Dalvinson Reyes — OGILVIE

Dalvinson Reyes P Salem RidgeYaks

Age 19 RHP 6'5" / 200 lbs A

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 9 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 143135vR 127

ERA5.78

FIP5.78

K%19.7%

BB%18.1%

K-BB%1.6%

ROS IP10

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 9 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	5	5	17	60	19	2	0	100%	3.4	21.5%	4.2%	17.4%	0.0%	0.00	1.81	—
2024	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	5	5	17	60	19	2	0	100%	3.4	21.5%	4.2%	17.4%	0.0%	0.00	1.81	—
2024	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	5	5	17	60	19	2	0	100%	3.4	31.7%	3.3%	28.3%	0.0%	0.00	1.22	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	10	9	16	92	12	20	3	90%	1.6	8.9%	27.2%	-18.3%	5.6%	14.33	8.87	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	10	9	16	92	12	20	3	90%	1.6	8.9%	27.2%	-18.3%	5.6%	14.33	8.87	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	10	9	16	92	12	20	3	90%	1.6	13.0%	21.7%	-8.7%	3.3%	14.33	7.69	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	5	2	16	68	15	13	1	40%	3.2	16.3%	22.6%	-6.2%	1.9%	5.06	5.63	—
YTD	19	A MLE	Salem RidgeYaks	5	2	16	68	15	13	1	40%	3.2	16.3%	22.6%	-6.2%	1.9%	5.06	5.63	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	A RAW	BOS	5	2	16	68	15	13	1	40%	3.2	22.1%	19.1%	2.9%	1.5%	5.06	4.47	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BOS	4	4	20	84	17	13	3	100%	5.0	20.6%	15.4%	5.2%	3.0%	5.45	5.33	-0.1
2027	20	MLB CTX	BOS	2	2	10	42	9	7	1	100%	5.0	20.6%	15.4%	5.2%	3.0%	5.45	5.33	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	10	42	9	6	1	100%	4.9	20.6%	15.4%	5.2%	3.0%	5.45	4.95	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		43	43	200	844	183	122	20	100%	4.6	20.6%	15.4%	5.2%	3.0%	5.45	4.95	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		20	16	49	220	32	43	6	80%	2.5	14.6%	19.5%	-4.8%	2.9%	6.39	5.94	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		81	65	200	892	130	174	26	80%	2.5	14.6%	19.5%	-4.8%	2.9%	6.39	5.94	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dalvinson Reyes (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.78	19.7%	18.1%	3.0%	—	5.33	20.6%	5.2%	20	-0.45	—	—	—
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	89
Randry De Leon R 2023 · 6.45 FIP	18	SP-	6.45	17.7%	20.2%	4.2%	.308	4.83	18.4%	3.3%	123	-1.62	4.37	153	84
Eddy Peralta R 2023 · 4.65 FIP	20	SP-	4.65	22.0%	19.8%	1.6%	.342	3.96	21.0%	1.7%	86	-0.69	3.73	117	84
Janser Lara R 2016 · 5.61 FIP	19	SP-	5.61	20.1%	17.3%	3.7%	.354	5.04	17.9%	4.8%	118	-0.57	2.84	220	83
Junior Mieses R 2019 · 4.87 FIP	19	SP-	4.87	19.9%	19.2%	1.9%	.296	6.10	18.9%	-1.2%	134	+1.23	4.87	236	83
Luis Reyes R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	17	SP-	6.24	18.4%	20.7%	3.8%	.333	4.28	17.1%	5.1%	129	-1.96	4.02	167	82
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	82
Edgar Isea R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	19	SP-	5.51	19.3%	20.3%	2.7%	.371	5.19	21.4%	-4.1%	98	-0.32	4.50	162	81
Jose Pena Jr. R 2022 · 5.48 FIP	19	SP-	5.48	15.0%	18.7%	2.3%	.269	4.62	19.2%	3.1%	124	-0.86	3.48	176	81
Daniel Corniel R 2023 · 5.15 FIP	19	SP-	5.15	20.3%	17.1%	2.9%	.364	4.37	15.7%	3.2%	140	-0.78	3.50	218	81
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	80
Jaydenn Estanista R 2021 · 4.72 FIP	19	SP-	4.72	18.1%	19.2%	1.3%	.254	5.35	21.0%	2.6%	109	+0.63	4.59	230	80
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	79
Yosber Sanchez R 2019 · 5.58 FIP	18	SP-	5.58	14.6%	14.9%	3.3%	.315	4.61	20.2%	-5.2%	13	-0.97	3.21	199	79
Jace Beck R 2021 · 5.13 FIP	21	SP-	5.13	21.1%	23.7%	1.5%	.347	5.32	25.7%	2.8%	50	+0.19	4.03	211	79
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	79
Tahnaj Thomas R 2018 · 5.06 FIP	19	SP-	5.06	23.0%	15.6%	3.5%	.268	6.04	17.0%	2.7%	61	+0.98	3.81	214	79
Lisandro Almonte R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	19	SP-	4.89	16.3%	16.4%	2.0%	.298	4.93	19.6%	4.9%	78	+0.04	3.81	128	79
Yoniel Curet R 2022 · 5.18 FIP	19	SP-	5.18	21.8%	17.5%	3.1%	.205	3.81	23.8%	8.0%	273	-1.37	3.40	385	78
Dariel Francia R 2023 · 5.09 FIP	17	SW	5.09	19.8%	17.4%	2.7%	.322	5.13	19.9%	-0.4%	98	+0.04	3.84	134	78