 2008 · A	19	48→44	36→40	53→60	49	225/302/290	65	279	3	17	19%	7%	72	-0.7	231/314/298	67	298	2	28	21%	9%	78	-0.3	235/320/307	72	303	1	35	20%	9%	80	-0.0
●César Hernández 2009 · A	19	48→58	38→50	54→55	48	225/281/312	87	270	4	14	18%	7%	68	-1.0	222/273/286	64	278	3	16	20%	6%	59	-1.7	274/364/380	106	339	9	16	20%	12%	111	+2.3
✕Geraldo Quintero 2021 · A	19	44→46	38→40	51→60	49	207/277/289	82	253	5	16	20%	7%	63	-1.4	205/271/289	84	272	5	19	25%	7%	60	-1.6	218/285/302	85	288	5	28	24%	7%	66	-0.9
✕Jose Astudillo 2023 · A	19	44	37→45	54→55	47	208/265/283	75	252	3	14	19%	6%	56	-1.9	245/295/319	74	283	3	14	14%	5%	75	-0.5	286/329/371	85	315	6	22	11%	5%	96	+0.4
✕Henry Alejandro Rodriguez 2009 · A	19	48→58	37→45	52→55	49	226/279/304	78	263	4	13	15%	6%	65	-1.2	248/280/347	99	291	8	16	17%	4%	76	-0.4	269/301/365	97	307	10	11	16%	4%	87	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps