Marco Manzano
P
FCL Yankees
Age 22
LHP
6'3" / 176 lbs
ROK
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION19 act + 16 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 121
ERA4.51
FIP4.51
K%22.8%
BB%10.8%
K-BB%12.0%
ROS IP16
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 35 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 10 | 4 | 28 | 136 | 31 | 23 | 0 | 40% | 2.8 | 15.5% | 21.1% | -5.6% | 0.0% | 4.55 | 4.47 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 10 | 4 | 28 | 136 | 31 | 23 | 0 | 40% | 2.8 | 22.8% | 16.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% | 4.55 | 3.35 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 17 | 0 | 26 | 129 | 37 | 23 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.5% | 22.3% | -2.8% | 1.8% | 4.10 | 5.28 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | ROK | DSL NYY Yankees | 17 | 0 | 26 | 129 | 37 | 23 | 2 | 0% | 1.5 | 28.7% | 17.8% | 10.9% | 1.6% | 4.10 | 3.90 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 16 | 0 | 19 | 88 | 37 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.6% | 31.2% | -2.7% | 1.6% | 5.79 | 5.52 | -0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | NYY | 15 | 0 | 16 | 67 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.51 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.8% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 2.9% | 4.51 | 4.51 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | NYY | — | — | 35 | 155 | 52 | 29 | 3 | — | — | 33.7% | 18.8% | 14.9% | 1.9% | 5.20 | 5.05 | -0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYY | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.32 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | NYY | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.6% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 3.94 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.6% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 2.9% | 4.39 | 3.94 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 43 | 4 | 73 | 353 | 71 | 85 | 4 | 9% | 1.7 | 20.2% | 24.1% | -3.9% | 1.1% | 4.71 | 5.03 | -0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 118 | 11 | 200 | 972 | 197 | 234 | 10 | 9% | 1.7 | 20.2% | 24.1% | -3.9% | 1.1% | 4.71 | 5.03 | +0.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Marco Manzano (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.51 | 22.8% | 10.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.32 | 23.6% | 13.7% | 20 | -0.19 | — | — | — |
| Harry Gustin L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.97 | 20.7% | 11.0% | 2.2% | .331 | 4.42 | 22.4% | 11.6% | 89 | +0.45 | 3.77 | 132 | 85 |
| Ronnie Glenn L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.47 | 20.9% | 9.9% | 1.6% | .330 | 4.85 | 11.1% | -2.6% | 171 | +1.38 | 3.47 | 212 | 85 |
| Nick Dombkowski L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.09 | 21.3% | 8.8% | 3.0% | .208 | 4.77 | 16.8% | 7.4% | 223 | +0.68 | 3.58 | 371 | 85 |
| Andrew Mitchell L 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.75 | 21.8% | 7.5% | 2.8% | .333 | 2.67 | 23.8% | 15.8% | 78 | -1.08 | 2.51 | 119 | 84 |
| Keylan Killgore L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.30 | 20.7% | 12.7% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.82 | 161 | 83 |
| Daniel Zamora L 2027 · 3.52 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.52 | 20.3% | 10.8% | 1.4% | .294 | 2.76 | 24.7% | 16.8% | 135 | -0.76 | 2.17 | 310 | 83 |
| Jonathan Hennigan L 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.31 | 22.0% | 13.6% | 2.5% | .341 | 3.53 | 17.5% | 5.8% | 119 | -0.78 | 3.41 | 265 | 83 |
| Zach Morris L 2026 · 3.59 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.59 | 18.5% | 10.1% | 1.4% | .286 | 4.59 | 13.9% | 2.4% | 84 | +1.00 | 3.40 | 109 | 82 |
| Brian Marconi L 2028 · 3.61 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.61 | 25.3% | 12.3% | 2.0% | .265 | 4.96 | 20.3% | 2.1% | 57 | +1.35 | 3.61 | 101 | 82 |
| Sean Mellen L 2027 · 4.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.62 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.3% | .364 | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.9% | 55 | -0.65 | 3.97 | 101 | 81 |
| Wesley Moore L 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.83 | 25.9% | 13.2% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.14 | 18.3% | 5.6% | 58 | +0.31 | 3.83 | 111 | 81 |
| Garvin Alston L 2026 · 4.29 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.29 | 19.7% | 6.6% | 3.7% | .333 | 4.76 | 16.4% | 2.9% | 84 | +0.47 | 4.01 | 232 | 81 |
| Luis Paulino L 2025 · 3.54 FIP | 21 | SU | 3.54 | 19.1% | 10.5% | 1.3% | .269 | 2.75 | 20.2% | 9.5% | 50 | -0.79 | 2.57 | 103 | 81 |
| Kai Peterson L 2026 · 4.75 FIP | 22 | SU | 4.75 | 20.4% | 14.0% | 2.9% | .250 | 5.11 | 22.1% | 3.3% | 19 | +0.36 | 3.60 | 111 | 80 |
| Seth Clark L 2027 · 4.30 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.30 | 22.5% | 15.0% | 2.2% | .287 | 5.13 | 18.4% | 0.6% | 82 | +0.83 | 4.30 | 128 | 80 |
| Easton Lucas L 2028 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.21 | 23.6% | 9.2% | 3.5% | .316 | 4.00 | 21.8% | 11.4% | 184 | -0.21 | 3.49 | 311 | 80 |
| Dominic LoBrutto L 2026 · 3.31 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.31 | 21.4% | 6.9% | 2.1% | .333 | 3.51 | 17.8% | 10.6% | 84 | +0.20 | 2.99 | 135 | 79 |
| Abdallah Aris L 2024 · 3.63 FIP | 20 | SU | 3.63 | 22.4% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .341 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 109 | 79 |
| Caleb Wurster L 2027 · 3.44 FIP | 23 | SU | 3.44 | 22.2% | 13.4% | 0.9% | .299 | 5.52 | 23.2% | 6.6% | 65 | +2.08 | 3.44 | 100 | 79 |
| Johnathan Frebis L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 22 | SU | 3.81 | 17.0% | 9.4% | 1.8% | .245 | 4.25 | 9.7% | -0.6% | 124 | +0.44 | 3.81 | 146 | 79 |