Dauri Fernandez

SS Hill City Howlers
Age 20 S/R 5'9" / 155 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2036
OGV OFP40OGV rank#359ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202417ROKDSL CLE Goryl192.287/.374/.4071841—.186/.263/.244
202518A/ROK2 orgs200.326/.388/.52861878—.245/.291/.364
202619A+/ACLE424.265/.338/.41565975—.231/.288/.354
2027PROJMLE20MLBCLE534.229/.284/.343625760.1
2028PROJ34% MLB21MLBCLE127.233/.290/.35625830.2
2029PROJ48% MLB22MLBCLE201.237/.296/.36947880.4
Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$4M2034Arb-2$7M+1
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Speed98
ISO94
K%75
wOBA42
Z-Con%42
wRC+41
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.5 / P90 18, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 71%
CompsRoman Quinn (age 21) · Dalton Pompey (age 21) · Masyn Winn (age 20)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†76
AVG/OBP/SLG.227 / .281 / .340
PA210
HR2
SB10
K%22
BB%6
ISO114
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -6.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-6BATRUN: +1.1 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.8 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.10+0.1WAR
0.00.81.70.20.40.60.81.01.00.90.827282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$22M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.6$2M+$1M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$5M+$5M
2033Arb-1$4M+1.0$5M+$3M
2034Arb-2$7M+0.9$2M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Arb-3$9M+0.8$2M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $7M $19M +$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202417 ROKDSL CLE Goryl — 192167 48941 17196 80 287374407781 120315 109 350 41 — — — — — —
202518 ALynchburg Hillcats — 2422 6100 030 20 273273318591 45286 120 242 52 — — — — — —
202518 ROKACL Guardians — 176156 52946 16222 164 333402558960 224354 129 415 82 — — — — — —
202619 A+Lake County Captains — 6762 14722 5130 82 226284500784 274255 197 337 72 — — — — — —
202619 AHill City Howlers — 357316 861664 35742 5115 272348399747 127340 2110 333 76 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202417 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 192172 32620 12256 80 186263244507 58207 136 229 41 — — — — — —
202518 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 2422 6100 040 20 273273318591 45261 170 245 52 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 176162 39633 10302 164 241293370663 130269 176 290 82 — — — — — —
202619 A+ MLELake County Captains — 6763 13622 4160 82 206254460714 254232 246 274 72 — — — — — —
202619 A MLEHill City Howlers — 357326 771353 251012 5115 236295334629 98325 287 280 76 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 192172 32620 12256 80 186263244507 58215 136 229 41 — — — — — —
202417 ROK RAWDSL CLE Goryl — 192167 48941 17196 80 287374407781 120315 109 350 41 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 200184 44733 10352 184 239286359644 120273 185 285 79 — — — — — —
202518 ROK RAW2 teams — 200178 581046 16252 184 326388528916 202344 128 394 79 — — — — — —
202619 A MLE2 teams — 424389 891975 291172 5917 229286352638 123311 287 279 75 — — — — — —
202619 A RAW2 teams — 424378 1002386 40872 5917 265338415753 151326 219 333 75 — — — — — —
202417 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 192172 32620 12256 80 186263244507 58207 136 229 41 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 200186 44733 10352 184 237286355641 118268 185 285 79 — — — — — —
202619 A MLE2 teams — 424390 891975 291172 5917 228286351637 123310 287 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202417 ROK MLEDSL CLE Goryl — 192172 32620 12256 80 186263244507 58207 136 229 41 — — — — — —
202518 ROK MLE2 teams — 200186 44733 10352 184 237286355641 118268 185 285 79 — — — — — —
202619 A MLE2 teams — 424390 891975 291172 5917 228286351637 123310 287 279 75 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202720 MLB MLECLE 0% 534491 1122376 351203 257 229284343626 114287 227 280 76 -16 +2 -2 +6 +12 0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202821 MLB MLECLE 34% 369339 801656 25812 154 234291361652 127288 227 290 83 -8 +1 -1 +4 +8 0.4
202922 MLB MLECLE 48% 414379 901858 29893 154 238296373669 135289 217 298 88 -6 +1 -1 +4 +9 0.7
203023 MLB MLECLE 54% 461422 1002059 33993 154 240300381681 140290 217 302 91 -5 +1 -1 +5 +10 1.1
203124 MLB MLECLE 55% 512466 11423611 371094 154 242303386688 143291 217 306 93 -4 +1 +0 +5 +11 1.4
203225 MLB MLECLE 56% 571520 12625613 421224 154 243304388692 145291 217 307 94 -4 +1 +1 +6 +12 1.7
203326 MLB MLECLE 56% 596543 13226713 441274 144 243304388692 145291 217 307 94 -4 +1 +1 +6 +13 1.8
203427 MLB MLECLE 55% 594541 13126713 441274 134 241303385688 144290 217 306 93 -5 +1 +1 +6 +13 1.7
203528 MLB MLECLE 55% 583531 12625612 431264 113 240301380682 141289 227 303 91 -6 +1 +0 +6 +13 1.4
203629 MLB MLECLE 53% 566516 12224611 411244 103 237298374673 137288 227 299 89 -8 +1 -0 +6 +12 1.1
203730 MLB MLECLE 53% 552504 11924611 401233 83 234295367661 132286 227 295 86 -9 +0 -1 +6 +12 0.8
203831 MLB MLECLE 52% 534488 11222510 381213 64 230290357647 127284 237 289 81 -12 -0 -2 +6 +12 0.3
202821 MLB CTXCLE 34% 127116 27612 9281 51 233290356647 123287 227 288 83 -3 +1 -1 +1 +3 0.2
202922 MLB CTXCLE 48% 201184 44924 14431 72 237296369664 132288 217 296 88 -3 +1 -1 +2 +4 0.4
203023 MLB CTXCLE 54% 250228 551135 18532 82 240299377676 137289 217 301 91 -3 +1 -0 +3 +5 0.6
203124 MLB CTXCLE 55% 284260 631336 20602 82 241302382684 140290 217 304 93 -2 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.8
203225 MLB CTXCLE 56% 320292 701437 23682 82 242304384688 142290 217 306 94 -2 +1 +1 +3 +7 1.0
203326 MLB CTXCLE 56% 335305 731537 25712 82 242303384687 142290 217 305 94 -2 +1 +1 +4 +7 1.0
203427 MLB CTXCLE 55% 329300 721537 24712 72 241302381684 141289 227 304 93 -3 +1 +1 +4 +7 0.9
203528 MLB CTXCLE 55% 320291 701437 24692 62 239300377677 138289 228 301 91 -3 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.8
203629 MLB CTXCLE 53% 302275 651336 22662 52 237298371668 134287 227 298 89 -4 +0 -0 +3 +7 0.6
203730 MLB CTXCLE 53% 290265 631336 21652 42 234294363657 130286 227 293 86 -5 +0 -1 +3 +6 0.4
203831 MLB CTXCLE 52% 278254 581225 20632 32 229289353643 124283 237 287 81 -6 -0 -1 +3 +6 0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 30362770 6601352962 22065720 6921 238299375674 137289 227 299 87 -37 +5 -2 +33 +66 6.7
/ 162G— A+C — 650593 14129613 471414 154 238298373670 135290 227 299 87 -8 +1 -0 +7 +14 1.4
Career— MLE — 67786187 146129079127 481147249 23265 236296370667 134288 227 296 87 -78 +12 -5 +64 +129 12.5
/ 162G— MLE — 650593 14128812 461415 226 238298373671 135291 227 296 87 -8 +1 -1 +7 +14 1.4

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AHill City Howlers · 357 PAwOBA .327 → .280 (−47)K% 20.7% → 28.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA20.73%÷1.000×1.360——28.19%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.80%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0457.07%
HBP% /PA0.56%—×0.780—×1.0450.46%
Singles /BIP24.79%÷1.000×0.920×1.016×1.04524.22%
Doubles /BIP6.61%÷1.000×0.830×1.016×1.0455.83%
Triples /BIP2.48%÷1.000×0.910×1.016×1.0452.40%
Home runs /BIP1.65%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0451.38%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .327 → .280; ISO .127 → .107; BABIP .340 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Lake County Captains · 67 PAwOBA .328 → .274 (−54)K% 19.4% → 24.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.40%÷1.000×1.270——24.64%
BB% (unintentional) /PA7.46%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0505.56%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.790—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP6.12%÷1.000×0.920×1.030×1.0506.09%
Doubles /BIP14.29%÷1.000×0.810×1.030×1.05012.52%
Triples /BIP4.08%÷1.000×0.850×1.030×1.0503.75%
Home runs /BIP4.08%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0503.43%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.030.

Result: wOBA .328 → .274; ISO .274 → .229; BABIP .255 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL Guardians · 176 PAwOBA .408 → .290 (−118)K% 12.5% → 17.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.50%÷1.041×1.440——17.30%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.09%÷1.018×0.620—×1.0225.66%
HBP% /PA1.14%—×0.720—×1.0220.84%
Singles /BIP24.63%÷0.985×0.820×0.950×1.02219.91%
Doubles /BIP6.72%÷0.982×0.720×0.950×1.0224.78%
Triples /BIP2.99%÷1.075×0.720×0.950×1.0221.94%
Home runs /BIP4.48%÷1.388×0.780—×1.0222.57%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 178, 1B 97, 2B 96, 3B 115, K 108, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .408 → .290; ISO .224 → .141; BABIP .354 → .269. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALynchburg Hillcats · 24 PAwOBA .257 → .245 (−12)K% 12.5% → 17.2%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA12.50%÷0.989×1.360——17.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA0.00%÷0.975×0.690—×1.0500.00%
HBP% /PA0.00%—×0.780—×1.0500.00%
Singles /BIP26.32%÷1.071×0.920—×1.05023.73%
Doubles /BIP5.26%÷0.921×0.830—×1.0504.98%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.020×0.910—×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP0.00%÷1.184×0.800—×1.0500.00%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 114, 2B 84, 3B 104, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .257 → .245; ISO .045 → .045; BABIP .286 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL CLE Goryl · 192 PAwOBA .345 → .229 (−116)K% 9.9% → 13.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA9.90%÷0.930×1.220——12.98%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.85%÷1.016×0.700—×1.0226.24%
HBP% /PA3.12%—×0.700—×1.0222.24%
Singles /BIP22.97%÷0.994×0.680×0.977×1.02215.70%
Doubles /BIP6.08%÷0.995×0.600×0.977×1.0223.66%
Triples /BIP2.70%÷1.038×0.600×0.977×1.0221.56%
Home runs /BIP0.68%÷1.366×0.470—×1.0220.24%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 173, 1B 99, 2B 99, 3B 108, K 86, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.

Result: wOBA .345 → .229; ISO .120 → .068; BABIP .315 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).