Reinold Navarro

P Bradenton Marauders

Age 20 LHP 6'0" / 178 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.6 · 2032

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

Scout OFP47ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	17	ROKDSL Pirates G…	10	9	24	3.38	3.18	31.9%	18.1%	—	K 21.7% · BB 22.6% · FIP 4.92
2025	18	MIX2 levels	15	12	32	5.34	3.04	40.9%	26.8%	—	K 30.4% · BB 23.8% · FIP 3.55
2026	19	MIX2 levels	24	17	79	2.96	3.16	39.5%	20.5%	—	K 29.0% · BB 23.7% · FIP 4.61
2027PROJ	20	MLBPIT	7	7	36	5.01	5.01	29.9%	20.0%	-0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBPIT	7	7	37	4.68	4.58	29.6%	17.4%	0.1
2029PROJ73% MLB	22	MLBPIT	10	10	57	4.43	4.28	30.1%	15.5%	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$3M+2

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff54Control31Command27FB velo71

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 9, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 85%

CompsLiam Sullivan (age 21) · Larson Kindreich (age 23) · Brent Killam (age 23)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 128

ERA5.01

FIP5.01

K%29.9%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%9.9%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$33M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—50

STUF5055

CTRL2530

CMD2530

K†6570

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.7M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$7M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$13M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	10	9	24	116	37	21	1	90%	2.4	21.7%	22.6%	-0.9%	1.4%	3.38	4.92	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	10	9	24	116	37	21	1	90%	2.4	21.7%	22.6%	-0.9%	1.4%	3.38	4.92	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	10	9	24	116	37	21	1	90%	2.4	31.9%	18.1%	13.8%	0.9%	3.38	3.18	—
2025	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	12	32	149	61	40	0	80%	2.1	30.4%	23.8%	6.6%	0.0%	5.34	3.55	—
2025	18	MIX MLE	2 levels	15	12	32	149	61	40	0	80%	2.1	30.4%	23.8%	6.6%	0.0%	5.34	3.55	—
2025	18	MIX RAW	2 levels	15	12	32	149	61	40	0	80%	2.1	40.9%	26.8%	14.1%	0.0%	5.34	3.04	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	17	79	342	135	70	5	71%	3.3	29.0%	23.7%	5.3%	1.7%	2.96	4.61	—
2026	19	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	17	79	342	135	70	5	71%	3.3	29.0%	23.7%	5.3%	1.7%	2.96	4.61	—
2026	19	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	17	79	342	135	70	5	71%	3.3	39.5%	20.5%	19.0%	1.5%	2.96	3.16	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	PIT	7	7	36	152	45	30	4	100%	5.1	29.9%	20.0%	9.9%	2.8%	5.01	5.01	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	PIT	14	14	75	315	93	55	9	100%	5.3	29.6%	17.4%	12.2%	2.7%	4.79	4.69	+0.2
2029	22	MLB MLE	PIT	14	14	78	331	100	51	9	100%	5.6	30.1%	15.5%	14.6%	2.7%	4.54	4.39	+0.5
2030	23	MLB MLE	PIT	15	15	81	343	105	49	9	100%	5.4	30.5%	14.3%	16.2%	2.7%	4.32	4.18	+0.7
2031	24	MLB MLE	PIT	15	15	83	352	109	47	9	100%	5.6	30.9%	13.5%	17.4%	2.6%	4.15	4.04	+0.9
2032	25	MLB MLE	PIT	14	14	84	356	111	46	9	100%	6.0	31.2%	13.1%	18.2%	2.6%	4.02	3.94	+1.0
2033	26	MLB MLE	PIT	14	14	84	356	112	46	9	100%	6.0	31.4%	13.0%	18.4%	2.6%	3.96	3.92	+1.0
2034	27	MLB MLE	PIT	14	14	83	350	110	46	9	100%	5.9	31.4%	13.1%	18.3%	2.7%	3.96	3.96	+0.9
2035	28	MLB MLE	PIT	13	13	80	340	106	45	9	100%	6.2	31.3%	13.2%	18.1%	2.8%	4.01	4.04	+0.8
2036	29	MLB MLE	PIT	13	13	77	325	107	41	10	100%	5.9	33.1%	12.7%	20.4%	2.9%	3.95	3.90	+0.9
2037	30	MLB MLE	PIT	12	12	72	305	100	40	10	100%	6.0	32.7%	13.0%	19.7%	3.1%	4.03	4.08	+0.7
2038	31	MLB MLE	PIT	11	11	67	285	92	38	10	100%	6.1	32.3%	13.3%	19.0%	3.4%	4.18	4.28	+0.5
2039	32	MLB MLE	PIT	10	10	62	263	84	36	9	100%	6.2	31.9%	13.7%	18.1%	3.6%	4.38	4.51	+0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	37	156	46	27	4	100%	5.3	29.6%	17.4%	12.2%	2.5%	4.68	4.58	+0.1
2029	22	MLB CTX	PIT	10	10	57	241	72	37	6	100%	5.7	30.1%	15.5%	14.6%	2.5%	4.43	4.28	+0.3
2030	23	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	69	291	89	42	7	100%	5.3	30.5%	14.3%	16.2%	2.5%	4.21	4.07	+0.6
2031	24	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	74	312	96	42	8	100%	5.7	30.9%	13.5%	17.4%	2.4%	4.04	3.93	+0.8
2032	25	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	77	325	102	42	8	100%	5.9	31.2%	13.1%	18.2%	2.4%	3.91	3.83	+0.9
2033	26	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	79	334	105	43	8	100%	6.1	31.4%	13.0%	18.4%	2.4%	3.85	3.81	+0.9
2034	27	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	79	334	105	44	8	100%	6.1	31.4%	13.1%	18.3%	2.5%	3.85	3.85	+0.9
2035	28	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	76	321	100	43	8	100%	5.8	31.3%	13.2%	18.1%	2.6%	3.90	3.93	+0.8
2036	29	MLB CTX	PIT	12	12	73	308	102	39	8	100%	6.1	33.1%	12.7%	20.4%	2.7%	3.83	3.78	+0.9
2037	30	MLB CTX	PIT	12	12	69	291	95	38	8	100%	5.8	32.7%	13.0%	19.7%	2.9%	3.90	3.95	+0.7
2038	31	MLB CTX	PIT	11	11	64	270	87	36	8	100%	5.8	32.3%	13.3%	19.0%	3.1%	4.04	4.14	+0.5
2039	32	MLB CTX	PIT	10	10	59	249	79	34	8	100%	5.9	31.9%	13.7%	18.1%	3.3%	4.23	4.36	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		141	141	813	3432	1079	468	91	100%	5.8	31.4%	13.6%	17.8%	2.6%	4.03	3.62	+12.6
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	265	115	22	100%	5.8	31.4%	13.6%	17.8%	2.6%	4.03	3.62	+3.1
Career	—	MLE		49	38	135	607	170	143	8	78%	2.8	27.9%	23.5%	4.4%	1.3%	3.60	4.41	+8.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		73	56	200	899	251	211	11	78%	2.8	27.9%	23.5%	4.4%	1.3%	3.60	4.41	+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Reinold Navarro (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.01	29.9%	20.0%	2.8%	—	4.41	30.1%	14.4%	234	-0.60	—	—	—
Liam Sullivan L 2023 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP	5.78	25.7%	20.5%	4.1%	.290	5.79	20.9%	7.2%	141	+0.01	4.45	156	81
Larson Kindreich L 2022 · 4.27 FIP	23	SP-	4.27	24.3%	18.6%	1.6%	.275	4.96	22.3%	6.1%	149	+0.69	4.16	214	73
Brent Killam L 2021 · 4.29 FIP	23	SP	4.29	29.1%	14.5%	3.3%	.284	6.64	18.4%	9.6%	80	+2.35	4.29	121	70
Scott Kazmir L 2004 · 4.02 FIP	20	SP	4.02	27.0%	13.8%	2.6%	.337	3.34	24.9%	14.8%	537	-0.68	3.20	1,764	70
Luke Little L 2021 · 4.02 FIP	20	SP-	4.02	25.8%	12.5%	2.8%	.200	2.91	28.0%	12.3%	155	-1.11	2.74	277	70
Luichi Casilla L 2024 · 4.62 FIP	19	SP-	4.62	22.4%	20.2%	1.6%	.372	2.62	25.7%	16.1%	34	-2.00	2.62	133	69
Eric Dominguez L 2023 · 4.28 FIP	20	SP-	4.28	24.3%	16.1%	2.2%	.371	4.07	20.4%	7.5%	85	-0.21	3.81	140	69
Caden Grice L 2024 · 4.33 FIP	22	SP	4.33	23.1%	15.7%	2.2%	.282	5.05	17.9%	2.3%	83	+0.72	4.33	133	69
Luke Fox L 2024 · 5.24 FIP	22	SP	5.24	21.8%	19.2%	2.8%	.284	4.16	21.4%	8.1%	125	-1.08	3.60	156	69
Fernando Sanchez L 2022 · 4.17 FIP	21	SP	4.17	24.8%	11.8%	3.0%	.318	3.93	17.7%	6.9%	213	-0.24	3.09	332	69
Jeremy Pilon L 2024 · 4.86 FIP	18	SP-	4.86	22.1%	21.7%	1.6%	.279	4.10	17.9%	-1.9%	83	-0.76	3.99	144	68
Jackson Wolf L 2021 · 4.23 FIP	22	SP	4.23	27.0%	13.6%	3.1%	.423	4.65	19.6%	9.9%	357	+0.42	4.03	620	67
Alex Clemmey L 2024 · 4.22 FIP	19	SP	4.22	23.3%	19.0%	1.2%	.313	5.26	20.2%	4.5%	245	+1.04	4.22	337	65
Spencer Giesting L 2022 · 5.80 FIP	21	SP-	5.80	20.8%	16.6%	4.3%	.290	4.30	19.0%	8.0%	394	-1.50	3.58	460	64
Miguel Flores L 2024 · 4.30 FIP	19	SP	4.30	21.2%	16.5%	1.6%	.294	4.90	17.4%	-0.3%	127	+0.60	4.30	173	64
Dalton Rogers L 2023 · 4.31 FIP	22	SP	4.31	25.3%	16.7%	2.2%	.327	4.58	19.6%	4.1%	268	+0.27	3.47	364	64
Jay Groome L 2017 · 4.56 FIP	18	SP	4.56	21.6%	14.8%	2.6%	.345	—	—	—	—	—	4.46	420	64
Ryan Webb L 2022 · 3.92 FIP	23	SP	3.92	22.0%	15.4%	1.3%	.398	3.69	19.9%	9.7%	345	-0.23	3.25	451	64
Noah Dean L 2023 · 5.83 FIP	22	SP-	5.83	21.1%	28.1%	1.7%	.343	5.14	23.3%	4.2%	154	-0.69	4.41	217	63
Hayden Mullins L 2024 · 4.39 FIP	23	SP-	4.39	23.4%	12.4%	3.1%	.288	3.69	25.5%	11.8%	194	-0.70	3.54	283	63

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.8	74	31.3%	14.0%	1.10	4.21
Eric Plunk ('86-'99, 11 WAR*)	5.8	82	27.6%*	12.1%*	1.06*	3.83*
Mark Clear ('79-'90, 7 WAR*)	4.0	80	33.4%*	15.2%*	0.78*	3.89*
Ryne Duren ('54-'65, 4 WAR*)	2.9	65	34.5%*	14.6%*	0.75*	4.32*
Armando Benítez ('08)	3.9	65	29.1%	12.4%	1.10	3.13
Oliver Pérez ('22)	7.3	86	23.9%	11.8%	1.22	4.37
Carlos Marmol ('14)	2.9	72	29.5%	15.7%	0.76	3.57